Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
27%YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%YesNo
Kamala Harris
8%YesNo
Jon Ossoff
6%YesNo
Josh Shapiro
4%YesNo
Pete Buttigieg
4%YesNo
Andy Beshear
3%YesNo
Mark Kelly
3%YesNo
James Talarico
2%YesNo
Jon Stewart
2%YesNo
J.B. Pritzker
2%YesNo
Ro Khanna
2%YesNo
Gretchen Whitmer
1%YesNo
Wes Moore
1%YesNo
Stephen A. Smith
1%YesNo
Rahm Emanuel
1%YesNo
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%YesNo
Michelle Obama
1%YesNo
Cory Booker
1%YesNo
John Fetterman
1%YesNo
Oprah Winfrey
1%YesNo
Ruben Gallego
1%YesNo
Mark Cuban
1%YesNo
Roy Cooper
1%YesNo
Liz Cheney
1%YesNo
Chelsea Clinton
1%YesNo
Chris Murphy
1%YesNo
Raphael Warnock
1%YesNo
Barack Obama
1%YesNo
George Clooney
1%YesNo
Tim Walz
1%YesNo
Zohran Mamdani
1%YesNo
Andrew Yang
1%YesNo
Jared Polis
1%YesNo
LeBron James
1%YesNo
MrBeast
1%YesNo
Hillary Clinton
1%YesNo
Gina Raimondo
1%YesNo
Beto O’Rourke
1%YesNo
Kim Kardashian
1%YesNo
Phil Murphy
1%YesNo
Hunter Biden
1%YesNo
Jasmine Crockett
1%YesNo
Bernie Sanders
1%YesNo
$1048m Vol.elections
View details
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
39%YesNo
Marco Rubio
22%YesNo
Tucker Carlson
4%YesNo
Ron DeSantis
3%YesNo
Donald Trump
2%YesNo
Thomas Massie
2%YesNo
Glenn Youngkin
2%YesNo
Donald Trump Jr.
2%YesNo
Rand Paul
1%YesNo
Tulsi Gabbard
1%YesNo
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%YesNo
Ivanka Trump
1%YesNo
Elon Musk
1%YesNo
Ted Cruz
1%YesNo
Nikki Haley
1%YesNo
Greg Abbott
1%YesNo
Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%YesNo
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%YesNo
Brian Kemp
1%YesNo
Matt Gaetz
1%YesNo
Eric Trump
1%YesNo
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%YesNo
Josh Hawley
1%YesNo
Katie Britt
1%YesNo
Joe Kent
1%YesNo
Tom Brady
1%YesNo
Steve Bannon
1%YesNo
Kim Kardashian
1%YesNo
Pete Hegseth
1%YesNo
Byron Donalds
1%YesNo
Elise Stefanik
1%YesNo
Erika Kirk
1%YesNo
John Thune
1%YesNo
Kristi Noem
1%YesNo
Mike Pence
1%YesNo
$556m Vol.elections
View details
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
19%YesNo
Gavin Newsom
17%YesNo
Marco Rubio
12%YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%YesNo
Kamala Harris
5%YesNo
Jon Ossoff
4%YesNo
Josh Shapiro
2%YesNo
Donald Trump
2%YesNo
Pete Buttigieg
2%YesNo
Tucker Carlson
1%YesNo
Ron DeSantis
1%YesNo
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%YesNo
Andy Beshear
1%YesNo
Glenn Youngkin
1%YesNo
JB Pritzker
1%YesNo
Gretchen Whitmer
1%YesNo
Thomas Massie
1%YesNo
James Talarico
1%YesNo
Elon Musk
1%YesNo
Greg Abbott
1%YesNo
Ivanka Trump
1%YesNo
Stephen Smith
1%YesNo
Jamie Dimon
1%YesNo
Donald Trump Jr.
