Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
24%YesNo
Kamala Harris
9%YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%YesNo
Jon Ossoff
6%YesNo
Josh Shapiro
5%YesNo
Pete Buttigieg
4%YesNo
Andy Beshear
3%YesNo
Rahm Emanuel
3%YesNo
Mark Kelly
2%YesNo
James Talarico
2%YesNo
Ro Khanna
2%YesNo
J.B. Pritzker
2%YesNo
Michelle Obama
1%YesNo
Wes Moore
1%YesNo
Jon Stewart
1%YesNo
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%YesNo
Gretchen Whitmer
1%YesNo
Stephen A. Smith
1%YesNo
Roy Cooper
1%YesNo
Cory Booker
1%YesNo
John Fetterman
1%YesNo
Mark Cuban
1%YesNo
Chelsea Clinton
1%YesNo
Chris Murphy
1%YesNo
Oprah Winfrey
1%YesNo
Gina Raimondo
1%YesNo
Raphael Warnock
1%YesNo
Barack Obama
1%YesNo
Bernie Sanders
1%YesNo
Liz Cheney
1%YesNo
Zohran Mamdani
1%YesNo
Ruben Gallego
1%YesNo
Jared Polis
1%YesNo
LeBron James
1%YesNo
MrBeast
1%YesNo
Hillary Clinton
1%YesNo
George Clooney
1%YesNo
Tim Walz
1%YesNo
Beto O’Rourke
1%YesNo
Andrew Yang
1%YesNo
Kim Kardashian
1%YesNo
Phil Murphy
1%YesNo
Hunter Biden
1%YesNo
Jasmine Crockett
1%YesNo
$1142m Vol.elections
View details
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
36%YesNo
Marco Rubio
25%YesNo
Tucker Carlson
6%YesNo
Ron DeSantis
5%YesNo
Donald Trump Jr.
3%YesNo
Donald Trump
2%YesNo
Glenn Youngkin
1%YesNo
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%YesNo
Thomas Massie
1%YesNo
Tulsi Gabbard
1%YesNo
Rand Paul
1%YesNo
Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%YesNo
Ivanka Trump
1%YesNo
Nikki Haley
1%YesNo
Brian Kemp
1%YesNo
Josh Hawley
1%YesNo
Elon Musk
1%YesNo
John Thune
1%YesNo
Kim Kardashian
1%YesNo
Matt Gaetz
1%YesNo
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%YesNo
Greg Abbott
1%YesNo
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%YesNo
Elise Stefanik
1%YesNo
Ted Cruz
1%YesNo
Katie Britt
1%YesNo
Tom Brady
1%YesNo
Steve Bannon
1%YesNo
Eric Trump
1%YesNo
Pete Hegseth
1%YesNo
Byron Donalds
1%YesNo
Erika Kirk
1%YesNo
Kristi Noem
1%YesNo
Joe Kent
1%YesNo
Mike Pence
1%YesNo
$617m Vol.elections
View details
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
19%YesNo
Gavin Newsom
17%YesNo
Marco Rubio
14%YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%YesNo
Kamala Harris
5%YesNo
Jon Ossoff
4%YesNo
Ron DeSantis
4%YesNo
Tucker Carlson
3%YesNo
Josh Shapiro
3%YesNo
Donald Trump
3%YesNo
Pete Buttigieg
2%YesNo
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%YesNo
Andy Beshear
2%YesNo
Donald Trump Jr.
1%YesNo
JB Pritzker
1%YesNo
Thomas Massie
1%YesNo
Elon Musk
1%YesNo
Gretchen Whitmer
1%YesNo
Ivanka Trump
1%YesNo
Stephen Smith
1%YesNo
Jamie Dimon
1%YesNo
Greg Abbott
1%YesNo
Michelle Obama
1%YesNo
Nikki Haley
1%YesNo
Ro Khanna
1%YesNo
James Talarico
1%YesNo
Wes Moore
1%YesNo
Glenn Youngkin
1%YesNo
Tulsi Gabbard
1%YesNo
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%YesNo
Zohran Mamdani
1%YesNo
Tim Walz
1%YesNo
LeBron James
1%YesNo
Pete Hegseth
1%YesNo
Kim Kardashian
1%YesNo
Eric Trump
1%YesNo
$581m Vol.elections
View details
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
44%YesNo
June 30
5%YesNo
May 31
1%YesNo
$120m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro
65%YesNo
Delcy Rodríguez
23%YesNo
María Corina Machado
8%YesNo
Jorge Rodríguez
1%YesNo
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%YesNo
No Head of State
1%YesNo
Edmundo González
1%YesNo
Donald Trump
0%YesNo
Evan Pettus
0%YesNo
Marco Rubio
0%YesNo
Dinorah Figuera
0%YesNo
Vladimir Padrino López
0%YesNo
Dan Caine
0%YesNo
Pete Hegseth
0%YesNo
Frank Donovan
0%YesNo
Richard Grenell
0%YesNo
$88m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
43%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro
33%YesNo
Renan Santos
7%YesNo
Romeu Zema
7%YesNo
Fernando Haddad
2%YesNo
Camilo Santana
2%YesNo
Michelle Bolsonaro
2%YesNo
Ronaldo Caiado
2%YesNo
Jair Bolsonaro
1%YesNo
Geraldo Alckmin
1%YesNo
Tarcisio de Freitas
0%YesNo
Tereza Cristina
0%YesNo
Eduardo Bolsonaro
0%YesNo
Ratinho Júnior
0%YesNo
Aldo Rebelo
0%YesNo
Helder Barbalho
0%YesNo
Eduardo Leite
0%YesNo
$75m Vol.elections
View details
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan Bardella
24%YesNo
Édouard Philippe
20%YesNo
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
11%YesNo
Marine Le Pen
6%YesNo
David Lisnard
5%YesNo
Dominique de Villepin
5%YesNo
François Hollande
4%YesNo
Gabriel Attal
3%YesNo
Bruno Retailleau
3%YesNo
Raphaël Glucksmann
2%YesNo
Sarah Knafo
2%YesNo
Éric Zemmour
1%YesNo
Juan Branco
1%YesNo
Sébastien Lecornu
1%YesNo
Jean Castex
1%YesNo
Bernard Cazeneuve
1%YesNo
Laurent Wauquiez
1%YesNo
Valérie Pécresse
1%YesNo
Gérald Darmanin
1%YesNo
Clémence Guetté
1%YesNo
Fabien Roussel
1%YesNo
François Asselineau
1%YesNo
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
1%YesNo
François Ruffin
1%YesNo
Marine Tondelier
1%YesNo
Ségolène Royal
1%YesNo
Clémentine Autain
1%YesNo
Yaël Braun-Pivet
1%YesNo
Mathilde Panot
1%YesNo
Élisabeth Borne
1%YesNo
Carole Delga
1%YesNo
Manuel Bompard
1%YesNo
Xavier Bertrand
1%YesNo
Olivier Faure
1%YesNo
Michel Barnier
1%YesNo
François Bayrou
1%YesNo
$71m Vol.elections
View details
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Keiko Fujimori
62%YesNo
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
36%YesNo
Rafael López Aliaga
1%YesNo
Jorge Nieto
0%YesNo
Carlos Álvarez
0%YesNo
César Acuña
0%YesNo
Vladimir Cerrón
0%YesNo
Roberto Chiabra
0%YesNo
Enrique Valderrama
0%YesNo
Mesías Guevara
0%YesNo
Mario Vizcarra
0%YesNo
José Luna
0%YesNo
José Williams
0%YesNo
Fiorella Molinelli
0%YesNo
Fernando Olivera
0%YesNo
Yonhy Lescano
0%YesNo
Alfonso López Chau
0%YesNo
George Forsyth
0%YesNo
Ricardo Belmont
0%YesNo
Carlos Espá
0%YesNo
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
0%YesNo
Marisol Pérez Tello
0%YesNo
Wolfgang Grozo
0%YesNo
$51m Vol.elections
View details
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$39m Vol.geopolitics
View details
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Chong Won-oh
75%YesNo
Oh Se-hoon
24%YesNo
Cho Eun-hee
0%YesNo
Ahn Cheol-soo
0%YesNo
Park Yong-jin
0%YesNo
Hong Ihk-pyo
0%YesNo
Cho Kuk
0%YesNo
Kang Hoon-sik
0%YesNo
Na Kyung-won
0%YesNo
Han Dong-hoon
0%YesNo
Park Ju-min
0%YesNo
Park Hong-keun
0%YesNo
Seo Young-kyo
0%YesNo
Jeon Hyun-heui
0%YesNo
$38m Vol.elections
View details
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
↓ 85,000
100%YesNo
↓ 65,000
100%YesNo
↓ 75,000
100%YesNo
↓ 60,000
100%YesNo
↑ 70,000
100%YesNo
↑ 80,000
100%YesNo
↑ 90,000
71%YesNo
↑ 100,000
48%YesNo
↓ 55,000
46%YesNo
↓ 50,000
38%YesNo
↓ 45,000
28%YesNo
↑ 110,000
27%YesNo
↓ 40,000
22%YesNo
↑ 120,000
18%YesNo
↓ 35,000
14%YesNo
↑ 130,000
13%YesNo
↑ 140,000
11%YesNo
↓ 30,000
10%YesNo
↓ 25,000
9%YesNo
↑ 150,000
9%YesNo
↑ 160,000
7%YesNo
↓ 20,000
7%YesNo
↑ 170,000
6%YesNo
↓ 15,000
5%YesNo
↑ 180,000
5%YesNo
↑ 190,000
4%YesNo
↑ 200,000
4%YesNo
↓ 10,000
4%YesNo
↑ 250,000
3%YesNo
↓ 5,000
3%YesNo
↑ 500,000
2%YesNo
↑ 1,000,000
2%YesNo
$36m Vol.tech
View details
Colombia Presidential Election
Abelardo de la Espriella
43%YesNo
Iván Cepeda Castro
40%YesNo
Paloma Valencia
19%YesNo
Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)
0%YesNo
Claudia López (IND)
0%YesNo
Sergio Fajardo (DC)
0%YesNo
Roy Barreras
0%YesNo
Carlos Felipe Córdoba
0%YesNo
Vicky Dávila (IND)
0%YesNo
David Luna Sánchez (IND)
0%YesNo
Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)
0%YesNo
Gustavo Bolívar (HC)
0%YesNo
Juan Manuel Galán (NL)
0%YesNo
Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)
0%YesNo
Mauricio Cárdenas
0%YesNo
Daniel Quintero
0%YesNo
Enrique Peñalosa
0%YesNo
Juan Carlos Pinzón
0%YesNo
Miguel Uribe Turbay (CD)
0%YesNo
$29m Vol.elections
View details
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
73%YesNo
$28m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Fed Decision in June?
No change
98%YesNo
25 bps decrease
1%YesNo
25 bps increase
1%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
0%YesNo
50+ bps increase
0%YesNo
$27m Vol.politics
View details
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
90%YesNo
June 30, 2026
79%YesNo
May 31, 2026
57%YesNo
$26m Vol.tech
View details
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
72%YesNo
1 (25 bps)
16%YesNo
2 (50 bps)
7%YesNo
3 (75 bps)
2%YesNo
5 (125 bps)
1%YesNo
4 (100 bps)
1%YesNo
6 (150 bps)
1%YesNo
12+ (300+ bps)
1%YesNo
7 (175 bps)
0%YesNo
8 (200 bps)
0%YesNo
9 (225 bps)
0%YesNo
10 (250 bps)
0%YesNo
11 (275 bps)
0%YesNo
$26m Vol.politics
View details
Starmer out by...?
December 31
74%YesNo
June 30
37%YesNo
May 31
23%YesNo
May 19
6%YesNo
May 15
2%YesNo
$25m Vol.politics
View details
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$23m Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will happen before GTA VI?
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire
100%YesNo
Drake releases Iceman
99%YesNo
GPT-6 released
66%YesNo
New Rihanna Album
54%YesNo
New Playboi Carti Album
54%YesNo
Trump out as President
51%YesNo
China invades Taiwan
51%YesNo
Bitcoin hits $1m
49%YesNo
Jesus Christ returns
49%YesNo
$22m Vol.politics
View details
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra
52%YesNo
Tom Steyer
32%YesNo
Steve Hilton
9%YesNo
Matt Mahan
2%YesNo
Chad Bianco
2%YesNo
Katie Porter
1%YesNo
Elaine Culotti
1%YesNo
Leo Zacky
0%YesNo
Kamala Harris
0%YesNo
Alex Padilla
0%YesNo
Michael Younger
0%YesNo
Nicole Shanahan
0%YesNo
Rick Caruso
0%YesNo
Stephen Cloobeck
0%YesNo
Betty Yee
0%YesNo
Kyle Langford
0%YesNo
Eleni Kounalakis
0%YesNo
Tony Thurmond
0%YesNo
Eric Swalwell
0%YesNo
Antonio Villaraigosa
0%YesNo
Butch Ware
0%YesNo
Toni Atkins
0%YesNo
Daniel Mercuri
0%YesNo
$22m Vol.elections
View details
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$19m Vol.geopolitics
View details
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2026
10%YesNo
by June 30, 2026
1%YesNo
by September 30, 2025
0%YesNo
by December 31, 2025
0%YesNo
$18m Vol.tech
View details
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 31
13%YesNo
June 30
3%YesNo
May 31
1%YesNo
$18m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
iRobot
100%YesNo
Warner Bros. Discovery
100%YesNo
Cursor
76%YesNo
Caesars Entertainment
69%YesNo
Viking Therapeutics
59%YesNo
Pizza Hut
38%YesNo
PayPal
27%YesNo
Ubisoft
23%YesNo
GitLab
23%YesNo
Perplexity AI
22%YesNo
BP
20%YesNo
Nebius Group
19%YesNo
Snapchat
18%YesNo
Zoom Video Communications
18%YesNo
Lovable
14%YesNo
OpenAI
9%YesNo
Anthropic
7%YesNo
$18m Vol.tech
View details
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$18m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
June 30
55%YesNo
May 31
24%YesNo
May 22
12%YesNo
May 15
2%YesNo
$17m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia Navalnaya
8%YesNo
Donald Trump
7%YesNo
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
6%YesNo
UNRWA
5%YesNo
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
4%YesNo
Pope Leo XIV
3%YesNo
International Court of Justice
2%YesNo
Narendra Modi
2%YesNo
Xi Jinping
1%YesNo
Greta Thunberg
1%YesNo
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
1%YesNo
Charlie Kirk
1%YesNo
Ahmed al-Sharaa
1%YesNo
António Guterres
1%YesNo
Khaled Mashal
1%YesNo
Mohammed bin Salman
1%YesNo
Julian Assange
1%YesNo
Vladimir Putin
1%YesNo
Elon Musk
0%YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu
0%YesNo
$17m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
Ken Paxton
62%YesNo
John Cornyn
40%YesNo
Beth Van Duyne
0%YesNo
Dawn Buckingham
0%YesNo
Wesley Hunt
0%YesNo
$16m Vol.elections
View details
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$15m Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Bitcoin hit in May?
↑ 80,000
100%YesNo
↑ 85,000
59%YesNo
↓ 75,000
30%YesNo
↑ 90,000
19%YesNo
↓ 70,000
12%YesNo
↑ 95,000
8%YesNo
↓ 65,000
5%YesNo
↑ 100,000
2%YesNo
↓ 60,000
2%YesNo
↓ 55,000
1%YesNo
↑ 105,000
1%YesNo
↓ 50,000
1%YesNo
↑ 110,000
1%YesNo
↓ 45,000
0%YesNo
↑ 115,000
0%YesNo
↑ 150,000
0%YesNo
↓ 40,000
0%YesNo
↑ 120,000
0%YesNo
↓ 30,000
0%YesNo
↓ 35,000
0%YesNo
$15m Vol.tech
View details
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 31
11%YesNo
$14m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$13m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Largest Company end of June?
NVIDIA
91%YesNo
Alphabet
7%YesNo
Apple
2%YesNo
Tesla
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
0%YesNo
$13m Vol.tech
View details
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$9m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
44%YesNo
September 30
14%YesNo
June 30
7%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$9m Vol.tech
View details
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Benjamin Netanyahu
41%YesNo
Naftali Bennett
35%YesNo
Gadi Eizenkot
14%YesNo
Avigdor Lieberman
7%YesNo
Yair Lapid
1%YesNo
Itamar Ben Gvir
1%YesNo
Yariv Levin
1%YesNo
Ayelet Shaked
0%YesNo
Amir Ohana
0%YesNo
Benny Gantz
0%YesNo
Yossi Cohen
0%YesNo
Israel Katz
0%YesNo
Moshe Feiglin
0%YesNo
Yair Golan
0%YesNo
Gideon Sa’ar
0%YesNo
Yoaz Hendel
0%YesNo
Nir Barkat
0%YesNo
$8m Vol.elections
View details
Trump out as President before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$8m Vol.elections
View details
Next Prime Minister of Denmark?
Mette Frederiksen
74%YesNo
Troels Lund Poulsen
16%YesNo
Lars Løkke Rasmussen
7%YesNo
Alex Vanopslagh
1%YesNo
Martin Lidegaard
1%YesNo
Morten Messerschmidt
0%YesNo
Mona Juul
0%YesNo
Lars Boje Mathiesen
0%YesNo
Inger Støjberg
0%YesNo
Pia Olsen Dyhr
0%YesNo
Pelle Dragsted
0%YesNo
$8m Vol.elections
View details
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei
64%YesNo
Reza Pahlavi
7%YesNo
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
5%YesNo
Abbas Araghchi
4%YesNo
No Head of State
3%YesNo
Ahmad Vahidi
3%YesNo
Hassan Rouhani
2%YesNo
Alireza Arafi
1%YesNo
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
1%YesNo
Maryam Rajavi
1%YesNo
Hassan Khomeini
1%YesNo
Masoud Pezeshkian
1%YesNo
Massoud Rajavi
0%YesNo
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel
0%YesNo
Navid Shomali
0%YesNo
Mohammad Khatami
0%YesNo
Sadegh Larijani
0%YesNo
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
0%YesNo
Hassan Shariatmadari
0%YesNo
Reza Pirzadeh
0%YesNo
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
0%YesNo
Saeed Jalili
0%YesNo
Ali Asghar Hejazi
0%YesNo
Mohsen Araki
0%YesNo
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
0%YesNo
Mustafa Hijri
0%YesNo
Ali Motahari
0%YesNo
Sadegh Mahsouli
0%YesNo
Nasir Hosseini
0%YesNo
Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani
0%YesNo
Ali Larijani
0%YesNo
$8m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$8m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)
64%YesNo
New People (NL)
28%YesNo
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
5%YesNo
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
3%YesNo
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%YesNo
Rodina
0%YesNo
Civic Platform (GP)
0%YesNo
$8m Vol.elections
View details
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 31
8%YesNo
$8m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
17%YesNo
September 30, 2026
8%YesNo
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
$7m Vol.tech
View details
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
44%YesNo
June 30
17%YesNo
May 31
6%YesNo
$7m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
44%YesNo
R Senate, D House
34%YesNo
Republicans Sweep
22%YesNo
D Senate, R House
2%YesNo
$7m Vol.elections
View details
Which company has the best AI model end of May?
Anthropic
81%YesNo
Google
19%YesNo
OpenAI
1%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Meta
0%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
$7m Vol.tech
View details
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
5
35%YesNo
4
27%YesNo
6
18%YesNo
7
4%YesNo
8
1%YesNo
9
1%YesNo
10
1%YesNo
11
1%YesNo
12
0%YesNo
13
0%YesNo
14
0%YesNo
15+
0%YesNo
0
0%YesNo
1
0%YesNo
3
0%YesNo
$7m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
34%YesNo
June 30, 2026
1%YesNo
$6m Vol.tech
View details
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
79%YesNo
Republican Party
22%YesNo
$6m Vol.elections
View details
Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
99%YesNo
Rafael López Aliaga
0%YesNo
Mario Vizcarra
0%YesNo
Alfonso López Chau
0%YesNo
José Luna
0%YesNo
Enrique Valderrama
0%YesNo
Carlos Espá
0%YesNo
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
0%YesNo
Mesías Guevara
0%YesNo
George Forsyth
0%YesNo
Fiorella Molinelli
0%YesNo
Jorge Nieto
0%YesNo
César Acuña
0%YesNo
José Williams
0%YesNo
Ricardo Belmont
0%YesNo
Keiko Fujimori
0%YesNo
Carlos Álvarez
0%YesNo
Vladimir Cerrón
0%YesNo
Roberto Chiabra
0%YesNo
Fernando Olivera
0%YesNo
Yonhy Lescano
0%YesNo
Marisol Pérez Tello
0%YesNo
Wolfgang Grozo
0%YesNo
$6m Vol.elections
View details
IPOs before 2027?
