Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
24%YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%YesNo
Jon Ossoff
6%YesNo
Kamala Harris
5%YesNo
Josh Shapiro
4%YesNo
Pete Buttigieg
4%YesNo
James Talarico
3%YesNo
Andy Beshear
2%YesNo
Mark Kelly
2%YesNo
Jon Stewart
2%YesNo
J.B. Pritzker
2%YesNo
Ruben Gallego
2%YesNo
Gretchen Whitmer
2%YesNo
Wes Moore
2%YesNo
Rahm Emanuel
1%YesNo
Michelle Obama
1%YesNo
Ro Khanna
1%YesNo
Stephen A. Smith
1%YesNo
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%YesNo
Gina Raimondo
1%YesNo
Cory Booker
1%YesNo
Zohran Mamdani
1%YesNo
Phil Murphy
1%YesNo
LeBron James
1%YesNo
Chris Murphy
1%YesNo
Liz Cheney
1%YesNo
John Fetterman
1%YesNo
Mark Cuban
1%YesNo
MrBeast
1%YesNo
Barack Obama
1%YesNo
Andrew Yang
1%YesNo
Kim Kardashian
1%YesNo
Chelsea Clinton
1%YesNo
Roy Cooper
1%YesNo
Beto O’Rourke
1%YesNo
Jared Polis
1%YesNo
Hunter Biden
1%YesNo
Hillary Clinton
1%YesNo
Oprah Winfrey
1%YesNo
Raphael Warnock
1%YesNo
George Clooney
1%YesNo
Tim Walz
1%YesNo
Bernie Sanders
1%YesNo
Jasmine Crockett
1%YesNo
$852m Vol.elections
View details
Fed decision in March?
No change
99%YesNo
25 bps decrease
1%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
0%YesNo
25+ bps increase
0%YesNo
$475m Vol.politics
View details
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
39%YesNo
Marco Rubio
26%YesNo
Tucker Carlson
4%YesNo
Ron DeSantis
3%YesNo
Donald Trump
2%YesNo
Thomas Massie
2%YesNo
Glenn Youngkin
1%YesNo
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%YesNo
Rand Paul
1%YesNo
Donald Trump Jr.
1%YesNo
Joe Kent
1%YesNo
Matt Gaetz
1%YesNo
Nikki Haley
1%YesNo
Ivanka Trump
1%YesNo
Ted Cruz
1%YesNo
Elon Musk
1%YesNo
Brian Kemp
1%YesNo
Katie Britt
1%YesNo
Tulsi Gabbard
1%YesNo
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%YesNo
Greg Abbott
1%YesNo
Tom Brady
1%YesNo
Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%YesNo
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%YesNo
Josh Hawley
1%YesNo
Kim Kardashian
1%YesNo
Eric Trump
1%YesNo
Elise Stefanik
1%YesNo
John Thune
1%YesNo
Kristi Noem
1%YesNo
Steve Bannon
1%YesNo
Byron Donalds
1%YesNo
Erika Kirk
1%YesNo
Mike Pence
1%YesNo
$428m Vol.elections
View details
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
21%YesNo
Gavin Newsom
18%YesNo
Marco Rubio
12%YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%YesNo
Kamala Harris
3%YesNo
Jon Ossoff
3%YesNo
Josh Shapiro
3%YesNo
Donald Trump
2%YesNo
Tucker Carlson
2%YesNo
Pete Buttigieg
2%YesNo
Ron DeSantis
2%YesNo
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%YesNo
Andy Beshear
1%YesNo
JB Pritzker
1%YesNo
Michelle Obama
1%YesNo
Elon Musk
1%YesNo
Ivanka Trump
1%YesNo
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%YesNo
Jamie Dimon
1%YesNo
Gretchen Whitmer
1%YesNo
Nikki Haley
1%YesNo
Thomas Massie
1%YesNo
Tulsi Gabbard
1%YesNo
Greg Abbott
1%YesNo
James Talarico
1%YesNo
Wes Moore
1%YesNo
Donald Trump Jr.
1%YesNo
Ro Khanna
1%YesNo
Eric Trump
1%YesNo
Tim Walz
1%YesNo
Glenn Youngkin
1%YesNo
Stephen Smith
1%YesNo
Kim Kardashian
1%YesNo
Zohran Mamdani
1%YesNo
LeBron James
1%YesNo
$419m Vol.elections
View details
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
61%YesNo
Nicolás Maduro
16%YesNo
María Corina Machado
14%YesNo
Edmundo González
2%YesNo
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%YesNo
Vladimir Padrino López
1%YesNo
No Head of State
1%YesNo
Jorge Rodríguez
1%YesNo
Marco Rubio
0%YesNo
Dinorah Figuera
0%YesNo
Frank Donovan
0%YesNo
Pete Hegseth
0%YesNo
Evan Pettus
0%YesNo
Richard Grenell
0%YesNo
$73m Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?
↑ 75,000
100%YesNo
↑ 70,000
100%YesNo
↑ 80,000
41%YesNo
↓ 65,000
25%YesNo
↑ 85,000
13%YesNo
↓ 60,000
10%YesNo
↓ 55,000
4%YesNo
↑ 90,000
3%YesNo
↓ 50,000
2%YesNo
↑ 95,000
2%YesNo
↓ 45,000
1%YesNo
↑ 100,000
1%YesNo
↓ 35,000
1%YesNo
↑ 105,000
1%YesNo
↓ 40,000
1%YesNo
↑ 110,000
1%YesNo
↓ 30,000
0%YesNo
↑ 150,000
0%YesNo
↓ 25,000
0%YesNo
↓ 20,000
0%YesNo
$57m Vol.tech
View details
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$38m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
44%YesNo
June 30
14%YesNo
March 31
3%YesNo
$37m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Péter Magyar
64%YesNo
Viktor Orbán
35%YesNo
László Toroczkai
1%YesNo
István Kapitány
0%YesNo
János Lázár
0%YesNo
Klára Dobrev
0%YesNo
$32m Vol.elections
View details
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
44%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro
38%YesNo
Ratinho Júnior
6%YesNo
Renan Santos
5%YesNo
Fernando Haddad
3%YesNo
Tarcisio de Freitas
1%YesNo
Jair Bolsonaro
1%YesNo
Michelle Bolsonaro
1%YesNo
Eduardo Bolsonaro
0%YesNo
$27m Vol.elections
View details
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$26m Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
↓ 85,000
100%YesNo
↓ 65,000
100%YesNo
↓ 75,000
100%YesNo
↓ 60,000
100%YesNo
↑ 70,000
100%YesNo
↑ 75,000
100%YesNo
↑ 80,000
82%YesNo
↓ 55,000
67%YesNo
↑ 90,000
59%YesNo
↓ 50,000
56%YesNo
↓ 45,000
45%YesNo
↑ 100,000
44%YesNo
↓ 40,000
34%YesNo
↑ 110,000
28%YesNo
↓ 35,000
24%YesNo
↑ 120,000
22%YesNo
↑ 130,000
17%YesNo
↓ 30,000
16%YesNo
↑ 140,000
14%YesNo
↓ 25,000
13%YesNo
↑ 150,000
12%YesNo
↓ 20,000
10%YesNo
↑ 160,000
9%YesNo
↑ 170,000
8%YesNo
↑ 180,000
7%YesNo
↓ 15,000
7%YesNo
↑ 200,000
5%YesNo
↑ 250,000
5%YesNo
↓ 10,000
5%YesNo
↓ 5,000
4%YesNo
↑ 500,000
2%YesNo
↑ 1,000,000
2%YesNo
$25m Vol.tech
View details
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
12%YesNo
June 30, 2026
3%YesNo
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
$21m Vol.tech
View details
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
December 31
71%YesNo
June 30
56%YesNo
May 31
48%YesNo
April 30
40%YesNo
April 15
28%YesNo
March 31
10%YesNo
$20m Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will happen before GTA VI?
Drake releases Iceman
90%YesNo
New Rihanna Album
68%YesNo
New Playboi Carti Album
59%YesNo
GPT-6 released
57%YesNo
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire
55%YesNo
Trump out as President
53%YesNo
China invades Taiwan
52%YesNo
Bitcoin hits $1m
49%YesNo
Jesus Christ returns
49%YesNo
$19m Vol.politics
View details
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Yes
30%YesNo
No
71%YesNo
$18m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Paris Mayoral Election
Emmanuel Grégoire
72%YesNo
Rachida Dati
28%YesNo
Sarah Knafo
0%YesNo
Pierre-Yves Bournazel
0%YesNo
David Belliard
0%YesNo
Sophia Chikirou
0%YesNo
Thierry Mariani
0%YesNo
$18m Vol.elections
View details
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
iRobot
100%YesNo
Warner Bros. Discovery
100%YesNo
Caesars Entertainment
68%YesNo
Pizza Hut
47%YesNo
Ubisoft
38%YesNo
Lovable
36%YesNo
PayPal
35%YesNo
Viking Therapeutics
27%YesNo
Perplexity AI
25%YesNo
Nebius Group
23%YesNo
BP
23%YesNo
GitLab
22%YesNo
Snapchat
15%YesNo
Zoom Video Communications
11%YesNo
Anthropic
11%YesNo
OpenAI
9%YesNo
$17m Vol.tech
View details
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan Bardella
27%YesNo
Édouard Philippe
19%YesNo
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
10%YesNo
Marine Le Pen
8%YesNo
Dominique de Villepin
7%YesNo
Bruno Retailleau
4%YesNo
Raphaël Glucksmann
4%YesNo
Jean Castex
4%YesNo
Gabriel Attal
3%YesNo
Sarah Knafo
3%YesNo
François Hollande
3%YesNo
Sébastien Lecornu
2%YesNo
David Lisnard
2%YesNo
Gérald Darmanin
1%YesNo
Éric Zemmour
1%YesNo
Juan Branco
1%YesNo
Bernard Cazeneuve
1%YesNo
Marine Tondelier
1%YesNo
Xavier Bertrand
0%YesNo
Laurent Wauquiez
0%YesNo
François Ruffin
0%YesNo
Fabien Roussel
0%YesNo
Manuel Bompard
0%YesNo
François Asselineau
0%YesNo
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
0%YesNo
Valérie Pécresse
0%YesNo
Élisabeth Borne
0%YesNo
Carole Delga
0%YesNo
Olivier Faure
0%YesNo
Ségolène Royal
0%YesNo
Clémentine Autain
0%YesNo
Michel Barnier
0%YesNo
François Bayrou
0%YesNo
Yaël Braun-Pivet
0%YesNo
Mathilde Panot
0%YesNo
Clémence Guetté
0%YesNo
$15m Vol.elections
View details
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 31
13%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$14m Vol.geopolitics
View details
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
>$600M
64%YesNo
>$800M
53%YesNo
>$1B
49%YesNo
>$1.5B
24%YesNo
>$2B
18%YesNo
>$3B
7%YesNo
>$4B
4%YesNo
>$6B
2%YesNo
$13m Vol.tech
View details
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
John Cornyn
61%YesNo
Ken Paxton
39%YesNo
Wesley Hunt
0%YesNo
Dawn Buckingham
0%YesNo
Beth Van Duyne
0%YesNo
$12m Vol.elections
View details
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Yes
37%YesNo
No
64%YesNo
$12m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Largest Company end of March?
NVIDIA
99%YesNo
Apple
0%YesNo
Alphabet
0%YesNo
Tesla
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
0%YesNo
$12m Vol.tech
View details
What price will Ethereum hit in March?
↓ 2,000
100%YesNo
↑ 2,400
80%YesNo
↑ 2,600
39%YesNo
↑ 2,800
14%YesNo
↑ 3,000
6%YesNo
↓ 1,800
5%YesNo
↓ 1,600
3%YesNo
↑ 3,200
2%YesNo
↓ 1,400
1%YesNo
↑ 3,400
1%YesNo
↑ 3,600
1%YesNo
↓ 1,000
1%YesNo
↓ 1,200
1%YesNo
↑ 3,800
1%YesNo
↓ 800
0%YesNo
↑ 4,000
0%YesNo
↓ 600
0%YesNo
↓ 200
0%YesNo
↓ 400
0%YesNo
$12m Vol.tech
View details
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$11m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes
45%YesNo
No
56%YesNo
$11m Vol.geopolitics
View details
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
1 (25 bps)
32%YesNo
2 (50 bps)
24%YesNo
0 (0 bps)
23%YesNo
3 (75 bps)
10%YesNo
4 (100 bps)
6%YesNo
5 (125 bps)
3%YesNo
12+ (300+ bps)
2%YesNo
6 (150 bps)
2%YesNo
7 (175 bps)
1%YesNo
8 (200 bps)
1%YesNo
9 (225 bps)
0%YesNo
10 (250 bps)
0%YesNo
11 (275 bps)
0%YesNo
$10m Vol.politics
View details
Colombia Presidential Election
Paloma Valencia
44%YesNo
Iván Cepeda Castro
42%YesNo
Abelardo de la Espriella
13%YesNo
Sergio Fajardo (DC)
1%YesNo
Carlos Felipe Córdoba
0%YesNo
Roy Barreras
0%YesNo
Claudia López (IND)
0%YesNo
Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)
0%YesNo
Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)
0%YesNo
Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)
0%YesNo
Mauricio Cárdenas
0%YesNo
Vicky Dávila (IND)
0%YesNo
David Luna Sánchez (IND)
0%YesNo
Gustavo Bolívar (HC)
0%YesNo
Juan Manuel Galán (NL)
0%YesNo
Daniel Quintero
0%YesNo
Enrique Peñalosa
0%YesNo
Juan Carlos Pinzón
0%YesNo
Miguel Uribe Turbay (CD)
0%YesNo
$10m Vol.elections
View details
Starmer out by...?
December 31
70%YesNo
June 30
45%YesNo
April 30
11%YesNo
March 31
3%YesNo
$10m Vol.politics
View details
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Anthropic
92%YesNo
Google
4%YesNo
OpenAI
2%YesNo
xAI
1%YesNo
DeepSeek
1%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
$10m Vol.tech
View details
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
13%YesNo
Donald Trump
9%YesNo
Yulia Navalnaya
8%YesNo
Pope Leo XIV
3%YesNo
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
3%YesNo
International Court of Justice
3%YesNo
UNRWA
3%YesNo
Greta Thunberg
3%YesNo
Charlie Kirk
2%YesNo
Narendra Modi
2%YesNo
Julian Assange
2%YesNo
António Guterres
2%YesNo
Elon Musk
1%YesNo
Xi Jinping
1%YesNo
Ahmed al-Sharaa
1%YesNo
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
1%YesNo
Mohammed bin Salman
1%YesNo
Vladimir Putin
1%YesNo
Khaled Mashal
0%YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu
0%YesNo
$9m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Fed decision in April?
No change
94%YesNo
25 bps decrease
4%YesNo
25+ bps increase
2%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
1%YesNo
$9m Vol.politics
View details
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 31
26%YesNo
June 30
16%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
$9m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
46%YesNo
September 30
21%YesNo
June 30
14%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$8m Vol.tech
View details
Which countries will strike Iran by March 31?
UAE
16%YesNo
Saudi Arabia
13%YesNo
Qatar
9%YesNo
Bahrain
8%YesNo
Any E.U. Country
5%YesNo
Kuwait
3%YesNo
UK
3%YesNo
France
3%YesNo
Jordan
2%YesNo
Turkey
2%YesNo
Oman
1%YesNo
Germany
1%YesNo
Canada
1%YesNo
$8m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Trump out as President by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$8m Vol.elections
View details
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$8m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$7m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$7m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Trump meet with Putin again by...?