1%YesNo
Michelle Obama
1%YesNo
Ro Khanna
1%YesNo
Tulsi Gabbard
1%YesNo
Nikki Haley
1%YesNo
Zohran Mamdani
1%YesNo
Eric Trump
1%YesNo
Tim Walz
1%YesNo
Wes Moore
1%YesNo
Pete Hegseth
1%YesNo
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%YesNo
Kim Kardashian
1%YesNo
LeBron James
1%YesNo
$528m Vol.elections
View details
Netanyahu out by...?
December 31
44%YesNo
June 30
6%YesNo
April 30
1%YesNo
$117m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Fed decision in April?
No change
99%YesNo
25 bps decrease
0%YesNo
25+ bps increase
0%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
0%YesNo
$93m Vol.politics
View details
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Péter Magyar
99%YesNo
Viktor Orbán
1%YesNo
Klára Dobrev
0%YesNo
László Toroczkai
0%YesNo
István Kapitány
0%YesNo
János Lázár
0%YesNo
$90m Vol.elections
View details
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
62%YesNo
Nicolás Maduro
18%YesNo
María Corina Machado
11%YesNo
Edmundo González
2%YesNo
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%YesNo
No Head of State
1%YesNo
Donald Trump
1%YesNo
Marco Rubio
0%YesNo
Jorge Rodríguez
0%YesNo
Dinorah Figuera
0%YesNo
Vladimir Padrino López
0%YesNo
Pete Hegseth
0%YesNo
Frank Donovan
0%YesNo
Evan Pettus
0%YesNo
Dan Caine
0%YesNo
Richard Grenell
0%YesNo
$82m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro
42%YesNo
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
39%YesNo
Renan Santos
6%YesNo
Fernando Haddad
5%YesNo
Camilo Santana
3%YesNo
Ronaldo Caiado
2%YesNo
Romeu Zema
1%YesNo
Jair Bolsonaro
1%YesNo
Michelle Bolsonaro
0%YesNo
Geraldo Alckmin
0%YesNo
Aldo Rebelo
0%YesNo
Eduardo Bolsonaro
0%YesNo
Tarcisio de Freitas
0%YesNo
Ratinho Júnior
0%YesNo
Eduardo Leite
0%YesNo
$51m Vol.elections
View details
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?
December 31
98%YesNo
June 30
96%YesNo
April 30
93%YesNo
May 15
93%YesNo
April 15
89%YesNo
$42m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan Bardella
25%YesNo
Édouard Philippe
24%YesNo
Marine Le Pen
7%YesNo
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
7%YesNo
Dominique de Villepin
6%YesNo
David Lisnard
4%YesNo
Bruno Retailleau
3%YesNo
François Hollande
3%YesNo
Gabriel Attal
3%YesNo
Raphaël Glucksmann
2%YesNo
Sarah Knafo
2%YesNo
Gérald Darmanin
1%YesNo
Jean Castex
1%YesNo
Sébastien Lecornu
1%YesNo
Éric Zemmour
1%YesNo
Fabien Roussel
1%YesNo
François Ruffin
1%YesNo
Valérie Pécresse
1%YesNo
François Asselineau
1%YesNo
Manuel Bompard
1%YesNo
Juan Branco
1%YesNo
Xavier Bertrand
1%YesNo
Marine Tondelier
1%YesNo
Olivier Faure
1%YesNo
Ségolène Royal
1%YesNo
Clémentine Autain
1%YesNo
Michel Barnier
1%YesNo
Yaël Braun-Pivet
1%YesNo
Clémence Guetté
1%YesNo
Laurent Wauquiez
1%YesNo
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
1%YesNo
Élisabeth Borne
1%YesNo
François Bayrou
1%YesNo
Bernard Cazeneuve
1%YesNo
Mathilde Panot
1%YesNo
Carole Delga
0%YesNo
$41m Vol.elections
View details
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$32m Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
↓ 85,000
100%YesNo
↓ 65,000
100%YesNo
↓ 75,000
100%YesNo
↓ 60,000
100%YesNo
↑ 70,000
100%YesNo
↑ 80,000
79%YesNo
↓ 55,000
63%YesNo
↑ 90,000
55%YesNo
↓ 50,000
53%YesNo
↓ 45,000
40%YesNo
↑ 100,000
36%YesNo
↓ 40,000
30%YesNo
↑ 110,000
24%YesNo
↓ 35,000
24%YesNo
↑ 120,000
19%YesNo
↓ 30,000
17%YesNo
↑ 130,000
13%YesNo
↓ 25,000
12%YesNo
↑ 140,000
11%YesNo
↑ 150,000
10%YesNo
↓ 20,000
9%YesNo
↑ 160,000
8%YesNo
↑ 180,000
7%YesNo
↑ 170,000
7%YesNo
↓ 15,000
6%YesNo
↑ 190,000
5%YesNo
↓ 10,000
4%YesNo
↑ 200,000
4%YesNo
↑ 250,000
4%YesNo
↓ 5,000
4%YesNo
↑ 500,000
2%YesNo
↑ 1,000,000
2%YesNo
$31m Vol.tech
View details
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$31m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Military action against Iran ends by...?