Once Upon a Farm
100%YesNo
Wealthfront
100%YesNo
Cerebras
100%YesNo
SpaceX
95%YesNo
Anthropic
68%YesNo
Discord
53%YesNo
Remote
31%YesNo
OpenAI
30%YesNo
Anduril
22%YesNo
Deel
21%YesNo
Epic Games
20%YesNo
Rippling
18%YesNo
Mistral AI
16%YesNo
Databricks
15%YesNo
Applied Intuition
14%YesNo
Freddie Mac
13%YesNo
ByteDance
13%YesNo
SHEIN
13%YesNo
Ledger
12%YesNo
Glean
12%YesNo
Fannie Mae
12%YesNo
Ramp
11%YesNo
Anduril Industries
10%YesNo
Ripple Labs
9%YesNo
Vanta
9%YesNo
Stripe
9%YesNo
Celonis
7%YesNo
Revolut
7%YesNo
Anysphere (Cursor)
7%YesNo
Waymo
6%YesNo
Canva
5%YesNo
Brex
1%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
$6m Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 2026
75%YesNo
September 30, 2026
56%YesNo
June 30, 2026
35%YesNo
May 31, 2026
14%YesNo
August 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$6m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
70%YesNo
$300M
64%YesNo
$500M
49%YesNo
$1B
24%YesNo
$2B
7%YesNo
$3B
6%YesNo
$5B
3%YesNo
$6m Vol.tech
View details
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
June 30
21%YesNo
May 31
8%YesNo
$6m Vol.politics
View details
Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Iván Cepeda Castro
85%YesNo
Abelardo de la Espriella
14%YesNo
Paloma Valencia
1%YesNo
Vicky Dávila
0%YesNo
Luis Gilberto Murillo
0%YesNo
Claudia López
0%YesNo
David Luna Sánchez
0%YesNo
Juan Daniel Oviedo
0%YesNo
Gustavo Bolívar
0%YesNo
Sergio Fajardo
0%YesNo
Juan Manuel Galán
0%YesNo
Germán Vargas Lleras
0%YesNo
Roy Barreras
0%YesNo
Daniel Quintero
0%YesNo
Juan Carlos Pinzón
0%YesNo
Mauricio Cárdenas
0%YesNo
Enrique Peñalosa
0%YesNo
Miguel Uribe Turbay
0%YesNo
$6m Vol.elections
View details
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
67%YesNo
Google
23%YesNo
OpenAI
8%YesNo
xAI
2%YesNo
Meta
1%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
$6m Vol.tech
View details
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
Other (incl $SPCX)
58%YesNo
$X
34%YesNo
$SEX
4%YesNo
$SPAX
3%YesNo
$SPACE
1%YesNo
$SX
1%YesNo
$MARS
1%YesNo
$STAR
0%YesNo
$SPC
0%YesNo
$6m Vol.tech
View details
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
No meeting by June 30
90%YesNo
Russia
3%YesNo
China
3%YesNo
Turkey
1%YesNo
Gulf country
1%YesNo
United States
0%YesNo
Other EU country
0%YesNo
Belarus
0%YesNo
Switzerland
0%YesNo
Ukraine
0%YesNo
South Korea
0%YesNo
Finland
0%YesNo
Japan
0%YesNo
Australia
0%YesNo
$6m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Yes
34%YesNo
No
67%YesNo
$6m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 31
8%YesNo
June 30
2%YesNo
$5m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Fed Decision in July?
No change
93%YesNo
25 bps decrease
4%YesNo
25 bps increase
3%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
1%YesNo
50+ bps increase
0%YesNo
$5m Vol.politics
View details
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
↓ 2,000
100%YesNo
↓ 2,500
100%YesNo
↓ 1,500
41%YesNo
↑ 3,500
37%YesNo
↑ 4,000
24%YesNo
↓ 1,000
18%YesNo
↑ 4,500
17%YesNo
↑ 5,000
13%YesNo
↓ 800
12%YesNo
↑ 5,500
10%YesNo
↑ 6,000
9%YesNo
↑ 6,500
7%YesNo
↑ 7,000
6%YesNo
↑ 7,500
6%YesNo
↑ 8,000
5%YesNo
↑ 10,000
4%YesNo
$5m Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
US military action against Cuba by...?
December 31
41%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
June 30
14%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
November 7
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on May 14?
70,000
100%YesNo
72,000
100%YesNo
74,000
100%YesNo
76,000
100%YesNo
78,000
100%YesNo
80,000
100%YesNo
82,000
0%YesNo
84,000
0%YesNo
86,000
0%YesNo
88,000
0%YesNo
90,000
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.tech
View details
Claude 5 released by…?
September 30, 2026
73%YesNo
June 30, 2026
20%YesNo
May 31, 2026
5%YesNo
$4m Vol.tech
View details
2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner
Choo Mi-ae
94%YesNo
Yang Hyang-ja
4%YesNo
Cho Eung-chun
1%YesNo
Kim Dong-yeon
0%YesNo
Han Jun-ho
0%YesNo
Yoo Seong-min
0%YesNo
Ahn Cheol-soo
0%YesNo
Han Dong-hoon
0%YesNo
Won Hee-ryong
0%YesNo
Lee Jun-seok
0%YesNo
Na Kyung-won
0%YesNo
Kim Byeong-ju
0%YesNo
Yeom Tae-yeong
0%YesNo
Lee Un-ju
0%YesNo
Kim Eun-hye
0%YesNo
Kim Moon-soo
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.elections
View details
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio Bolsonaro
65%YesNo
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
16%YesNo
Renan Santos
6%YesNo
Romeu Zema
3%YesNo
Fernando Haddad
3%YesNo
Camilo Santana
1%YesNo
Geraldo Alckmin
1%YesNo
Ronaldo Caiado
1%YesNo
Michelle Bolsonaro
1%YesNo
Tarcisio de Freitas
0%YesNo
Aldo Rebelo
0%YesNo
Ratinho Júnior
0%YesNo
Jair Bolsonaro
0%YesNo
Eduardo Bolsonaro
0%YesNo
Eduardo Leite
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.elections
View details
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
1T+
94%YesNo
No IPO before 2028
2%YesNo
700B–800B
1%YesNo
800B–900B
1%YesNo
900B–1T
1%YesNo
<500B
0%YesNo
500B–600B
0%YesNo
600B–700B
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
US strike on Mexico by...?
December 31
16%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Yes
37%YesNo
No
64%YesNo
$3m Vol.elections
View details
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?
December 31, 2026
7%YesNo
$3m Vol.politics
View details
Next Prime Minister of Slovenia
Janez Janša
92%YesNo
Jernej Vrtovec
3%YesNo
Anže Logar
2%YesNo
Robert Golob
1%YesNo
Vladimir Prebilič
0%YesNo
Luka Mesec
0%YesNo
Matjaž Han
0%YesNo
Matej Tonin
0%YesNo
Zoran Stevanović
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.elections
View details
Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
56%YesNo
$500M
45%YesNo
$300M
44%YesNo
$700M
29%YesNo
$1B
21%YesNo
$2B
9%YesNo
$3B
7%YesNo
$4B
4%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Graham Platner
99%YesNo
Janet Mills
1%YesNo
Dan Kleban
0%YesNo
Chellie Pingree
0%YesNo
Jordan Wood
0%YesNo
Troy Jackson
0%YesNo
Jared Golden
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.elections
View details
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
December 31
17%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 2026
22%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Pump.fun airdrop by ....?
December 31, 2026
31%YesNo
July 18
0%YesNo
August 31
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
June 30
0%YesNo
July 31
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
June 30
10%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
69%YesNo
Alphabet
21%YesNo
Apple
7%YesNo
SpaceX
2%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
1%YesNo
Microsoft
1%YesNo
Tesla
1%YesNo
Amazon
1%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?
December 31
14%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Berlin State Election Winner
CDU
37%YesNo
Grüne
22%YesNo
Linke
21%YesNo
AfD
18%YesNo
SPD
7%YesNo
BSW
0%YesNo
FDP
0%YesNo
FW
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.elections
View details
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
December 31, 2026
12%YesNo
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Ethereum hit in May?
↑ 2,400
100%YesNo
↓ 2,200
63%YesNo
↑ 2,600
23%YesNo
↓ 2,000
16%YesNo
↑ 2,800
8%YesNo
↓ 1,800
4%YesNo
↑ 3,000
2%YesNo
↓ 1,600
2%YesNo
↑ 3,200
1%YesNo
↓ 1,400
1%YesNo
↑ 3,400
1%YesNo
↓ 1,200
1%YesNo
↑ 3,600
0%YesNo
↑ 3,800
0%YesNo
↓ 800
0%YesNo
↑ 4,000
0%YesNo
↓ 1,000
0%YesNo
↓ 600
0%YesNo
↑ 5,000
0%YesNo
↓ 400
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner
Keiko Fujimori
99%YesNo
Rafael López Aliaga
0%YesNo
Ricardo Belmont
0%YesNo
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
0%YesNo
Jorge Nieto
0%YesNo
Vladimir Cerrón
0%YesNo
Fiorella Molinelli
0%YesNo
Carlos Espá
0%YesNo
Yonhy Lescano
0%YesNo
Roberto Chiabra
0%YesNo
José Williams
0%YesNo
Fernando Olivera
0%YesNo
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
0%YesNo
Marisol Pérez Tello
0%YesNo
Mario Vizcarra
0%YesNo
César Acuña
0%YesNo
José Luna
0%YesNo
Wolfgang Grozo
0%YesNo
Carlos Álvarez
0%YesNo
Alfonso López Chau
0%YesNo
George Forsyth
0%YesNo
Enrique Valderrama
0%YesNo
Mesías Guevara
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.elections
View details
Incheon Mayoral Election Winner
Park Chan-dae
96%YesNo
Yoo Jeong-bok
3%YesNo
Yoo Dong-soo
0%YesNo
Yoon Sang-hyun
0%YesNo
Bae June-young
0%YesNo
Chung Il-young
0%YesNo
Lee Hak-jae
0%YesNo
Kim Kyo-heung
0%YesNo
Park Nam-choon
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.elections
View details
MegaETH airdrop by...?
December 31, 2026
82%YesNo
June 30, 2026
30%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Another US strike on Venezuela by...?
December 31
13%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner
Democratic Party of Korea (DP)
98%YesNo
People Power Party (PPP)
2%YesNo
Progressive Party (PP)
0%YesNo
Reform Party (RP)
0%YesNo
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP)
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027
79%YesNo
Qatar / UAE
6%YesNo
Turkey
5%YesNo
US
4%YesNo
Switzerland
2%YesNo
Russia
2%YesNo
Saudi Arabia
2%YesNo
Belarus
2%YesNo
China
1%YesNo
Kazakhstan
1%YesNo
Hungary
1%YesNo
Italy / Vatican
0%YesNo
India
0%YesNo
Ukraine
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ukraine election held by...?
December 31, 2026
22%YesNo
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
June 30
6%YesNo
May 31
2%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner
Bert Mizusawa
52%YesNo
Kim Farington
31%YesNo
David Williams
11%YesNo
Alex De Paula
2%YesNo
Chuck Smith
2%YesNo
Al Mina
1%YesNo
Jason Miyares
1%YesNo
Winsome Earle-Sears
1%YesNo
Bryce Reeves
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Republican Party
54%YesNo
Democratic Party
47%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
December 31
95%YesNo
September 30
94%YesNo
August 31
94%YesNo
June 30
71%YesNo
June 15
10%YesNo
May 31
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$150M
70%YesNo
$300M
39%YesNo
$500M
20%YesNo
$800M
9%YesNo
$1B
7%YesNo
$2B
4%YesNo
$3B
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
December 31, 2026
13%YesNo
June 30, 2026
4%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ethereum all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
15%YesNo
September 30, 2026
8%YesNo
June 30, 2026
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
US strike on Colombia by...?
December 31
18%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
2.0T-2.5T
29%YesNo
1.5T-2.0T
26%YesNo
2.5T-3.0T
21%YesNo
3.0T-3.5T
9%YesNo
1.0T-1.5T
8%YesNo
<1.0T
5%YesNo
3.5T+
3%YesNo
No IPO before 2028
2%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Macron out by...?
June 30, 2026
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.politics
View details
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena Andersson
64%YesNo
Ulf Kristersson
26%YesNo
Jimmie Åkesson
3%YesNo
Ebba Busch
1%YesNo
Anna-Karin Hatt
0%YesNo
Amanda Lind
0%YesNo
Simona Mohamsson
0%YesNo
Daniel Helldén
0%YesNo
Nooshi Dadgostar
0%YesNo
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Russian strike on Poland by...?
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Human moon landing in 2026?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31
17%YesNo
June 30
4%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
87%YesNo
Anthropic
9%YesNo
OpenAI
3%YesNo
Kraken
1%YesNo
Discord
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
Stripe
0%YesNo
SHEIN
0%YesNo
Waymo
0%YesNo
Databricks
0%YesNo
Revolut
0%YesNo
Perplexity AI
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?
Peng
100%YesNo
Ship / Chip
100%YesNo
Iran
54%YesNo
AI / Artificial Intelligence
43%YesNo
Soybean
43%YesNo
Friend of mine
41%YesNo
Strait / Hormuz
40%YesNo
Tariff
39%YesNo
Rare earth
32%YesNo
Nuclear
27%YesNo
Taiwan / Tibet
24%YesNo
Farmer
21%YesNo
Japan / Korea
20%YesNo
Hong Kong
20%YesNo
Fentanyl
18%YesNo
Tough Negotiator
17%YesNo
Great Wall
17%YesNo
TikTok
15%YesNo
Hottest
14%YesNo
Tanker
14%YesNo
Covid / Pandemic
13%YesNo
Shanghai
12%YesNo
Forbidden City
8%YesNo
IQ
8%YesNo
Mao
7%YesNo
North Korea / Kim Jong Un
6%YesNo
Cookie
5%YesNo
Sleepy Joe
5%YesNo
Six Seven
3%YesNo
Autopen / Auto Pen
3%YesNo
Kamikaze
3%YesNo
Crypto / Bitcoin
2%YesNo
Transgender
2%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Who visited Epstein's Island?
Richard Branson
100%YesNo
Woody Allen
6%YesNo
Bill Clinton
4%YesNo
Kevin Spacey
4%YesNo
Deepak Chopra
4%YesNo
Harvey Weinstein
4%YesNo
Peter Attia
3%YesNo
Steven Tisch
3%YesNo
Steve Bannon
2%YesNo
Bill Gates
2%YesNo
Jay-Z
2%YesNo
Elon Musk
2%YesNo
Michael Jackson
2%YesNo
Donald Trump
2%YesNo
Noam Chomsky
2%YesNo
Hillary Clinton
2%YesNo
Bill Cosby
1%YesNo
Marco Rubio
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon Musk
90%YesNo
Warren Buffett
1%YesNo
Jensen Huang
1%YesNo
Mark Zuckerberg
1%YesNo
Steve Ballmer
1%YesNo
Sergey Brin
1%YesNo
Bernard Arnault
1%YesNo
Larry Page
1%YesNo
Jeff Bezos
0%YesNo
Larry Ellison
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
June 30
96%YesNo
May 31
93%YesNo
May 22
64%YesNo
May 15
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
Super Heavy booster explodes?
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
Successful splash down?
0%YesNo
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Democratic
60%YesNo
Republican
39%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Karen Bass
60%YesNo
Spencer Pratt
24%YesNo
Nithya Raman
17%YesNo
Adam Miller
1%YesNo
Rae Huang
1%YesNo
Asaad Alnajjar
0%YesNo
Austin Beutner
0%YesNo
Monica Rodriguez
0%YesNo
Rick Caruso
0%YesNo
Gina Viola
0%YesNo
Lindsey Horvath
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
June 30
25%YesNo
May 31
9%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
Goldman Sachs
49%YesNo
Morgan Stanley
37%YesNo
Bank of America
15%YesNo
JPMorgan
0%YesNo
Citigroup
0%YesNo
UBS
0%YesNo
Barclays
0%YesNo
Deutsche Bank
0%YesNo
Wells Fargo
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
June 30, 2026
7%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting
31%YesNo
October Meeting
25%YesNo
September Meeting
17%YesNo
July Meeting
9%YesNo
June Meeting
2%YesNo
January Meeting
0%YesNo
April Meeting
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.politics
View details
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2026
71%YesNo
1.5T+
11%YesNo
1.25T–1.5T
3%YesNo
500–750B
3%YesNo
750B–1T
2%YesNo
1T–1.25T
2%YesNo
<500B
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
>$1T
95%YesNo
>$1.2T
94%YesNo
>$1.4T
90%YesNo
>$1.6T
85%YesNo
>$1.8T
79%YesNo
>$2T
70%YesNo
>$2.2T
48%YesNo
>$2.4T
35%YesNo
>$3T
15%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
May 31
6%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Kraken IPO by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
60%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Anthropic
100%YesNo
OpenAI
11%YesNo
Meta
5%YesNo
xAI
5%YesNo
Baidu
3%YesNo
Mistral
3%YesNo
Z.ai
3%YesNo
DeepSeek
2%YesNo
Alibaba
2%YesNo
Meituan
1%YesNo
Nvidia
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
June 30
19%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron Donalds
89%YesNo
James Fishback
9%YesNo
Jay Collins
3%YesNo
Casey DeSantis
0%YesNo
Wilton Simpson
0%YesNo
Matt Gaetz
0%YesNo
Jimmy Patronis
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner
Park Soo-hyun
95%YesNo
Kim Tae-heum
3%YesNo
Yang Seung-jo
1%YesNo
Chung Jin-suk
1%YesNo
Kang Seung-kyu
0%YesNo
Moon Jin-seok
0%YesNo
Yoon Sang-hyun
0%YesNo
Sung Il-jong
0%YesNo
Kang Hoon-sik
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Ukraine election called by...?
June 30, 2026
3%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
View details
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$800B
72%YesNo
$1T
60%YesNo
$1.2T
57%YesNo
$1.4T
55%YesNo
$1.6T
53%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
December 31, 2026
15%YesNo
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
68%YesNo
Google
22%YesNo
OpenAI
6%YesNo
xAI
3%YesNo
DeepSeek
1%YesNo
Alibaba
1%YesNo
Z.ai
1%YesNo
Meta
1%YesNo
Microsoft
1%YesNo
Moonshot
1%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
US recession by end of 2026?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$1m Vol.politics
View details
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↓ 3.5%
100%YesNo
↓ 3.25%
32%YesNo
↓ 3.0%
14%YesNo
↓ 2.75%
9%YesNo
↓ 2.5%
9%YesNo
↓ 2.25%
8%YesNo
↑ 4.25%
7%YesNo
↓ 1.25%
7%YesNo
↓ 1.0%
7%YesNo
↓ 2.0%
7%YesNo
↓ 1.5%
7%YesNo
↓ 1.75%
6%YesNo
↓ 0.25%
6%YesNo
↓ 0.5%
6%YesNo
↓ 0%
5%YesNo
↑ 4.5%
5%YesNo
↑ 5.5%
4%YesNo
↑ 5.0%
4%YesNo
↑ 4.75%
4%YesNo
↑ 5.25%
2%YesNo
$1m Vol.politics
View details
StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$200M
73%YesNo
$400M
43%YesNo
$800M
18%YesNo
$1B
13%YesNo
$2B
4%YesNo
$3B
3%YesNo
$5B
2%YesNo
$7B
1%YesNo
$10B
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Russia nuclear test by...?
September 30, 2026
4%YesNo
December 31, 2026
4%YesNo
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 31
59%YesNo
June 30
20%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)
95%YesNo
New People (NL)
3%YesNo
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
1%YesNo
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%YesNo
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
0%YesNo
Rodina
0%YesNo
Civic Platform (GP)
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
View details
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Yes
57%YesNo
No
43%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
December 31
23%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
US forces enter Venezuela again by...?
June 30
6%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
June 30
10%YesNo
May 31
2%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Israel x Syria security agreement by...?
June 30
10%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
99%YesNo
600B+
1%YesNo
300–400B
0%YesNo
400–600B
0%YesNo
200–300B
0%YesNo
<100B
0%YesNo
100–200B
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
10–15s
99%YesNo
15s+
1%YesNo
No Handshake
0%YesNo
<2s
0%YesNo
6–10s
0%YesNo
Photographed only
0%YesNo
2–6s
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
June 30
2%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
7
39%YesNo
8
31%YesNo
9
13%YesNo
10
4%YesNo
11
4%YesNo
13
2%YesNo
15+
1%YesNo
14
1%YesNo
12
1%YesNo
0
0%YesNo
2
0%YesNo
6
0%YesNo
1
0%YesNo
3
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
July 31
87%YesNo
June 30
74%YesNo
May 31
74%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?
June 30, 2026
1%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
96%YesNo
$200M
93%YesNo
$300M
72%YesNo
$500M
51%YesNo
$800M
24%YesNo
$1B
18%YesNo
$2B
4%YesNo
$3B
2%YesNo
$4B
2%YesNo
$5B
1%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
OpenAI IPO by...?
December 31, 2026
27%YesNo
June 30, 2026
1%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
May 31
8%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?
López Aliaga & Fujimori
0%YesNo
López Aliaga & López Chau
0%YesNo
López Aliaga & Nieto
0%YesNo
López Chau & Fujimori
0%YesNo
López Chau & Nieto
0%YesNo
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
0%YesNo
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
0%YesNo
López Aliaga & Grozo
0%YesNo
Fujimori & Nieto
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
View details
Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?
Dopropillia
8%YesNo
Druzkhivka
7%YesNo
Sloviansk
4%YesNo
Kramatorsk
4%YesNo
Kherson
2%YesNo
Sumy
2%YesNo
Kharkiv
1%YesNo
Zaporizhia
1%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Rafael López Aliaga
98%YesNo
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
0%YesNo
Carlos Álvarez
0%YesNo
Fernando Olivera
0%YesNo
Keiko Fujimori
0%YesNo
José Luna
0%YesNo
Fiorella Molinelli
0%YesNo
Ricardo Belmont
0%YesNo
Yonhy Lescano
0%YesNo
Wolfgang Grozo
0%YesNo
Alfonso López Chau
0%YesNo
George Forsyth
0%YesNo
Enrique Valderrama
0%YesNo
Mesías Guevara
0%YesNo
Jorge Nieto
0%YesNo
César Acuña
0%YesNo
Roberto Chiabra
0%YesNo
Carlos Espá
0%YesNo
Marisol Pérez Tello
0%YesNo
Mario Vizcarra
0%YesNo
Vladimir Cerrón
0%YesNo
José Williams
0%YesNo
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
View details
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
KY-04 Republican Primary Winner
Thomas Massie
64%YesNo
Ed Gallrein
37%YesNo
Nicole Lee Ethington
0%YesNo
Robert Wells Jr.