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
August 31
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$7m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
December 31
84%YesNo
June 30
71%YesNo
May 15
62%YesNo
April 30
45%YesNo
April 15
25%YesNo
March 31
8%YesNo
$6m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
45%YesNo
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
$6m Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 2026
87%YesNo
June 30, 2026
69%YesNo
April 30, 2026
28%YesNo
March 31, 2026
8%YesNo
August 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$6m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Backpack FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
99%YesNo
$200M
95%YesNo
$300M
70%YesNo
$500M
21%YesNo
$700M
8%YesNo
$1B
3%YesNo
$2B
1%YesNo
$3B
1%YesNo
$4B
0%YesNo
$5B
0%YesNo
$5m Vol.tech
View details
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Chong Won-oh
84%YesNo
Oh Se-hoon
12%YesNo
Park Ju-min
4%YesNo
Cho Eun-hee
0%YesNo
Ahn Cheol-soo
0%YesNo
Park Yong-jin
0%YesNo
Hong Ihk-pyo
0%YesNo
Cho Kuk
0%YesNo
Kang Hoon-sik
0%YesNo
Na Kyung-won
0%YesNo
Han Dong-hoon
0%YesNo
Park Hong-keun
0%YesNo
Seo Young-kyo
0%YesNo
Jeon Hyun-heui
0%YesNo
$5m Vol.elections
View details
edgeX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
95%YesNo
$500M
81%YesNo
$700M
59%YesNo
$1B
48%YesNo
$2B
11%YesNo
$3B
4%YesNo
$4B
3%YesNo
$5B
2%YesNo
$10B
1%YesNo
$5m Vol.tech
View details
Will Trump visit China by...?
June 30
79%YesNo
May 31
75%YesNo
April 30, 2026
40%YesNo
March 31, 2026
3%YesNo
$5m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Yes
70%YesNo
No
31%YesNo
$5m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
21%YesNo
September 30, 2026
13%YesNo
June 30, 2026
6%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$5m Vol.tech
View details
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
71%YesNo
$300M
56%YesNo
$500M
45%YesNo
$1B
19%YesNo
$2B
9%YesNo
$3B
4%YesNo
$5B
3%YesNo
$5m Vol.tech
View details
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
April 30
27%YesNo
March 31
4%YesNo
$5m Vol.politics
View details
Trump out as President before 2027?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$5m Vol.elections
View details
Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election Winner
Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)
100%YesNo
Centro Democrático (CD)
0%YesNo
MIRA‑CJL coalition (MIRA‑CJL)
0%YesNo
Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)
0%YesNo
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
0%YesNo
Cambio Radical (CR)
0%YesNo
Green Alliance
0%YesNo
Partido de la U (La U)
0%YesNo
$5m Vol.elections
View details
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
June 30
23%YesNo
March 31
9%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
November 7
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
IPOs before 2027?
Once Upon a Farm
100%YesNo
Wealthfront
100%YesNo
Cerebras
95%YesNo
SpaceX
86%YesNo
Discord
81%YesNo
Ledger
76%YesNo
Remote
61%YesNo
Anduril Industries
56%YesNo
Canva
43%YesNo
Anthropic
42%YesNo
OpenAI
37%YesNo
Databricks
28%YesNo
Rippling
26%YesNo
Waymo
24%YesNo
Anduril
21%YesNo
SHEIN
21%YesNo
Freddie Mac
19%YesNo
Deel
18%YesNo
Fannie Mae
17%YesNo
Stripe
16%YesNo
Mistral AI
14%YesNo
Revolut
11%YesNo
Ripple Labs
10%YesNo
Ramp
9%YesNo
Brex
7%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.tech
View details
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
85%YesNo
Republican Party
16%YesNo
$4m Vol.elections
View details
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
49%YesNo
R Senate, D House
35%YesNo
Republicans Sweep
16%YesNo
D Senate, R House
1%YesNo
$4m Vol.elections
View details
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2026
10%YesNo
by June 30, 2026
3%YesNo
by March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
by September 30, 2025
0%YesNo
by December 31, 2025
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.tech
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What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
↓ 2,000
100%YesNo
↓ 2,500
100%YesNo
↓ 1,500
53%YesNo
↑ 3,500
44%YesNo
↑ 4,000
37%YesNo
↑ 4,500
24%YesNo
↓ 1,000
22%YesNo
↓ 800
20%YesNo
↑ 5,000
17%YesNo
↑ 5,500
14%YesNo
↑ 6,000
12%YesNo
↑ 6,500
9%YesNo
↑ 7,000
8%YesNo
↑ 7,500
7%YesNo
↑ 8,000
5%YesNo
↑ 10,000
4%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
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Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 31
11%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
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Based FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
35%YesNo
$200M
19%YesNo
$300M
7%YesNo
$500M
2%YesNo
$800M
1%YesNo
$2B
0%YesNo
$1B
0%YesNo
$3B
0%YesNo
$4B
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
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US strike on Mexico by...?
December 31
26%YesNo
March 31
3%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
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How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
3
39%YesNo
4
20%YesNo
5
20%YesNo
2
5%YesNo
6
4%YesNo
7
4%YesNo
8
2%YesNo
9
1%YesNo
10
1%YesNo
15+
1%YesNo
11
0%YesNo
14
0%YesNo
12
0%YesNo
13
0%YesNo
0
0%YesNo
1
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
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Will another country strike Iran by...?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
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Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of___?
Week of March 2
100%YesNo
Week of March 9
8%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
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Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Benjamin Netanyahu
45%YesNo
Naftali Bennett
28%YesNo
Gadi Eizenkot
14%YesNo
Yair Lapid
2%YesNo
Gideon Sa’ar
1%YesNo
Yair Golan
1%YesNo
Avigdor Lieberman
1%YesNo
Benny Gantz
1%YesNo
Itamar Ben Gvir
1%YesNo
Moshe Feiglin
1%YesNo
Yariv Levin
1%YesNo
Yossi Cohen
0%YesNo
Ayelet Shaked
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.elections
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Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
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Claude 5 released by…?
April 30, 2026
14%YesNo
March 31, 2026
6%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
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Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
No meeting by June 30
71%YesNo
Other EU country
6%YesNo
Turkey
4%YesNo
Russia
4%YesNo
Gulf country
3%YesNo
China
3%YesNo
United States
2%YesNo
Switzerland
1%YesNo
Belarus
1%YesNo
Ukraine
1%YesNo
South Korea
1%YesNo
Finland
0%YesNo
Japan
0%YesNo
Australia
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
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Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
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Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Yes
36%YesNo
No
65%YesNo
$3m Vol.elections
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Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei
36%YesNo
Reza Pahlavi
15%YesNo
Hassan Rouhani
8%YesNo
No Head of State
7%YesNo
Hassan Khomeini
5%YesNo
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%YesNo
Alireza Arafi
4%YesNo
Sadegh Larijani
3%YesNo
Maryam Rajavi
3%YesNo
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
2%YesNo
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
1%YesNo
Mustafa Hijri
1%YesNo
Ahmad Vahidi
1%YesNo
Mohammad Khatami
1%YesNo
Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani
1%YesNo
Abbas Araghchi
1%YesNo
Sadegh Mahsouli
1%YesNo
Hassan Shariatmadari
1%YesNo
Massoud Rajavi
1%YesNo
Reza Pirzadeh
1%YesNo
Ali Motahari
1%YesNo
Mohsen Araki
1%YesNo
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
0%YesNo
Nasir Hosseini
0%YesNo
Ali Asghar Hejazi
0%YesNo
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
0%YesNo
Saeed Jalili
0%YesNo
Navid Shomali
0%YesNo
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel
0%YesNo
Ali Larijani
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
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Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
June 30
73%YesNo
April 30
54%YesNo
March 31
13%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Pump.fun airdrop by ....?
December 31, 2026
30%YesNo
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
July 18
0%YesNo
August 31
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
June 30
0%YesNo
July 31
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
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Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
June 30
13%YesNo
March 31, 2026
5%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Largest Company end of June?
NVIDIA
83%YesNo
Apple
9%YesNo
Alphabet
8%YesNo
Microsoft
1%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
0%YesNo
Tesla
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
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Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
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Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
53%YesNo
$700M
30%YesNo
$1B
22%YesNo
$2B
9%YesNo
$3B
6%YesNo
$4B
3%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
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Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?
December 31
15%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
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What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$X
44%YesNo
$STAR
16%YesNo
$SPAX
7%YesNo
$MARS
4%YesNo
$SEX
4%YesNo
$SPACE
2%YesNo
$SPC
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Military action against Iran ends on...?
Military action through March 31
89%YesNo
March 31
3%YesNo
March 30
2%YesNo
March 29
1%YesNo
March 28
1%YesNo
March 27
1%YesNo
March 25
1%YesNo
March 23
1%YesNo
March 26
1%YesNo
March 21
0%YesNo
March 24
0%YesNo
March 22
0%YesNo
March 20
0%YesNo
March 19
0%YesNo
March 18
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)
74%YesNo
New People (NL)
16%YesNo
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
6%YesNo
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
1%YesNo
Rodina
0%YesNo
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
0%YesNo
Civic Platform (GP)
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
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Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
December 31, 2026
14%YesNo
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
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US strike on Cuba by...?
December 31
43%YesNo
March 31
7%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
California Governor Election Winner
Eric Swalwell
64%YesNo
Matt Mahan
10%YesNo
Steve Hilton
8%YesNo
Tom Steyer
8%YesNo
Chad Bianco
4%YesNo
Katie Porter
3%YesNo
Elaine Culotti
2%YesNo
Alex Padilla
0%YesNo
Xavier Becerra
0%YesNo
Tony Thurmond
0%YesNo
Antonio Villaraigosa
0%YesNo
Rick Caruso
0%YesNo
Stephen Cloobeck
0%YesNo
Betty Yee
0%YesNo
Kyle Langford
0%YesNo
Eleni Kounalakis
0%YesNo
Leo Zacky
0%YesNo
Kamala Harris
0%YesNo
Butch Ware
0%YesNo
Toni Atkins
0%YesNo
Daniel Mercuri
0%YesNo
Michael Younger
0%YesNo
Nicole Shanahan
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
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AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 2026
20%YesNo
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
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SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
1T+
91%YesNo
No IPO before 2028
4%YesNo
900B–1T
1%YesNo
600B–700B
1%YesNo
800B–900B
1%YesNo
<500B
1%YesNo
500B–600B
1%YesNo
700B–800B
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
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Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
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Another US strike on Venezuela by...?
December 31
23%YesNo
March 31
3%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
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Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
Israel
100%YesNo
Saudi Arabia
100%YesNo
Qatar
100%YesNo
Oman
100%YesNo
UAE
86%YesNo
Turkey
10%YesNo
Syria
10%YesNo
Lebanon
7%YesNo
Cyprus
5%YesNo
Pakistan
4%YesNo
Afghanistan
3%YesNo
Yemen
3%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on March 18?
60,000
100%YesNo
62,000
100%YesNo
64,000
100%YesNo
66,000
100%YesNo
68,000
100%YesNo
70,000
99%YesNo
72,000
93%YesNo
74,000
57%YesNo
76,000
13%YesNo
78,000
1%YesNo
80,000
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Bank of Japan Decision in March?
No change
99%YesNo
25 bps increase
1%YesNo
50+ bps increase
0%YesNo
Decrease rates
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.politics
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Ukraine election held by...?
December 31, 2026
19%YesNo
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
52%YesNo
Google
24%YesNo
OpenAI
14%YesNo
xAI
5%YesNo
DeepSeek
2%YesNo
Alibaba
1%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
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Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Yes
26%YesNo
No
75%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
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MegaETH airdrop by...?
June 30, 2026
62%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
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Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting
77%YesNo
September Meeting
61%YesNo
July Meeting
48%YesNo
June Meeting
32%YesNo
April Meeting
5%YesNo
March Meeting
1%YesNo
January Meeting
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.politics
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Russian strike on Poland by...?
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
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Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
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Macron out by...?
June 30, 2026
3%YesNo
$2m Vol.politics
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Human moon landing in 2026?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
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Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
Cut–Pause–Pause
100%YesNo
Cut–Pause–Cut
0%YesNo
Cut–Cut–Pause
0%YesNo
Pause–Pause–Pause
0%YesNo
Pause–Cut–Pause
0%YesNo
Cut–Cut–Cut
0%YesNo
Pause–Pause–Cut
0%YesNo
Pause–Cut–Cut
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.politics
View details
2nd largest company end of March?
Alphabet
56%YesNo
Apple
42%YesNo
NVIDIA
1%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
0%YesNo
Tesla
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
June 30
65%YesNo
April 30
28%YesNo
March 31
4%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
USD.AI FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$150M
85%YesNo
$300M
45%YesNo
$500M
9%YesNo
$1B
2%YesNo
$800M
1%YesNo
$2B
0%YesNo
$4B
0%YesNo
$3B
0%YesNo
$6B
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
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Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
December 31, 2026
18%YesNo
June 30, 2026
8%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
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Fed Decision in June?
No change
63%YesNo
25 bps decrease
30%YesNo
25 bps increase
4%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
3%YesNo
50+ bps increase
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.politics
View details
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
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Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Graham Platner
73%YesNo
Janet Mills
26%YesNo
Jared Golden
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
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Russian strike on a NATO member by...?
March 31
2%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go?
80%
100%YesNo
75%
100%YesNo
70%
100%YesNo
85%
9%YesNo
90%
5%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
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Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
June 30, 2026
22%YesNo
March 31, 2026
2%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
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Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality on...?
March 31
11%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
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Ethereum all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
22%YesNo
September 30, 2026
13%YesNo
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
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Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2026
62%YesNo
1T–1.25T
9%YesNo
750B–1T
9%YesNo
500–750B
5%YesNo
1.5T+
4%YesNo
<500B
4%YesNo
1.25T–1.5T
3%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Democratic
56%YesNo
Republican
44%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
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Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
June 30
14%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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US strike on Colombia by...?
December 31
23%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia capture Rodynske by...?
April 30
56%YesNo
March 31
28%YesNo
September 15
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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Ukraine election called by...?
June 30, 2026
10%YesNo
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
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U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?
June 30
29%YesNo
March 31
8%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$800B
65%YesNo
$1T
49%YesNo
$1.2T
39%YesNo
$1.6T
35%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
April 21
51%YesNo
April 30
50%YesNo
Super Heavy booster explodes?
49%YesNo
Successful splash down?
42%YesNo
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
9%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
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China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$150M
67%YesNo
$300M
36%YesNo
$500M
17%YesNo
$1B
6%YesNo
$2B
2%YesNo
$3B
2%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
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NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31
20%YesNo
June 30
10%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?
June 30, 2026
1%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
70%YesNo
Apple
13%YesNo
Alphabet
13%YesNo
Tesla
3%YesNo
Microsoft
2%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
1%YesNo
Amazon
1%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
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Russia nuclear test by...?
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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When will the DHS shutdown end?
After March 31
78%YesNo
March 24-27
15%YesNo
March 28-31
7%YesNo
March 20-23
1%YesNo
March 16-19
0%YesNo
Before February 16
0%YesNo
February 16-19
0%YesNo
February 20-23
0%YesNo
February 24-27
0%YesNo
February 28-March 3
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.politics
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Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
June 30
6%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
84%YesNo
OpenAI
6%YesNo
Anthropic
5%YesNo
Databricks
2%YesNo
Discord
1%YesNo
ByteDance
1%YesNo
Kraken
1%YesNo
Revolut
1%YesNo
SHEIN
0%YesNo
Stripe
0%YesNo
Waymo
0%YesNo
Perplexity AI
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
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Kraken IPO by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
79%YesNo
March 31, 2026
3%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
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Houthi strike on Israel by...?