April 15
100%YesNo
April 16
100%YesNo
April 18
100%YesNo
April 19
100%YesNo
April 20
100%YesNo
April 21
100%YesNo
April 22
100%YesNo
April 23
100%YesNo
April 24
100%YesNo
April 25
100%YesNo
April 26
100%YesNo
April 27
100%YesNo
April 28
100%YesNo
April 29
100%YesNo
April 30
100%YesNo
April 17
100%YesNo
$26m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
June 30
84%YesNo
May 31
77%YesNo
April 30
45%YesNo
April 21
16%YesNo
April 15
2%YesNo
$26m Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Bitcoin hit in April?
↑ 75,000
100%YesNo
↑ 70,000
100%YesNo
↑ 80,000
26%YesNo
↓ 65,000
23%YesNo
↓ 60,000
8%YesNo
↑ 85,000
5%YesNo
↓ 55,000
3%YesNo
↑ 90,000
2%YesNo
↓ 50,000
1%YesNo
↓ 45,000
1%YesNo
↑ 95,000
1%YesNo
↓ 40,000
1%YesNo
↓ 35,000
0%YesNo
↑ 100,000
0%YesNo
↑ 150,000
0%YesNo
↓ 25,000
0%YesNo
↑ 110,000
0%YesNo
↑ 105,000
0%YesNo
↓ 20,000
0%YesNo
↓ 30,000
0%YesNo
$25m Vol.tech
View details
Will Trump visit China by...?
June 30
86%YesNo
May 31
82%YesNo
May 15
76%YesNo
May 8
3%YesNo
April 30
1%YesNo
$24m Vol.geopolitics
View details
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Chong Won-oh
89%YesNo
Oh Se-hoon
8%YesNo
Cho Eun-hee
0%YesNo
Ahn Cheol-soo
0%YesNo
Park Yong-jin
0%YesNo
Hong Ihk-pyo
0%YesNo
Cho Kuk
0%YesNo
Kang Hoon-sik
0%YesNo
Na Kyung-won
0%YesNo
Han Dong-hoon
0%YesNo
Park Ju-min
0%YesNo
Park Hong-keun
0%YesNo
Seo Young-kyo
0%YesNo
Jeon Hyun-heui
0%YesNo
$23m Vol.elections
View details
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
11%YesNo
June 30, 2026
3%YesNo
$22m Vol.tech
View details
What will happen before GTA VI?