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
View details
Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
91%YesNo
Sweden Democrats (SD)
4%YesNo
Moderate Party (M)
4%YesNo
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%YesNo
Left Party (V)
0%YesNo
Christian Democrats (KD)
0%YesNo
Liberals (L)
0%YesNo
Centre Party (C)
0%YesNo
Green Party (MP)
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
View details
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
Pause–Pause–Pause
96%YesNo
Pause–Pause–Cut
3%YesNo
Pause–Cut–Pause
0%YesNo
Pause–Cut–Cut
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.politics
View details
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
Paramount
76%YesNo
None by June 30, 2027
18%YesNo
Netflix
0%YesNo
Comcast
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
72%YesNo
$1m Vol.politics
View details
Dublin-Central By-Election Winner
Daniel Ennis
69%YesNo
Janice Boylan
22%YesNo
Gerry Hutch
5%YesNo
Ray McAdam
2%YesNo
Gillian Sherratt
1%YesNo
Janet Horner
1%YesNo
Ian Noel Smyth
0%YesNo
Mary Fitzpatrick
0%YesNo
Malachy Steenson
0%YesNo
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
0%YesNo
Séamas McGrattan
0%YesNo
John Stephens
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
View details
Will any country leave NATO by...?
December 31, 2026
7%YesNo
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
French election called by...?
June 30, 2026
1%YesNo
September 15
0%YesNo
October 10
0%YesNo
October 17
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
View details
Who will acquire TikTok?
Larry Ellison/Oracle
100%YesNo
Microsoft
6%YesNo
Walmart
5%YesNo
Amazon
3%YesNo
AppLovin
3%YesNo
Meta
2%YesNo
Elon Musk / X (Twitter)
1%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on May 15?
70,000
100%YesNo
72,000
100%YesNo
74,000
100%YesNo
76,000
100%YesNo
78,000
98%YesNo
80,000
89%YesNo
82,000
46%YesNo
84,000
10%YesNo
86,000
1%YesNo
88,000
0%YesNo
90,000
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Israeli parliament dissolved by...?
June 30
46%YesNo
May 31
14%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?
June 30
3%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Alaska Governor Election Winner
Tom Begich
36%YesNo
Bernadette Wilson
25%YesNo
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
10%YesNo
Treg Taylor
10%YesNo
Click Bishop
8%YesNo
Nancy Dahlstrom
6%YesNo
David Bronson
6%YesNo
Matt Claman
0%YesNo
James Parkin
0%YesNo
Edna DeVries
0%YesNo
Mary Peltola
0%YesNo
Adam Crum
0%YesNo
Shelley Hughes
0%YesNo
Lisa Murkowski
0%YesNo
Hank Kroll
0%YesNo
Matt Heilala
0%YesNo
Bruce Walden
0%YesNo
$968K Vol.elections
View details
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
2.0T+
61%YesNo
1.8T–2.0T
11%YesNo
1.6T–1.8T
9%YesNo
1.4T–1.6T
8%YesNo
<1.0T
4%YesNo
1.2T–1.4T
3%YesNo
1.0T–1.2T
2%YesNo
No IPO before 2028
1%YesNo
$947K Vol.tech
View details
India strike on Pakistan by...?
December 31, 2026
27%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 14
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$946K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?
December 31
13%YesNo
May 31
2%YesNo
$938K Vol.geopolitics
View details
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
December 31
16%YesNo
July 31
14%YesNo
$937K Vol.tech
View details
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 3%
100%YesNo
Above 3.5%
100%YesNo
Above 4%
97%YesNo
Above 4.5%
62%YesNo
Above 5%
34%YesNo
Above 6%
18%YesNo
Above 8%
8%YesNo
Above 10%
6%YesNo
$928K Vol.politics
View details
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
September 30
14%YesNo
May 31
3%YesNo
$922K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
77%YesNo
<15B
15%YesNo
25–30B
8%YesNo
15–20B
7%YesNo
30B+
1%YesNo
20–25B
1%YesNo
$889K Vol.tech
View details
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?
↑ 38
100%YesNo
↓ 32
100%YesNo
↓ 24
100%YesNo
↑ 34
100%YesNo
↓ 28
100%YesNo
↑ 46
89%YesNo
↑ 50
83%YesNo
↑ 54
67%YesNo
↑ 58
47%YesNo
↑ 66
37%YesNo
↑ 62
37%YesNo
↑ 70
35%YesNo
↓ 20
28%YesNo
↑ 80
25%YesNo
↑ 100
19%YesNo
↓ 16
17%YesNo
↓ 12
10%YesNo
↓ 8
6%YesNo
$872K Vol.tech
View details
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$861K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?
September 30
21%YesNo
May 31
4%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$854K Vol.geopolitics
View details
New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner
Greg Hull
74%YesNo
Duke Rodriguez
19%YesNo
Doug Turner
4%YesNo
Brian Cillessen
0%YesNo
John Sanchez
0%YesNo
Susana Martinez
0%YesNo
Judith Nakamura
0%YesNo
Steve Lanier
0%YesNo
Mark Murphy
0%YesNo
Belinda Robertson
0%YesNo
$844K Vol.elections
View details
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
June 30
18%YesNo
May 31
3%YesNo
$840K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Israel closes its airspace by...?
June 30
42%YesNo
May 31
27%YesNo
$822K Vol.tech
View details
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$800K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
Gold
42%YesNo
Bitcoin
32%YesNo
S&P 500
26%YesNo
$793K Vol.tech
View details
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$792K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
26%YesNo
September 30, 2026
8%YesNo
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
$766K Vol.tech
View details
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
June 30, 2026
14%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$762K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Yes
96%YesNo
No
4%YesNo
$757K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Bitcoin hit May 11-17?
↑ 82,000
100%YesNo
↑ 84,000
37%YesNo
↓ 78,000
12%YesNo
↑ 86,000
10%YesNo
↑ 88,000
3%YesNo
↓ 76,000
3%YesNo
↓ 74,000
2%YesNo
↓ 72,000
1%YesNo
↑ 90,000
1%YesNo
↓ 70,000
1%YesNo
↓ 68,000
1%YesNo
↑ 92,000
1%YesNo
↓ 66,000
0%YesNo
↑ 94,000
0%YesNo
$757K Vol.tech
View details
Solstice FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
94%YesNo
$100M
67%YesNo
$200M
31%YesNo
$300M
16%YesNo
$400M
6%YesNo
$733K Vol.tech
View details
2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner
Chun Jae-soo
54%YesNo
Park Heong-joon
48%YesNo
Hong Soon-heon
0%YesNo
Suh Byung-soo
0%YesNo
Cho Kyoung-tae
0%YesNo
Park Seong-hoon
0%YesNo
Choi In-ho
0%YesNo
Lee Jae-sung
0%YesNo
Kim Do-eup
0%YesNo
Park Jae-ho
0%YesNo
Kim Young-choon
0%YesNo
Cho Kuk
0%YesNo
$726K Vol.elections
View details
What price will Solana hit in 2026?
↓ 120
100%YesNo
↓ 80
100%YesNo
↑ 140
100%YesNo
↓ 100
100%YesNo
↓ 60
59%YesNo
↑ 160
33%YesNo
↓ 40
33%YesNo
↑ 180
22%YesNo
↑ 200
14%YesNo
↑ 220
14%YesNo
↑ 240
11%YesNo
↓ 20
10%YesNo
↑ 280
9%YesNo
↑ 300
9%YesNo
↑ 260
8%YesNo
↑ 320
7%YesNo
↑ 400
5%YesNo
↑ 600
4%YesNo
$718K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture Sumy by...?
March 31, 2027
17%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$711K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$709K Vol.politics
View details
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$708K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD
94%YesNo
CDU
6%YesNo
BSW
1%YesNo
The Left
0%YesNo
FDP
0%YesNo
SPD
0%YesNo
The Greens
0%YesNo
$698K Vol.elections
View details
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Tim Cook - Apple
100%YesNo
Sam Altman - OpenAI
21%YesNo
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
12%YesNo
Andy Jassy - Amazon
11%YesNo
Dan Clancy - Twitch
9%YesNo
Sundar Pichai - Google
3%YesNo
$692K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin best month in 2026?
December
17%YesNo
November
16%YesNo
October
16%YesNo
September
13%YesNo
August
12%YesNo
June
12%YesNo
July
10%YesNo
May
7%YesNo
April
7%YesNo
January
0%YesNo
March
0%YesNo
February
0%YesNo
$684K Vol.tech
View details
U.S. nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026
9%YesNo
September 30, 2026
6%YesNo
June 30, 2026
1%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$666K Vol.geopolitics
View details
US x Russia military clash by...?
December 31, 2026
7%YesNo
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$663K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
Steve Hilton
81%YesNo
Xavier Becerra
66%YesNo
Tom Steyer
46%YesNo
Chad Bianco
6%YesNo
Kyle Langford
6%YesNo
Matt Mahan
5%YesNo
Antonio Villaraigosa
3%YesNo
Ethan Agarwal
3%YesNo
Jimmy Parker
3%YesNo
Brandon Jones
2%YesNo
Ryan Tillman
2%YesNo
Katie Porter
2%YesNo
Nicki Minaj
2%YesNo
Raji Rab
2%YesNo
Betty Yee
2%YesNo
Ian Calderon
2%YesNo
Tony Thurmond
2%YesNo
Carolina Buhler
2%YesNo
Zoltan Istvan
2%YesNo
Leo Zacky
2%YesNo
Derek Grasty
1%YesNo
Eric Swalwell
1%YesNo
Leonard Jackson
1%YesNo
Butch Ware
1%YesNo
Sophia Brink
1%YesNo
Daniel Mercuri
1%YesNo
Nicholas Thompson
1%YesNo
David Serpa
1%YesNo
Ramsey Robinson
1%YesNo
Dylan Colbert
1%YesNo
Thunder Parley
1%YesNo
Ché Ahn
0%YesNo
$650K Vol.elections
View details
Will fomo.family launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
31%YesNo
September 30, 2026
18%YesNo
June 30, 2026
3%YesNo
$639K Vol.tech
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Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner
Derek Dooley
51%YesNo
Mike Collins
47%YesNo
Earl Carter
2%YesNo
Christoph La'Flare Chapman
0%YesNo
Rick Temple
0%YesNo
Reagan Box
0%YesNo
Christina Loren Clement
0%YesNo
Jonathan McColumn
0%YesNo
Vinson Watkins
0%YesNo
$627K Vol.elections
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Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
The Netherlands
23%YesNo
Belgium
21%YesNo
New Zealand
19%YesNo
Finland
17%YesNo
Japan
17%YesNo
Italy
16%YesNo
Greece
11%YesNo
Germany
6%YesNo
United States
6%YesNo
Austria
4%YesNo
$625K Vol.geopolitics
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Ethereum above ___ on May 14?
1,800
100%YesNo
1,900
100%YesNo
2,000
100%YesNo
2,100
100%YesNo
2,200
100%YesNo
2,300
100%YesNo
2,400
0%YesNo
2,500
0%YesNo
2,600
0%YesNo
2,700
0%YesNo
2,800
0%YesNo
$615K Vol.tech
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Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
June 30
13%YesNo
$613K Vol.geopolitics
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Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$608K Vol.geopolitics
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Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?
December 31
18%YesNo
$607K Vol.geopolitics
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Iran Nuke before 2027?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$602K Vol.geopolitics
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Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?
December 31
25%YesNo
June 30
11%YesNo
$594K Vol.geopolitics
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U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
June 30
6%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$592K Vol.geopolitics
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US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$583K Vol.geopolitics
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US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$579K Vol.geopolitics
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Bitcoin price on May 14?
80,000-82,000
100%YesNo
<70,000
0%YesNo
70,000-72,000
0%YesNo
72,000-74,000
0%YesNo
74,000-76,000
0%YesNo
76,000-78,000
0%YesNo
78,000-80,000
0%YesNo
82,000-84,000
0%YesNo
84,000-86,000
0%YesNo
86,000-88,000
0%YesNo
>88,000
0%YesNo
$576K Vol.tech
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Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?
December 31
44%YesNo
$575K Vol.elections
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Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$571K Vol.geopolitics
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Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$569K Vol.geopolitics
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Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland
37%YesNo
Azerbaijan
22%YesNo
Kuwait
14%YesNo
Saudi Arabia
14%YesNo
Oman
13%YesNo
Syria
12%YesNo
Lebanon
12%YesNo
$567K Vol.geopolitics
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Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$250M
85%YesNo
$500M
70%YesNo
$1B
41%YesNo
$2B
12%YesNo
$3B
5%YesNo
$567K Vol.tech
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FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$564K Vol.tech
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Gangwon Province Governor Election Winner
Woo Sang-ho
91%YesNo
Kim Jin-tae
9%YesNo
Kim Wan-seop
0%YesNo
Kweon Seong-dong
0%YesNo
Kim Do-kyun
0%YesNo
Song Gi-heon
0%YesNo
Lee Chul-gyu
0%YesNo
Lee Kwang-jae
0%YesNo
Won Chang-muk
0%YesNo
$560K Vol.elections
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Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
December 31, 2026
28%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$560K Vol.politics
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Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$557K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
December 31
7%YesNo
June 30
1%YesNo
$554K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$552K Vol.politics
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Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?
June 30
28%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
$552K Vol.geopolitics
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Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Yes
33%YesNo
No
67%YesNo
$551K Vol.geopolitics
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Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner
Dan Cox
57%YesNo
Ed Hale
32%YesNo
Larry Hogan
4%YesNo
John Myrick
3%YesNo
Steve Hershey
2%YesNo
Christopher Bouchat
0%YesNo
Carl Brunner
0%YesNo
Kurt Wedekind
0%YesNo
$546K Vol.elections
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Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Abdul El-Sayed
56%YesNo
Mallory McMorrow
26%YesNo
Haley Stevens
17%YesNo
Rashida Tlaib
0%YesNo
Sarah Anthony
0%YesNo
Kristen McDonald Rivet
0%YesNo
Andy Levin
0%YesNo
Matt Sahr
0%YesNo
Dana Nessel
0%YesNo
$543K Vol.elections
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Maduro Prison Time?
60+
35%YesNo
20–40
26%YesNo
No prison time
23%YesNo
40–60
10%YesNo
<20
5%YesNo
$527K Vol.geopolitics
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Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
Lebanese Forces (LF)
4%YesNo
Amal Movement (Amal)
3%YesNo
Marada Movement (MM)
2%YesNo
Islamic Group (IG)
2%YesNo
Popular Nasserist Organization (PNO)
1%YesNo
Taqaddom Party
1%YesNo
National Liberal Party (NLP)
1%YesNo
ReLebanon
1%YesNo
Free Patriotic Movement (FPM)
1%YesNo
Union Party (UP)
1%YesNo
Islamic Charitable Projects Association (ICPA)
1%YesNo
Hezbollah (Hezb)
1%YesNo
Watani Alliance (Watani)
1%YesNo
Kataeb Party (Kataeb)
1%YesNo
National Dialogue Party (NDP)
0%YesNo
Armenian Revolutionary Federation (ARF)
0%YesNo
Mada Party (Mada)
0%YesNo
Lana – Social Democratic Party (Lana)
0%YesNo
Progressive Socialist Party (PSP)
0%YesNo
Independence Movement (IM)
0%YesNo
Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon (Ba'ath)
0%YesNo
Khatt Ahmar
0%YesNo
Dignity Movement (DM)
0%YesNo
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China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%
74%YesNo
5.0–6.0%
21%YesNo
6.0-7.0%
2%YesNo
3.0–4.0%
2%YesNo
<1.0%
0%YesNo
7.0–8.0%
0%YesNo
1.0–2.0%
0%YesNo
8.0–9.0%
0%YesNo
2.0–3.0%
0%YesNo
9.0%+
0%YesNo
$521K Vol.geopolitics
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Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Keiko Fujimori 5%+
99%YesNo
Keiko Fujimori <5%
0%YesNo
Rafael López Aliaga <5%
0%YesNo
Alfonso López Chau 5%+
0%YesNo
Jorge Nieto
0%YesNo
Rafael López Aliaga 10-15%
0%YesNo
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
0%YesNo
Carlos Álvarez
0%YesNo
Rafael López Aliaga 15%+
0%YesNo
Rafael López Aliaga 5-10%
0%YesNo
Alfonso López Chau <5%
0%YesNo
Wolfgang Grozo
0%YesNo
$519K Vol.elections
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Quebec General Election Winner
PQ
56%YesNo
PLQ
28%YesNo
CAQ
10%YesNo
PCQ
0%YesNo
PVQ
0%YesNo
QS
0%YesNo
$504K Vol.elections
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Solana all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
10%YesNo
September 30, 2026
5%YesNo
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
$494K Vol.tech
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Will Abstract launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2026
32%YesNo
$488K Vol.tech
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Which banks will fail by June 30?
UBS
1%YesNo
JPMorgan Chase
1%YesNo
Goldman Sachs
1%YesNo
Scotiabank
1%YesNo
BNP Paribas
1%YesNo
HSBC
1%YesNo
Deutsche Bank
1%YesNo
Citigroup
1%YesNo
$487K Vol.politics
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Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
December 31
77%YesNo
September 30
66%YesNo
June 30
18%YesNo
May 31
4%YesNo
$481K Vol.geopolitics
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Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Maria Corina Machado
100%YesNo
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
100%YesNo
Xi Jinping
100%YesNo
Lula da Silva
100%YesNo
Javier Milei
100%YesNo
Abdel Fattah El-Sisi
100%YesNo
Friedrich Merz
100%YesNo
Mohammed bin Salman
81%YesNo
Keir Starmer
55%YesNo
Ahmed al-Sharaa
47%YesNo
Vladimir Putin
45%YesNo
Aleksandr Lukashenko
43%YesNo
MrBeast
24%YesNo
Pope Leo XIV
21%YesNo
Changpeng Zhao
20%YesNo
Kim Jong Un
15%YesNo
iShowSpeed
10%YesNo
Jair Bolsonaro
10%YesNo
Nicolás Maduro
10%YesNo
Nick Fuentes
8%YesNo
Lai Ching-te
7%YesNo
Yoon Suk Yeol
6%YesNo
Ali Khamenei
0%YesNo
$479K Vol.geopolitics
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Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?
December 31, 2027
48%YesNo
December 31, 2026
18%YesNo
June 30
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$479K Vol.tech
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Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Yes
30%YesNo
No
71%YesNo
$472K Vol.tech
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Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$471K Vol.geopolitics
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Peru Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place
Jorge Nieto
91%YesNo
Ricardo Belmont
1%YesNo
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
0%YesNo
Keiko Fujimori
0%YesNo
Carlos Álvarez
0%YesNo
Alfonso López Chau
0%YesNo
Roberto Chiabra
0%YesNo
José Williams
0%YesNo
Carlos Espá
0%YesNo
Yonhy Lescano
0%YesNo
Marisol Pérez Tello
0%YesNo
Rafael López Aliaga
0%YesNo
Mario Vizcarra
0%YesNo
César Acuña
0%YesNo
Vladimir Cerrón
0%YesNo
George Forsyth
0%YesNo
Enrique Valderrama
0%YesNo
Fiorella Molinelli
0%YesNo
Fernando Olivera
0%YesNo
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
0%YesNo
Mesías Guevara
0%YesNo
Wolfgang Grozo
0%YesNo
$469K Vol.elections
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Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Yes
82%YesNo
No
19%YesNo
$460K Vol.tech
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Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Yes
19%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$459K Vol.geopolitics
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Georgia Governor Republican Primary Winner
Rick Jackson
54%YesNo
Burt Jones
37%YesNo
Brad Raffensperger
5%YesNo
Chris Carr
1%YesNo
Gregg Kirkpatrick
0%YesNo
Clark Dean
0%YesNo
Ken Yasger
0%YesNo
Leland Olinger II
0%YesNo
$457K Vol.elections
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Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
74%YesNo
Google
19%YesNo
OpenAI
1%YesNo
Meta
0%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
$456K Vol.tech
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How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<5
60%YesNo
5-6
27%YesNo
7-8
6%YesNo
>16
3%YesNo
9-10
2%YesNo
11-12
2%YesNo
15-16
2%YesNo
13-14
1%YesNo
$449K Vol.tech
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Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Switzerland
100%YesNo
China
100%YesNo
France
92%YesNo
United Kingdom
81%YesNo
Turkey
66%YesNo
Japan
52%YesNo
Germany
52%YesNo
Israel
48%YesNo
South Korea
39%YesNo
Canada
36%YesNo
India
33%YesNo
Italy
25%YesNo
Mexico
22%YesNo
Russia
16%YesNo
Ukraine
16%YesNo
Pakistan
16%YesNo
North Korea
13%YesNo
Oman
12%YesNo
Belarus
10%YesNo
Taiwan
4%YesNo
Lebanon
4%YesNo
$436K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Israel annex any territory by...?