March 31
17%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Anthropic
100%YesNo
xAI
27%YesNo
OpenAI
26%YesNo
DeepSeek
9%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
Anthropic
92%YesNo
Google
5%YesNo
xAI
1%YesNo
OpenAI
1%YesNo
DeepSeek
1%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
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OpenAI IPO by...?
December 31, 2026
40%YesNo
June 30, 2026
3%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
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US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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US forces enter Venezuela again by...?
March 31
5%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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French election called by...?
June 30, 2026
8%YesNo
September 15
0%YesNo
October 10
0%YesNo
October 17
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
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Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
December 31
10%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
Israel
100%YesNo
Turkiye
100%YesNo
Hungary
100%YesNo
India
3%YesNo
Russia
3%YesNo
Belgium
2%YesNo
Brazil
2%YesNo
Switzerland
2%YesNo
Germany
2%YesNo
Sweden
1%YesNo
Ukraine
1%YesNo
Denmark
1%YesNo
Norway
1%YesNo
Spain
1%YesNo
Finland
1%YesNo
France
1%YesNo
China
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
Goldman Sachs
56%YesNo
Morgan Stanley
37%YesNo
Bank of America
5%YesNo
JPMorgan
2%YesNo
Citigroup
1%YesNo
Barclays
0%YesNo
UBS
0%YesNo
Deutsche Bank
0%YesNo
Wells Fargo
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
How long will the DHS shutdown last?
5+ days
100%YesNo
3+ days
100%YesNo
7+ days
100%YesNo
10+ days
100%YesNo
14+ days
100%YesNo
60+ days
45%YesNo
$964K Vol.politics
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Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Iván Cepeda Castro
76%YesNo
Paloma Valencia
15%YesNo
Abelardo de la Espriella
2%YesNo
David Luna Sánchez
1%YesNo
Luis Gilberto Murillo
1%YesNo
Vicky Dávila
1%YesNo
Juan Manuel Galán
1%YesNo
Sergio Fajardo
1%YesNo
Claudia López
1%YesNo
Gustavo Bolívar
0%YesNo
Juan Carlos Pinzón
0%YesNo
Juan Daniel Oviedo
0%YesNo
Roy Barreras
0%YesNo
Mauricio Cárdenas
0%YesNo
Daniel Quintero
0%YesNo
Germán Vargas Lleras
0%YesNo
Enrique Peñalosa
0%YesNo
Miguel Uribe Turbay
0%YesNo
$964K Vol.elections
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Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party
50%YesNo
Republican Party
50%YesNo
$958K Vol.elections
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Who will acquire TikTok?
Larry Ellison/Oracle
100%YesNo
Walmart
24%YesNo
Microsoft
11%YesNo
Amazon
10%YesNo
Elon Musk / X (Twitter)
7%YesNo
Meta
4%YesNo
AppLovin
4%YesNo
$951K Vol.tech
View details
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
Pause–Pause–Pause
67%YesNo
Pause–Pause–Cut
22%YesNo
Pause–Cut–Pause
2%YesNo
Pause–Cut–Cut
2%YesNo
Cut–Pause–Pause
0%YesNo
Cut–Pause–Cut
0%YesNo
Cut–Cut–Pause
0%YesNo
Cut–Cut–Cut
0%YesNo
$942K Vol.politics
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Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
Paramount
75%YesNo
None by June 30, 2027
17%YesNo
Netflix
4%YesNo
Comcast
0%YesNo
$926K Vol.tech
View details
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
December 31
56%YesNo
July 31
31%YesNo
$924K Vol.tech
View details
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Yes
30%YesNo
No
71%YesNo
$920K Vol.geopolitics
View details
ECB Interest Rates: March 2026
No change
99%YesNo
Increase
1%YesNo
25 bps decrease
0%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
0%YesNo
$901K Vol.politics
View details
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$901K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes
53%YesNo
No
47%YesNo
$872K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
April 30
20%YesNo
March 31
6%YesNo
$864K Vol.geopolitics
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Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$863K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
47%YesNo
Google
25%YesNo
OpenAI
14%YesNo
xAI
6%YesNo
DeepSeek
4%YesNo
Meituan
3%YesNo
Mistral
2%YesNo
Z.ai
1%YesNo
Alibaba
1%YesNo
Moonshot
1%YesNo
$857K Vol.tech
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US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$841K Vol.geopolitics
View details
StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$200M
34%YesNo
$800M
19%YesNo
$1B
10%YesNo
$3B
8%YesNo
$2B
7%YesNo
$5B
2%YesNo
$7B
1%YesNo
$840K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?
April 30
17%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$819K Vol.geopolitics
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Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$804K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
OpenAI
90%YesNo
Anthropic
8%YesNo
DeepSeek
2%YesNo
Google
1%YesNo
xAI
1%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
$793K Vol.tech
View details
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
95%YesNo
600B+
3%YesNo
400–600B
1%YesNo
100–200B
1%YesNo
300–400B
1%YesNo
<100B
0%YesNo
200–300B
0%YesNo
$760K Vol.tech
View details
Will Backpack launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
100%YesNo
March 31, 2026
100%YesNo
$753K Vol.tech
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Israel x Syria security agreement by...?
June 30
28%YesNo
March 31
4%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$748K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Who visited Epstein's Island?
Woody Allen
13%YesNo
Steve Bannon
13%YesNo
Richard Branson
12%YesNo
Deepak Chopra
10%YesNo
Harvey Weinstein
10%YesNo
Noam Chomsky
9%YesNo
Kevin Spacey
8%YesNo
Bill Clinton
8%YesNo
Bill Gates
7%YesNo
Donald Trump
6%YesNo
Elon Musk
4%YesNo
Hillary Clinton
4%YesNo
Jay-Z
4%YesNo
$727K Vol.tech
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Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
April 30
31%YesNo
March 31
18%YesNo
$725K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
December 31
31%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
$724K Vol.geopolitics
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Bitcoin above ___ on March 19?
60,000
100%YesNo
62,000
100%YesNo
64,000
100%YesNo
66,000
100%YesNo
68,000
98%YesNo
70,000
94%YesNo
72,000
82%YesNo
74,000
56%YesNo
76,000
25%YesNo
78,000
9%YesNo
80,000
2%YesNo
$715K Vol.tech
View details
Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
50%YesNo
September 30, 2026
47%YesNo
June 30, 2026
16%YesNo
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
$712K Vol.tech
View details
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027
76%YesNo
Turkey
3%YesNo
US
3%YesNo
Qatar / UAE
2%YesNo
Saudi Arabia
2%YesNo
Russia
1%YesNo
Switzerland
1%YesNo
Kazakhstan
1%YesNo
China
1%YesNo
Belarus
1%YesNo
$710K Vol.geopolitics
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DeepSeek V4 released by...?
April 15
52%YesNo
March 21
3%YesNo
March 31
3%YesNo
$701K Vol.tech
View details
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↓ 3.5%
100%YesNo
↓ 3.25%
80%YesNo
↓ 3.0%
52%YesNo
↓ 2.75%
30%YesNo
↓ 2.5%
20%YesNo
↓ 2.25%
12%YesNo
↓ 1.0%
7%YesNo
↑ 4.25%
5%YesNo
↓ 0%
5%YesNo
↑ 5.5%
4%YesNo
↑ 4.5%
3%YesNo
$698K Vol.politics
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3rd largest company end of March?
Apple
55%YesNo
Alphabet
31%YesNo
Microsoft
1%YesNo
Amazon
1%YesNo
NVIDIA
0%YesNo
Oracle
0%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
0%YesNo
Tesla
0%YesNo
$695K Vol.tech
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Israeli parliament dissolved by...?
June 30
39%YesNo
March 31
5%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$692K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which companies added to S&P 500 in Q1 2026?
Ciena (CIEN)
100%YesNo
SoFi Technologies (SOFI)
2%YesNo
Affirm Holdings (AFRM)
1%YesNo
Pure Storage (PSTG)
1%YesNo
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)
1%YesNo
Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR)
1%YesNo
$683K Vol.tech
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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$681K Vol.geopolitics
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Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$665K Vol.tech
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US recession by end of 2026?
Yes
31%YesNo
No
70%YesNo
$658K Vol.politics
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Next CEO of Apple?
John Ternus
49%YesNo
Sabih Khan
12%YesNo
Craig Federighi
4%YesNo
Greg Joswiak
2%YesNo
$655K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture Sumy by...?
March 31, 2027
22%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$652K Vol.geopolitics
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Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$647K Vol.tech
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India strike on Pakistan by...?
March 31, 2026
7%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 14
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$645K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
June 30
39%YesNo
May 31
35%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$630K Vol.tech
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NASA Artemis II
April 30
75%YesNo
Artemis II booster rupture?
10%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$625K Vol.tech
View details
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
>$1T
93%YesNo
>$1.4T
84%YesNo
>$1.6T
72%YesNo
>$1.8T
65%YesNo
>$2T
57%YesNo
>$2.2T
41%YesNo
>$2.4T
37%YesNo
>$3T
20%YesNo
$624K Vol.tech
View details
Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron Donalds
82%YesNo
James Fishback
12%YesNo
Jay Collins
1%YesNo
Casey DeSantis
1%YesNo
Wilton Simpson
0%YesNo
Matt Gaetz
0%YesNo
Jimmy Patronis
0%YesNo
$615K Vol.elections
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Illinois Republican Senate Primary Winner
Don Tracy
100%YesNo
Lloyd Jones
0%YesNo
R. Cary Capparelli
0%YesNo
CaSándra Claiborne
0%YesNo
Jeannie Evans
0%YesNo
Panagioti Bartzis
0%YesNo
Pamela Denise Long
0%YesNo
Doug Bennett
0%YesNo
Casey Chlebek
0%YesNo
$612K Vol.elections
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Trump impeached by end of 2026?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$611K Vol.politics
View details
How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?
<350k
57%YesNo
350k–375k
26%YesNo
375k–400k
13%YesNo
400k–425k
3%YesNo
425k–450k
2%YesNo
450k–475k
1%YesNo
500k+
0%YesNo
475k–500k
0%YesNo
$609K Vol.tech
View details
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
December 31, 2026
16%YesNo
June 30, 2026
7%YesNo
$595K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
March 31
2%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$586K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by...?
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$581K Vol.geopolitics
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U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
June 30
13%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$581K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
Gold
62%YesNo
Bitcoin
26%YesNo
S&P 500
14%YesNo
$580K Vol.tech
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US x Russia military clash by...?
December 31, 2026
12%YesNo
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$575K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Bitcoin hit March 16-22?
↑ 76,000
100%YesNo
↓ 72,000
61%YesNo
↑ 78,000
36%YesNo
↓ 70,000
31%YesNo
↑ 80,000
18%YesNo
↓ 68,000
14%YesNo
↓ 66,000
8%YesNo
↑ 82,000
7%YesNo
↓ 64,000
4%YesNo
↑ 84,000
3%YesNo
↓ 62,000
2%YesNo
↓ 60,000
1%YesNo
↑ 86,000
1%YesNo
↑ 88,000
1%YesNo
$572K Vol.tech
View details
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Yes
36%YesNo
No
65%YesNo
$569K Vol.tech
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Israel strike on Yemen by...?
June 30
62%YesNo
March 31
20%YesNo
$561K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?
December 31
28%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$549K Vol.geopolitics
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Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
December 31, 2026
47%YesNo
March 31, 2026
3%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$545K Vol.politics
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Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 31
73%YesNo
June 30
53%YesNo
March 31
15%YesNo
$545K Vol.geopolitics
View details
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Yes
22%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$543K Vol.tech
View details
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
91%YesNo
xAI
3%YesNo
OpenAI
1%YesNo
Google
1%YesNo
DeepSeek
1%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
$536K Vol.tech
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$536K Vol.geopolitics
View details
U.S. nuclear test by...?
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$535K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?
↑ 38
100%YesNo
↓ 32
100%YesNo
↓ 24
100%YesNo
↑ 42
100%YesNo
↑ 34
100%YesNo
↓ 28
100%YesNo
↑ 46
86%YesNo
↑ 50
69%YesNo
↑ 54
55%YesNo
↓ 20
53%YesNo
↑ 58
50%YesNo
↑ 66
49%YesNo
↑ 62
35%YesNo
↓ 16
34%YesNo
↑ 70
33%YesNo
↑ 80
33%YesNo
↑ 100
24%YesNo
↓ 12
18%YesNo
↓ 8
12%YesNo
$528K Vol.tech
View details
Bank of England Decision in March?
No change
98%YesNo
25 bps decrease
1%YesNo
Increase
0%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
0%YesNo
$513K Vol.politics
View details
Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?
Dopropillia
53%YesNo
Druzkhivka
25%YesNo
Sloviansk
23%YesNo
Kramatorsk
17%YesNo
Kherson
5%YesNo
$511K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$508K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$505K Vol.politics
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Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?
March 31
5%YesNo
$501K Vol.geopolitics
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Bank of Brazil Decision in March?
Decrease
81%YesNo
No Change
18%YesNo
Increase
1%YesNo
$495K Vol.politics
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Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)
Pause–Pause–Pause
95%YesNo
Pause–Pause–Cut
4%YesNo
Pause–Cut–Pause
0%YesNo
Pause–Cut–Cut
0%YesNo
Cut–Pause–Pause
0%YesNo
Cut–Cut–Pause
0%YesNo
Cut–Pause–Cut
0%YesNo
Cut–Cut–Cut
0%YesNo
$493K Vol.politics
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Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?
April 30
11%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
$489K Vol.geopolitics
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Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$485K Vol.geopolitics
View details
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$479K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Gensyn FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$400M
32%YesNo
$600M
19%YesNo
$800M
11%YesNo
$1.5B
1%YesNo
$473K Vol.tech
View details
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
78%YesNo
<15B
18%YesNo
30B+
1%YesNo
15–20B
1%YesNo
25–30B
0%YesNo
20–25B
0%YesNo
$472K Vol.tech
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Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Yes
21%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$467K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen Bass
42%YesNo
Spencer Pratt
11%YesNo
Rae Huang
3%YesNo
Rick Caruso
3%YesNo
Austin Beutner
1%YesNo
Lindsey Horvath
1%YesNo
Monica Rodriguez
1%YesNo
Asaad Alnajjar
1%YesNo
$461K Vol.elections
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Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?
March 31, 2026
3%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
$452K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?
December 31
45%YesNo
June 30
28%YesNo
March 31
17%YesNo
$442K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Maduro Prison Time?
60+
30%YesNo
No prison time
26%YesNo
40–60
15%YesNo
<20
13%YesNo
20–40
6%YesNo
$437K Vol.geopolitics
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US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$437K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Abstract launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2026
34%YesNo
$432K Vol.tech
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Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
42%YesNo
$500M
25%YesNo
$2B
5%YesNo
$3B
2%YesNo
$5B
1%YesNo
$431K Vol.tech
View details
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?
December 31, 2026
32%YesNo
June 30
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$423K Vol.tech
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US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$422K Vol.geopolitics
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Will any country leave NATO by...?
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
$407K Vol.geopolitics
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Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Juliana Stratton
100%YesNo
Raja Krishnamoorthi
0%YesNo
Bryan Maxwell
0%YesNo
Stanley Leavell
0%YesNo
$406K Vol.elections
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Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$406K Vol.geopolitics
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U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
June 30, 2026
30%YesNo
$399K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$399K Vol.politics
View details
What price will Solana hit in 2026?