Drake releases Iceman
89%YesNo
GPT-6 released
70%YesNo
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire
55%YesNo
New Rihanna Album
55%YesNo
New Playboi Carti Album
53%YesNo
Trump out as President
53%YesNo
China invades Taiwan
51%YesNo
Bitcoin hits $1m
49%YesNo
Jesus Christ returns
49%YesNo
$21m Vol.politics
View details
Colombia Presidential Election
Paloma Valencia
39%YesNo
Iván Cepeda Castro
38%YesNo
Abelardo de la Espriella
21%YesNo
Claudia López (IND)
0%YesNo
Sergio Fajardo (DC)
0%YesNo
Carlos Felipe Córdoba
0%YesNo
Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)
0%YesNo
Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)
0%YesNo
Vicky Dávila (IND)
0%YesNo
David Luna Sánchez (IND)
0%YesNo
Gustavo Bolívar (HC)
0%YesNo
Juan Manuel Galán (NL)
0%YesNo
Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)
0%YesNo
Mauricio Cárdenas
0%YesNo
Daniel Quintero
0%YesNo
Roy Barreras
0%YesNo
Enrique Peñalosa
0%YesNo
Juan Carlos Pinzón
0%YesNo
Miguel Uribe Turbay (CD)
0%YesNo
$20m Vol.elections
View details
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$20m Vol.geopolitics
View details
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
40%YesNo
1 (25 bps)
27%YesNo
2 (50 bps)
17%YesNo
3 (75 bps)
11%YesNo
4 (100 bps)
4%YesNo
5 (125 bps)
1%YesNo
12+ (300+ bps)
1%YesNo
6 (150 bps)
1%YesNo
7 (175 bps)
0%YesNo
8 (200 bps)
0%YesNo
10 (250 bps)
0%YesNo
9 (225 bps)
0%YesNo
11 (275 bps)
0%YesNo
$19m Vol.politics
View details
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
iRobot
100%YesNo
Warner Bros. Discovery
100%YesNo
Caesars Entertainment
71%YesNo
Ubisoft
33%YesNo
Viking Therapeutics
31%YesNo
Perplexity AI
30%YesNo
Pizza Hut
23%YesNo
GitLab
22%YesNo
BP
20%YesNo
PayPal
18%YesNo
Lovable
17%YesNo
Nebius Group
14%YesNo
Zoom Video Communications
12%YesNo
Snapchat
12%YesNo
OpenAI
8%YesNo
Cursor
7%YesNo
Anthropic
7%YesNo
$17m Vol.tech
View details
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? (if by June 30)
>$600M
69%YesNo
>$800M
50%YesNo
>$1B
39%YesNo
>$1.5B
17%YesNo
>$2B
12%YesNo
>$3B
4%YesNo
>$4B
3%YesNo
>$6B
2%YesNo
$15m Vol.tech
View details
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
Ken Paxton
60%YesNo
John Cornyn
40%YesNo
Dawn Buckingham
0%YesNo
Beth Van Duyne
0%YesNo
Wesley Hunt
0%YesNo
$15m Vol.elections
View details
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 31
12%YesNo
June 30
7%YesNo
May 31
3%YesNo
April 30
1%YesNo
$15m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$15m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 31
13%YesNo
$14m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Yes
30%YesNo
No
71%YesNo
$14m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia Navalnaya
10%YesNo
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
9%YesNo
Donald Trump
7%YesNo
Pope Leo XIV
5%YesNo
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
3%YesNo
UNRWA
3%YesNo
International Court of Justice
3%YesNo
Xi Jinping
2%YesNo
Greta Thunberg
2%YesNo
Mohammed bin Salman
2%YesNo
Narendra Modi
2%YesNo
Elon Musk
1%YesNo
Khaled Mashal
1%YesNo
Ahmed al-Sharaa
1%YesNo
Charlie Kirk
1%YesNo
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
1%YesNo
António Guterres
1%YesNo
Vladimir Putin
1%YesNo
Julian Assange
1%YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu
1%YesNo
$14m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Starmer out by...?