December 31, 2026
18%YesNo
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
0%YesNo
$434K Vol.geopolitics
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Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
June 30
7%YesNo
$432K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$432K Vol.politics
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Consensys IPO by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
28%YesNo
September 30, 2026
8%YesNo
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
$429K Vol.tech
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U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
June 30, 2026
12%YesNo
$426K Vol.geopolitics
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Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Yes
49%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$416K Vol.geopolitics
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Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?
Marco Rubio
100%YesNo
Any of Trump’s sons
100%YesNo
Scott Bessent
100%YesNo
Elon Musk
100%YesNo
Any CEO of a publicly-listed US company
100%YesNo
Tim Cook
100%YesNo
Steve Witkoff
1%YesNo
Jared Kushner
1%YesNo
J.D. Vance
0%YesNo
Melania Trump
0%YesNo
Mark Zuckerberg
0%YesNo
$415K Vol.geopolitics
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Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$70M
79%YesNo
$150M
26%YesNo
$200M
21%YesNo
$300M
10%YesNo
$400M
3%YesNo
$1B
1%YesNo
$407K Vol.tech
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Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$405K Vol.geopolitics
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AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner
Jay Feely
71%YesNo
Joseph Chaplik
27%YesNo
Jason Duey
2%YesNo
Matt Gress
1%YesNo
John Trobough
0%YesNo
Kaitlin Purrington
0%YesNo
Derrick Gallego
0%YesNo
Todd Graham
0%YesNo
Kari Lake
0%YesNo
Gina Swoboda
0%YesNo
Mark Brnovich
0%YesNo
Paul Reevs
0%YesNo
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
0%YesNo
Brandon Sowers
0%YesNo
$405K Vol.elections
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Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
87%YesNo
200–250B
2%YesNo
125–150B
2%YesNo
100–125B
1%YesNo
<100B
0%YesNo
250B+
0%YesNo
150–175B
0%YesNo
175–200B
0%YesNo
$404K Vol.tech
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Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Yes
35%YesNo
No
66%YesNo
$403K Vol.tech
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Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
70%YesNo
Google
17%YesNo
OpenAI
9%YesNo
xAI
3%YesNo
DeepSeek
2%YesNo
Meta
1%YesNo
Alibaba
1%YesNo
ByteDance
1%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
$399K Vol.tech
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EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
December 31
19%YesNo
June 30
2%YesNo
$399K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by...?
June 30
16%YesNo
$398K Vol.geopolitics
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ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
Not Extended & Democratic Party
80%YesNo
Not Extended & Republican Party
22%YesNo
Extended & Republican Party
0%YesNo
Extended & Democratic Party
0%YesNo
$397K Vol.elections
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Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Yes
35%YesNo
No
66%YesNo
$390K Vol.tech
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Who will enter Iran by June 30?
Any U.S. House member
5%YesNo
Any U.S. Senator
3%YesNo
Jared Kushner
2%YesNo
Marco Rubio
2%YesNo
Pete Hegseth
2%YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu
1%YesNo
JD Vance
1%YesNo
Donald Trump
0%YesNo
$387K Vol.geopolitics
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How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
5.0%
28%YesNo
5.5%
14%YesNo
6.0%
13%YesNo
7.0%
10%YesNo
10.0%
4%YesNo
$387K Vol.politics
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Gemini 3.2 released by...?
June 30
97%YesNo
May 31
97%YesNo
May 22
96%YesNo
May 15
0%YesNo
$378K Vol.tech
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Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Rob Sand
97%YesNo
Julie Stauch
1%YesNo
$376K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?
May 31
18%YesNo
$370K Vol.geopolitics
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Claude Mythos released by…?
June 30
12%YesNo
$366K Vol.tech
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# of seats won by PT in 2026 Thailand Legislative Election?
70–79
100%YesNo
110+
0%YesNo
<60
0%YesNo
90–99
0%YesNo
60–69
0%YesNo
80–89
0%YesNo
100–109
0%YesNo
$364K Vol.elections
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Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
75%YesNo
June 30, 2026
7%YesNo
$360K Vol.tech
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Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Keisha Lance Bottoms
92%YesNo
Mike Thurmond
8%YesNo
Jason Esteves
2%YesNo
Geoff Duncan
0%YesNo
Olujimi Brown
0%YesNo
Derrick Jackson
0%YesNo
Ruwa Romman
0%YesNo
$359K Vol.elections
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Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?
Scott Wiener
94%YesNo
Saikat Chakrabarti
8%YesNo
Connie Chan
1%YesNo
Cole Bettles
0%YesNo
Darren Helton
0%YesNo
Jingchao Xiong
0%YesNo
David Ganezer
0%YesNo
$357K Vol.elections
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China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$355K Vol.geopolitics
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Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$349K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Solstice launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
100%YesNo
September 30, 2026
99%YesNo
June 30, 2026
99%YesNo
$338K Vol.tech
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In which month will SpaceX IPO?
June
69%YesNo
August
22%YesNo
July
9%YesNo
No IPO before 2027
5%YesNo
September
3%YesNo
October
1%YesNo
November
1%YesNo
May
1%YesNo
December
0%YesNo
February
0%YesNo
March
0%YesNo
April
0%YesNo
$335K Vol.tech
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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 31
46%YesNo
October 31
39%YesNo
June 30
12%YesNo
May 31
3%YesNo
$330K Vol.geopolitics
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Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
Lebanon
4%YesNo
Syria
3%YesNo
Saudi Arabia
3%YesNo
Qatar
2%YesNo
Iraq
2%YesNo
North Korea
2%YesNo
Bangladesh
2%YesNo
Kuwait
2%YesNo
Cuba
1%YesNo
Pakistan
1%YesNo
Tunisia
1%YesNo
Venezuela
1%YesNo
Malaysia
1%YesNo
Afghanistan
1%YesNo
Indonesia
1%YesNo
$329K Vol.geopolitics
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Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
Shutdown & Democratic Party
78%YesNo
Shutdown & Republican Party
22%YesNo
No Shutdown & Democratic Party
0%YesNo
No Shutdown & Republican Party
0%YesNo
$323K Vol.elections
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Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$1B
30%YesNo
$2B
20%YesNo
$3B
15%YesNo
$322K Vol.tech
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Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola
62%YesNo
Dan Sullivan
37%YesNo
Dustin Darden
0%YesNo
Ann Diener
0%YesNo
Richard Grayson
0%YesNo
$319K Vol.elections
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Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
83%YesNo
Flavio Bolsonaro
71%YesNo
Fernando Haddad
8%YesNo
Michelle Bolsonaro
4%YesNo
Jair Bolsonaro
3%YesNo
Tarcisio de Frietas
3%YesNo
$316K Vol.elections
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Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$316K Vol.geopolitics
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Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
45%+
100%YesNo
40%+
100%YesNo
50%+
59%YesNo
55%+
31%YesNo
60%+
6%YesNo
$312K Vol.tech
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Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Fernando Dias da Costa
49%YesNo
Siga Batista
23%YesNo
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
5%YesNo
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
4%YesNo
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
3%YesNo
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%YesNo
Honório Augusto Lopes
2%YesNo
José Mário Vaz
2%YesNo
João Bernardo Vieira
1%YesNo
João de Deus Mendes
1%YesNo
Gabriel Fernando Indi
1%YesNo
Baciro Djá
0%YesNo
$311K Vol.elections
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GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 2026
81%YesNo
September 30, 2026
54%YesNo
June 30, 2026
11%YesNo
$304K Vol.tech
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UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$304K Vol.geopolitics
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How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
140-159
37%YesNo
160-179
30%YesNo
180-199
14%YesNo
120-139
6%YesNo
200 or more
5%YesNo
<100
1%YesNo
100-119
1%YesNo
$302K Vol.tech
View details
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?
↓ 0.16
100%YesNo
↓ 0.08
100%YesNo
↓ 1.00
100%YesNo
↓ 0.60
100%YesNo
↓ 0.20
100%YesNo
↓ 0.80
100%YesNo
↓ 0.40
100%YesNo
↑ 0.50
12%YesNo
↑ 1.20
12%YesNo
↑ 1.40
10%YesNo
↑ 1.80
7%YesNo
↑ 2.20
6%YesNo
↑ 2.00
4%YesNo
$301K Vol.tech
View details
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
31%YesNo
No
69%YesNo
$300K Vol.tech
View details
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
600B+
88%YesNo
No IPO by December 31, 2027
11%YesNo
400–600B
2%YesNo
300–400B
0%YesNo
<100B
0%YesNo
200–300B
0%YesNo
100–200B
0%YesNo
$298K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31
39%YesNo
June 30
3%YesNo
$293K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
30%+
100%YesNo
35%+
100%YesNo
45%+
18%YesNo
50%+
9%YesNo
55%+
5%YesNo
$283K Vol.tech
View details
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
$283K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by...?
July 31
16%YesNo
June 30
8%YesNo
May 31
5%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$281K Vol.geopolitics
View details
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$280K Vol.tech
View details
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Romeu Zema
38%YesNo
Renan Santos
32%YesNo
Ronaldo Caiado
17%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro
5%YesNo
Michelle Bolsonaro
5%YesNo
Eduardo Leite
5%YesNo
Fernando Haddad
3%YesNo
Camilo Santana
1%YesNo
Geraldo Alckmin
1%YesNo
Jair Bolsonaro
1%YesNo
Aldo Rebelo
1%YesNo
Tarcisio de Freitas
0%YesNo
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
0%YesNo
Eduardo Bolsonaro
0%YesNo
Ratinho Júnior
0%YesNo
$279K Vol.elections
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Felix FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$25M
71%YesNo
$50M
41%YesNo
$100M
28%YesNo
$300M
6%YesNo
$800M
5%YesNo
$500M
5%YesNo
$1B
2%YesNo
$2B
1%YesNo
$278K Vol.tech
View details
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Yes
32%YesNo
No
68%YesNo
$278K Vol.tech
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Will Ostium launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
70%YesNo
$277K Vol.tech
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Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?
December 31
97%YesNo
June 30
1%YesNo
$273K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Hyperbeat FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
31%YesNo
$200M
10%YesNo
$100M
4%YesNo
$400M
1%YesNo
$300M
0%YesNo
$272K Vol.tech
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OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$269K Vol.tech
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Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
South Korea
29%YesNo
India
25%YesNo
Canada
24%YesNo
Brazil
18%YesNo
Japan
18%YesNo
Indonesia
17%YesNo
Australia
14%YesNo
Argentina
14%YesNo
Vietnam
14%YesNo
Mexico
14%YesNo
Pakistan
13%YesNo
Russia
12%YesNo
Taiwan
11%YesNo
European Union
10%YesNo
$269K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$267K Vol.geopolitics
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Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?
December 31
18%YesNo
June 30
4%YesNo
$259K Vol.geopolitics
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Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner
Genter Drummond
46%YesNo
Chip Keating
23%YesNo
Mike Mazzei
20%YesNo
Charles McCall
10%YesNo
Matt Pinnell
1%YesNo
Leisa Mitchell Haynes
0%YesNo
Ryan Walters
0%YesNo
Jake Merrick
0%YesNo
$259K Vol.elections
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Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout
70-75%
97%YesNo
80-85%
1%YesNo
75-80%
0%YesNo
< 70%
0%YesNo
> 85%
0%YesNo
$259K Vol.elections
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What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Earbuds/Headphones
31%YesNo
Glasses
30%YesNo
Phone
21%YesNo
Watch
17%YesNo
Clip-on device for clothing
16%YesNo
Ring
16%YesNo
Necklace
14%YesNo
Head-mounted display
13%YesNo
Computer (Laptop/Desktop)
13%YesNo
Tablet
11%YesNo
$259K Vol.tech
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XRP all time high by ___?
September 30, 2026
8%YesNo
December 31, 2026
7%YesNo
June 30, 2026
3%YesNo
$257K Vol.tech
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Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won
PL
77%YesNo
REPUBLICANOS
7%YesNo
PSD
4%YesNo
PT
3%YesNo
PODEMOS
0%YesNo
PSDB
0%YesNo
PSB
0%YesNo
NOVO
0%YesNo
$254K Vol.elections
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Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026
20%YesNo
$254K Vol.tech
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Gemini 3.2 released on...?
May 19
91%YesNo
No release by May 31
3%YesNo
May 18
3%YesNo
May 20
3%YesNo
May 22
2%YesNo
May 21
2%YesNo
May 23
0%YesNo
May 17
0%YesNo
May 15
0%YesNo
May 16
0%YesNo
May 25
0%YesNo
May 27
0%YesNo
May 14
0%YesNo
May 24
0%YesNo
May 26
0%YesNo
May 28
0%YesNo
May 29
0%YesNo
May 30
0%YesNo
May 31
0%YesNo
On or prior to May 6
0%YesNo
$254K Vol.tech
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ECB Interest Rates: June 2026
25 bps Increase
82%YesNo
No change
18%YesNo
50+ bps increase
1%YesNo
25 bps decrease
0%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
0%YesNo
$239K Vol.politics
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Maine Senate Election Winner
Democrat
78%YesNo
Republican
23%YesNo
$238K Vol.elections
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Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
June 30
2%YesNo
$238K Vol.tech
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China x India military clash by...?
December 31, 2026
13%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
June 30
0%YesNo
$237K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?
↑ 600
100%YesNo
↓ 400
100%YesNo
↓ 200
100%YesNo
↓ 500
100%YesNo
↓ 300
100%YesNo
↑ 700
68%YesNo
↑ 800
56%YesNo
↑ 900
37%YesNo
↑ 1000
31%YesNo
↑ 1100
30%YesNo
↓ 100
20%YesNo
↓ 50
12%YesNo
$237K Vol.tech
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Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?
Miami
100%YesNo
Nashville
93%YesNo
Dallas
82%YesNo
Denver
10%YesNo
Las Vegas
9%YesNo
New York City
6%YesNo
London
4%YesNo
Washington DC
3%YesNo
Detroit
3%YesNo
$237K Vol.tech
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Bitcoin above ___ on May 16?
70,000
100%YesNo
72,000
100%YesNo
74,000
99%YesNo
76,000
99%YesNo
78,000
96%YesNo
80,000
85%YesNo
82,000
47%YesNo
84,000
13%YesNo
86,000
3%YesNo
88,000
1%YesNo
90,000
1%YesNo
$235K Vol.tech
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Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$235K Vol.tech
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Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$232K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Lula da Silva <5%
39%YesNo
Lula da Silva 5-10%
30%YesNo
Lula da Silva 10-15%
22%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro <5%
19%YesNo
Tarcisio de Freitas Victory
17%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro 5-10%
7%YesNo
Renan Santos Victory
4%YesNo
Lula da Silva 15%+
3%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro 10%+
2%YesNo
Ratinho Júnior Victory
0%YesNo
$231K Vol.elections
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Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Democrats (D)
96%YesNo
New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)
96%YesNo
Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)
95%YesNo
Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)
81%YesNo
Party of Generations (SG)
43%YesNo
Freedom Movement (GS)
4%YesNo
The Left (Levica)
3%YesNo
Resni.ca (Res)
2%YesNo
Social Democrats (SD)
1%YesNo
Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)
1%YesNo
Our Country (ND)
1%YesNo
Prerod (PVP)
1%YesNo
Slovenian National Party (SNS)
0%YesNo
Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)
0%YesNo
$229K Vol.elections
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What price will Ethena hit in 2026?
↓ 0.24
100%YesNo
↓ 0.20
100%YesNo
↑ 0.28
100%YesNo
↓ 0.08
100%YesNo
↓ 0.04
49%YesNo
↑ 0.32
22%YesNo
↑ 0.52
14%YesNo
↑ 0.60
13%YesNo
↑ 0.80
13%YesNo
↑ 0.70
11%YesNo
↑ 1.00
9%YesNo
↑ 1.20
7%YesNo
$227K Vol.tech
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US x Cuba economic deal by...?
June 30
24%YesNo
$222K Vol.geopolitics
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Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$220K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Theo launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
67%YesNo
September 30, 2026
51%YesNo
June 30, 2026
16%YesNo
$219K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$216K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$216K Vol.elections
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How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
4.0%
100%YesNo
3.9%
57%YesNo
3.8%
49%YesNo
3.5%
36%YesNo
3.6%
36%YesNo
3.7%
31%YesNo
1.0%
4%YesNo
$214K Vol.politics
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Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD
88%YesNo
SPD
13%YesNo
CDU
1%YesNo
Grüne
1%YesNo
FDP
0%YesNo
BSW
0%YesNo
Linke
0%YesNo
FW
0%YesNo
$211K Vol.elections
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Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$208K Vol.geopolitics
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Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$203K Vol.tech
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Texas Senate Election Winner
Republican
54%YesNo
Democrat
46%YesNo
$202K Vol.elections
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How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.3%
100%YesNo
4.4%
100%YesNo
4.5%
87%YesNo
4.6%
51%YesNo
4.8%
23%YesNo
5.0%
11%YesNo
5.2%
9%YesNo
5.5%
7%YesNo
5.7%
7%YesNo
6.0%
5%YesNo
$200K Vol.politics
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Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner
Andy Barr
98%YesNo
Daniel Cameron
3%YesNo
Mike Faris
0%YesNo
Nate Morris
0%YesNo
Wende Kennedy
0%YesNo
Andrew Shelley
0%YesNo
$199K Vol.elections
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US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$199K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
May 31
4%YesNo
$199K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$197K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$195K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Axiom launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
14%YesNo
$192K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
December 31
24%YesNo
June 30
2%YesNo
$192K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
96%YesNo
September 30, 2026
68%YesNo
June 30, 2026
7%YesNo
$192K Vol.tech
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Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$192K Vol.geopolitics
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Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Yes
46%YesNo
No
54%YesNo
$190K Vol.geopolitics
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Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$189K Vol.geopolitics
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Will USDT market cap hit $200B by ___?
December 31, 2026
99%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$187K Vol.tech
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Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$186K Vol.geopolitics
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How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
1-100
68%YesNo
101-1k
13%YesNo
>100k
11%YesNo
2.5k-5k
4%YesNo
1k-2.5k
4%YesNo
25k-100k
2%YesNo
10k-25k
2%YesNo
5k-10k
1%YesNo
0
0%YesNo
$185K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?
1460+
88%YesNo
1480+
1%YesNo
1500+
1%YesNo
1490+
1%YesNo
1510+
1%YesNo
1520+
0%YesNo
$184K Vol.tech
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Israel military action against Damascus by...?
June 30
40%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
$183K Vol.geopolitics
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Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?
December 31, 2026
27%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$183K Vol.tech
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Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Yes
100%YesNo
No
1%YesNo
$182K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$181K Vol.tech
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Michigan Governor Election Winner
Democrat
70%YesNo
Republican
17%YesNo
$181K Vol.elections
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Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner
Civil Contract
93%YesNo
Strong Armenia
6%YesNo
Armenia Alliance
0%YesNo
Prosperous Armenia
0%YesNo
I Have Honor Alliance
0%YesNo
Armenian National Congress
0%YesNo
Bright Armenia
0%YesNo
Heritage
0%YesNo
Orinats Yerkir
0%YesNo
Hanrapetutyun Party
0%YesNo
$181K Vol.elections
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Ethereum above ___ on May 15?
1,800
100%YesNo
2,000
100%YesNo
2,100
100%YesNo
2,200
98%YesNo
2,300
60%YesNo
2,400
9%YesNo
2,500
1%YesNo
2,600
0%YesNo
2,700
0%YesNo
2,800
0%YesNo
$175K Vol.tech
View details
B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner
Caroline Elliott
78%YesNo
Kerry-Lynne Findlay
13%YesNo
Yuri Fulmer
4%YesNo
Iain Black
4%YesNo
Peter Milobar
4%YesNo
Bruce Banman
0%YesNo
Harman Bhangu
0%YesNo
Warren Hamm
0%YesNo
Darrell Jones
0%YesNo
$172K Vol.elections
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Will Ventuals launch a token by ___ ?
December 31 2026
75%YesNo
September 30 2026
74%YesNo
$168K Vol.tech
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Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ?
December 31 2026
32%YesNo
September 30 2026
20%YesNo
June 30 2026
1%YesNo
$165K Vol.tech
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Who will Bernie endorse?
James Talarico - TX-Sen
90%YesNo
Dan Osborn - NE-Sen
55%YesNo
Kshama Sawant - WA-09
32%YesNo
Zach Wahls - IA-Sen
16%YesNo
Alan Grayson - FL-Sen
10%YesNo
Antonio Delgado - NY-Gov
7%YesNo
Omar Fateh - Minneapolis Mayor
0%YesNo
$164K Vol.politics
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What price will XRP hit in 2026?
↓ 2.00
100%YesNo
↓ 1.20
100%YesNo
↓ 1.80
100%YesNo
↑ 2.40
100%YesNo
↓ 1.40
100%YesNo
↓ 1.60
100%YesNo
↓ 1.00
50%YesNo
↑ 2.60
33%YesNo
↓ 0.80
30%YesNo
↓ 0.60
24%YesNo
↑ 2.80
23%YesNo
↑ 3.00
19%YesNo
↓ 0.40
17%YesNo
↑ 3.20
14%YesNo
↑ 3.80
13%YesNo
↑ 3.40
11%YesNo
↑ 5.00
8%YesNo
↓ 0.20
6%YesNo
↑ 4.20
6%YesNo
$163K Vol.tech
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Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
May 31
4%YesNo
$163K Vol.geopolitics
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How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?
11
37%YesNo
12+
16%YesNo
7
9%YesNo
10
5%YesNo
9
5%YesNo
8
4%YesNo
6
2%YesNo
≤5
1%YesNo
$162K Vol.tech
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Anthropic CEO arrested?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$162K Vol.tech
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Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Yes
85%YesNo
No
15%YesNo
$161K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by...?