↓ 120
100%YesNo
↓ 80
100%YesNo
↑ 140
100%YesNo
↓ 100
100%YesNo
↓ 60
62%YesNo
↓ 40
44%YesNo
↑ 160
43%YesNo
↑ 180
30%YesNo
↑ 200
22%YesNo
↑ 240
17%YesNo
↑ 320
9%YesNo
↑ 300
9%YesNo
↑ 600
7%YesNo
↑ 400
7%YesNo
$397K Vol.tech
View details
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Tim Cook - Apple
31%YesNo
Andy Jassy - Amazon
22%YesNo
Sundar Pichai - Google
18%YesNo
Dan Clancy - Twitch
17%YesNo
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
8%YesNo
$392K Vol.tech
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Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
June 30
39%YesNo
April 30
16%YesNo
March 31
5%YesNo
$390K Vol.geopolitics
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US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Yes
41%YesNo
No
60%YesNo
$386K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$386K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Yes
48%YesNo
No
52%YesNo
$380K Vol.tech
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Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
June 30, 2026
9%YesNo
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
0%YesNo
$378K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Yes
68%YesNo
No
32%YesNo
$378K Vol.tech
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Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Yes
71%YesNo
No
29%YesNo
$374K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Yes
32%YesNo
No
68%YesNo
$371K Vol.tech
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Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Yes
22%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$365K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Solstice FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
77%YesNo
$100M
30%YesNo
$200M
8%YesNo
$400M
5%YesNo
$363K Vol.tech
View details
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5-6
41%YesNo
<5
36%YesNo
7-8
12%YesNo
9-10
7%YesNo
11-12
4%YesNo
>16
3%YesNo
13-14
2%YesNo
15-16
2%YesNo
$361K Vol.tech
View details
Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$250M
85%YesNo
$500M
62%YesNo
$1B
28%YesNo
$2B
15%YesNo
$3B
4%YesNo
$361K Vol.tech
View details
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?
December 31, 2026
13%YesNo
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
$344K Vol.politics
View details
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
March 31, 2026
28%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$342K Vol.geopolitics
View details
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
2.0T+
52%YesNo
1.8T–2.0T
14%YesNo
1.6T–1.8T
9%YesNo
<1.0T
8%YesNo
1.2T–1.4T
5%YesNo
1.4T–1.6T
5%YesNo
1.0T–1.2T
4%YesNo
No IPO before 2028
4%YesNo
$341K Vol.tech
View details
Consensys IPO by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
68%YesNo
September 30, 2026
24%YesNo
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
$336K Vol.tech
View details
US strikes Yemen by...?
March 31
21%YesNo
$333K Vol.geopolitics
View details
GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 2026
78%YesNo
June 30, 2026
22%YesNo
March 31, 2026
2%YesNo
$329K Vol.tech
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Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$329K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
June 30
4%YesNo
March 31
0%YesNo
$329K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
83%YesNo
$324K Vol.tech
View details
Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?
OpenAI
91%YesNo
DeepSeek
2%YesNo
Anthropic
2%YesNo
xAI
2%YesNo
Google
1%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
$318K Vol.tech
View details
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Belgium
31%YesNo
New Zealand
25%YesNo
Austria
12%YesNo
United States
7%YesNo
$315K Vol.geopolitics
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Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?
December 31
43%YesNo
$311K Vol.elections
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Alaska Governor Election Winner
Tom Begich
25%YesNo
Click Bishop
13%YesNo
David Bronson
4%YesNo
Mary Peltola
3%YesNo
James Parkin
1%YesNo
$307K Vol.elections
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Bitcoin price on March 18?
74,000-76,000
46%YesNo
72,000-74,000
37%YesNo
76,000-78,000
11%YesNo
70,000-72,000
6%YesNo
78,000-80,000
1%YesNo
68,000-70,000
1%YesNo
>80,000
0%YesNo
66,000-68,000
0%YesNo
64,000-66,000
0%YesNo
62,000-64,000
0%YesNo
<62,000
0%YesNo
$306K Vol.tech
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Will USD.AI launch a token by ___ ?
March 31, 2026
72%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$304K Vol.tech
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Ethereum above ___ on March 18?
1,500
100%YesNo
1,600
100%YesNo
1,700
100%YesNo
1,800
100%YesNo
1,900
100%YesNo
2,000
100%YesNo
2,100
99%YesNo
2,200
97%YesNo
2,300
70%YesNo
2,400
14%YesNo
2,500
2%YesNo
$302K Vol.tech
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Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
95%YesNo
125–150B
2%YesNo
150–175B
1%YesNo
250B+
1%YesNo
100–125B
1%YesNo
200–250B
1%YesNo
<100B
0%YesNo
175–200B
0%YesNo
$300K Vol.tech
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Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Yes
43%YesNo
No
57%YesNo
$300K Vol.geopolitics
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Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$1B
63%YesNo
$2B
47%YesNo
$3B
14%YesNo
$298K Vol.tech
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Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by March 31?
↓ 1.4M
26%YesNo
↑ 1.7M
9%YesNo
↑ 1.8M
7%YesNo
$297K Vol.geopolitics
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Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$296K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by...?
April 30
60%YesNo
March 31
28%YesNo
$291K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Yes
34%YesNo
No
67%YesNo
$290K Vol.geopolitics
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What price will Plasma hit in 2026?
↓ 0.16
100%YesNo
↓ 0.08
100%YesNo
↓ 1.00
100%YesNo
↓ 0.60
100%YesNo
↓ 0.20
100%YesNo
↓ 0.80
100%YesNo
↓ 0.40
100%YesNo
↑ 2.20
4%YesNo
$290K Vol.tech
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3rd richest person on March 31?
Sergey Brin
81%YesNo
Jeff Bezos
18%YesNo
Larry Page
1%YesNo
Mark Zuckerberg
1%YesNo
Elon Musk
1%YesNo
Larry Ellison
0%YesNo
Bernard Arnault
0%YesNo
Jensen Huang
0%YesNo
Steve Ballmer
0%YesNo
Warren Buffett
0%YesNo
$288K Vol.tech
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GPT-5.5 released by...?
June 30
95%YesNo
April 30
70%YesNo
$279K Vol.tech
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Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by...?
March 31
9%YesNo
$271K Vol.geopolitics
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Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$270K Vol.geopolitics
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Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
Shutdown & Republican Party
15%YesNo
No Shutdown & Democratic Party
0%YesNo
No Shutdown & Republican Party
0%YesNo
$268K Vol.elections
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US/Israel strike Yemen by...?
March 31
25%YesNo
$267K Vol.geopolitics
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NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
$266K Vol.geopolitics
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How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
5.0%
57%YesNo
5.5%
31%YesNo
7.0%
16%YesNo
10.0%
7%YesNo
$265K Vol.politics
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Bank of Mexico Decision in March?
Decrease
64%YesNo
No change
33%YesNo
Increase
0%YesNo
$265K Vol.politics
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Erdoğan out by end of 2026?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$264K Vol.geopolitics
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5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
33%YesNo
No
68%YesNo
$262K Vol.tech
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Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
90%YesNo
xAI
5%YesNo
OpenAI
2%YesNo
Google
2%YesNo
DeepSeek
2%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
$257K Vol.tech
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Elon Musk Net Worth on March 31?
660-670b
21%YesNo
650-660b
17%YesNo
<640b
16%YesNo
670-680b
15%YesNo
680-690b
12%YesNo
710b+
8%YesNo
700-710b
8%YesNo
640-650b
8%YesNo
690-700b
6%YesNo
$257K Vol.tech
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Which banks will fail by June 30?
JPMorgan Chase
2%YesNo
Scotiabank
2%YesNo
BNP Paribas
2%YesNo
Deutsche Bank
2%YesNo
HSBC
2%YesNo
Citigroup
2%YesNo
UBS
2%YesNo
Goldman Sachs
2%YesNo
$255K Vol.politics
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U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
5–15%
82%YesNo
15–25%
14%YesNo
35%+
3%YesNo
25–35%
2%YesNo
<5%
1%YesNo
$247K Vol.geopolitics
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Solana all time high by ___?
September 30, 2026
12%YesNo
June 30, 2026
4%YesNo
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
$245K Vol.tech
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Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
Lebanese Forces (LF)
14%YesNo
Taqaddom Party
2%YesNo
ReLebanon
1%YesNo
Independence Movement (IM)
1%YesNo
Dignity Movement (DM)
1%YesNo
Islamic Group (IG)
1%YesNo
Armenian Revolutionary Federation (ARF)
1%YesNo
Free Patriotic Movement (FPM)
1%YesNo
Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon (Ba'ath)
0%YesNo
Union Party (UP)
0%YesNo
Watani Alliance (Watani)
0%YesNo
National Liberal Party (NLP)
0%YesNo
Mada Party (Mada)
0%YesNo
Popular Nasserist Organization (PNO)
0%YesNo
$245K Vol.elections
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Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)
96%YesNo
Civic Platform (GP)
1%YesNo
New People (NL)
1%YesNo
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%YesNo
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
1%YesNo
$243K Vol.elections
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Grok 5 released by...?
June 30, 2026
64%YesNo
March 31, 2026
3%YesNo
$239K Vol.tech
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Bank of Canada decision in March?
No change
99%YesNo
Increase
1%YesNo
25 bps decrease
1%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
0%YesNo
$239K Vol.politics
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Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
June 30
39%YesNo
March 31
8%YesNo
$238K Vol.geopolitics
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OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$236K Vol.tech
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What will Iran strike by March 31?
Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery
22%YesNo
Al Zour Refinery
21%YesNo
Safaniya Field
20%YesNo
Abqaiq oil processing facility
18%YesNo
Ghawar Field
11%YesNo
Dimona (Shimon Peres Negev Nuclear Research Center)
7%YesNo
$226K Vol.geopolitics
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How many different countries will Israel strike in March?
3
47%YesNo
2
26%YesNo
≥4
25%YesNo
≤1
0%YesNo
$226K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia enter Orikhiv by...?
June 30
35%YesNo
March 31
5%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$224K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Yes
55%YesNo
No
45%YesNo
$223K Vol.tech
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Bitcoin best month in 2026?
December
17%YesNo
November
14%YesNo
October
14%YesNo
September
11%YesNo
July
10%YesNo
August
10%YesNo
June
9%YesNo
May
7%YesNo
April
7%YesNo
March
7%YesNo
January
1%YesNo
February
0%YesNo
$221K Vol.tech
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Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola
52%YesNo
Dan Sullivan
47%YesNo
$216K Vol.elections
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Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Fernando Dias da Costa
21%YesNo
Siga Batista
9%YesNo
Honório Augusto Lopes
7%YesNo
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
6%YesNo
Gabriel Fernando Indi
4%YesNo
João Bernardo Vieira
3%YesNo
José Mário Vaz
3%YesNo
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%YesNo
$216K Vol.elections
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Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
June 30
18%YesNo
March 31
5%YesNo
$216K Vol.geopolitics
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China x India military clash by...?
December 31, 2026
14%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
June 30
0%YesNo
$204K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Ostium launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
78%YesNo
$202K Vol.tech
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Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$201K Vol.geopolitics
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Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026
32%YesNo
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
$199K Vol.tech
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Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$195K Vol.politics
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Richest person on March 31?
Elon Musk
99%YesNo
Jeff Bezos
0%YesNo
Warren Buffett
0%YesNo
Larry Ellison
0%YesNo
$195K Vol.tech
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Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
40%+
98%YesNo
45%+
86%YesNo
50%+
39%YesNo
$192K Vol.tech
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Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Flavio Bolsonaro
82%YesNo
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
80%YesNo
Fernando Haddad
9%YesNo
Tarcisio de Frietas
5%YesNo
Michelle Bolsonaro
5%YesNo
$189K Vol.elections
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Bitcoin above ___ on March 20?
62,000
100%YesNo
64,000
100%YesNo
66,000
99%YesNo
68,000
97%YesNo
70,000
91%YesNo
72,000
77%YesNo
74,000
54%YesNo
76,000
29%YesNo
78,000
11%YesNo
80,000
4%YesNo
82,000
2%YesNo
$182K Vol.tech
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Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Yes
26%YesNo
No
75%YesNo
$177K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Solstice launch a token by ___ ?
June 30, 2026
91%YesNo
March 31, 2026
39%YesNo
$177K Vol.tech
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How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 3%
92%YesNo
Above 4%
35%YesNo
Above 5%
18%YesNo
Above 6%
10%YesNo
Above 8%
6%YesNo
$175K Vol.politics
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China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$170K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?
March 31
13%YesNo
$167K Vol.geopolitics
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Michigan Governor Election Winner
Democrat
63%YesNo
Republican
23%YesNo
$167K Vol.elections
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Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
30%+
100%YesNo
35%+
92%YesNo
45%+
31%YesNo
$166K Vol.tech
View details
Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
Google
89%YesNo
xAI
4%YesNo
Anthropic
3%YesNo
OpenAI
2%YesNo
DeepSeek
2%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
$166K Vol.tech
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Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Maria Corina Machado
100%YesNo
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
100%YesNo
Javier Milei
100%YesNo
Abdel Fattah El-Sisi
100%YesNo
Friedrich Merz
100%YesNo
Xi Jinping
89%YesNo
Lula da Silva
83%YesNo
Mohammed bin Salman
71%YesNo
Keir Starmer
64%YesNo
Pope Leo XIV
37%YesNo
Kim Jong Un
25%YesNo
Ali Khamenei
0%YesNo
$166K Vol.geopolitics
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Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$164K Vol.geopolitics
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Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner
Mike Collins
84%YesNo
Derek Dooley
9%YesNo
Earl Carter
5%YesNo
Jonathan McColumn
0%YesNo
$164K Vol.elections
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What price will Zcash hit in 2026?
↓ 400
100%YesNo
↓ 200
100%YesNo
↓ 500
100%YesNo
↓ 300
100%YesNo
↓ 100
49%YesNo
↑ 1000
13%YesNo
↑ 1100
11%YesNo
$164K Vol.tech
View details
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
iRobot
100%YesNo
Beyond Meat
83%YesNo
Carvana
10%YesNo
MicroStrategy
9%YesNo
Perplexity AI
7%YesNo
Lovable
7%YesNo
OpenAI
5%YesNo
$163K Vol.tech
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Another crypto hack over $100m by ___?
December 31, 2026
77%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$163K Vol.tech
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Bank of Japan Decision in April?
25 bps increase
61%YesNo
No change
37%YesNo
50+ bps increase
3%YesNo
Decrease rates
1%YesNo
$162K Vol.politics
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Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?
December 31, 2026
73%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$161K Vol.tech
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Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon Musk
90%YesNo
Bernard Arnault
1%YesNo
$160K Vol.tech
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Georgia Governor Republican Primary Winner
Burt Jones
32%YesNo
Brad Raffensperger
15%YesNo
$158K Vol.elections
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IL-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Daniel Biss
98%YesNo
Kate Abughazaleh
2%YesNo
Laura Fine
0%YesNo
$158K Vol.elections
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US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
≥3.5%
29%YesNo
2.5–3.0%
19%YesNo
2.0–2.5%
18%YesNo
3.0–3.5%
17%YesNo
<1.0%
9%YesNo
1.5–2.0%
7%YesNo
1.0–1.5%
5%YesNo
$158K Vol.politics
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GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$157K Vol.tech
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GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?
↑ $2.40
100%YesNo
↑ $2.50
79%YesNo
↓ $2.10
11%YesNo
↓ $2.00
9%YesNo
↑ $4.00
6%YesNo
↑ $3.50
6%YesNo
↓ $1.50
4%YesNo
↓ $1.75
4%YesNo
$156K Vol.tech
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XRP all time high by ___?
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$155K Vol.tech
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U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by...?
March 31
28%YesNo
$154K Vol.geopolitics
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How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
140-159
38%YesNo
200 or more
15%YesNo
180-199
9%YesNo
120-139
4%YesNo
$153K Vol.tech
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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$153K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum above ___ on March 19?