December 31
50%YesNo
June 30
19%YesNo
April 30
1%YesNo
$11m Vol.politics
View details
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes
31%YesNo
No
70%YesNo
$10m Vol.geopolitics
View details
California Governor Election Winner
Tom Steyer
69%YesNo
Katie Porter
10%YesNo
Matt Mahan
8%YesNo
Steve Hilton
7%YesNo
Chad Bianco
2%YesNo
Xavier Becerra
2%YesNo
Kamala Harris
1%YesNo
Antonio Villaraigosa
0%YesNo
Betty Yee
0%YesNo
Elaine Culotti
0%YesNo
Rick Caruso
0%YesNo
Stephen Cloobeck
0%YesNo
Kyle Langford
0%YesNo
Eleni Kounalakis
0%YesNo
Tony Thurmond
0%YesNo
Leo Zacky
0%YesNo
Eric Swalwell
0%YesNo
Alex Padilla
0%YesNo
Butch Ware
0%YesNo
Toni Atkins
0%YesNo
Daniel Mercuri
0%YesNo
Michael Younger
0%YesNo
Nicole Shanahan
0%YesNo
$10m Vol.elections
View details
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Yes
26%YesNo
No
75%YesNo
$9m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
30%YesNo
September 30
21%YesNo
June 30
8%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$8m Vol.tech
View details
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$8m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
Anthropic
94%YesNo
OpenAI
4%YesNo
Google
1%YesNo
Meta
0%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
$8m Vol.tech
View details
Largest Company end of April?
NVIDIA
99%YesNo
Apple
0%YesNo
Alphabet
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
Tesla
0%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
$8m Vol.tech
View details
Fed Decision in June?
No change
91%YesNo
25 bps decrease
6%YesNo
25 bps increase
3%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
2%YesNo
50+ bps increase
1%YesNo
$8m Vol.politics
View details
Trump out as President before 2027?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$7m Vol.elections
View details
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?
June 30
88%YesNo
April 30
80%YesNo
April 15
52%YesNo
$7m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$7m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei
67%YesNo
Reza Pahlavi
10%YesNo
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
7%YesNo
Hassan Rouhani
5%YesNo
No Head of State
3%YesNo
Hassan Khomeini
3%YesNo
Ahmad Vahidi
2%YesNo
Abbas Araghchi
2%YesNo
Alireza Arafi
1%YesNo
Mohammad Khatami
1%YesNo
Maryam Rajavi
0%YesNo
Sadegh Larijani
0%YesNo
Navid Shomali
0%YesNo
Masoud Pezeshkian
0%YesNo
Saeed Jalili
0%YesNo
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
0%YesNo
Ali Asghar Hejazi
0%YesNo
Muhammad Mirbaqiri
0%YesNo
Hassan Shariatmadari
0%YesNo
Massoud Rajavi
0%YesNo
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
0%YesNo
Reza Pirzadeh
0%YesNo
Mustafa Hijri
0%YesNo
Ali Motahari
0%YesNo
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel
0%YesNo
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
0%YesNo
Sadegh Mahsouli
0%YesNo
Mohsen Araki
0%YesNo
Nasir Hosseini
0%YesNo
Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani
0%YesNo
Ali Larijani
0%YesNo
$6m Vol.geopolitics
View details
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
4
28%YesNo
5
27%YesNo
3
17%YesNo
6
14%YesNo
11
3%YesNo
7
2%YesNo
10
1%YesNo
8
1%YesNo
9
1%YesNo
12
0%YesNo
13
0%YesNo
14
0%YesNo
15+
0%YesNo
0
0%YesNo
1
0%YesNo
$6m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
17%YesNo
September 30, 2026
11%YesNo
June 30, 2026
3%YesNo
$6m Vol.tech
View details
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
39%YesNo
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
$6m Vol.tech
View details
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$6m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 31
8%YesNo
April 30
1%YesNo
$6m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 2026
83%YesNo
June 30, 2026
52%YesNo
April 30, 2026
11%YesNo
August 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$6m Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Ethereum hit in April?