May 31
35%YesNo
$161K Vol.geopolitics
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Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Yes
73%YesNo
No
28%YesNo
$160K Vol.tech
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Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Yes
92%YesNo
No
9%YesNo
$159K Vol.geopolitics
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Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner
FP
100%YesNo
AP
1%YesNo
PL
0%YesNo
APP
0%YesNo
RP
0%YesNo
SP
0%YesNo
PP
0%YesNo
JP
0%YesNo
AvP
0%YesNo
$157K Vol.elections
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Will Daylight launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2026
42%YesNo
September 30, 2026
25%YesNo
June 30, 2026
16%YesNo
$157K Vol.tech
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Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
Dong Jun
12%YesNo
Wang Huning
7%YesNo
Zhang Shengmin
6%YesNo
Wang Yi
6%YesNo
Ding Xuexiang
5%YesNo
Zhao Leji
5%YesNo
Li Qiang
4%YesNo
Cai Qi
4%YesNo
Li Xi
2%YesNo
$157K Vol.geopolitics
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Grok 5 released by...?
June 30, 2026
11%YesNo
$156K Vol.tech
View details
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$153K Vol.tech
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Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Yes
22%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$153K Vol.geopolitics
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Spain snap election called by...?
June 30, 2026
10%YesNo
$153K Vol.elections
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What price will Ethereum hit May 11-17?
↑ 2,400
35%YesNo
↓ 2,200
22%YesNo
↑ 2,500
6%YesNo
↓ 2,100
2%YesNo
↑ 2,600
1%YesNo
↓ 2,000
1%YesNo
↓ 1,900
1%YesNo
↑ 2,700
1%YesNo
↓ 1,700
0%YesNo
↓ 1,800
0%YesNo
↑ 2,900
0%YesNo
↑ 3,000
0%YesNo
↓ 1,600
0%YesNo
$152K Vol.tech
View details
When will Trump leave China?
May 15
100%YesNo
May 16
0%YesNo
May 17
0%YesNo
May 18
0%YesNo
May 14
0%YesNo
After May 18
0%YesNo
Before May 13
0%YesNo
No visit by May 18
0%YesNo
$151K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Yes
92%YesNo
No
8%YesNo
$151K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$151K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
27%YesNo
June Meeting
1%YesNo
April Meeting
0%YesNo
$148K Vol.politics
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Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by...?
May 31
45%YesNo
$147K Vol.geopolitics
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U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$147K Vol.geopolitics
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Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?
December 31, 2026
33%YesNo
$145K Vol.tech
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Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by...?
May 17
57%YesNo
May 16
47%YesNo
May 15
27%YesNo
May 14
2%YesNo
$144K Vol.geopolitics
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Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Yes
31%YesNo
No
70%YesNo
$143K Vol.geopolitics
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Ethereum price on May 14?
2,300-2,400
100%YesNo
<1,800
0%YesNo
1,800-1,900
0%YesNo
1,900-2,000
0%YesNo
2,000-2,100
0%YesNo
2,100-2,200
0%YesNo
2,200-2,300
0%YesNo
2,400-2,500
0%YesNo
2,500-2,600
0%YesNo
2,600-2,700
0%YesNo
>2,700
0%YesNo
$143K Vol.tech
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Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Yes
81%YesNo
No
20%YesNo
$143K Vol.geopolitics
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Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$142K Vol.tech
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Who will Trump endorse?
Andy Barr - KY-Sen
100%YesNo
Steve Hilton - CA-Gov
100%YesNo
Lindsey Graham - SC-Sen
100%YesNo
Ken Paxton - TX-Sen
59%YesNo
John Cornyn - TX-Sen
30%YesNo
Winsome Earle-Sears - VA-Gov
0%YesNo
$141K Vol.politics
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South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner
Lindsey Graham
89%YesNo
Mark Lynch
11%YesNo
Paul Dans
0%YesNo
Thomas Murphy
0%YesNo
$140K Vol.elections
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Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO before 2028
50%YesNo
40B–50B
20%YesNo
50B–75B
13%YesNo
75B–100B
10%YesNo
<20B
7%YesNo
100B+
6%YesNo
30B–40B
6%YesNo
20B–30B
4%YesNo
$140K Vol.tech
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Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
36%YesNo
PT
24%YesNo
MUNDO-GB
11%YesNo
FLING
8%YesNo
PS
5%YesNo
FREPASNA
4%YesNo
$140K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Borova by...?
May 31
10%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$140K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by...?
June 30
36%YesNo
May 31
11%YesNo
$140K Vol.geopolitics
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How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?
50-60B
37%YesNo
70-80B
23%YesNo
80-90B
19%YesNo
<40B
12%YesNo
60-70B
10%YesNo
120B+
7%YesNo
40-50B
6%YesNo
90-100B
6%YesNo
110-120B
4%YesNo
100-110B
3%YesNo
$139K Vol.tech
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Kurds declare independence from Iran?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$139K Vol.geopolitics
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Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Alexander Vindman
91%YesNo
Jared Moskowitz
2%YesNo
Joey Atkins
1%YesNo
Josh Weil
1%YesNo
Jennifer Jenkins
0%YesNo
Angie Nixon
0%YesNo
Charlie Crist
0%YesNo
Alan Grayson
0%YesNo
$138K Vol.elections
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2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$138K Vol.geopolitics
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Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
40%+
86%YesNo
45%+
63%YesNo
50%+
61%YesNo
60%+
54%YesNo
$136K Vol.tech
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Bank of Brazil Decision in June?
Decrease
76%YesNo
No Change
23%YesNo
Increase
1%YesNo
$135K Vol.politics
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What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?
1.75-2.00T
59%YesNo
2.00-2.25T
28%YesNo
1.50-1.75T
22%YesNo
2.25-2.50T
16%YesNo
2.50T+
6%YesNo
1.25-1.50T
4%YesNo
<1.25T
0%YesNo
$133K Vol.tech
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Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
iRobot
100%YesNo
Beyond Meat
51%YesNo
MicroStrategy
11%YesNo
SoundHound AI
9%YesNo
Lovable
9%YesNo
Anthropic
8%YesNo
Carvana
8%YesNo
OpenAI
6%YesNo
$133K Vol.tech
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Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?
June 30
25%YesNo
May 31
14%YesNo
$132K Vol.tech
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Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Yes
88%YesNo
No
12%YesNo
$130K Vol.elections
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Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Adam Hamilton
86%YesNo
Patrick Schmidt
5%YesNo
Sandy Spidel Neumann
3%YesNo
Sharice Davids
1%YesNo
Kevin Latz
1%YesNo
Erik Murray
1%YesNo
Noah Taylor
0%YesNo
Christy Davis
0%YesNo
Damon Anderson
0%YesNo
Michael Soetaert
0%YesNo
Anne Parelkar
0%YesNo
Jason Hart
0%YesNo
$128K Vol.elections
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Bitcoin above ___ on May 17?
72,000
99%YesNo
74,000
98%YesNo
76,000
98%YesNo
78,000
95%YesNo
80,000
81%YesNo
82,000
47%YesNo
84,000
15%YesNo
86,000
3%YesNo
88,000
2%YesNo
90,000
1%YesNo
92,000
0%YesNo
$128K Vol.tech
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China coup attempt before 2027?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$128K Vol.geopolitics
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Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31
72%YesNo
June 30
29%YesNo
May 31
7%YesNo
$127K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$127K Vol.geopolitics
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Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?
Moderates
94%YesNo
Social Democrats
90%YesNo
Danish Social Liberal Party
80%YesNo
Venstre
52%YesNo
Green Left
50%YesNo
Red–Green Alliance
17%YesNo
Liberal Alliance
10%YesNo
The Alternative
9%YesNo
Naleraq
8%YesNo
Danish People’s Party
6%YesNo
Citizens’ Party
4%YesNo
Denmark Democrats
3%YesNo
Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)
1%YesNo
Inuit Ataqatigiit
0%YesNo
Union Party
0%YesNo
$125K Vol.elections
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Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?
December 31
17%YesNo
June 30
4%YesNo
$124K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?
May 31
18%YesNo
$124K Vol.geopolitics
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Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$123K Vol.geopolitics
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European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$123K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$122K Vol.geopolitics
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Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
December 31
9%YesNo
June 30
3%YesNo
$120K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$119K Vol.geopolitics
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Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$16B
49%YesNo
$20B
43%YesNo
$18B
42%YesNo
$22B
21%YesNo
$24B
17%YesNo
$26B
14%YesNo
$28B
8%YesNo
$119K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture Sofiivka by...?
June 30
22%YesNo
May 31
9%YesNo
$119K Vol.geopolitics
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Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
Janeese Lewis George
62%YesNo
Kenyan McDuffie
32%YesNo
Gary Goodweather
2%YesNo
Brooke Pinto
0%YesNo
Robert White Jr.
0%YesNo
Brianne K. Nadeau
0%YesNo
Karl Racine
0%YesNo
Brian Schwalb
0%YesNo
Christina Henderson
0%YesNo
Phil Mendelson
0%YesNo
$118K Vol.elections
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Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$116K Vol.tech
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Iowa Senate Election Winner
Republican
61%YesNo
Democrat
41%YesNo
$116K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Dobropillia by...?
June 30
10%YesNo
May 31
3%YesNo
$114K Vol.geopolitics
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Central African Republic National Assembly Election Winner
MCU
59%YesNo
KNK
19%YesNo
URCA
14%YesNo
RDC
9%YesNo
UNDP
1%YesNo
MOUNI
1%YesNo
MLPC
0%YesNo
$114K Vol.elections
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Bank of England decision in June?
No change
90%YesNo
25 bps increase
11%YesNo
50+ bps increase
0%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
0%YesNo
25 bps decrease
0%YesNo
$113K Vol.politics
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Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Republican
59%YesNo
Independent
38%YesNo
Democrat
4%YesNo
$113K Vol.elections
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Bank of Japan Decision in June?
25 bps increase
74%YesNo
No change
25%YesNo
50+ bps increase
1%YesNo
Decrease rates
1%YesNo
$113K Vol.politics
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Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes
37%YesNo
No
63%YesNo
$113K Vol.geopolitics
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Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner
Christine Drazan
89%YesNo
Ed Diehl
8%YesNo
Chris Dudley
4%YesNo
Danielle Bethell
1%YesNo
Kyle Duyck
0%YesNo
Robert Neuman
0%YesNo
Chael Sonnen
0%YesNo
Caleb Kintz
0%YesNo
David Medina
0%YesNo
Patrick Kopke-Hales
0%YesNo
Brad T. Peters
0%YesNo
$112K Vol.elections
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Michigan Senate Election Winner
Democrat
73%YesNo
Republican
27%YesNo
$112K Vol.elections
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ECB rate hike in 2026?
Yes
91%YesNo
No
10%YesNo
$112K Vol.politics
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Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?
May 31
11%YesNo
$112K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Yes
69%YesNo
No
31%YesNo
$111K Vol.tech
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2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
Kuomintang (KMT)
84%YesNo
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)
17%YesNo
Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)
1%YesNo
$111K Vol.elections
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Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
74%YesNo
September 30, 2026
51%YesNo
June 30, 2026
15%YesNo
$110K Vol.tech
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What price will BNB hit in 2026?
↓ 700
100%YesNo
↓ 800
100%YesNo
↓ 600
100%YesNo
↓ 500
67%YesNo
↓ 400
40%YesNo
↑ 1000
28%YesNo
↓ 300
24%YesNo
↓ 200
13%YesNo
↑ 1200
11%YesNo
↑ 1500
8%YesNo
↑ 1600
7%YesNo
$110K Vol.tech
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Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
1m
100%YesNo
1.1m
97%YesNo
1.2m
62%YesNo
1.4m
12%YesNo
1.3m
11%YesNo
1.5m
7%YesNo
2m
6%YesNo
1.7m
3%YesNo
$110K Vol.politics
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SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Yes
35%YesNo
No
65%YesNo
$110K Vol.tech
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Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Andrea Martella
84%YesNo
Simone Venturini
13%YesNo
Michele Boldrin
0%YesNo
Pierangelo Del Zotto
0%YesNo
Giovanni Andrea Martini
0%YesNo
$108K Vol.elections
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Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?
Anthropic
69%YesNo
OpenAI
18%YesNo
Google
14%YesNo
xAI
1%YesNo
ByteDance
1%YesNo
DeepSeek
1%YesNo
Meta
1%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
$108K Vol.tech
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Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
December 31, 2026
5%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$108K Vol.tech
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What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
↓ 0.0026
100%YesNo
↑ 0.0030
100%YesNo
↓ 0.0022
100%YesNo
↓ 0.0018
100%YesNo
↓ 0.0014
70%YesNo
↑ 0.0038
49%YesNo
↑ 0.0046
36%YesNo
↑ 0.0050
25%YesNo
↑ 0.0054
22%YesNo
↑ 0.0080
9%YesNo
↑ 0.0090
8%YesNo
$107K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?
May 31
1%YesNo
$107K Vol.geopolitics
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NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Claire Valdez
62%YesNo
Antonio Reynoso
35%YesNo
Julie Won
0%YesNo
Tiffany Cabán
0%YesNo
Kristen Gonzalez
0%YesNo
Lincoln Restler
0%YesNo
Julia Salazar
0%YesNo
Jennifer Gútierrez
0%YesNo
Sandy Nurse
0%YesNo
$107K Vol.elections
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Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$106K Vol.geopolitics
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US x China Military clash before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$106K Vol.geopolitics
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1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$106K Vol.tech
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Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$105K Vol.tech
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OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$105K Vol.tech
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Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?
1450+
71%YesNo
1470+
66%YesNo
1480+
0%YesNo
1520+
0%YesNo
1500+
0%YesNo
$105K Vol.tech
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Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$104K Vol.politics
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How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
300-400k
51%YesNo
400-500k
27%YesNo
200-300k
11%YesNo
500-600k
6%YesNo
<200k
2%YesNo
600-700k
1%YesNo
900k-1m
1%YesNo
>1m
1%YesNo
800-900k
1%YesNo
700-800k
0%YesNo
$104K Vol.geopolitics
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Maduro guilty of all counts?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$103K Vol.geopolitics
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Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
December 31, 2026
37%YesNo
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
$101K Vol.politics
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Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova
60%YesNo
Nikolai Denkov
12%YesNo
Vassil Terziev
12%YesNo
Rosen Zhelyazkov
5%YesNo
Boyko Borissov
4%YesNo
Blagomir Kotsev
0%YesNo
Kostadin Kostadinov
0%YesNo
Atanas Atanasov
0%YesNo
Delyan Peevski
0%YesNo
Rosen Plevneliev
0%YesNo
Krum Zarkov
0%YesNo
Yanaki Stoilov
0%YesNo
Natalia Kiselova
0%YesNo
$101K Vol.elections
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Which exchange will SpaceX list on?
NASDAQ
96%YesNo
NYSE
1%YesNo
$100K Vol.tech
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Andalusia Election Winner
PP
99%YesNo
PSOE-A
0%YesNo
VOX
0%YesNo
AA
0%YesNo
PA
0%YesNo
$100K Vol.elections
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Will GMGN launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
16%YesNo
$100K Vol.tech
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Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$99K Vol.geopolitics
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Colorado Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Michael Bennet
71%YesNo
Phil Weiser
27%YesNo
David Hughes
0%YesNo
William Moses
0%YesNo
$99K Vol.elections
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Bank of Korea decision in May?
No Change
97%YesNo
Increase
2%YesNo
Decrease
0%YesNo
$98K Vol.politics
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U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
73%YesNo
$98K Vol.tech
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Will Felix Protocol launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
66%YesNo
$98K Vol.tech
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Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner
Barry Moore
68%YesNo
Jared Hudson
31%YesNo
Steve Marshall
4%YesNo
Morgan Murphy
0%YesNo
Rodney Walker
0%YesNo
$98K Vol.elections
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Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner
Victor Marx
66%YesNo
Scott Bottoms
20%YesNo
Barbara Kirkmeyer
18%YesNo
Will McBride
1%YesNo
Mark Baisley
1%YesNo
Brycen Garrison
1%YesNo
Jason Clark
1%YesNo
Bob Brinkerhoff
1%YesNo
Robert Moore
1%YesNo
Joshua Griffin
0%YesNo
Greg Lopez
0%YesNo
Stevan Gess
0%YesNo
Daniel Thomas
0%YesNo
Jason Mikesell
0%YesNo
Jon Gray-Ginsberg
0%YesNo
$97K Vol.elections
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Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$97K Vol.elections
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Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Yes
95%YesNo
No
5%YesNo
$96K Vol.tech
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Peru Senate Election Winner
FP
99%YesNo
APP
0%YesNo
AvP
0%YesNo
PL
0%YesNo
SP
0%YesNo
PP
0%YesNo
AP
0%YesNo
RP
0%YesNo
JP
0%YesNo
$95K Vol.elections
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Will prjx launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
77%YesNo
$95K Vol.tech
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Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$94K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by...?
May 31
19%YesNo
$93K Vol.geopolitics
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Ohio Governor Election Winner
Democrat
54%YesNo
Republican
48%YesNo
$93K Vol.elections
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Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Yes
33%YesNo
No
68%YesNo
$93K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$91K Vol.geopolitics
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New York Governor Republican Primary Winner
Bruce Blakeman
94%YesNo
Pat Hahn
10%YesNo
Elise Stefanik
2%YesNo
Betsy McCaughey
1%YesNo
David Tulley
0%YesNo
$90K Vol.elections
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Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
↑ 1500
100%YesNo
↑ 1550
33%YesNo
↑ 1600
18%YesNo
↑ 1650
11%YesNo
↑ 1700
10%YesNo
$90K Vol.tech
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Best Chinese AI Company end of May?
Alibaba
56%YesNo
Baidu
31%YesNo
Z.ai
7%YesNo
ByteDance
3%YesNo
Moonshot
1%YesNo
DeepSeek
1%YesNo
Xiaomi
1%YesNo
MiniMax
1%YesNo
Tencent
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
StepFun
0%YesNo
$89K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?
May 31
3%YesNo
$89K Vol.geopolitics
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Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place
Abelardo de la Espriella
69%YesNo
Paloma Valencia
21%YesNo
Iván Cepeda Castro
13%YesNo
Gustavo Bolívar
0%YesNo
Mauricio Cárdenas
0%YesNo
Sergio Fajardo
0%YesNo
Germán Vargas Lleras
0%YesNo
Juan Manuel Galán
0%YesNo
Roy Barreras
0%YesNo
Juan Carlos Pinzón
0%YesNo
Enrique Peñalosa
0%YesNo
Vicky Dávila
0%YesNo
Claudia López
0%YesNo
David Luna Sánchez
0%YesNo
Juan Daniel Oviedo
0%YesNo
Luis Gilberto Murillo
0%YesNo
Daniel Quintero
0%YesNo
$88K Vol.elections
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Which company has the third best AI model end of May?
Anthropic
66%YesNo
Google
32%YesNo
OpenAI
2%YesNo
xAI
1%YesNo
Meta
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
$88K Vol.tech
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Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
December 31
16%YesNo
June 30
2%YesNo
$87K Vol.tech
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Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$87K Vol.geopolitics
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Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$86K Vol.geopolitics
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Strava IPO Closing Market Cap
2B–3B
35%YesNo
15B+
24%YesNo
4B–5B
19%YesNo
10B–15B
6%YesNo
3B–4B
5%YesNo
$86K Vol.tech
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Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$84K Vol.geopolitics
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Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Terri Pickens
98%YesNo
Maxine Durand
1%YesNo
Stephen Heidt
0%YesNo
$83K Vol.elections
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Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner
Michele Tafoya
78%YesNo
Adam Schwarze
17%YesNo
Mike Ruoho
9%YesNo
David Hann
2%YesNo
Royce White
1%YesNo
Alycia Gruenhagen
1%YesNo
Christopher Brooks
0%YesNo
Jim Nash
0%YesNo
Tom Weiler
0%YesNo
Julia Coleman
0%YesNo
Kristin Robbins
0%YesNo
Raymond Petersen
0%YesNo
$83K Vol.elections
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Which companies will the US take a stake in?
Rigetti
43%YesNo
Anduril
28%YesNo
Samsung Electronics
22%YesNo
OpenAI
13%YesNo
Micron
12%YesNo
Nvidia
11%YesNo
$83K Vol.tech
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Wisconsin Governor Republican Primary Winner
Tom Tiffany
91%YesNo
Andy Manske
7%YesNo
Josh Schoemann
2%YesNo
Tommy Thompson
2%YesNo
Rebecca Kleefisch
1%YesNo
Tim Michels
1%YesNo
Sean Duffy
0%YesNo
Eric Hovde
0%YesNo
$82K Vol.elections
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Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?
December 31, 2026
35%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$82K Vol.tech
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New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?
June 30
97%YesNo
May 22
77%YesNo
May 31
76%YesNo
May 15
1%YesNo
$81K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?
May 31
2%YesNo
$80K Vol.geopolitics
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Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$79K Vol.tech
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Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$78K Vol.geopolitics
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What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?
↓ 0.14
100%YesNo
↓ 0.10
100%YesNo
↑ 0.16
39%YesNo
↓ 0.06
39%YesNo
↑ 0.24
31%YesNo
↑ 0.32
12%YesNo
↑ 0.48
10%YesNo
↓ 0.02
9%YesNo
↑ 0.44
9%YesNo
↑ 0.52
6%YesNo
$78K Vol.tech
View details
Pacifica FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
27%YesNo
$500M
12%YesNo
$800M
6%YesNo
$1B
6%YesNo
$2B
5%YesNo
$3B
2%YesNo
$78K Vol.tech
View details
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Democrat
57%YesNo
Republican
44%YesNo
$77K Vol.elections
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Which company has the second best AI model end of May?