1,600
100%YesNo
1,700
100%YesNo
1,800
100%YesNo
1,900
99%YesNo
2,000
99%YesNo
2,100
98%YesNo
2,200
87%YesNo
2,300
60%YesNo
2,400
26%YesNo
2,500
7%YesNo
2,600
1%YesNo
$150K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$150K Vol.geopolitics
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Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$148K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Switzerland
100%YesNo
China
93%YesNo
United Kingdom
82%YesNo
France
82%YesNo
Turkey
74%YesNo
Italy
57%YesNo
Israel
57%YesNo
Russia
20%YesNo
North Korea
17%YesNo
$147K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$145K Vol.geopolitics
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Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Yes
72%YesNo
No
28%YesNo
$144K Vol.tech
View details
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$142K Vol.tech
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Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$142K Vol.elections
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Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
91%YesNo
September 30, 2026
42%YesNo
March 31, 2026
0%YesNo
$142K Vol.tech
View details
Israel strike on Damascus by...?
March 31, 2026
6%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
$140K Vol.geopolitics
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Texas Senate Election Winner
Republican
57%YesNo
Democrat
42%YesNo
$138K Vol.elections
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Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$137K Vol.tech
View details
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$137K Vol.tech
View details
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$136K Vol.geopolitics
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Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$135K Vol.tech
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Will USDT market cap hit $200B by ___?
December 31, 2026
91%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$134K Vol.tech
View details
Bank of Russia decision in March?
Decrease
92%YesNo
No Change
8%YesNo
Increase
0%YesNo
$131K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?
December 31
94%YesNo
June 30
3%YesNo
$130K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
Google
62%YesNo
xAI
31%YesNo
Anthropic
5%YesNo
DeepSeek
2%YesNo
Moonshot
1%YesNo
OpenAI
1%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
$130K Vol.tech
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Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$126K Vol.tech
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Ukraine hits Moscow by...?
March 31
9%YesNo
$126K Vol.geopolitics
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Spain snap election called by...?
June 30, 2026
18%YesNo
$126K Vol.elections
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U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$125K Vol.geopolitics
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How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
4.0%
100%YesNo
3.8%
62%YesNo
3.9%
60%YesNo
3.6%
45%YesNo
3.5%
38%YesNo
1.0%
5%YesNo
$125K Vol.politics
View details
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$123K Vol.geopolitics
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Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$123K Vol.tech
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U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$123K Vol.geopolitics
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Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?
December 31
28%YesNo
June 30
11%YesNo
March 31
2%YesNo
$122K Vol.geopolitics
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Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO before 2028
53%YesNo
40B–50B
24%YesNo
50B–75B
8%YesNo
75B–100B
5%YesNo
100B+
4%YesNo
30B–40B
4%YesNo
<20B
3%YesNo
20B–30B
1%YesNo
$121K Vol.tech
View details
What price will Ethereum hit March 16-22?
↑ 2,400
70%YesNo
↑ 2,500
37%YesNo
↓ 2,100
22%YesNo
↑ 2,600
18%YesNo
↑ 2,700
9%YesNo
↓ 2,000
9%YesNo
↓ 1,900
4%YesNo
↑ 2,800
2%YesNo
↓ 1,800
2%YesNo
↓ 1,700
1%YesNo
↑ 2,900
1%YesNo
↓ 1,500
1%YesNo
$121K Vol.tech
View details
How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?
12+
36%YesNo
10
18%YesNo
11
18%YesNo
≤5
15%YesNo
6
8%YesNo
7
6%YesNo
8
5%YesNo
9
2%YesNo
$120K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Borova by...?
March 31
8%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$117K Vol.geopolitics
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Bitcoin above ___ on March 21?
60,000
100%YesNo
62,000
100%YesNo
64,000
99%YesNo
66,000
97%YesNo
68,000
95%YesNo
70,000
89%YesNo
72,000
74%YesNo
74,000
54%YesNo
76,000
32%YesNo
78,000
15%YesNo
80,000
4%YesNo
$116K Vol.tech
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BitBoy convicted?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$116K Vol.tech
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Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-Sayed
19%YesNo
Matt Sahr
1%YesNo
$115K Vol.elections
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Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$114K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9PM ET
Yes
100%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$114K Vol.tech
View details
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
India
26%YesNo
Taiwan
21%YesNo
Japan
20%YesNo
Brazil
19%YesNo
Vietnam
18%YesNo
European Union
17%YesNo
Argentina
14%YesNo
Australia
13%YesNo
Indonesia
12%YesNo
$112K Vol.geopolitics
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Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland
26%YesNo
Azerbaijan
16%YesNo
Saudi Arabia
13%YesNo
$112K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Axiom launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
33%YesNo
$112K Vol.tech
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Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Yes
15%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$111K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iran military action against Israel on...?
March 18
100%YesNo
March 19
72%YesNo
March 20
71%YesNo
March 21
66%YesNo
$110K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
December 31
79%YesNo
June 30
19%YesNo
$109K Vol.geopolitics
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Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$108K Vol.geopolitics
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Who will Trump endorse?
Lindsey Graham - SC-Sen
100%YesNo
John Cornyn - TX-Sen
83%YesNo
Ken Paxton - TX-Sen
24%YesNo
Winsome Earle-Sears - VA-Gov
0%YesNo
$107K Vol.politics
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China coup attempt before 2027?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$107K Vol.geopolitics
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Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner
Al Mina
3%YesNo
Jason Miyares
1%YesNo
Kim Farington
1%YesNo
Winsome Earle-Sears
1%YesNo
Alex De Paula
0%YesNo
$106K Vol.elections
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Ethereum price on March 18?
2,300-2,400
53%YesNo
2,200-2,300
29%YesNo
2,400-2,500
14%YesNo
2,100-2,200
3%YesNo
>2,500
1%YesNo
2,000-2,100
1%YesNo
1,900-2,000
0%YesNo
<1,600
0%YesNo
1,600-1,700
0%YesNo
1,700-1,800
0%YesNo
1,800-1,900
0%YesNo
$106K Vol.tech
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Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Yes
84%YesNo
No
16%YesNo
$105K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Who will enter Iran by June 30?
Any U.S. House member
13%YesNo
Pete Hegseth
10%YesNo
Any U.S. Senator
10%YesNo
Jared Kushner
10%YesNo
Marco Rubio
8%YesNo
JD Vance
6%YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%YesNo
$104K Vol.geopolitics
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KY-04 Republican Primary Winner
Thomas Massie
65%YesNo
Ed Gallrein
35%YesNo
$103K Vol.elections
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Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
December 31, 2026
6%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$102K Vol.tech
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Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
Janeese Lewis George
42%YesNo
Kenyan McDuffie
36%YesNo
Christina Henderson
7%YesNo
Gary Goodweather
6%YesNo
Brooke Pinto
1%YesNo
Robert White Jr.
1%YesNo
Brianne K. Nadeau
1%YesNo
$101K Vol.elections
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Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
PT
26%YesNo
MUNDO-GB
22%YesNo
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
20%YesNo
FREPASNA
4%YesNo
PS
1%YesNo
$101K Vol.elections
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Felix FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
41%YesNo
$100M
17%YesNo
$1B
2%YesNo
$99K Vol.tech
View details
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.3%
100%YesNo
4.4%
67%YesNo
4.5%
59%YesNo
4.6%
46%YesNo
4.8%
35%YesNo
5.0%
18%YesNo
5.2%
12%YesNo
$98K Vol.politics
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SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Yes
41%YesNo
No
60%YesNo
$98K Vol.tech
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Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Yes
48%YesNo
No
52%YesNo
$98K Vol.geopolitics
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OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$98K Vol.tech
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Maduro guilty of all counts?
Yes
32%YesNo
No
68%YesNo
$98K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ?
December 31 2026
58%YesNo
September 30 2026
35%YesNo
March 31 2026
1%YesNo
$97K Vol.tech
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Yoon out of custody by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$97K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Theo launch a token by ___ ?
September 30, 2026
91%YesNo
June 30, 2026
74%YesNo
$97K Vol.tech
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Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Yes
21%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$97K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
Venezuela
16%YesNo
Lebanon
12%YesNo
Saudi Arabia
11%YesNo
$97K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
March 31
8%YesNo
$96K Vol.geopolitics
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Kurds declare independence from Iran?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$96K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?
March 31
8%YesNo
$96K Vol.geopolitics
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Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$95K Vol.geopolitics
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Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?
December 31, 2026
49%YesNo
$94K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by...?
March 31
30%YesNo
$94K Vol.geopolitics
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1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$92K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by...?
March 31
22%YesNo
$92K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$92K Vol.geopolitics
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Military action against Iran ends by...?
March 30
14%YesNo
March 31
12%YesNo
March 29
10%YesNo
March 28
9%YesNo
March 24
7%YesNo
March 25
6%YesNo
March 21
2%YesNo
March 19
1%YesNo
March 20
1%YesNo
March 18
1%YesNo
$91K Vol.geopolitics
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European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Yes
22%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$91K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Yes
68%YesNo
No
32%YesNo
$90K Vol.tech
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2nd richest person on March 31?
Larry Page
98%YesNo
Jeff Bezos
1%YesNo
Sergey Brin
1%YesNo
Bernard Arnault
0%YesNo
Mark Zuckerberg
0%YesNo
Elon Musk
0%YesNo
Steve Ballmer
0%YesNo
Warren Buffett
0%YesNo
Larry Ellison
0%YesNo
Jensen Huang
0%YesNo
$90K Vol.tech
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Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
December 31, 2026
24%YesNo
March 31, 2026
2%YesNo
$89K Vol.politics
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Netanyahu arrested by March 31?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$88K Vol.geopolitics
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Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$88K Vol.geopolitics
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China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%
91%YesNo
5.0–6.0%
6%YesNo
3.0–4.0%
5%YesNo
8.0–9.0%
4%YesNo
2.0–3.0%
3%YesNo
1.0–2.0%
2%YesNo
<1.0%
2%YesNo
6.0-7.0%
2%YesNo
7.0–8.0%
1%YesNo
9.0%+
0%YesNo
$86K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Yes
32%YesNo
No
69%YesNo
$85K Vol.tech
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Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$84K Vol.geopolitics
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What price will Ethena hit in 2026?
↓ 0.20
100%YesNo
↓ 0.24
100%YesNo
↑ 0.28
100%YesNo
↓ 0.08
52%YesNo
↑ 0.32
47%YesNo
↑ 1.20
8%YesNo
$84K Vol.tech
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Who will Bernie endorse?
James Talarico - TX-Sen
75%YesNo
Zach Wahls - IA-Sen
16%YesNo
Omar Fateh - Minneapolis Mayor
0%YesNo
$84K Vol.politics
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Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
Steve Hilton
71%YesNo
Eric Swalwell
69%YesNo
Tom Steyer
58%YesNo
Chad Bianco
36%YesNo
Matt Mahan
24%YesNo
Daniel Mercuri
3%YesNo
Butch Ware
2%YesNo
Brandon Jones
2%YesNo
Thunder Parley
1%YesNo
Nicholas Thompson
1%YesNo
Ian Calderon
1%YesNo
$83K Vol.elections
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Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Yes
26%YesNo
No
74%YesNo
$82K Vol.geopolitics
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Illinois Governor Republican Primary Winner
Darren Bailey
99%YesNo
Ted Dabrowski
0%YesNo
James Mendrick
0%YesNo
Rick Heidner
0%YesNo
$82K Vol.elections
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Will Daylight launch a token by ___?
September 30, 2026
57%YesNo
December 31, 2026
51%YesNo
$82K Vol.tech
View details
What price will XRP hit in 2026?
↓ 2.00
100%YesNo
↓ 1.20
100%YesNo
↓ 1.80
100%YesNo
↓ 1.60
100%YesNo
↑ 2.40
100%YesNo
↓ 1.40
100%YesNo
↓ 1.00
65%YesNo
↑ 5.00
12%YesNo
↑ 4.20
11%YesNo
$82K Vol.tech
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Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by...?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$81K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Yes
77%YesNo
No
23%YesNo
$81K Vol.tech
View details
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
600B+
73%YesNo
No IPO by December 31, 2027
18%YesNo
<100B
3%YesNo
300–400B
1%YesNo
200–300B
1%YesNo
$81K Vol.tech
View details
Q1 S&P 500 Performance
<0%
80%YesNo
0-2%
13%YesNo
2-3%
5%YesNo
5-6%
2%YesNo
4-5%
2%YesNo
3-4%
2%YesNo
6-8%
2%YesNo
10%+
1%YesNo
8-10%
0%YesNo
$80K Vol.politics
View details
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
0
25%YesNo
2.5k-5k
11%YesNo
10k-25k
7%YesNo
101-1k
6%YesNo
$80K Vol.geopolitics
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Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
December 31
41%YesNo
June 30
24%YesNo
$79K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$79K Vol.geopolitics
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How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?
4.3%
100%YesNo
4.4%
12%YesNo
$79K Vol.politics
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Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition
Yes
98%YesNo
No
2%YesNo
$78K Vol.tech
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Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Yes
21%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$78K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$77K Vol.geopolitics
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Bitcoin above ___ on March 22?
62,000
99%YesNo
64,000
98%YesNo
66,000
97%YesNo
68,000
94%YesNo
70,000
86%YesNo
72,000
73%YesNo
74,000
54%YesNo
76,000
34%YesNo
78,000
17%YesNo
80,000
7%YesNo
82,000
3%YesNo
$77K Vol.tech
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Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Yes
65%YesNo
No
35%YesNo
$75K Vol.elections
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Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$74K Vol.tech
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Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Yes
89%YesNo
No
12%YesNo
$74K Vol.tech
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What price will BNB hit in 2026?
↓ 700
100%YesNo
↓ 600
100%YesNo
↓ 800
100%YesNo
↓ 500
76%YesNo
↑ 1000
44%YesNo
↑ 1200
18%YesNo
↑ 1600
8%YesNo
$74K Vol.tech
View details
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$74K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Yes
15%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$74K Vol.tech
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Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner
Vivek Ramaswamy
94%YesNo
$71K Vol.elections
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Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18?
Yes
59%YesNo
No
42%YesNo
$70K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture Sofiivka by...?
March 31
23%YesNo
$70K Vol.geopolitics
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Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$69K Vol.geopolitics
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Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$69K Vol.geopolitics
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U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Yes
40%YesNo
No
61%YesNo
$67K Vol.tech
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New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner
Greg Hull
56%YesNo
Duke Rodriguez
41%YesNo
$67K Vol.elections
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Ohio Governor Election Winner
Democrat
52%YesNo
Republican
47%YesNo
$67K Vol.elections
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Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
March 18
95%YesNo
March 19
93%YesNo
March 21
84%YesNo
March 20
79%YesNo
March 22
76%YesNo
March 23
72%YesNo
$65K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$65K Vol.tech
View details
Will Khamenei tweet on...?
March 20
86%YesNo
March 18
82%YesNo
March 19
82%YesNo
March 21
80%YesNo
March 23
73%YesNo
March 22
73%YesNo
$65K Vol.geopolitics
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Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
March 31
38%YesNo
$65K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia enter Dobropillia by...?
March 31
5%YesNo
$64K Vol.geopolitics
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Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$63K Vol.politics
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Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$63K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
34%YesNo
Google
24%YesNo
OpenAI
8%YesNo
Moonshot
2%YesNo
Meituan
2%YesNo
Z.ai
1%YesNo
$63K Vol.tech
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Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$62K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes
67%YesNo
No
33%YesNo
$61K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
March 31
2%YesNo
$61K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on March 23?