↑ 2,400
100%YesNo
↑ 2,200
100%YesNo
↑ 2,600
37%YesNo
↓ 2,000
24%YesNo
↑ 2,800
11%YesNo
↓ 1,800
6%YesNo
↑ 3,000
4%YesNo
↓ 1,600
3%YesNo
↓ 1,400
1%YesNo
↑ 3,200
1%YesNo
↓ 1,200
1%YesNo
↑ 3,400
1%YesNo
↓ 1,000
0%YesNo
↑ 3,600
0%YesNo
↓ 800
0%YesNo
↑ 4,000
0%YesNo
↑ 3,800
0%YesNo
↓ 600
0%YesNo
↓ 200
0%YesNo
↓ 400
0%YesNo
$6m Vol.tech
View details
IPOs before 2027?
Once Upon a Farm
100%YesNo
Wealthfront
100%YesNo
SpaceX
95%YesNo
Cerebras
92%YesNo
Discord
61%YesNo
Anthropic
55%YesNo
Remote
39%YesNo
OpenAI
36%YesNo
SHEIN
26%YesNo
Freddie Mac
24%YesNo
Canva
23%YesNo
Ledger
23%YesNo
Epic Games
21%YesNo
Databricks
19%YesNo
Deel
19%YesNo
Ramp
18%YesNo
Revolut
18%YesNo
Waymo
16%YesNo
Rippling
16%YesNo
Applied Intuition
16%YesNo
Mistral AI
16%YesNo
Fannie Mae
14%YesNo
Ripple Labs
13%YesNo
Celonis
13%YesNo
ByteDance
12%YesNo
Vanta
12%YesNo
Glean
11%YesNo
Stripe
11%YesNo
Anysphere (Cursor)
10%YesNo
Anduril Industries
10%YesNo
Anduril
9%YesNo
Brex
4%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
$6m Vol.tech
View details
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
66%YesNo
$300M
60%YesNo
$500M
44%YesNo
$1B
19%YesNo
$2B
8%YesNo
$3B
5%YesNo
$5B
3%YesNo
$6m Vol.tech
View details
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$6m Vol.geopolitics
View details
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
June 30
47%YesNo
May 31
25%YesNo
April 30
6%YesNo
$6m Vol.politics
View details
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)
66%YesNo
New People (NL)
29%YesNo
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
5%YesNo
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
0%YesNo
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
0%YesNo
Rodina
0%YesNo
Civic Platform (GP)
0%YesNo
$5m Vol.elections
View details
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
Other (incl $SPCX)
60%YesNo
$X
32%YesNo
$SPAX
3%YesNo
$SEX
2%YesNo
$SPACE
1%YesNo
$SX
1%YesNo
$STAR
0%YesNo
$MARS
0%YesNo
$SPC
0%YesNo
$5m Vol.tech
View details
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
53%YesNo
R Senate, D House
35%YesNo
Republicans Sweep
13%YesNo
D Senate, R House
1%YesNo
$5m Vol.elections
View details
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
No meeting by June 30
78%YesNo
China
7%YesNo
Russia
2%YesNo
Other EU country
2%YesNo
Turkey
1%YesNo
Gulf country
1%YesNo
United States
1%YesNo
Switzerland
1%YesNo
Belarus
1%YesNo
Finland
0%YesNo
Ukraine
0%YesNo
Japan
0%YesNo
South Korea
0%YesNo
Australia
0%YesNo
$5m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Largest Company end of June?
NVIDIA
91%YesNo
Alphabet
5%YesNo
Apple
3%YesNo
Microsoft
1%YesNo
Tesla
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
0%YesNo
$5m Vol.tech
View details
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Benjamin Netanyahu
44%YesNo
Naftali Bennett
26%YesNo
Gadi Eizenkot
19%YesNo
Yair Lapid
3%YesNo
Yariv Levin
1%YesNo
Avigdor Lieberman
1%YesNo
Benny Gantz
1%YesNo
Itamar Ben Gvir
1%YesNo
Yair Golan
1%YesNo
Israel Katz
1%YesNo
Yossi Cohen
0%YesNo
Gideon Sa’ar
0%YesNo
Nir Barkat
0%YesNo
Moshe Feiglin
0%YesNo
Ayelet Shaked
0%YesNo
Amir Ohana
0%YesNo
Yoaz Hendel
0%YesNo
$5m Vol.elections
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on April 15?