Anthropic
86%YesNo
Google
13%YesNo
OpenAI
1%YesNo
Moonshot
1%YesNo
Meta
0%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
$76K Vol.tech
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Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$76K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$75K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$74K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by May 31?
↑ 1.8M
100%YesNo
↑ 1.9M
66%YesNo
↑ 2.0M
52%YesNo
↓ 1.7M
26%YesNo
↓ 1.6M
12%YesNo
↓ 1.5M
7%YesNo
$74K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
May 31
3%YesNo
$74K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$74K Vol.tech
View details
Will Unit launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
48%YesNo
December 31, 2026
19%YesNo
$73K Vol.tech
View details
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
Yes
98%YesNo
No
2%YesNo
$73K Vol.tech
View details
Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner
JV
32%YesNo
LPV
31%YesNo
PRO
22%YesNo
NA
20%YesNo
SV
14%YesNo
ZZS
0%YesNo
$73K Vol.elections
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Montana Senate Election Winner
Republican
81%YesNo
Independent
39%YesNo
Democrat
3%YesNo
$72K Vol.elections
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Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$72K Vol.geopolitics
View details
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$72K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$71K Vol.tech
View details
Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
32%YesNo
$500M
22%YesNo
$700M
16%YesNo
$2B
16%YesNo
$1B
11%YesNo
$3B
6%YesNo
$4B
3%YesNo
$71K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET
Yes
100%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$70K Vol.tech
View details
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
Democrat
82%YesNo
Republican
20%YesNo
$69K Vol.elections
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Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by...?
May 31
16%YesNo
$69K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Greta Thunberg arrested by...?
June 30
11%YesNo
$69K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Uniswap hit in 2026?
↓ 3.00
100%YesNo
↓ 4.50
100%YesNo
↓ 6.00
100%YesNo
↑ 6.50
100%YesNo
↑ 11.00
28%YesNo
↑ 14.00
12%YesNo
↑ 15.50
8%YesNo
$69K Vol.tech
View details
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$69K Vol.tech
View details
Theo FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
68%YesNo
$300M
28%YesNo
$700M
7%YesNo
$1B
4%YesNo
$68K Vol.tech
View details
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$68K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by...?
May 31
8%YesNo
$68K Vol.geopolitics
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Canada recession before 2027?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$67K Vol.politics
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What price will Aster hit in 2026?
↑ 1.20
100%YesNo
↓ 0.80
100%YesNo
↓ 1.00
100%YesNo
↓ 0.60
100%YesNo
↓ 0.40
56%YesNo
↑ 1.60
18%YesNo
↑ 1.80
18%YesNo
↑ 2.00
16%YesNo
↑ 2.20
12%YesNo
$67K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin price on May 15?
80,000-82,000
44%YesNo
82,000-84,000
37%YesNo
78,000-80,000
9%YesNo
84,000-86,000
8%YesNo
86,000-88,000
2%YesNo
76,000-78,000
2%YesNo
74,000-76,000
1%YesNo
72,000-74,000
1%YesNo
88,000-90,000
0%YesNo
<72,000
0%YesNo
>90,000
0%YesNo
$66K Vol.tech
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AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$66K Vol.tech
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Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
Kareem Allam
40%YesNo
Ken Sim
34%YesNo
Pete Fry
15%YesNo
William Azaroff
5%YesNo
Colleen Hardwick
3%YesNo
John Coupar
1%YesNo
Rebecca Bligh
1%YesNo
Sean Orr
1%YesNo
Tim Louis
0%YesNo
Kirk LaPointe
0%YesNo
Fred Harding
0%YesNo
Amanda Burrows
0%YesNo
$66K Vol.elections
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Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
May 31
5%YesNo
$66K Vol.geopolitics
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Vermont Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Mike Pieciak
9%YesNo
Esther Charlestin
4%YesNo
Charity Clark
2%YesNo
$66K Vol.elections
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Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner
Andy Biggs
95%YesNo
David Schweikert
3%YesNo
Karrin Taylor Robson
1%YesNo
$65K Vol.elections
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Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$65K Vol.elections
View details
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Chuck Schumer
24%YesNo
John Thune
22%YesNo
Tom Cotton
17%YesNo
Brian Schatz
10%YesNo
Amy Klobuchar
5%YesNo
Mark Kelly
4%YesNo
Steve Daines
4%YesNo
Cory Booker
3%YesNo
Patty Murray
3%YesNo
John Barrasso
3%YesNo
Lindsey Graham
2%YesNo
$63K Vol.elections
View details
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
25%+
100%YesNo
30%+
100%YesNo
40%+
100%YesNo
50%+
55%YesNo
$62K Vol.tech
View details
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$62K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$62K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Vasylivka by...?
May 31
32%YesNo
$61K Vol.geopolitics
View details
India Annual Inflation 2026
4.50%+
54%YesNo
2.25% to 2.99%
7%YesNo
3.75% to 4.49%
1%YesNo
$60K Vol.politics
View details
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by June 5?
400M
100%YesNo
375M
92%YesNo
350M
20%YesNo
325M
4%YesNo
275M
2%YesNo
$60K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia capture Toretske by...?
May 31
7%YesNo
$60K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on May 18?
72,000
99%YesNo
74,000
97%YesNo
76,000
97%YesNo
78,000
91%YesNo
80,000
77%YesNo
82,000
50%YesNo
84,000
21%YesNo
86,000
6%YesNo
90,000
1%YesNo
$58K Vol.tech
View details
South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner
Dusty Johnson
75%YesNo
Toby Doeden
13%YesNo
Jon Hansen
6%YesNo
Larry Rhoden
5%YesNo
$58K Vol.elections
View details
North Carolina Senate Election Winner
Democrat
84%YesNo
Republican
17%YesNo
$58K Vol.elections
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Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
5.00-5.49%
24%YesNo
5.50-5.99%
23%YesNo
4.50-4.99%
18%YesNo
3.00-3.49%
9%YesNo
7.00%+
9%YesNo
4.00-4.49%
8%YesNo
6.50-6.99%
6%YesNo
6.00-6.49%
4%YesNo
3.50-3.99%
3%YesNo
<3.00%
0%YesNo
$57K Vol.politics
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Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
Yes
87%YesNo
No
13%YesNo
$57K Vol.tech
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Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$57K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Mandela Barnes
54%YesNo
Francesca Hong
33%YesNo
Sara Rodriguez
10%YesNo
David Crowley
4%YesNo
Zachary Roper
1%YesNo
Joel Brennan
1%YesNo
Chris Larson
1%YesNo
Kelda Roys
1%YesNo
Tim Jacobson
0%YesNo
Melissa Agard
0%YesNo
Tom Nelson
0%YesNo
Missy Hughes
0%YesNo
Brett Hulsey
0%YesNo
$55K Vol.elections
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Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Nirav Shah
39%YesNo
Troy Jackson
28%YesNo
Hannah Pingree
20%YesNo
Shenna Bellows
13%YesNo
Angus King III
7%YesNo
Jason Cherry
0%YesNo
Kenneth Pinet
0%YesNo
$55K Vol.elections
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Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Ethan Corson
59%YesNo
Cindy Holscher
43%YesNo
Marty Tuley
0%YesNo
$55K Vol.elections
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Tennessee Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Jerri Green
85%YesNo
Carnita Atwater
7%YesNo
Tim Cyr
2%YesNo
Adam Kurtz
1%YesNo
$54K Vol.elections
View details
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Yes
69%YesNo
No
32%YesNo
$54K Vol.tech
View details
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than ___ ETH before 2027?
5M ETH
100%YesNo
7M ETH
72%YesNo
9M ETH
7%YesNo
$53K Vol.tech
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New York Governor Election Winner
Democrat
92%YesNo
Republican
9%YesNo
$53K Vol.elections
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Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?
Boeing Aircraft Purchase
87%YesNo
U.S. Soybean Purchase
82%YesNo
Rare Earth Export Relief
34%YesNo
U.S. Oil Purchase
22%YesNo
Participation in Iran Negotiations
13%YesNo
$53K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$53K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on May 19?
70,000
99%YesNo
72,000
98%YesNo
74,000
98%YesNo
76,000
97%YesNo
78,000
88%YesNo
80,000
74%YesNo
82,000
49%YesNo
84,000
25%YesNo
88,000
3%YesNo
90,000
1%YesNo
$53K Vol.tech
View details
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$52K Vol.politics
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Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$52K Vol.politics
View details
South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner
Pamela Evette
41%YesNo
Alan Wilson
35%YesNo
Nancy Mace
16%YesNo
Ralph Norman
12%YesNo
Josh Kimbrell
0%YesNo
$52K Vol.elections
View details
Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner
Megan Degenfelder
71%YesNo
Eric Barlow
22%YesNo
Chuck Gray
3%YesNo
Brent Bien
1%YesNo
Joseph Kibler
0%YesNo
Ogen Driskill
0%YesNo
Bo Biteman
0%YesNo
Harriet Hageman
0%YesNo
Tara Nethercott
0%YesNo
Paul Ulrich
0%YesNo
Reid Rasner
0%YesNo
Chip Neiman
0%YesNo
Mark Gordon
0%YesNo
Curt Meier
0%YesNo
Cheri Steinmetz
0%YesNo
$52K Vol.elections
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New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner
Kathy Hochul
97%YesNo
Antonio Delgado
1%YesNo
$52K Vol.elections
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Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
None in 2026
56%YesNo
Anthropic
31%YesNo
Google
11%YesNo
OpenAI
5%YesNo
xAI
2%YesNo
Alibaba
1%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
$52K Vol.tech
View details
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$51K Vol.tech
View details
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
Yes
32%YesNo
No
68%YesNo
$51K Vol.tech
View details
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$51K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$51K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Rhode Island Governor Election Winner
Democrat
94%YesNo
Republican
5%YesNo
$51K Vol.elections
View details
Minnesota Governor Election Winner
Democrat
95%YesNo
Republican
4%YesNo
$51K Vol.elections
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Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Yes
29%YesNo
No
71%YesNo
$50K Vol.tech
View details
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
Yes
92%YesNo
No
8%YesNo
$50K Vol.tech
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Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
Yes
46%YesNo
No
55%YesNo
$50K Vol.tech
View details
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$50K Vol.geopolitics
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Bank of Russia decision in June?
Decrease
82%YesNo
No Change
17%YesNo
Increase
2%YesNo
$50K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
↑ 6.30%
100%YesNo
↑ 6.50%
68%YesNo
↓ 5.90%
49%YesNo
↓ 5.70%
47%YesNo
$50K Vol.politics
View details
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by...?
May 31
39%YesNo
$50K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
Yes
40%YesNo
No
60%YesNo
$50K Vol.tech
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Oklahoma Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Cyndi Munson
87%YesNo
Arya Azma
3%YesNo
$49K Vol.elections
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Another Elon baby by June 30?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$49K Vol.tech
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Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
December 31
6%YesNo
June 30
1%YesNo
$49K Vol.tech
View details
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Pause–Pause–Pause
93%YesNo
Pause–Pause–Cut
5%YesNo
Pause–Cut–Pause
1%YesNo
Pause–Cut–Cut
1%YesNo
Cut–Pause–Pause
0%YesNo
Cut–Pause–Cut
0%YesNo
Cut–Cut–Pause
0%YesNo
Cut–Cut–Cut
0%YesNo
$49K Vol.politics
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SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
Yes
41%YesNo
No
59%YesNo
$48K Vol.politics
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US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
Yes
55%YesNo
No
45%YesNo
$48K Vol.geopolitics
View details
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
90%YesNo
Édouard Philippe
88%YesNo
Nathalie Arthaud
80%YesNo
Bruno Retailleau
70%YesNo
Raphaël Glucksmann
56%YesNo
David Lisnard
54%YesNo
Fabien Roussel
51%YesNo
Dominique de Villepin
48%YesNo
Gabriel Attal
39%YesNo
Sarah Knafo
34%YesNo
Marine Le Pen
27%YesNo
François Asselineau
22%YesNo
Juan Branco
16%YesNo
Carole Delga
15%YesNo
Matthieu Pigasse
13%YesNo
Michel-Edouard Leclerc
9%YesNo
Karim Bouamrane
6%YesNo
Bally Bagayoko
5%YesNo
Clémentine Autain
4%YesNo
$48K Vol.elections
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AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner
Mark Lamb
95%YesNo
Travis Grantham
3%YesNo
Jay Feely
0%YesNo
$48K Vol.elections
View details
Alabama Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Doug Jones
97%YesNo
Will Boyd
1%YesNo
Ja’Mel Brown
1%YesNo
Yolanda Flowers
1%YesNo
Chad Chig Martin
1%YesNo
$47K Vol.elections
View details
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Peggy Flanagan
80%YesNo
Angie Craig
18%YesNo
Betty McCollum
0%YesNo
Jacob Frey
0%YesNo
Ilhan Omar
0%YesNo
Melisa López Franzen
0%YesNo
Keith Ellison
0%YesNo
Steve Simon
0%YesNo
Melisa Hortman
0%YesNo
David Wellstone
0%YesNo
$47K Vol.elections
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Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$47K Vol.elections
View details
PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner
Chris Rabb
57%YesNo
Sharif Street
39%YesNo
Ala Stanford
5%YesNo
David Oxman
0%YesNo
Morgan Cephas
0%YesNo
Gabriel Caceres
0%YesNo
Robin Toldens
0%YesNo
$46K Vol.elections
View details
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$46K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by...?
May 31
18%YesNo
$46K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?
May 31
14%YesNo
$46K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place
CDU
91%YesNo
AfD
8%YesNo
FDP
1%YesNo
The Left
1%YesNo
SPD
1%YesNo
$46K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Shevchenko by...?
June 30
21%YesNo
May 31
7%YesNo
$45K Vol.geopolitics
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Galway-West By-Election Winner?
Noel Thomas
44%YesNo
Seán Kyne
33%YesNo
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich
10%YesNo
Mike Cubbard
8%YesNo
Helen Ogbu
7%YesNo
Mark Lohan
5%YesNo
Sheila Garrity
1%YesNo
Denman Rooke
1%YesNo
Orla Nugent
0%YesNo
Niall Murphy
0%YesNo
Thomas Welby
0%YesNo
$45K Vol.elections
View details
Ethereum above ___ on May 16?
1,800
100%YesNo
1,900
100%YesNo
2,100
98%YesNo
2,200
95%YesNo
2,400
12%YesNo
2,600
1%YesNo
2,700
0%YesNo
2,800
0%YesNo
$44K Vol.tech
View details
South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner
Democratic Party of Korea (DP)
98%YesNo
People Power Party (PPP)
2%YesNo
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP)
0%YesNo
Progressive Party (PP)
0%YesNo
Reform Party (RP)
0%YesNo
$44K Vol.elections
View details
VEO 4 released by...?
June 30
38%YesNo
$44K Vol.tech
View details
Sam Altman in jail by...?
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
$43K Vol.tech
View details
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$43K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Arizona Governor Election Winner
Democrat
76%YesNo
Republican
24%YesNo
$43K Vol.elections
View details
GPT-5.6 released by...?
July 31
94%YesNo
June 30
90%YesNo
May 31
14%YesNo
May 22
6%YesNo
May 15
2%YesNo
$42K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia enter Stinky by...?
May 31
18%YesNo
$42K Vol.geopolitics
View details
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
475k+
29%YesNo
375k–400k
26%YesNo
450k–475k
20%YesNo
425k–450k
19%YesNo
400k–425k
15%YesNo
325k–350k
14%YesNo
350k–375k
14%YesNo
<300k
9%YesNo
300k–325k
1%YesNo
$42K Vol.tech
View details
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$42K Vol.geopolitics
View details
2nd richest person on December 31?
Larry Page
39%YesNo
Jeff Bezos
32%YesNo
Warren Buffett
26%YesNo
Sergey Brin
25%YesNo
$41K Vol.tech
View details
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
4.50% to 4.99%
42%YesNo
5.00% to 5.49%
17%YesNo
5.50%+
10%YesNo
3.00% to 3.49%
7%YesNo
2.50% to 2.99%
0%YesNo
$41K Vol.politics
View details
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?
↓ $600
100%YesNo
↓ $580
30%YesNo
↑ $680
16%YesNo
↓ $560
13%YesNo
↓ $540
4%YesNo
$41K Vol.tech
View details
Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$41K Vol.politics
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Kimi K3 released by…?
June 30
11%YesNo
May 31
6%YesNo
$40K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by...?
May 31
8%YesNo
$40K Vol.geopolitics
View details
China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0%
38%YesNo
1.1 – 1.5%
30%YesNo
2.0-2.4%
8%YesNo
1.6 – 2.0%
7%YesNo
2.5%+
6%YesNo
0.1 – 0.5%
4%YesNo
<-1.0%
0%YesNo
-0.9 – -0.5%
0%YesNo
-0.4 – 0.0%
0%YesNo
$40K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Charles Booker
87%YesNo
Amy McGrath
7%YesNo
Dale Romans
1%YesNo
Pamela Stevenson
1%YesNo
Joel Willett
1%YesNo
Jared Randall
1%YesNo
Logan Forsythe
0%YesNo
Vincent Thompson
0%YesNo
$39K Vol.elections
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US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
72%YesNo
$39K Vol.tech
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Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner
Ty Masterson
47%YesNo
Jeff Colyer
38%YesNo
Philip Sarnecki
9%YesNo
Charlotte O’Hara
5%YesNo
$38K Vol.elections
View details
Chungcheongbuk Province Governor Election Winner
Shin Yong-han
94%YesNo
Yoon Hee-geun
7%YesNo
Do Jong-hwan
4%YesNo
Kim Young-hwan
1%YesNo
Song Ki-sub
1%YesNo
Cho Gil-hyeong
1%YesNo
Lee Jong-bae
0%YesNo
Noh Yeong-min
0%YesNo
$38K Vol.elections
View details
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$38K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?
December 31
0%YesNo
$38K Vol.tech
View details
𝕏 Money launched by...?
May 31
20%YesNo
$38K Vol.tech
View details
Bank of Israel Decision in May?
Decrease
70%YesNo
No Change
33%YesNo
Increase
1%YesNo
$38K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
↓ 12
100%YesNo
↓ 8
100%YesNo
↑ 14
100%YesNo
↓ 6
43%YesNo
↑ 16
42%YesNo
↑ 20
28%YesNo
↓ 4
26%YesNo
↑ 26
15%YesNo
$37K Vol.tech
View details
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?
June 30, 2026
1%YesNo
$37K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$37K Vol.tech
View details
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?
Yes
76%YesNo
No
25%YesNo
$37K Vol.tech
View details
MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Dan Koh
80%YesNo
Rachel Creemers
4%YesNo
Tram Nguyen
3%YesNo
John Beccia
2%YesNo
Diann Slavit Baylis
2%YesNo
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
2%YesNo
Kevin Larivee
2%YesNo
Seth Moulton
1%YesNo
Mariah Lancaster
1%YesNo
Beth Andres-Beck
1%YesNo
Rick Jakious
1%YesNo
Dominick Pangallo
0%YesNo
$37K Vol.elections
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Florida Senate Election Winner
Republican
84%YesNo
Democrat
17%YesNo
$37K Vol.elections
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Georgia Governor Election Winner
Democrat
56%YesNo
Republican
37%YesNo
$37K Vol.elections
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Iowa Governor Election Winner
Democrat
62%YesNo
Republican
32%YesNo
$36K Vol.elections
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Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
72%YesNo
$36K Vol.tech
View details
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?
May 31
85%YesNo
May 22
73%YesNo
May 15
0%YesNo
$36K Vol.politics
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Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?
June 30
19%YesNo
$35K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia enter Svitle by...?
June 30
14%YesNo
May 31
8%YesNo
$35K Vol.geopolitics
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Bitcoin above ___ on May 20?
72,000
98%YesNo
74,000
97%YesNo
76,000
95%YesNo
78,000
86%YesNo
80,000
72%YesNo
82,000
50%YesNo
84,000
27%YesNo
86,000
12%YesNo
$35K Vol.tech
View details
Tabi FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M
29%YesNo
$1B
9%YesNo
$2B
8%YesNo
$3B
1%YesNo
$35K Vol.tech
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Colorado Senate Election Winner
Democrat
92%YesNo
Republican
9%YesNo
$35K Vol.elections
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# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
3
53%YesNo
2
32%YesNo
4
8%YesNo
1
5%YesNo
5
4%YesNo
0
1%YesNo
6+
0%YesNo
$35K Vol.elections
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OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
60%+
66%YesNo
70%+
25%YesNo
$35K Vol.tech
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# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?
10+
81%YesNo
8-9
19%YesNo
6-7
0%YesNo
2-3
0%YesNo
0-1
0%YesNo
4-5
0%YesNo
$34K Vol.elections
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Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$34K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Claude go down on __ days in May?
12+
42%YesNo
6-8
31%YesNo
3-5
14%YesNo
0-2
0%YesNo
$33K Vol.tech
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Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner
DISY
80%YesNo
AKEL
20%YesNo
ELAM
1%YesNo
DIPA
0%YesNo
DIKO
0%YesNo
KOSP
0%YesNo
EDEK
0%YesNo
VOLT
0%YesNo
DNM (DEK)
0%YesNo
$33K Vol.elections
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What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?