64,000
98%YesNo
66,000
96%YesNo
68,000
91%YesNo
70,000
83%YesNo
72,000
70%YesNo
76,000
35%YesNo
80,000
9%YesNo
82,000
4%YesNo
84,000
2%YesNo
$61K Vol.tech
View details
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
1m
88%YesNo
1.1m
73%YesNo
1.2m
37%YesNo
1.3m
22%YesNo
1.4m
12%YesNo
$61K Vol.politics
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Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
June 30
8%YesNo
$61K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?
March 31
1%YesNo
$60K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Keisha Lance Bottoms
74%YesNo
Geoff Duncan
13%YesNo
Ruwa Romman
1%YesNo
$60K Vol.elections
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Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$60K Vol.geopolitics
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Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Yes
27%YesNo
No
74%YesNo
$59K Vol.geopolitics
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Will StandX launch a token by ___ ?
March 31
1%YesNo
$58K Vol.tech
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Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
Dong Jun
18%YesNo
Zhang Shengmin
12%YesNo
Li Xi
7%YesNo
Wang Yi
6%YesNo
Cai Qi
5%YesNo
Wang Huning
5%YesNo
$58K Vol.geopolitics
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Critical Discord Incident by...?
March 31
13%YesNo
$58K Vol.tech
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Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates
Yes
98%YesNo
No
2%YesNo
$58K Vol.politics
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Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner
Victor Marx
58%YesNo
Barbara Kirkmeyer
35%YesNo
Daniel Thomas
7%YesNo
Greg Lopez
5%YesNo
Bob Brinkerhoff
3%YesNo
Scott Bottoms
2%YesNo
Joshua Griffin
2%YesNo
Jon Gray-Ginsberg
2%YesNo
Mark Baisley
1%YesNo
Will McBride
1%YesNo
Jason Mikesell
0%YesNo
Stevan Gess
0%YesNo
$58K Vol.elections
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Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$150M
18%YesNo
$57K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 9PM ET
Yes
100%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$56K Vol.tech
View details
What price will Uniswap hit in 2026?
↓ 3.00
100%YesNo
↓ 4.50
100%YesNo
↓ 6.00
100%YesNo
↑ 6.50
100%YesNo
$56K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?
April 30
32%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$55K Vol.geopolitics
View details
In which month will SpaceX IPO?
June
40%YesNo
No IPO before 2027
29%YesNo
April
2%YesNo
March
1%YesNo
February
0%YesNo
$55K Vol.tech
View details
Will fomo.family launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
26%YesNo
September 30, 2026
15%YesNo
June 30, 2026
12%YesNo
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
$54K Vol.tech
View details
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria before 2027?
Yes
15%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$54K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
↑ 1500
100%YesNo
↑ 1550
66%YesNo
$54K Vol.tech
View details
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
Yes
81%YesNo
No
19%YesNo
$54K Vol.tech
View details
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
25%+
100%YesNo
30%+
100%YesNo
40%+
100%YesNo
50%+
67%YesNo
$53K Vol.tech
View details
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Yes
26%YesNo
No
74%YesNo
$53K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea before 2027?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$52K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Unit launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
59%YesNo
December 31, 2026
25%YesNo
$51K Vol.tech
View details
Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Ethan Corson
73%YesNo
Marty Tuley
1%YesNo
$51K Vol.elections
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ECB rate hike in 2026?
Yes
46%YesNo
No
55%YesNo
$51K Vol.politics
View details
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Democrat
53%YesNo
Republican
48%YesNo
$51K Vol.elections
View details
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
4.5-5.0%
77%YesNo
5.0-5.5%
20%YesNo
4.0-4.5%
2%YesNo
5.5-6.0%
2%YesNo
3.5-4.0%
1%YesNo
<3.5%
0%YesNo
6.0%+
0%YesNo
$51K Vol.politics
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Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?
March 31
11%YesNo
$50K Vol.geopolitics
View details
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
June 30
64%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$50K Vol.tech
View details
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$50K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$49K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Canada recession before 2027?
Yes
41%YesNo
No
60%YesNo
$48K Vol.politics
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Hyperbeat FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
18%YesNo
$48K Vol.tech
View details
What price will Ethereum hit on March 17?
↑ 2,350
100%YesNo
↓ 2,300
100%YesNo
↑ 2,400
3%YesNo
↓ 2,250
1%YesNo
↓ 2,200
1%YesNo
↑ 2,450
1%YesNo
↓ 2,150
1%YesNo
↑ 2,550
0%YesNo
↑ 2,500
0%YesNo
↑ 2,650
0%YesNo
↓ 2,050
0%YesNo
↓ 2,000
0%YesNo
$47K Vol.tech
View details
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Earbuds/Headphones
44%YesNo
Phone
13%YesNo
$47K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 8PM ET
Yes
100%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$47K Vol.tech
View details
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$46K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by...?
March 31
26%YesNo
$45K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Octra FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
16%YesNo
$400M
8%YesNo
$45K Vol.tech
View details
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$44K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will GMGN launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
25%YesNo
March 31, 2026
1%YesNo
$44K Vol.tech
View details
Maine Senate Election Winner
Democrat
73%YesNo
Republican
27%YesNo
$43K Vol.elections
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1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$43K Vol.geopolitics
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Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$42K Vol.elections
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Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$42K Vol.politics
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Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
20%YesNo
$700M
9%YesNo
$3B
4%YesNo
$1B
4%YesNo
$4B
2%YesNo
$42K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture Toretske by...?
March 31
23%YesNo
$42K Vol.geopolitics
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How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
2
57%YesNo
1
32%YesNo
3
11%YesNo
4+
1%YesNo
0
1%YesNo
$41K Vol.politics
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Sam Altman in jail by...?
June 30, 2026
1%YesNo
$41K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin price on March 19?
74,000-76,000
30%YesNo
72,000-74,000
28%YesNo
76,000-78,000
17%YesNo
70,000-72,000
14%YesNo
68,000-70,000
5%YesNo
>80,000
2%YesNo
64,000-66,000
1%YesNo
62,000-64,000
0%YesNo
<62,000
0%YesNo
$41K Vol.tech
View details
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$40K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Yes
56%YesNo
No
44%YesNo
$40K Vol.tech
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Will prjx launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
66%YesNo
$40K Vol.tech
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Claude 4.7 released by...?
June 30
55%YesNo
May 31
53%YesNo
March 31
4%YesNo
$39K Vol.tech
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Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$39K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$39K Vol.geopolitics
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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
NCAA March Madness Live
56%YesNo
ChatGPT
39%YesNo
Google Gemini
2%YesNo
Threads
1%YesNo
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
0%YesNo
$39K Vol.tech
View details
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
85%YesNo
$39K Vol.tech
View details
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
↓ 0.0026
100%YesNo
↑ 0.0030
100%YesNo
↓ 0.0022
100%YesNo
↓ 0.0018
100%YesNo
$38K Vol.tech
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North Carolina Senate Election Winner
Democrat
82%YesNo
Republican
19%YesNo
$38K Vol.elections
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Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
Yes
53%YesNo
No
48%YesNo
$38K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?
December 31
0%YesNo
$38K Vol.tech
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NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Yes
26%YesNo
No
75%YesNo
$37K Vol.politics
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What price will Aster hit in 2026?
↑ 1.20
100%YesNo
↓ 0.80
100%YesNo
↓ 1.00
100%YesNo
↓ 0.60
100%YesNo
↓ 0.40
48%YesNo
↑ 2.00
29%YesNo
↑ 2.20
22%YesNo
$37K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31
52%YesNo
June 30
8%YesNo
$37K Vol.geopolitics
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Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$37K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?
Yes
98%YesNo
No
2%YesNo
$36K Vol.politics
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Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$36K Vol.tech
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100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$36K Vol.geopolitics
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U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Yes
36%YesNo
No
65%YesNo
$36K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?
June 30, 2026
1%YesNo
$36K Vol.geopolitics
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Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$35K Vol.geopolitics
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Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Stephen Heidt
1%YesNo
$34K Vol.elections
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Will Ventuals launch a token by ___ ?
March 31 2026
1%YesNo
$34K Vol.tech
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Montana Senate Election Winner
Republican
83%YesNo
Democrat
10%YesNo
$34K Vol.elections
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U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$34K Vol.geopolitics
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Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$33K Vol.geopolitics
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Ethereum price on March 19?
2,400-2,500
19%YesNo
>2,500
8%YesNo
2,000-2,100
2%YesNo
1,900-2,000
1%YesNo
1,800-1,900
0%YesNo
1,700-1,800
0%YesNo
<1,600
0%YesNo
1,600-1,700
0%YesNo
$33K Vol.tech
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US x China Military clash before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$33K Vol.geopolitics
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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Yes
31%YesNo
No
70%YesNo
$32K Vol.tech
View details
What will Bitcoin outperform in March?
Gold
84%YesNo
Silver
79%YesNo
NVIDIA (NVDA)
74%YesNo
$32K Vol.tech
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What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?
↓ 0.14
100%YesNo
↓ 0.10
100%YesNo
↑ 0.16
48%YesNo
$32K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?
April 30
23%YesNo
March 31
6%YesNo
$32K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Yes
53%YesNo
No
48%YesNo
$32K Vol.geopolitics
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Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$31K Vol.elections
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US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$31K Vol.geopolitics
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Central Bank of Colombia Decision in March?
Increase
93%YesNo
No change
5%YesNo
Decrease
1%YesNo
$30K Vol.politics
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OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$30K Vol.tech
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Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Republican
70%YesNo
$30K Vol.elections
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Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition
Yes
99%YesNo
No
1%YesNo
$30K Vol.tech
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Ethereum above ___ on March 21?
1,700
100%YesNo
1,800
99%YesNo
2,000
97%YesNo
2,400
33%YesNo
2,600
6%YesNo
$30K Vol.tech
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Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$29K Vol.geopolitics
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Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner
Andy Barr
56%YesNo
Nate Morris
33%YesNo
Daniel Cameron
11%YesNo
Wende Kennedy
0%YesNo
$29K Vol.elections
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Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
73%YesNo
$29K Vol.tech
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Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$28K Vol.geopolitics
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How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
15s+
35%YesNo
6–10s
24%YesNo
10–15s
20%YesNo
No Handshake
8%YesNo
<2s
3%YesNo
Photographed only
2%YesNo
$28K Vol.geopolitics
View details
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$28K Vol.geopolitics
View details
VEO 4 released by...?
March 31
3%YesNo
$28K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum above ___ on March 20?
1,600
100%YesNo
1,800
99%YesNo
1,900
98%YesNo
2,000
98%YesNo
2,100
95%YesNo
2,200
83%YesNo
2,300
59%YesNo
2,600
4%YesNo
$27K Vol.tech
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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10PM ET
Yes
81%YesNo
No
19%YesNo
$27K Vol.tech
View details
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
Claude by Anthropic
21%YesNo
Google Gemini
3%YesNo
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
1%YesNo
$27K Vol.tech
View details
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$27K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of March?
$560
93%YesNo
$580
86%YesNo
$620
53%YesNo
$640
37%YesNo
$680
15%YesNo
$720
6%YesNo
$740
2%YesNo
$760
2%YesNo
$780
2%YesNo
$26K Vol.tech
View details
Theo FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
28%YesNo
$1B
1%YesNo
$25K Vol.tech
View details
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
June 30
61%YesNo
April 30
42%YesNo
$25K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Yes
15%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$25K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Swiss National Bank decision in March?
No Change
99%YesNo
Decrease
1%YesNo
Increase
0%YesNo
$25K Vol.politics
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Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$24K Vol.politics
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Will Russia enter Serhiivka by March 31?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$24K Vol.geopolitics
View details
South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner
Lindsey Graham
75%YesNo
Paul Dans
13%YesNo
Mark Lynch
11%YesNo
$24K Vol.elections
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Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$24K Vol.tech
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Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
45%+
49%YesNo
$24K Vol.tech
View details
Crypto Twitter mindshare ATH by March 31, 2026?
Flood
100%YesNo
CBB
19%YesNo
Sisyphus
11%YesNo
CZ
2%YesNo
$24K Vol.tech
View details
Who will visit Venezuela by March 31?
John Ratcliffe
100%YesNo
Marco Rubio
8%YesNo
María Corina Machado
7%YesNo
$23K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?
March 20, 2026
65%YesNo
March 18, 2026
56%YesNo
March 19, 2026
49%YesNo
$23K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
↓ 12
100%YesNo
↓ 8
100%YesNo
↑ 14
100%YesNo
$23K Vol.tech
View details
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$22K Vol.elections
View details
Nebraska Governor Republican Primary Winner
Jim Pillen
62%YesNo
Gary L. Rogge
2%YesNo
Charles Herbster
1%YesNo
John Walz
1%YesNo
$22K Vol.elections
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US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
Yes
31%YesNo
No
70%YesNo
$22K Vol.tech
View details
NATO Article 5 by March 31?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$22K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iowa Governor Election Winner
Democrat
56%YesNo
Republican
45%YesNo
$22K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Stinky by March 31?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$22K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
April 30
28%YesNo
March 31
7%YesNo
$22K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bank of Israel Decision in March?
No Change
92%YesNo
Decrease
10%YesNo
Increase
4%YesNo
$22K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bank of Brazil Decision in April?
Decrease
55%YesNo
No Change
42%YesNo
Increase
4%YesNo
$22K Vol.politics
View details
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?
↑ 80
100%YesNo
↑ 60
100%YesNo
↑ 70
100%YesNo
↑ 50
100%YesNo
$22K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Yes
85%YesNo
No
16%YesNo
$22K Vol.tech
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Minnesota Governor Election Winner
Republican
8%YesNo
$21K Vol.elections
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How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
≤49
6%YesNo
$21K Vol.elections
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Ethereum above ___ on March 22?
1,900
99%YesNo
1,800
98%YesNo
2,000
97%YesNo
2,100
90%YesNo
2,200
78%YesNo
2,300
57%YesNo
2,400
36%YesNo
2,600
7%YesNo
$21K Vol.tech
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Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?
June 30, 2026
35%YesNo
$21K Vol.tech
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Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
Yes
98%YesNo
No
2%YesNo
$20K Vol.politics
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Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$20K Vol.geopolitics
View details
AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner
Jay Feely
70%YesNo
Todd Graham
6%YesNo
Gina Swoboda
1%YesNo
Joseph Chaplik
0%YesNo
$19K Vol.elections
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Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan in 2026?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$19K Vol.tech
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Arizona Governor Election Winner
Democrat
76%YesNo
$19K Vol.elections
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How many SpaceX launches in March?
12 or more
98%YesNo
11
2%YesNo
9
0%YesNo
8
0%YesNo
$19K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by...?
April 30
50%YesNo
March 31
7%YesNo
$19K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?
↑ 80
100%YesNo
↑ 90
100%YesNo
↑ 70
100%YesNo
$18K Vol.tech
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ECB rate cut in 2026?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
75%YesNo
$18K Vol.politics
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Georgia Senate Election Winner
Democrat
81%YesNo
Republican
19%YesNo
$18K Vol.elections
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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Yes
26%YesNo
No
75%YesNo
$18K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by...?
March 31
24%YesNo
$18K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?
Yes
22%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$18K Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down on March 18?
Yes
59%YesNo
No
41%YesNo
$18K Vol.tech
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Pacifica FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
19%YesNo
$2B
3%YesNo
$17K Vol.tech
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Georgia Governor Election Winner
Democrat
61%YesNo
$17K Vol.elections
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Will US annex any territory in 2026?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$17K Vol.geopolitics
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Modi out before 2027?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$16K Vol.geopolitics
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US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
Yes
42%YesNo
No
58%YesNo
$16K Vol.geopolitics
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FL-19 Republican Primary Winner
Catalina Lauf
42%YesNo
$16K Vol.elections
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Will Spark launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
83%YesNo
March 31, 2026
8%YesNo
$16K Vol.tech
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Peak US National Debt before 2027?