70,000
100%YesNo
62,000
100%YesNo
64,000
100%YesNo
68,000
100%YesNo
72,000
100%YesNo
66,000
100%YesNo
74,000
0%YesNo
76,000
0%YesNo
78,000
0%YesNo
80,000
0%YesNo
82,000
0%YesNo
$5m Vol.tech
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Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
85%YesNo
Republican Party
14%YesNo
$4m Vol.elections
View details
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 31
12%YesNo
April 30
1%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
↓ 2,000
100%YesNo
↓ 2,500
100%YesNo
↓ 1,500
53%YesNo
↑ 3,500
39%YesNo
↑ 4,000
26%YesNo
↓ 1,000
25%YesNo
↓ 800
18%YesNo
↑ 4,500
17%YesNo
↑ 5,000
13%YesNo
↑ 5,500
10%YesNo
↑ 6,000
9%YesNo
↑ 7,000
7%YesNo
↑ 7,500
6%YesNo
↑ 6,500
6%YesNo
↑ 8,000
5%YesNo
↑ 10,000
4%YesNo
$4m Vol.tech
View details
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
June 30
33%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
November 7
0%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by...?
April 21
12%YesNo
April 18
3%YesNo
April 15
1%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
Israel
100%YesNo
Jordan
100%YesNo
Saudi Arabia
100%YesNo
Bahrain
100%YesNo
UAE
100%YesNo
Kuwait
100%YesNo
Iraq
100%YesNo
Qatar
24%YesNo
Oman
7%YesNo
Cyprus
4%YesNo
Lebanon
4%YesNo
Azerbaijan
4%YesNo
Syria
4%YesNo
Afghanistan
3%YesNo
Turkey
2%YesNo
Pakistan
2%YesNo
Poland
2%YesNo
Hungary
2%YesNo
Yemen
2%YesNo
UK
2%YesNo
Ukraine
2%YesNo
France
2%YesNo
Armenia
1%YesNo
Italy
1%YesNo
Georgia
1%YesNo
Spain
1%YesNo
India
1%YesNo
Germany
1%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
June 30, 2026
4%YesNo
$4m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
66%YesNo
Google
19%YesNo
OpenAI
9%YesNo
xAI
4%YesNo
DeepSeek
1%YesNo
Meta
1%YesNo
Z.ai
1%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
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US strike on Mexico by...?
December 31
24%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2026
10%YesNo
by June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
by September 30, 2025
0%YesNo
by December 31, 2025
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
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US strike on Cuba by...?
December 31
36%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
1T+
95%YesNo
No IPO before 2028
3%YesNo
900B–1T
1%YesNo
<500B
0%YesNo
500B–600B
0%YesNo
800B–900B
0%YesNo
600B–700B
0%YesNo
700B–800B
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Claude 5 released by…?
June 30, 2026
47%YesNo
May 31, 2026
19%YesNo
April 30, 2026
3%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
USD.AI FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
97%YesNo
$150M
94%YesNo
$200M
74%YesNo
$250M
64%YesNo
$300M
47%YesNo
$400M
15%YesNo
$500M
3%YesNo
$1B
2%YesNo
$800M
2%YesNo
$2B
0%YesNo
$3B
0%YesNo
$6B
0%YesNo
$4B
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
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Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Yes
37%YesNo
No
64%YesNo
$3m Vol.elections
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Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
37%YesNo
$500M
28%YesNo
$700M
27%YesNo
$1B
19%YesNo
$2B
8%YesNo
$3B
5%YesNo
$4B
4%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Pump.fun airdrop by ....?