$1M
14%YesNo
$4M
8%YesNo
$2M
6%YesNo
$5M
4%YesNo
$3M
4%YesNo
$33K Vol.tech
View details
Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?
US-China Board of Trade
84%YesNo
AI Export Restrictions Relief
72%YesNo
Tariff Reduction
53%YesNo
U.S.-China AI Safety Channel
51%YesNo
Detained Americans Release
28%YesNo
Taiwan Arms Sales Halt
5%YesNo
New Sanctions
3%YesNo
$33K Vol.tech
View details
Alabama Governor Republican Primary Winner
Tommy Tuberville
99%YesNo
Ken McFeeters
0%YesNo
$33K Vol.elections
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Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$32K Vol.geopolitics
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Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$32K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$32K Vol.geopolitics
View details
MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Matt Little
69%YesNo
Matt Klein
25%YesNo
Kaela Berg
14%YesNo
$32K Vol.elections
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Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$31K Vol.tech
View details
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$31K Vol.tech
View details
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
1510
76%YesNo
1520
49%YesNo
1530
33%YesNo
1540
28%YesNo
1550
16%YesNo
$31K Vol.tech
View details
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
Olivia Chow
78%YesNo
Brad Bradford
19%YesNo
Ana Bailão
2%YesNo
Kevin Clarke
1%YesNo
Anthony Furey
0%YesNo
Michael Ford
0%YesNo
Marco Mendicino
0%YesNo
John Tory
0%YesNo
$30K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by...?
May 31
3%YesNo
$30K Vol.geopolitics
View details
UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Ben McAdams
77%YesNo
Nate Blouin
16%YesNo
Erin Mendenhall
0%YesNo
Luz Escamilla
0%YesNo
Caroline Gleich
0%YesNo
Brian King
0%YesNo
Kathleen Riebe
0%YesNo
Kael Weston
0%YesNo
Jenny Wilson
0%YesNo
$30K Vol.elections
View details
NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner
Ritchie Torres
92%YesNo
Michael Blake
6%YesNo
Dalourny Nemorin
2%YesNo
Amanda Septimo
0%YesNo
$30K Vol.elections
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Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes
60%YesNo
No
40%YesNo
$30K Vol.tech
View details
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Republican
81%YesNo
Democrat
21%YesNo
$30K Vol.elections
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Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?
December 31, 2026
39%YesNo
$30K Vol.tech
View details
Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Mark Warner
99%YesNo
Jason Reynolds
0%YesNo
$29K Vol.elections
View details
Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$1B
37%YesNo
$100M
36%YesNo
$1.5B
30%YesNo
$300M
15%YesNo
$2B
11%YesNo
$500M
7%YesNo
$800M
5%YesNo
$29K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by...?
May 31
18%YesNo
$29K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?
May 31
4%YesNo
$29K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$29K Vol.tech
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Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Yes
39%YesNo
No
61%YesNo
$29K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Colorado Democratic Senate Primary Winner
John Hickenlooper
86%YesNo
Julie Gonzales
13%YesNo
Anthony Zimpfer
1%YesNo
Nichole Miner
1%YesNo
Karen Breslin
0%YesNo
Brashad Hasley
0%YesNo
Michael Scanlon
0%YesNo
$29K Vol.elections
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Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$28K Vol.elections
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U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Yes
21%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$28K Vol.geopolitics
View details
GDP growth in 2026
>2.5%
48%YesNo
1.5–2.0%
17%YesNo
<0.5%
17%YesNo
0.5–1.0%
12%YesNo
1.0–1.5%
12%YesNo
2.0–2.5%
11%YesNo
$28K Vol.politics
View details
Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner
Robert Charles
53%YesNo
Ben Midgley
24%YesNo
Jonathan Bush
8%YesNo
Ken Capron
3%YesNo
Robert Wessels
2%YesNo
David Jones
1%YesNo
Owen McCarthy
1%YesNo
$28K Vol.elections
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ECB rate cut in 2026?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$28K Vol.politics
View details
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Republican
80%YesNo
Democrat
17%YesNo
$28K Vol.elections
View details
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Yes
56%YesNo
No
44%YesNo
$27K Vol.politics
View details
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?
No Change
83%YesNo
Increase
14%YesNo
Decrease
0%YesNo
$27K Vol.politics
View details
New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Deb Haaland
92%YesNo
Sam Bregman
9%YesNo
Ken Miyagishima
0%YesNo
$27K Vol.elections
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Ethereum price on May 15?
2,300-2,400
53%YesNo
2,400-2,500
8%YesNo
2,100-2,200
3%YesNo
2,000-2,100
1%YesNo
2,500-2,600
1%YesNo
1,900-2,000
0%YesNo
1,800-1,900
0%YesNo
<1,800
0%YesNo
2,600-2,700
0%YesNo
>2,700
0%YesNo
$27K Vol.tech
View details
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Yes
15%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$26K Vol.politics
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Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$26K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
Yes
98%YesNo
No
2%YesNo
$26K Vol.tech
View details
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Democrat
84%YesNo
Republican
16%YesNo
$26K Vol.elections
View details
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$25K Vol.tech
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Meta "Mango" model released by...?
June 30
25%YesNo
$25K Vol.tech
View details
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner
Democrat
96%YesNo
Republican
5%YesNo
$25K Vol.elections
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Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
Yes
63%YesNo
No
37%YesNo
$25K Vol.tech
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Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$25K Vol.tech
View details
Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner
Vicente Ada
75%YesNo
Frank F. Blas Jr.
14%YesNo
Charlie Hermosa
10%YesNo
Marcel Camacho
3%YesNo
Douglas Moylan
1%YesNo
$25K Vol.elections
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Connecticut Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Ned Lamont
95%YesNo
Josh Elliott
5%YesNo
$25K Vol.elections
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Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$25K Vol.elections
View details
Bitcoin price on May 17?
80,000-82,000
33%YesNo
82,000-84,000
33%YesNo
78,000-80,000
15%YesNo
76,000-78,000
4%YesNo
72,000-74,000
2%YesNo
74,000-76,000
1%YesNo
$25K Vol.tech
View details
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Democrat
82%YesNo
Republican
18%YesNo
$25K Vol.elections
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Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?
May 31
11%YesNo
$25K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Illinois Senate Election Winner
Democrat
95%YesNo
Republican
15%YesNo
$25K Vol.elections
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Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$24K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bank of Canada decision in June?
No change
95%YesNo
Increase
3%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
1%YesNo
25 bps decrease
1%YesNo
$24K Vol.politics
View details
How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
340–354
28%YesNo
310–324
25%YesNo
325–339
19%YesNo
355+
19%YesNo
295–309
9%YesNo
280–294
8%YesNo
<280
8%YesNo
$24K Vol.elections
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Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?
No Change
80%YesNo
Increase
21%YesNo
Decrease
0%YesNo
$24K Vol.politics
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3rd richest person on December 31?
Larry Page
20%YesNo
Steve Ballmer
0%YesNo
$23K Vol.tech
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President of Andalusia after election?
Juanma Moreno
98%YesNo
María Jesús Montero
1%YesNo
Manuel Gavira
1%YesNo
Antonio Maíllo
0%YesNo
José Ignacio García
0%YesNo
$23K Vol.elections
View details
What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?
↑ 80
100%YesNo
↑ 90
100%YesNo
↑ 70
100%YesNo
↓ 50
68%YesNo
$23K Vol.tech
View details
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Democrat
92%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$23K Vol.elections
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New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Cinde Warmington
77%YesNo
Tom Sherman
8%YesNo
John Kiper
7%YesNo
Deaglan McEachern
5%YesNo
Donovan Fenton
1%YesNo
$23K Vol.elections
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Nevada Governor Election Winner
Democrat
56%YesNo
Republican
43%YesNo
$23K Vol.elections
View details
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Yes
68%YesNo
No
33%YesNo
$23K Vol.tech
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OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
50%+
51%YesNo
$23K Vol.tech
View details
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$23K Vol.tech
View details
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$23K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Spark launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
18%YesNo
$23K Vol.tech
View details
FL-19 Republican Primary Winner
Catalina Lauf
41%YesNo
Madison Cawthorn
11%YesNo
Jim Oberweis
11%YesNo
$23K Vol.elections
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Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Republican
89%YesNo
Democrat
11%YesNo
$23K Vol.elections
View details
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?
↑ 80
100%YesNo
↑ 60
100%YesNo
↑ 70
100%YesNo
↑ 50
100%YesNo
$22K Vol.tech
View details
Alabama Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Kyle Sweetser
79%YesNo
Dakarai Larriett
14%YesNo
Mark Wheeler
3%YesNo
Lamont Lavender
0%YesNo
$22K Vol.elections
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Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
Truist
30%YesNo
KeyBank
4%YesNo
Lloyds
3%YesNo
$22K Vol.politics
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Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Josh Turek
68%YesNo
Zach Wahls
24%YesNo
Chris Henry
1%YesNo
Nathan Sage
0%YesNo
$22K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?
May 31
6%YesNo
$22K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iowa Governor Republican Primary Winner
Randy Feenstra
72%YesNo
Zach Lahn
16%YesNo
Adam Steen
10%YesNo
Brad Sherman
2%YesNo
Eddie Andrews
2%YesNo
$22K Vol.elections
View details
Which company has the best Coding AI model end of May?
Anthropic
95%YesNo
Google
3%YesNo
OpenAI
3%YesNo
Moonshot
1%YesNo
DeepSeek
1%YesNo
Z.ai
1%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
Meta
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
$22K Vol.tech
View details
Colorado Republican Senate Primary Winner
Mark Baisley
92%YesNo
Dathan Jones
5%YesNo
Janak Joshi
3%YesNo
George Washington Markert
1%YesNo
$22K Vol.elections
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South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
>5.0%
20%YesNo
4.4-4.7%
12%YesNo
$21K Vol.politics
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New Mexico Governor Election Winner
Democrat
88%YesNo
Republican
12%YesNo
$21K Vol.elections
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US Trade Deficit in 2026?
800–900B
42%YesNo
<500B
7%YesNo
$21K Vol.politics
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Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by...?
May 31
9%YesNo
$21K Vol.geopolitics
View details
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
25%+
57%YesNo
30%+
48%YesNo
40%+
40%YesNo
$21K Vol.tech
View details
CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Manny Rutinel
72%YesNo
Shannon Bird
25%YesNo
Yadira Caraveo
1%YesNo
Dave Young
0%YesNo
John Szemler
0%YesNo
Amie Baca-Oehlert
0%YesNo
$21K Vol.elections
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Vermont Governor Election Winner
Republican
78%YesNo
Democrat
22%YesNo
$21K Vol.elections
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Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Aaron Ford
97%YesNo
Alexis Hill
3%YesNo
$21K Vol.elections
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Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?
1.9%–2.2%
52%YesNo
1.5%–1.8%
28%YesNo
≥2.7%
16%YesNo
<0.7%
7%YesNo
$21K Vol.politics
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Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by...?
May 31
6%YesNo
$20K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ethereum above ___ on May 17?
2,000
99%YesNo
2,100
98%YesNo
2,200
92%YesNo
2,300
58%YesNo
2,400
15%YesNo
2,500
3%YesNo
$20K Vol.tech
View details
Makina FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$80M
15%YesNo
$100M
10%YesNo
$200M
9%YesNo
$300M
3%YesNo
$20K Vol.tech
View details
Massachusetts Governor Republican Primary Winner
Michael Minogue
81%YesNo
Brian Shortsleeve
10%YesNo
Mike Kennealy
0%YesNo
$20K Vol.elections
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Tennessee Senate Election Winner
Republican
95%YesNo
Democrat
5%YesNo
$19K Vol.elections
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Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner
Ashley Hinson
98%YesNo
Joshua Smith
1%YesNo
$19K Vol.elections
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Oregon Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Jeff Merkley
99%YesNo
Jacob Ryan
1%YesNo
$19K Vol.elections
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Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$8.000+
47%YesNo
$10.000+
18%YesNo
$19K Vol.politics
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NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Laura Gillen
82%YesNo
Nicholas Sciretta
14%YesNo
Taylor Darling
4%YesNo
Gian Jones
0%YesNo
$19K Vol.elections
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Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$1B
57%YesNo
$2B
57%YesNo
$3B
49%YesNo
$5B
34%YesNo
$19K Vol.tech
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Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$18K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Elon Musk Net Worth on May 31?
690b+
49%YesNo
680-690b
18%YesNo
670-680b
14%YesNo
660-670b
8%YesNo
620-630b
7%YesNo
640-650b
7%YesNo
650-660b
7%YesNo
630-640b
6%YesNo
610-620b
3%YesNo
<610b
1%YesNo
$18K Vol.tech
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Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$18K Vol.tech
View details
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027
75%YesNo
Waddani
22%YesNo
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
5%YesNo
Kulmiye
2%YesNo
$18K Vol.elections
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Florida Governor Election Winner
Republican
80%YesNo
Democrat
16%YesNo
$18K Vol.elections
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Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)
<1600.00
51%YesNo
1600.00–1699.99
21%YesNo
1700.00–1799.99
11%YesNo
2000.00+
7%YesNo
1900.00–1999.99
6%YesNo
1800.00–1899.99
5%YesNo
$18K Vol.politics
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New Jersey Senate Election Winner
Democrat
95%YesNo
Republican
5%YesNo
$18K Vol.elections
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Oklahoma Governor Election Winner
Republican
92%YesNo
Democrat
8%YesNo
$18K Vol.elections
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Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Therese Terlaje
76%YesNo
Josh Tenorio
20%YesNo
Joe S. San Agustin
7%YesNo
$17K Vol.elections
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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Yes
92%YesNo
No
9%YesNo
$17K Vol.tech
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Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
Democrat
92%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$17K Vol.elections
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China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?
4.6-4.9%
59%YesNo
4.9-5.2%
31%YesNo
5.2-5.5%
8%YesNo
4.3-4.6%
6%YesNo
5.5-5.8%
5%YesNo
4.0-4.3%
2%YesNo
5.8-6.1%
0%YesNo
<4.0%
0%YesNo
6.1%+
0%YesNo
$17K Vol.geopolitics
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Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner
Raymond McKay
92%YesNo
Allen Waters
2%YesNo
$17K Vol.elections
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2026 World GDP Growth
≤2.9%
18%YesNo
3.4%
8%YesNo
3.2%
5%YesNo
3.5%
5%YesNo
3.3%
1%YesNo
$17K Vol.politics
View details
GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ by May 31?
↑ $4.75
100%YesNo
↓ $4.30
100%YesNo
↑ $4.60
100%YesNo
$17K Vol.tech
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MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
Jeremy Moss
91%YesNo
Andy Levin
4%YesNo
Aisha Farooqi
3%YesNo
$17K Vol.elections
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Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$17K Vol.geopolitics
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Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
85%YesNo
No Head of State
6%YesNo
María Corina Machado
6%YesNo
$16K Vol.politics
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Canada Annual Inflation 2026
3.0-3.4%
25%YesNo
$16K Vol.politics
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OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1T–1.25T
28%YesNo
No IPO by December 31, 2027
23%YesNo
$16K Vol.tech
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US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$16K Vol.tech
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Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
63%YesNo
New People (NL)
26%YesNo
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
9%YesNo
United Russia (ER)
3%YesNo
Civic Platform (GP)
2%YesNo
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%YesNo
Rodina
1%YesNo
$16K Vol.elections
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# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?
3
36%YesNo
2
25%YesNo
4+
22%YesNo
<2
16%YesNo
$16K Vol.tech
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Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by June 30?
1510
45%YesNo
1520
17%YesNo
1530
13%YesNo
$16K Vol.tech
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Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner
David Jolly
84%YesNo
Jerry Demings
15%YesNo
Angie Nixon
0%YesNo
$16K Vol.elections
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Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$16K Vol.elections
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Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$16K Vol.politics
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Maryland Governor Election Winner
Democrat
94%YesNo
Republican
5%YesNo
$16K Vol.elections
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Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$15K Vol.tech
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Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
89%YesNo
Google
8%YesNo
OpenAI
3%YesNo
ByteDance
1%YesNo
$15K Vol.tech
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Idaho Senate Election Winner
Republican
92%YesNo
Democrat
8%YesNo
$15K Vol.elections
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Bitcoin price on May 18?
82,000-84,000
29%YesNo
78,000-80,000
15%YesNo
74,000-76,000
6%YesNo
$15K Vol.tech
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Bitcoin price on May 19?
82,000-84,000
25%YesNo
78,000-80,000
16%YesNo
74,000-76,000
4%YesNo
$15K Vol.tech
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US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$15K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$15K Vol.geopolitics
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Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
73%YesNo
$15K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$15K Vol.politics
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New Mexico Senate Election Winner
Democrat
96%YesNo
Republican
3%YesNo
$15K Vol.elections
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US defaults on debt by 2027?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$15K Vol.politics
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GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ by May 31?
↑ $4.25
100%YesNo
↑ $3.90
100%YesNo
↓ $3.50
100%YesNo
↓ $3.25
100%YesNo
↓ $2.00
7%YesNo
$15K Vol.tech
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Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$15K Vol.geopolitics
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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET
Yes
80%YesNo
No
21%YesNo
$15K Vol.tech
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South Carolina Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Jermaine Johnson
68%YesNo
Mullins McLeod
18%YesNo
$15K Vol.elections
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ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Joe Baldacci
63%YesNo
Matthew Dunlap
24%YesNo
Jordan Wood
7%YesNo
Jared Golden
3%YesNo
$15K Vol.elections
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Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Giorgia Meloni
43%YesNo
Silvia Salis
18%YesNo
Roberto Vannacci
7%YesNo
Matteo Salvini
2%YesNo
$14K Vol.elections
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Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner
Ryan Fazio
89%YesNo
Erin Stewart
4%YesNo
Timothy Wilcox
1%YesNo
$14K Vol.elections
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Florida Republican Senate Primary Winner
Ashley B. Moody
96%YesNo
Michaelangelo Hamilton
3%YesNo
A.C. Toulme
1%YesNo
Jake Lang
0%YesNo
$14K Vol.elections
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Oregon Governor Election Winner
Democrat
89%YesNo
Republican
12%YesNo
$14K Vol.elections
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Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
Yes
30%YesNo
No
70%YesNo
$14K Vol.geopolitics
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Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$14K Vol.tech
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Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held
PL
68%YesNo
PDT
3%YesNo
$14K Vol.elections
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Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET
Yes
100%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$14K Vol.tech
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Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?
Cepeda Castro 10-15%
39%YesNo
Cepeda Castro 5-10%
33%YesNo
de la Espriella Win
14%YesNo
Cepeda Castro 0-5%
12%YesNo
Cepeda Castro 15-20%
12%YesNo
Cepeda Castro 20%+
4%YesNo
Valencia Win
1%YesNo
$14K Vol.elections
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NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Stefany Shaheen
62%YesNo
Maura Sullivan
35%YesNo
Carleigh Beriont
7%YesNo
$14K Vol.elections
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Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
Google
64%YesNo
OpenAI
42%YesNo
xAI
21%YesNo
Mistral
8%YesNo
Meituan
7%YesNo
$14K Vol.tech
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Democratic VP Nominee 2028
Pete Buttigieg
36%YesNo
Barack Obama
34%YesNo
John Fetterman
27%YesNo
J.B. Pritzker
24%YesNo
Wes Moore
22%YesNo
Kim Kardashian
18%YesNo
Mark Cuban
17%YesNo
Beto O’Rourke
16%YesNo
Oprah Winfrey
15%YesNo
Chelsea Clinton
15%YesNo
Zohran Mamdani
14%YesNo
George Clooney
14%YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%YesNo
Ro Khanna
11%YesNo
Gretchen Whitmer
11%YesNo
Gavin Newsom
7%YesNo
Ruben Gallego
6%YesNo
James Talarico
6%YesNo
Phil Murphy
5%YesNo
Elissa Slotkin
5%YesNo
Bernie Sanders
5%YesNo
Raphael Warnock
5%YesNo
Jared Polis
5%YesNo
Hillary Clinton
4%YesNo
Andrew Yang
4%YesNo
Liz Cheney
4%YesNo
Kamala Harris
4%YesNo
Stephen A. Smith
4%YesNo
Michelle Obama
4%YesNo
Tim Walz
3%YesNo
Jon Ossoff
3%YesNo
Andy Beshear
3%YesNo
Josh Shapiro
3%YesNo
Mark Kelly
2%YesNo
Gina Raimondo
1%YesNo
Hunter Biden
1%YesNo
Roy Cooper
1%YesNo
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%YesNo
LeBron James
1%YesNo
Cory Booker
0%YesNo
Rahm Emanuel
0%YesNo
Jon Stewart
0%YesNo
Chris Murphy
0%YesNo
$14K Vol.elections
View details
Oklahoma Senate Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
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Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?
December 31
39%YesNo
June 30
1%YesNo
$13K Vol.geopolitics
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Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$13K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by...?
May 31
5%YesNo
$13K Vol.geopolitics
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Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Yes
22%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$13K Vol.geopolitics
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Pennsylvania Governor Republican Primary Winner
Stacy Garrity
99%YesNo
Doug Mastriano
1%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
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Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$13K Vol.politics
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Bank of Korea decision in July?
No Change
68%YesNo
Increase
31%YesNo
Decrease
0%YesNo
$13K Vol.politics
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Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Ed Markey
71%YesNo
Seth Moulton
27%YesNo
Alexander Rikleen
1%YesNo
Ayanna Pressley
1%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
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Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
Democrat
95%YesNo
Republican
4%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
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Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$13K Vol.tech
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South Dakota Governor Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
4%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
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What will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit before 2027?