$39 trillion
100%YesNo
$42 trillion
11%YesNo
$16K Vol.politics
View details
Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner
Barry Moore
77%YesNo
Steve Marshall
16%YesNo
Jared Hudson
7%YesNo
Rodney Walker
2%YesNo
Morgan Murphy
1%YesNo
$16K Vol.elections
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Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner
Andy Biggs
94%YesNo
Karrin Taylor Robson
3%YesNo
$16K Vol.elections
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Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$15K Vol.politics
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Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by March 31?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$14K Vol.politics
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Meta (META) Up or Down on March 17?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$14K Vol.tech
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Maryland Governor Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$14K Vol.elections
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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$14K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$14K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bank of Canada decision in April?
No change
89%YesNo
25 bps decrease
10%YesNo
Increase
3%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
1%YesNo
$14K Vol.politics
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US defaults on debt by 2027?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$14K Vol.politics
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Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$14K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Connecticut Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Ned Lamont
91%YesNo
Josh Elliott
4%YesNo
$14K Vol.elections
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Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Yes
21%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$14K Vol.geopolitics
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Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$14K Vol.politics
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Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by...?
March 31
19%YesNo
$14K Vol.geopolitics
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Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$14K Vol.elections
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Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
Yes
35%YesNo
No
66%YesNo
$13K Vol.tech
View details
New York Governor Republican Primary Winner
Bruce Blakeman
95%YesNo
David Tulley
1%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?
March 31
7%YesNo
$13K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bank of Korea decision in April?
No Change
92%YesNo
Increase
3%YesNo
$13K Vol.politics
View details
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 16 above___?
$610
81%YesNo
$630
38%YesNo
$640
15%YesNo
$650
12%YesNo
$700
1%YesNo
$13K Vol.tech
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Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
Democrat
90%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$12K Vol.elections
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Bank of Russia decision in April?
Decrease
71%YesNo
No Change
29%YesNo
Increase
5%YesNo
$12K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Aaron Ford
88%YesNo
Alexis Hill
7%YesNo
$11K Vol.elections
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Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$11K Vol.geopolitics
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US recognize Somaliland by...?
December 31
0%YesNo
$11K Vol.geopolitics
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Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
Chris Coons
32%YesNo
Ron Johnson
16%YesNo
Kirsten Gillibrand
13%YesNo
Rand Paul
12%YesNo
Bernie Sanders
7%YesNo
$11K Vol.elections
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Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
March 31
4%YesNo
$10K Vol.geopolitics
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Will RWAs hit $50B by ___?
December 31
0%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
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Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$10K Vol.geopolitics
View details
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
>1m
3%YesNo
700-800k
1%YesNo
800-900k
1%YesNo
$10K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$10K Vol.politics
View details
MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Dan Koh
78%YesNo
Rick Jakious
5%YesNo
Tram Nguyen
3%YesNo
Dominick Pangallo
1%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
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Florida Senate Election Winner
Republican
84%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
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Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
March 20
71%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
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Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?
Denver
9%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
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Bank of Israel Decision in May?
No Change
59%YesNo
$9K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
April 30
14%YesNo
March 31
4%YesNo
$9K Vol.geopolitics
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Alabama Senate Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes
62%YesNo
No
39%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
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Illinois Senate Election Winner
Democrat
94%YesNo
Republican
2%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 10PM ET
Yes
79%YesNo
No
22%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
View details
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$9K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$9K Vol.geopolitics
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Colorado Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Michael Bennet
80%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Colorado Republican Senate Primary Winner
Mark Baisley
45%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Bitcoin price on March 20?
66,000-68,000
3%YesNo
<62,000
1%YesNo
$8K Vol.tech
View details
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Anthropic
28%YesNo
DeepSeek
2%YesNo
xAI
2%YesNo
Mistral
1%YesNo
$8K Vol.tech
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Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$8K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ethereum above ___ on March 23?
1,900
98%YesNo
2,000
95%YesNo
2,100
88%YesNo
2,800
3%YesNo
$8K Vol.tech
View details
NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Stefany Shaheen
64%YesNo
Carleigh Beriont
11%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
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Colorado Democratic Senate Primary Winner
John Hickenlooper
68%YesNo
Julie Gonzales
31%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
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Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
22%YesNo
$300M
5%YesNo
$8K Vol.tech
View details
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Ilhan Omar
2%YesNo
Keith Ellison
1%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$8K Vol.tech
View details
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
4.00-4.49%
46%YesNo
4.50-4.99%
10%YesNo
5.00-5.49%
5%YesNo
$8K Vol.politics
View details
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?
December 31, 2026
63%YesNo
June 30, 2026
52%YesNo
$8K Vol.tech
View details
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$8K Vol.tech
View details
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Democrat
19%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
View details
Tennessee Senate Election Winner
Republican
92%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
View details
New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Deaglan McEachern
4%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
View details
Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner
Robert Charles
58%YesNo
Jonathan Bush
9%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
View details
New Jersey Senate Election Winner
Republican
7%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
View details
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
View details
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
View details
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
Yes
22%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$7K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Deel IPO by March 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
View details
Alabama Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Doug Jones
92%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
View details
Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Rob Sand
97%YesNo
Julie Stauch
2%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
View details
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$7K Vol.politics
View details
CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Manny Rutinel
77%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
View details
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Democrat
86%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
View details
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Republican
84%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner
Danielle Bethell
6%YesNo
Caleb Kintz
0%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
View details
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$6K Vol.geopolitics
View details
New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Deb Haaland
69%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Jason Reynolds
3%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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Arkansas Senate Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
View details
Alabama Governor Republican Primary Winner
Ken McFeeters
6%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
View details
Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner
Raymond McKay
81%YesNo
Allen Waters
8%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
View details
Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
View details
South Carolina Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Jermaine Johnson
75%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
View details
MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Matt Klein
26%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
View details
Oregon Governor Election Winner
Democrat
85%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
View details
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in April?
Increase
8%YesNo
$6K Vol.politics
View details
West Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner
Shelley Moore Capito
96%YesNo
Tom Willis
4%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
View details
Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Amy McGrath
15%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
View details
UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Ben McAdams
44%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
View details
Israel Rocket Alerts by March 20?
20k
91%YesNo
22k
37%YesNo
$5K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Oklahoma Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Cyndi Munson
90%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
View details
Rhode Island Senate Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
8%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
View details
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
72%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
View details
Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?
Yes
73%YesNo
No
28%YesNo
$5K Vol.politics
View details
South Dakota Governor Election Winner
Republican
94%YesNo
Democrat
5%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner
Dusty Johnson
49%YesNo
Toby Doeden
36%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$5K Vol.geopolitics
View details
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
View details
New Mexico Senate Election Winner
Democrat
96%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
View details
New Mexico Governor Election Winner
Republican
10%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
View details
NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Laura Gillen
74%YesNo
Nicholas Sciretta
5%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
View details
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
View details
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
Yes
77%YesNo
No
23%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by March 31?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$5K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ohio Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Sherrod Brown
97%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
View details
Florida Governor Election Winner
Republican
79%YesNo
Democrat
23%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
View details
West Virginia Senate Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
View details
What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?
$2M
12%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
View details
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$4K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$4K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bill Gates charged by June 30?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
View details
𝕏 Money launched by...?
April 30
72%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
View details
How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
355+
31%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
View details
Hawaii Governor Election Winner
Democrat
94%YesNo
Republican
5%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
View details
NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Claire Valdez
69%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
View details
New Hampshire Governor Republican Primary Winner
Kelly Ayotte
87%YesNo
Corey Lewandowski
10%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
View details
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Israel military action against Beirut on...?
March 19
70%YesNo
$3K Vol.geopolitics
View details
New Hampshire Governor Election Winner
Republican
70%YesNo
Democrat
28%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
View details
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$3K Vol.geopolitics
View details
South Carolina Governor Election Winner
Democrat
11%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
View details
Kansas Governor Election Winner
Republican
63%YesNo
Democrat
38%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
View details
Maine Governor Election Winner
Democrat
90%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
View details
Idaho Senate Election Winner
Democrat
8%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
View details
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Colorado Senate Election Winner
Republican
7%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
View details
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
Yes
72%YesNo
No
28%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Texas Governor Election Winner
Democrat
21%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Yes
4%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by March 31?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$3K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Nevada Governor Election Winner
Democrat
53%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
View details
NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner
John Cavanaugh
74%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
View details
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
Shadowrocket
79%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$3K Vol.geopolitics
View details
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Yes
37%YesNo
No
64%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Meta (META) closes week of Mar 16 at ___?
$640-$650
12%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Yes
84%YesNo
No
16%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Meta "Mango" model released by...?
June 30
44%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
NE-02 Republican Primary Winner
Dan Frei
6%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
View details
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
↑ 44%
22%YesNo
$2K Vol.politics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Yes
48%YesNo
No
53%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Vermont Governor Election Winner
Republican
80%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
View details
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
Yes
27%YesNo
No
73%YesNo
$2K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner
Aaron Guckian
64%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
View details
South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner
Josh Kimbrell
1%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
View details
Number of TSA passengers March 16 - March 22?
18-18.5m
67%YesNo
17.5-18m
25%YesNo
18.5-19m
16%YesNo
<17.5m
6%YesNo
19-19.5m
1%YesNo
>19.5m
1%YesNo
$2K Vol.politics
View details
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?
December 31
44%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner
Mike Mazzei
7%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
View details
Connecticut Governor Election Winner
Republican
7%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
View details
China Annual Inflation 2026
1.1 – 1.5%
21%YesNo
$2K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin price on March 23?
72,000-74,000
19%YesNo
74,000-76,000
19%YesNo
70,000-72,000
14%YesNo
76,000-78,000
14%YesNo
78,000-80,000
11%YesNo
68,000-70,000
10%YesNo
80,000-82,000
7%YesNo
66,000-68,000
5%YesNo
>82,000
5%YesNo
64,000-66,000
3%YesNo
<64,000
1%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Will Ohio Revoke Any OSB License Over Event-Contract Activity by March 31?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Wyoming Senate Election Winner
Democrat
8%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
View details
Pennsylvania Governor Republican Primary Winner
Stacy Garrity
92%YesNo
$1K Vol.elections
View details
Ethereum price on March 20?
2,300-2,400
27%YesNo
2,200-2,300
25%YesNo
2,400-2,500
18%YesNo
2,100-2,200
13%YesNo
2,500-2,600
9%YesNo
>2,600
4%YesNo
2,000-2,100
4%YesNo
1,900-2,000
2%YesNo
1,800-1,900
2%YesNo
1,700-1,800
1%YesNo
<1,700
1%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Louisiana Senate Election Winner
Republican
91%YesNo
$1K Vol.elections
View details
Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?
150-160mm
44%YesNo
180-190mm
21%YesNo
160-170mm
20%YesNo
170-180mm
18%YesNo
190-200mm
17%YesNo
200mm+
12%YesNo
<150mm
8%YesNo
$1K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ethereum price on March 21?
2,300-2,400
24%YesNo
2,200-2,300
23%YesNo
2,400-2,500
17%YesNo
>2,500
15%YesNo
2,100-2,200
13%YesNo
2,000-2,100
6%YesNo
1,900-2,000
3%YesNo
1,800-1,900
2%YesNo
1,600-1,700
2%YesNo
<1,600
2%YesNo
1,700-1,800
2%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Major Space Weather event this week? (March 22-28)
Yes
28%YesNo
No
73%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
GDP growth in 2026
1.5–2.0%
13%YesNo
$1K Vol.politics
View details
Nebraska Governor Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
$1K Vol.elections
View details
Bitcoin price on March 22?
72,000-74,000
21%YesNo
74,000-76,000
21%YesNo
76,000-78,000
16%YesNo
70,000-72,000
14%YesNo
78,000-80,000
10%YesNo
68,000-70,000
9%YesNo
>80,000
7%YesNo
66,000-68,000
4%YesNo
64,000-66,000
2%YesNo
62,000-64,000
2%YesNo
<62,000
1%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner
Christopher Brooks
2%YesNo
$1K Vol.elections
View details
Kentucky Senate Election Winner
Republican
91%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$916 Vol.elections
View details
Iowa Governor Republican Primary Winner
Randy Feenstra
60%YesNo
Adam Steen
33%YesNo
Zach Lahn
11%YesNo
Brad Sherman
2%YesNo
Eddie Andrews
0%YesNo
$901 Vol.elections
View details
Ethereum price on March 22?
2,300-2,400
22%YesNo
2,200-2,300
21%YesNo
>2,500
17%YesNo
2,400-2,500
17%YesNo
2,100-2,200
13%YesNo
2,000-2,100
6%YesNo
1,900-2,000
3%YesNo
1,800-1,900
2%YesNo
1,700-1,800
2%YesNo
1,600-1,700
1%YesNo
<1,600
1%YesNo
$842 Vol.tech
View details
Idaho Republican Senate Primary Winner
Jim Risch
96%YesNo
Joe Evans
3%YesNo
$819 Vol.elections
View details
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
March 21
41%YesNo
March 22
41%YesNo
March 23
41%YesNo
March 24
41%YesNo
March 25
41%YesNo
March 26
41%YesNo
March 27
41%YesNo
March 28
41%YesNo
March 29
41%YesNo
March 30
41%YesNo
March 31
41%YesNo
March 19
27%YesNo
March 20
27%YesNo
March 18
18%YesNo
$803 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
45%+
35%YesNo
20-24.9%
27%YesNo
30.0-34.9%
25%YesNo
35–39.9%
24%YesNo
25-29.9%
23%YesNo
40-44.9%
19%YesNo
<20%
5%YesNo
$800 Vol.politics
View details
Illinois Governor Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$756 Vol.elections
View details
Wyoming Governor Election Winner
Republican
95%YesNo
Democrat
3%YesNo
$737 Vol.elections
View details
Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Helena Foulkes
72%YesNo
Dan McKee
20%YesNo
Joe Shekarchi
2%YesNo
Gregory Stevens
1%YesNo
$681 Vol.elections
View details
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
April 30
21%YesNo
March 31
14%YesNo
$613 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Meta (META) closes above ___ on March 18?
$610
97%YesNo
$620
64%YesNo
$630
20%YesNo
$640
11%YesNo
$650
2%YesNo
$594 Vol.tech
View details
Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner
Jeff Colyer
40%YesNo
Ty Masterson
22%YesNo
Philip Sarnecki
14%YesNo
Charlotte O’Hara
4%YesNo
Stacy Rogers
4%YesNo
Joy Eakins
2%YesNo
Vicki Schmidt
2%YesNo
Scott Schwab
1%YesNo
$530 Vol.elections
View details
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$527 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Yes
47%YesNo
No
54%YesNo
$524 Vol.tech
View details
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
4.5%+
36%YesNo
4.0-4.4%
28%YesNo
1.0–1.4%
27%YesNo
2.0–2.4%
25%YesNo
2.5–2.9%
22%YesNo
3.5–3.9%
10%YesNo
1.5–1.9%
9%YesNo
<1.0%
7%YesNo
$510 Vol.politics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$466 Vol.tech
View details
Hezbollah military action against Israel by March 20?
Yes
74%YesNo
No
27%YesNo
$437 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Yes
49%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$378 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Yes
47%YesNo
No
54%YesNo
$373 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 7AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$366 Vol.tech
View details
South African Reserve Bank Decision in March?
No Change
65%YesNo
Decrease
38%YesNo
Increase
1%YesNo
$351 Vol.politics
View details
What will Meta (META) hit in April 2026?
↓ $600
68%YesNo
↑ $680
58%YesNo
↑ $660
56%YesNo
↓ $640
50%YesNo
↓ $570
48%YesNo
↓ $620
48%YesNo
↑ $700
40%YesNo
↓ $540
33%YesNo
↑ $730
33%YesNo
↓ $500
17%YesNo
↑ $770
13%YesNo
↓ $450
10%YesNo
↑ $810
8%YesNo
↑ $860
3%YesNo
$345 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$325 Vol.tech
View details
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
Yes
59%YesNo
No
41%YesNo
$324 Vol.geopolitics
View details
VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Elaine Luria
83%YesNo
James Osyf
7%YesNo
Matt Strickler
5%YesNo
Nila Devanath
4%YesNo
Nicolaus Sleister
3%YesNo
Burk Stringfellow
3%YesNo
Patrick Mosolf
2%YesNo
$307 Vol.elections
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11PM ET
Yes
49%YesNo
No
52%YesNo
$291 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$194 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$194 Vol.tech
View details
Main Street Sports Sale/Merger by…?
March 31
50%YesNo
$167 Vol.politics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$159 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$148 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$144 Vol.tech
View details
ChatGPT Outage by March 20?
Yes
22%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$127 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$127 Vol.tech
View details
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$126 Vol.politics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$116 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$102 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$101 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$96 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$96 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$85 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$70 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$66 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$45 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$39 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$32 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$30 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$28 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$27 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$26 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$22 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$20 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$20 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$19 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin ETF Flows on March 17?
Yes
56%YesNo
No
44%YesNo
$19 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$19 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$18 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$17 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$16 Vol.tech
View details
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$13 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$13 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$12 Vol.tech
View details
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$12 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$9 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$8 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$7 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$6 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$5 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$5 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$5 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$5 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$5 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$5 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin ETF Flows on March 18?
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$4 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$3 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 6PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$3 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 10PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$3 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$2 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$2 Vol.tech
View details
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
75%YesNo
$1 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Alabama Governor Election Winner
Republican
94%YesNo
Democrat
6%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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Arkansas Governor Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
6%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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Colorado Governor Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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Idaho Governor Election Winner
Republican
94%YesNo
Democrat
5%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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Massachusetts Governor Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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New York Governor Election Winner
Democrat
92%YesNo
Republican
8%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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Oklahoma Governor Election Winner
Republican
94%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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Rhode Island Governor Election Winner
Democrat
94%YesNo
Republican
4%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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Tennessee Governor Election Winner
Republican
91%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$0 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$0 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
Democrat
78%YesNo
Republican
17%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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Delaware Senate Election Winner
Democrat
92%YesNo
Republican
8%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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Iowa Senate Election Winner
Republican
57%YesNo
Democrat
43%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
Democrat
94%YesNo
Republican
5%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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Michigan Senate Election Winner
Democrat
82%YesNo
Republican
19%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Democrat
89%YesNo
Republican
11%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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Oregon Senate Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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South Dakota Senate Election Winner
Republican
92%YesNo
Democrat
6%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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Virginia Senate Election Winner
Democrat
92%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Republican
91%YesNo
Democrat
9%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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Oklahoma Senate Election Winner
Republican
95%YesNo
Democrat
5%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Hakeem Jeffries
93%YesNo
Chi Ossé
5%YesNo
Vance Bostic
3%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Josh Turek
63%YesNo
Zach Wahls
36%YesNo
Chris Henry
1%YesNo
Nathan Sage
1%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner
Ashley Hinson
97%YesNo
Jim Carlin
2%YesNo
John Berman
2%YesNo
Joshua Smith
1%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Alabama Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Kyle Sweetser
58%YesNo
Dakarai Larriett
23%YesNo
Lamont Lavender
9%YesNo
Mark Wheeler
5%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
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New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner
Kathy Hochul
93%YesNo
Antonio Delgado
3%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Florida Republican Senate Primary Winner
Ashley B. Moody
89%YesNo
Michaelangelo Hamilton
10%YesNo
Jake Lang
2%YesNo
A.C. Toulme
1%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?
Scott Wiener
61%YesNo
Saikat Chakrabarti
27%YesNo
Connie Chan
12%YesNo
Jingchao Xiong
1%YesNo
Darren Helton
0%YesNo
Cole Bettles
0%YesNo
David Ganezer
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Brad Lander
84%YesNo
Dan Goldman
14%YesNo
Alexa Avilés
5%YesNo
Cameron Kasky
3%YesNo
Yuh-Line Niou
1%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner
Ritchie Torres
79%YesNo
Michael Blake
20%YesNo
Dalourny Nemorin
2%YesNo
Amanda Septimo
1%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Joe Baldacci
40%YesNo
Jordan Wood
24%YesNo
Matthew Dunlap
20%YesNo
Jared Golden
6%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
Jeremy Moss
80%YesNo
Andy Levin
8%YesNo
Aisha Farooqi
5%YesNo
Dave Woodward
2%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner
Sharif Street
36%YesNo
Chris Rabb
35%YesNo
Ala Stanford
35%YesNo
Morgan Cephas
4%YesNo
David Oxman
3%YesNo
Gabriel Caceres
1%YesNo
Robin Toldens
1%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Wesley Bell
65%YesNo
Cori Bush
32%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner
Mark Lamb
87%YesNo
Travis Grantham
8%YesNo
Jay Feely
2%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner
David Jolly
72%YesNo
Jerry Demings
25%YesNo
Shevrin Jones
5%YesNo
Fentrice Driskell
4%YesNo
Angie Nixon
4%YesNo
Jason Pizzo
3%YesNo
Gwen Graham
3%YesNo
Daniella Levine Cava
2%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Sharice Davids
63%YesNo
Patrick Schmidt
21%YesNo
Christy Davis
17%YesNo
Michael Soetaert
5%YesNo
Sandy Spidel Neumann
4%YesNo
Anne Parelkar
3%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Cory Booker
92%YesNo
Saxon Callahan
5%YesNo
Gregory Tomaini
1%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Chris Pappas
88%YesNo
Karishma Manzur
2%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Oregon Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Jeff Merkley
98%YesNo
Jacob Ryan
1%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Rhode Island Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Jack Reed
89%YesNo
Connor Burbridge
11%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
New Hampshire Republican Senate Primary Winner
John E. Sununu
88%YesNo
Scott Brown
10%YesNo
Dan Innis
3%YesNo
Chris Sununu
2%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Ed Markey
79%YesNo
Seth Moulton
19%YesNo
Ayanna Pressley
2%YesNo
Alexander Rikleen
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Alexander Vindman
89%YesNo
Jared Moskowitz
5%YesNo
Jennifer Jenkins
1%YesNo
Angie Nixon
0%YesNo
Alan Grayson
0%YesNo
Josh Weil
0%YesNo
Charlie Crist
0%YesNo
Joey Atkins
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Nebraska Republican Senate Primary Winner
Pete Ricketts
96%YesNo
Edward Dunn
5%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Annie Andrews
89%YesNo
Kyle Freeman
5%YesNo
Catherine Fleming Bruce
5%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Reilly Neill
81%YesNo
Michael BlackWolf
24%YesNo
Kathleen McLaughlin
11%YesNo
Michael Hummert
9%YesNo
Alani Bankhead
4%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner
Erin Stewart
52%YesNo
Ryan Fazio
35%YesNo
Betsy McCaughey
13%YesNo
Harry Arora
7%YesNo
Timothy Wilcox
2%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Ohio Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Amy Acton
97%YesNo
Jacob Chiara
2%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Troy Jackson
31%YesNo
Hannah Pingree
28%YesNo
Nirav Shah
27%YesNo
Angus King III
12%YesNo
Shenna Bellows
11%YesNo
Jason Cherry
0%YesNo
Kenneth Pinet
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.elections
View details
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
December 31, 2026
70%YesNo
June 30
63%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$0 Vol.geopolitics
View details
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Fed abolished before 2027?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
Yes
43%YesNo
No
57%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Yes
30%YesNo
No
71%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
2.0–2.4%
19%YesNo
3.0-3.4%
16%YesNo
<1.0%
16%YesNo
2.5–2.9%
14%YesNo
3.5-3.9%
14%YesNo
4.0%+
12%YesNo
1.0–1.4%
10%YesNo
1.5–1.9%
4%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?
Yes
61%YesNo
No
39%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+
38%YesNo
2.8-3.0%
33%YesNo
1.6–1.8%
30%YesNo
2.2–2.4%
30%YesNo
1.3–1.5%
24%YesNo
1.9–2.1%
20%YesNo
2.5–2.7%
17%YesNo
<1.0%
12%YesNo
1.0–1.2%
1%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
7.0%+
31%YesNo
1.0-2.0%
28%YesNo
0-1.0%
18%YesNo
<0%
18%YesNo
6.0-7.0%
13%YesNo
2.0-3.0%
12%YesNo
5.0-6.0%
10%YesNo
4.0-5.0%
7%YesNo
3.0-4.0%
5%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
0-1%
33%YesNo
1-2%
28%YesNo
<0
26%YesNo
3-4%
12%YesNo
2-3%
11%YesNo
4-5%
10%YesNo
5%+
9%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?
1600.00+
59%YesNo
1450.00–1499.99
33%YesNo
1350.00–1399.99
16%YesNo
1300.00–1349.99
6%YesNo
1400.00–1449.99
6%YesNo
1500.00–1549.99
5%YesNo
1550.00–1599.99
5%YesNo
1250.00–1299.99
3%YesNo
<1250.00
1%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
2026 World GDP Growth
≤2.9%
30%YesNo
3.4%
27%YesNo
3.6%
25%YesNo
3.0%
22%YesNo
3.1%
17%YesNo
3.2%
16%YesNo
3.7%+
14%YesNo
3.3%
6%YesNo
3.5%
5%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
3.5-3.8%
30%YesNo
3.2-3.5%
29%YesNo
3.8-4.1%
28%YesNo
2.9-3.2%
24%YesNo
>5.0%
24%YesNo
4.7-5.0%
23%YesNo
4.1-4.4%
22%YesNo
4.4-4.7%
20%YesNo
2.6-2.9%
10%YesNo
<2.6%
4%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)
<1600.00
38%YesNo
1600.00–1699.99
29%YesNo
1800.00–1899.99
25%YesNo
1700.00–1799.99
15%YesNo
2000.00+
10%YesNo
1900.00–1999.99
2%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026?
0.5–0.9%
42%YesNo
2.5%+
41%YesNo
1.5–1.9%
40%YesNo
1.0–1.4%
38%YesNo
<0%
27%YesNo
2.0–2.4%
17%YesNo
0.0–0.4%
3%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?
0.5-1.0%
43%YesNo
1.0-1.5%
28%YesNo
0.0-0.5%
25%YesNo
1.5-2.0%
19%YesNo
2.0-2.5%
8%YesNo
<0.0%
8%YesNo
>2.5%
5%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026
2.1-2.4%
47%YesNo
0.9-1.2%
46%YesNo
0.5-0.8%
46%YesNo
1.3-1.6%
45%YesNo
1.7-2.0%
45%YesNo
2.5%+
40%YesNo
<0.5%
11%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$0 Vol.geopolitics
View details
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$0 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$0 Vol.geopolitics
View details
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
December 31
23%YesNo
June 30
6%YesNo
$0 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$0 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by April 30?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$0 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?
Yes
22%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$0 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by March 31?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$0 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 20?
Yes
52%YesNo
No
49%YesNo
$0 Vol.geopolitics
View details
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
<5
43%YesNo
5–7
41%YesNo
8–10
41%YesNo
11–13
41%YesNo
14–16
41%YesNo
17–19
5%YesNo
20+
5%YesNo
$0 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Israel military action on Gaza on...?
March 18
42%YesNo
March 28
42%YesNo
March 30
42%YesNo
March 31
42%YesNo
March 21
41%YesNo
March 22
41%YesNo
March 23
41%YesNo
March 24
41%YesNo
March 25
41%YesNo
March 26
41%YesNo
March 27
41%YesNo
March 29
41%YesNo
March 20
37%YesNo
March 19
36%YesNo
$0 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Yes
21%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
Yes
37%YesNo
No
64%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Robinhood self-certifies sports event contract by March 31?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
Yes
42%YesNo
No
58%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Another Elon baby by June 30?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
Yes
55%YesNo
No
46%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
72%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?
Yes
67%YesNo
No
33%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
45%+
100%YesNo
50%+
100%YesNo
60%+
55%YesNo
70%+
17%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
35%+
100%YesNo
40%+
54%YesNo
50%+
40%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
30%+
79%YesNo
25%+
78%YesNo
40%+
59%YesNo
50%+
27%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
Yes
85%YesNo
No
15%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2027
40%YesNo
750B–1T
25%YesNo
500–750B
22%YesNo
1T–1.25T
17%YesNo
<500B
16%YesNo
1.25T–1.5T
16%YesNo
1.5T+
16%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will $PUP receive a perp listing by March 31?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$16B
73%YesNo
$18B
65%YesNo
$20B
59%YesNo
$24B
50%YesNo
$26B
48%YesNo
$22B
46%YesNo
$28B
11%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Makina FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$80M
10%YesNo
$100M
9%YesNo
$200M
5%YesNo
$300M
4%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?
December 31
27%YesNo
June 30
17%YesNo
March 31
1%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Tabi FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M
7%YesNo
$1B
5%YesNo
$3B
2%YesNo
$2B
2%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than ___ ETH before 2027?
5M ETH
88%YesNo
9M ETH
9%YesNo
7M ETH
7%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
What will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit before 2027?
10 Gwei
29%YesNo
20 Gwei
28%YesNo
15 Gwei
13%YesNo
5 Gwei
13%YesNo
25 Gwei
10%YesNo
40 Gwei
4%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?
Yes
63%YesNo
No
38%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
MARA sells any Bitcoin in 2026?
Yes
92%YesNo
No
8%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum ETF Flows on March 17?
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 12AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 1AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 2AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 3AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 4AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 5AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 6AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum ETF Flows on March 18?
Yes
52%YesNo
No
48%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 8AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 9AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 10AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 11AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 12PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum price on March 23?
2,300-2,400
20%YesNo
2,200-2,300
19%YesNo
2,400-2,500
16%YesNo
2,100-2,200
13%YesNo
2,500-2,600
10%YesNo
2,000-2,100
7%YesNo
2,600-2,700
6%YesNo
>2,700
5%YesNo
1,900-2,000
4%YesNo
1,800-1,900
2%YesNo
<1,800
2%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 1PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 2PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 3PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 4PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 5PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 7PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 8PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 9PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 11PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 12AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?
Yes
97%YesNo
No
3%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Meta (META) Up or Down on March 18?
Yes
54%YesNo
No
47%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Elon Bull Run Parlay
Yes
17%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?
Yes
59%YesNo
No
42%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
2nd richest person on December 31?
Bernard Arnault
8%YesNo
Sergey Brin
8%YesNo
Warren Buffett
8%YesNo
Larry Page
8%YesNo
Elon Musk
7%YesNo
Larry Ellison
7%YesNo
Mark Zuckerberg
7%YesNo
Jensen Huang
6%YesNo
Jeff Bezos
6%YesNo
Steve Ballmer
3%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
3rd richest person on December 31?
Mark Zuckerberg
38%YesNo
Jensen Huang
35%YesNo
Sergey Brin
35%YesNo
Larry Ellison
34%YesNo
Larry Page
34%YesNo
Jeff Bezos
22%YesNo
Bernard Arnault
16%YesNo
Warren Buffett
14%YesNo
Elon Musk
13%YesNo
Steve Ballmer
7%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details