10 Gwei
43%YesNo
20 Gwei
19%YesNo
25 Gwei
16%YesNo
15 Gwei
13%YesNo
40 Gwei
9%YesNo
$13K Vol.tech
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Anthropic next funding round closed by...?
December 31
97%YesNo
June 30
88%YesNo
$13K Vol.tech
View details
Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Jocelyn Benson
96%YesNo
Chris Swanson
3%YesNo
Garlin Gilchrist
1%YesNo
Marni Sawicki
0%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
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New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Chris Pappas
92%YesNo
Karishma Manzur
3%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Moskovka by...?
May 31
14%YesNo
$13K Vol.geopolitics
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Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner
Mark Sutcliffe
72%YesNo
Jeff Leiper
22%YesNo
Neil Saravanamuttoo
2%YesNo
Alex Lawson
1%YesNo
Catherine McKenney
0%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
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Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
$13K Vol.geopolitics
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Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+
66%YesNo
<1.0%
20%YesNo
2.2–2.4%
13%YesNo
2.5–2.7%
12%YesNo
1.9–2.1%
11%YesNo
1.6–1.8%
1%YesNo
1.3–1.5%
0%YesNo
$13K Vol.politics
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Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?
Yes
60%YesNo
No
41%YesNo
$12K Vol.tech
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Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$12K Vol.geopolitics
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US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$12K Vol.geopolitics
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Texas Governor Election Winner
Republican
84%YesNo
Democrat
15%YesNo
$12K Vol.elections
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NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Brad Lander
83%YesNo
Dan Goldman
19%YesNo
Cameron Kasky
0%YesNo
Alexa Avilés
0%YesNo
Yuh-Line Niou
0%YesNo
$12K Vol.elections
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Idaho Republican Senate Primary Winner
Jim Risch
99%YesNo
Joe Evans
3%YesNo
$12K Vol.elections
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Delaware Senate Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$12K Vol.elections
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US recognize Somaliland by...?
June 30
4%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$12K Vol.geopolitics
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Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$11K Vol.geopolitics
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Colorado Governor Election Winner
Democrat
92%YesNo
Republican
9%YesNo
$11K Vol.elections
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Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$11K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$11K Vol.tech
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South Korea Annual Inflation 2026
3.0%+
28%YesNo
<1.5%
6%YesNo
$11K Vol.politics
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Peak US National Debt before 2027?
$40 trillion
92%YesNo
$42 trillion
9%YesNo
$11K Vol.politics
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Bank of Mexico Decision in June
No change
94%YesNo
Increase
3%YesNo
$11K Vol.politics
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Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Yes
82%YesNo
No
18%YesNo
$11K Vol.elections
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Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner
Aaron Guckian
57%YesNo
Elaine Pelino
23%YesNo
Ashley Kalus
6%YesNo
Robert Raimondo
3%YesNo
Jessica de la Cruz
2%YesNo
$11K Vol.elections
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Bill Gates charged by June 30?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$11K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by...?
May 31
5%YesNo
$11K Vol.geopolitics
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South Carolina Governor Election Winner
Republican
90%YesNo
Democrat
4%YesNo
$11K Vol.elections
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Arkansas Senate Election Winner
Republican
95%YesNo
Democrat
3%YesNo
$11K Vol.elections
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Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$11K Vol.geopolitics
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MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Wesley Bell
67%YesNo
Cori Bush
33%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
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Ethereum above ___ on May 18?
2,100
97%YesNo
2,200
88%YesNo
2,400
20%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
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X banned in any European country by December 31?
Yes
36%YesNo
No
64%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
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Will RWAs hit $50B by ___?
December 31
0%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
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Elon Bull Run Parlay
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
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South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Annie Andrews
94%YesNo
Catherine Fleming Bruce
5%YesNo
Kyle Freeman
3%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
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South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?
Increase
86%YesNo
No Change
14%YesNo
Decrease
2%YesNo
$10K Vol.politics
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Alabama Senate Election Winner
Republican
95%YesNo
Democrat
6%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
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Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...?
May 31
11%YesNo
$10K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia enter Myrne by...?
May 31
14%YesNo
$10K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$10K Vol.politics
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Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
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Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?
September 30
94%YesNo
June 30
69%YesNo
May 31
25%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
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West Virginia Senate Election Winner
Republican
94%YesNo
Democrat
4%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?
May 31
14%YesNo
$10K Vol.geopolitics
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French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
99%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
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Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
35–39.9%
27%YesNo
25-29.9%
21%YesNo
20-24.9%
17%YesNo
45%+
8%YesNo
<20%
7%YesNo
$10K Vol.politics
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Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?
Yes
22%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
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New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Cory Booker
97%YesNo
Gregory Tomaini
2%YesNo
Saxon Callahan
0%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
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Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
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What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit Week of May 11 2026?
↑ $620
100%YesNo
↓ $590
6%YesNo
↓ $580
1%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
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Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Reilly Neill
94%YesNo
Alani Bankhead
4%YesNo
Michael Hummert
1%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Maine Governor Election Winner
Democrat
89%YesNo
Republican
13%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Wyoming Senate Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner
Prosperity
98%YesNo
NaMA
1%YesNo
GPDP
1%YesNo
TPLF
1%YesNo
EZEMA
0%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Which company has the #2 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
84%YesNo
Google
18%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
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Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
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Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$9K Vol.politics
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Virginia Senate Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
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Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$9K Vol.geopolitics
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Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$9K Vol.geopolitics
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Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
1.0-2.0%
69%YesNo
4.0-5.0%
3%YesNo
7.0%+
3%YesNo
6.0-7.0%
1%YesNo
$9K Vol.politics
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Rhode Island Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Jack Reed
97%YesNo
Connor Burbridge
1%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$8K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
Yes
30%YesNo
No
70%YesNo
$8K Vol.tech
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New Hampshire Governor Election Winner
Republican
76%YesNo
Democrat
23%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
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Kentucky Senate Election Winner
Republican
95%YesNo
Democrat
0%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
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California voter ID referendum passes?
Yes
41%YesNo
No
60%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
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Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$8K Vol.tech
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Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Yes
54%YesNo
No
46%YesNo
$8K Vol.politics
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Rhode Island Senate Election Winner
Democrat
91%YesNo
Republican
5%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
ChatGPT
43%YesNo
$8K Vol.tech
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Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?
1560
59%YesNo
1550
54%YesNo
1570
39%YesNo
$8K Vol.tech
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SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
Yes
90%YesNo
No
10%YesNo
$8K Vol.tech
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NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Hakeem Jeffries
94%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
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Republican VP Nominee 2028
Marco Rubio
28%YesNo
Donald Trump
27%YesNo
Kristi Noem
24%YesNo
Mike Pence
19%YesNo
Vivek Ramaswamy
19%YesNo
Steve Bannon
18%YesNo
Ivanka Trump
12%YesNo
Thomas Massie
12%YesNo
J.D. Vance
12%YesNo
Erika Kirk
9%YesNo
Marjorie Taylor Greene
6%YesNo
Pete Hegseth
5%YesNo
Donald Trump Jr.
5%YesNo
Tom Brady
5%YesNo
Tucker Carlson
4%YesNo
Josh Hawley
4%YesNo
Elise Stefanik
4%YesNo
Brian Kemp
4%YesNo
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%YesNo
Ron DeSantis
4%YesNo
Katie Britt
4%YesNo
Eric Trump
4%YesNo
John Thune
3%YesNo
Greg Abbott
3%YesNo
Joe Kent
3%YesNo
Matt Gaetz
3%YesNo
Elon Musk
3%YesNo
Glenn Youngkin
3%YesNo
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%YesNo
Tulsi Gabbard
2%YesNo
Kim Kardashian
2%YesNo
Nikki Haley
2%YesNo
Rand Paul
1%YesNo
Byron Donalds
1%YesNo
Ted Cruz
1%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
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Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
June 30
51%YesNo
$7K Vol.politics
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100kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
View details
Idaho Governor Election Winner
Republican
94%YesNo
Democrat
3%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
View details
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$7K Vol.geopolitics
View details
VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Elaine Luria
87%YesNo
James Osyf
6%YesNo
Patrick Mosolf
3%YesNo
Nicolaus Sleister
0%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
View details
Which company has the third best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
59%YesNo
Google
23%YesNo
OpenAI
10%YesNo
Microsoft
4%YesNo
ByteDance
4%YesNo
Meta
3%YesNo
Alibaba
3%YesNo
xAI
3%YesNo
Moonshot
3%YesNo
Mistral
3%YesNo
Z.ai
3%YesNo
DeepSeek
2%YesNo
Baidu
2%YesNo
Amazon
1%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
View details
Nebraska Governor Election Winner
Republican
88%YesNo
Democrat
14%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
View details
Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?
1600.00+
44%YesNo
1450.00–1499.99
2%YesNo
$7K Vol.politics
View details
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
View details
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
View details
Hawaii Governor Election Winner
Democrat
91%YesNo
Republican
8%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
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Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$7K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Kansas Governor Election Winner
Republican
59%YesNo
Democrat
28%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
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Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Helena Foulkes
71%YesNo
Dan McKee
27%YesNo
Joe Shekarchi
0%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
View details
Louisiana Senate Election Winner
Republican
91%YesNo
Democrat
11%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
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Arkansas Governor Election Winner
Republican
94%YesNo
Democrat
5%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
View details
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$6K Vol.politics
View details
Wyoming Governor Election Winner
Republican
95%YesNo
Democrat
4%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner
Marsha Blackburn
90%YesNo
John Rose
5%YesNo
Monty Fritts
4%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
View details
Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026?
1.2%+
3%YesNo
$6K Vol.politics
View details
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$6K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
Yes
45%YesNo
No
56%YesNo
$6K Vol.politics
View details
Haiti elections delayed again?
Yes
45%YesNo
No
55%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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Will Russia capture Serhiivka by...?
May 31
4%YesNo
$6K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
View details
NVIDIA Data Center Revenue above __ in Q1?
60B
99%YesNo
50B
98%YesNo
55B
98%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
View details
Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of May?
Anthropic
88%YesNo
OpenAI
7%YesNo
xAI
6%YesNo
Google
5%YesNo
Meituan
2%YesNo
Amazon
2%YesNo
Baidu
1%YesNo
Z.ai
1%YesNo
Moonshot
1%YesNo
Meta
1%YesNo
DeepSeek
1%YesNo
Microsoft
1%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
View details
New Hampshire Governor Republican Primary Winner
Kelly Ayotte
85%YesNo
Corey Lewandowski
10%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
View details
2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election Winner
Park Wan-soo
75%YesNo
Kim Kyung-soo
28%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
View details
South Dakota Senate Election Winner
Republican
92%YesNo
Democrat
24%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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New Hampshire Republican Senate Primary Winner
John E. Sununu
89%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
View details
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by June 30?
1520
73%YesNo
1550
9%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
View details
Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner
PL
74%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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Alabama Governor Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
Yes
27%YesNo
No
74%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
View details
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
↑ 44%
10%YesNo
$5K Vol.politics
View details
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
Yes
71%YesNo
No
29%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
View details
Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$5K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
View details
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$5K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Meta (META) finish week of May 11 above___?
$620
37%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
View details
Illinois Governor Election Winner
Democrat
92%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
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Ethereum above ___ on May 19?
2,100
96%YesNo
2,300
56%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
View details
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
Claude by Anthropic
31%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
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Connecticut Governor Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
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Oregon Senate Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
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U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
4.5%+
33%YesNo
$4K Vol.politics
View details
Fed abolished before 2027?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$4K Vol.politics
View details
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
View details
Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?
Yes
22%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
View details
Tennessee Governor Election Winner
Republican
57%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
View details
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$4K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$4K Vol.politics
View details
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$4K Vol.politics
View details
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?
Yes
51%YesNo
No
49%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
View details
People's Bank of China rate change in May?
No Change
98%YesNo
$3K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?
Increase
63%YesNo
$3K Vol.politics
View details
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
1525
59%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?
No change
54%YesNo
Decrease
3%YesNo
$3K Vol.politics
View details
Andalusia Election: PSOE-A # of seats?
33+
3%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
View details
Andalusia Election: PP # of seats?
53-55
44%YesNo
56-58
31%YesNo
50-52
18%YesNo
59-61
10%YesNo
62+
4%YesNo
<50
3%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
View details
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
1560
84%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Vermont Governor Republican Primary Winner
Phil Scott
94%YesNo
John Rodgers
7%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
View details
Which company has the #3 AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
61%YesNo
Google
24%YesNo
Alibaba
14%YesNo
Microsoft
12%YesNo
Meta
12%YesNo
Amazon
10%YesNo
Meituan
8%YesNo
xAI
7%YesNo
OpenAI
6%YesNo
DeepSeek
5%YesNo
Mistral
3%YesNo
Baidu
1%YesNo
Z.ai
1%YesNo
ByteDance
1%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum above ___ on May 20?
2,000
97%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?
Yes
56%YesNo
No
44%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
What will the Ethereum implied volatility Index hit by May 31?
↑ 90
100%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Andalusia Regional Election: VOX # of Seats
19-21
27%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET
Yes
85%YesNo
No
15%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?
54-57%
49%YesNo
60%+
28%YesNo
48-51%
26%YesNo
51-54%
24%YesNo
57-60%
18%YesNo
<48%
5%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
View details
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin price on May 20?
82,000-84,000
23%YesNo
80,000-82,000
22%YesNo
84,000-86,000
15%YesNo
78,000-80,000
15%YesNo
76,000-78,000
8%YesNo
86,000-88,000
7%YesNo
72,000-74,000
5%YesNo
74,000-76,000
3%YesNo
>88,000
3%YesNo
70,000-72,000
1%YesNo
<70,000
1%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Likud
53%YesNo
Together
38%YesNo
Yashar
9%YesNo
The Democrats
3%YesNo
Shas
1%YesNo
Otzma Yehudit
1%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
View details
Ben-Gvir out as Israeli Minister of National Security by June 30?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$2K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which company has the #2 AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
56%YesNo
Moonshot
36%YesNo
Meituan
36%YesNo
xAI
36%YesNo
Z.ai
33%YesNo
Google
28%YesNo
ByteDance
28%YesNo
Microsoft
28%YesNo
Mistral
22%YesNo
Amazon
22%YesNo
Alibaba
9%YesNo
Meta
7%YesNo
OpenAI
6%YesNo
DeepSeek
4%YesNo
Baidu
3%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
0-1%
52%YesNo
4-5%
39%YesNo
1-2%
30%YesNo
5%+
26%YesNo
<0
26%YesNo
2-3%
7%YesNo
3-4%
6%YesNo
$2K Vol.politics
View details
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Meta (META) closes above ___ on May 14?
$580
99%YesNo
$600
98%YesNo
$590
98%YesNo
$610
97%YesNo
$620
11%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Precipitation in Hong Kong in May?
240mm+
56%YesNo
210-220mm
39%YesNo
200-210mm
36%YesNo
180-190mm
35%YesNo
190-200mm
22%YesNo
220-230mm
22%YesNo
230-240mm
22%YesNo
<180mm
6%YesNo
$2K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
72%YesNo
$2K Vol.elections
View details
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?
Shadowrocket
93%YesNo
HotSchedules
3%YesNo
SkyView
2%YesNo
Procreate Pocket
2%YesNo
AnkiMobile Flashcards
2%YesNo
TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome
2%YesNo
DualShot Recorder
0%YesNo
AutoSleep: Watch Sleep Tracker
0%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
Yes
39%YesNo
No
61%YesNo
$2K Vol.politics
View details
Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?
Yes
26%YesNo
No
75%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election Winner
Kim Kwan-young
55%YesNo
Lee Won-taek
47%YesNo
Yang Jeong-mu
2%YesNo
$1K Vol.elections
View details
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$1K Vol.politics
View details
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
Yes
21%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$1K Vol.politics
View details
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
25-29
48%YesNo
20-24
41%YesNo
30-34
32%YesNo
35+
20%YesNo
<20
17%YesNo
$1K Vol.elections
View details
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$1K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by ___?
December 31, 2027
21%YesNo
December 31, 2026
5%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
72%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Yes
82%YesNo
No
18%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
How many SpaceX launches in May?
12
46%YesNo
≤8
39%YesNo
11
33%YesNo
13
32%YesNo
14 or more
12%YesNo
10
10%YesNo
9
8%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?
Yes
15%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$907 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bank of Israel Decision in July?
No Change
63%YesNo
Decrease
39%YesNo
Increase
3%YesNo
$887 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 14?
Yes
41%YesNo
No
60%YesNo
$855 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum price on May 17?
2,300-2,400
42%YesNo
2,200-2,300
34%YesNo
2,400-2,500
12%YesNo
2,100-2,200
8%YesNo
2,500-2,600
3%YesNo
2,000-2,100
2%YesNo
2,600-2,700
2%YesNo
2,700-2,800
2%YesNo
1,900-2,000
1%YesNo
>2,800
1%YesNo
<1,900
1%YesNo
$847 Vol.tech
View details
Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%YesNo
New People (NL)
32%YesNo
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
31%YesNo
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
14%YesNo
Civic Platform (GP)
4%YesNo
United Russia (ER)
3%YesNo
Rodina
2%YesNo
$809 Vol.elections
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Yes
37%YesNo
No
64%YesNo
$796 Vol.tech
View details
Bank of Russia decision in July?
Decrease
67%YesNo
No Change
19%YesNo
Increase
4%YesNo
$783 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$722 Vol.tech
View details
Number of TSA passengers May 11 - May 17?
17.5-18m
66%YesNo
17-17.5m
50%YesNo
18-18.5m
42%YesNo
16.5-17m
42%YesNo
<16.5m
4%YesNo
>18.5m
1%YesNo
$616 Vol.politics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$587 Vol.tech
View details
Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
53-56%
38%YesNo
50-53%
36%YesNo
59-62%
36%YesNo
62%+
35%YesNo
47-50%
27%YesNo
<47%
24%YesNo
56-59%
24%YesNo
$564 Vol.elections
View details
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$552 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$546 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$491 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum price on May 19?
2,300-2,400
32%YesNo
2,200-2,300
30%YesNo
2,400-2,500
17%YesNo
2,100-2,200
12%YesNo
2,500-2,600
4%YesNo
2,000-2,100
3%YesNo
2,600-2,700
2%YesNo
>2,700
2%YesNo
1,900-2,000
2%YesNo
<1,800
2%YesNo
1,800-1,900
2%YesNo
$461 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum price on May 18?
2,300-2,400
38%YesNo
2,200-2,300
33%YesNo
2,400-2,500
14%YesNo
2,100-2,200
10%YesNo
2,500-2,600
4%YesNo
2,000-2,100
3%YesNo
1,900-2,000
2%YesNo
2,700-2,800
2%YesNo
>2,800
2%YesNo
<1,900
2%YesNo
2,600-2,700
2%YesNo
$456 Vol.tech
View details
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
Yes
77%YesNo
No
24%YesNo
$427 Vol.elections
View details
Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?
December 31
79%YesNo
June 30
17%YesNo
$331 Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?
↑ 45
81%YesNo
↑ 50
58%YesNo
↓ 35
24%YesNo
↓ 30
7%YesNo
↓ 25
5%YesNo
↑ 60
2%YesNo
$279 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$267 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$204 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$189 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$184 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$169 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum ETF Flows on April 13?
Yes
100%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$164 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$159 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin ETF Flows on April 13?
Yes
41%YesNo
No
60%YesNo
$157 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$150 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$148 Vol.tech
View details
Meta (META) closes week of May 11 at ___?
$610-$620
34%YesNo
$620-$630
25%YesNo
$600-$610
20%YesNo
$630-$640
8%YesNo
$590-$600
7%YesNo
$570-$580
5%YesNo
$640-$650
3%YesNo
$580-$590
3%YesNo
$650-$660
2%YesNo
>$660
2%YesNo
<$570
1%YesNo
$137 Vol.tech
View details
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
Yes
49%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$119 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$108 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Yes
49%YesNo
No
52%YesNo
$86 Vol.tech
View details
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?
Yes
48%YesNo
No
52%YesNo
$78 Vol.politics
View details
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
Yes
35%YesNo
No
65%YesNo
$73 Vol.elections
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Yes
43%YesNo
No
57%YesNo
$63 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$44 Vol.tech
View details
AI data center in space by...?
December 31, 2027
29%YesNo
December 31, 2026
9%YesNo
$43 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$33 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$24 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$20 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$10 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Yes
49%YesNo
No
52%YesNo
$10 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Yes
52%YesNo
No
49%YesNo
$10 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Yes
49%YesNo
No
52%YesNo
$7 Vol.tech
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Ethereum price on May 20?
2,300-2,400
28%YesNo
2,200-2,300
27%YesNo
2,400-2,500
16%YesNo
2,100-2,200
13%YesNo
2,500-2,600
5%YesNo
2,000-2,100
4%YesNo
2,600-2,700
3%YesNo
1,900-2,000
2%YesNo
>2,700
2%YesNo
<1,800
2%YesNo
1,800-1,900
2%YesNo
$5 Vol.tech
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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$4 Vol.tech
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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$4 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$4 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$2 Vol.tech
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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$2 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$2 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$2 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$2 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$2 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
XRP Up or Down - December 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
XRP Up or Down - December 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Solana Up or Down - December 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
XRP Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Solana Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Solana Up or Down - December 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
XRP Up or Down - December 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin ETF Flows on May 14?
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin ETF Flows on May 15?
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum ETF Flows on May 14?
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum ETF Flows on May 15?
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 15?
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Meta (META) closes above ___ on May 15?
$600
90%YesNo
$610
71%YesNo
$620
37%YesNo
$630
13%YesNo
$640
5%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details