December 31, 2026
22%YesNo
July 18
0%YesNo
August 31
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
June 30
0%YesNo
July 31
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
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AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 2026
24%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
View details
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
June 30
14%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
UAE
9%YesNo
Saudi Arabia
5%YesNo
Qatar
3%YesNo
Kuwait
2%YesNo
Any E.U. Country
2%YesNo
Turkey
2%YesNo
Bahrain
2%YesNo
UK
2%YesNo
Jordan
1%YesNo
Oman
1%YesNo
France
1%YesNo
Germany
1%YesNo
Canada
0%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?
December 31
16%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
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Another US strike on Venezuela by...?
December 31
12%YesNo
$3m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$3m Vol.tech
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Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Graham Platner
91%YesNo
Janet Mills
10%YesNo
Jordan Wood
0%YesNo
Dan Kleban
0%YesNo
Chellie Pingree
0%YesNo
Troy Jackson
0%YesNo
Jared Golden
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
United States
100%YesNo
United Kingdom
11%YesNo
France
9%YesNo
Pakistan
5%YesNo
India
4%YesNo
Italy
4%YesNo
Netherlands
3%YesNo
Germany
3%YesNo
Japan
2%YesNo
Greece
2%YesNo
Canada
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
December 31, 2026
10%YesNo
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Iván Cepeda Castro
90%YesNo
Abelardo de la Espriella
5%YesNo
Paloma Valencia
3%YesNo
Vicky Dávila
0%YesNo
Juan Carlos Pinzón
0%YesNo
Gustavo Bolívar
0%YesNo
Sergio Fajardo
0%YesNo
David Luna Sánchez
0%YesNo
Luis Gilberto Murillo
0%YesNo
Claudia López
0%YesNo
Juan Daniel Oviedo
0%YesNo
Juan Manuel Galán
0%YesNo
Germán Vargas Lleras
0%YesNo
Roy Barreras
0%YesNo
Daniel Quintero
0%YesNo
Mauricio Cárdenas
0%YesNo
Enrique Peñalosa
0%YesNo
Miguel Uribe Turbay
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner
Bert Mizusawa
51%YesNo
David Williams
21%YesNo
Kim Farington
15%YesNo
Chuck Smith
7%YesNo
Alex De Paula
2%YesNo
Jason Miyares
1%YesNo
Bryce Reeves
1%YesNo
Al Mina
1%YesNo
Winsome Earle-Sears
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
View details
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
June 30
24%YesNo
April 30
3%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
MegaETH airdrop by...?
June 30, 2026
46%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027
81%YesNo
Qatar / UAE
3%YesNo
Turkey
2%YesNo
US
1%YesNo
Saudi Arabia
1%YesNo
Russia
1%YesNo
Hungary
1%YesNo
Switzerland
1%YesNo
Belarus
1%YesNo
India
1%YesNo
China
1%YesNo
Kazakhstan
1%YesNo
Ukraine
1%YesNo
Italy / Vatican
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ukraine election held by...?
December 31, 2026
22%YesNo
June 30, 2026
4%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
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Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?
April 30
7%YesNo
April 15
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ethereum all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
16%YesNo
September 30, 2026
7%YesNo
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$150M
58%YesNo
$300M
31%YesNo
$500M
18%YesNo
$800M
8%YesNo
$1B
5%YesNo
$2B
3%YesNo
$3B
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party
56%YesNo
Republican Party
45%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
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Human moon landing in 2026?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
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Macron out by...?
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
$2m Vol.politics
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Russian strike on Poland by...?
June 30, 2026
6%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
72%YesNo
Apple
13%YesNo
Alphabet
12%YesNo
SpaceX
3%YesNo
Tesla
1%YesNo
Microsoft
1%YesNo
Saudi Aramco
1%YesNo
Amazon
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T-2.0T
39%YesNo
2.0T-2.5T
23%YesNo
2.5T-3.0T
13%YesNo
3.0T-3.5T
12%YesNo
1.0T-1.5T
6%YesNo
3.5T+
4%YesNo
No IPO before 2028
3%YesNo
<1.0T
3%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
December 31, 2026
14%YesNo
June 30, 2026
6%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Who visited Epstein's Island?
Richard Branson
100%YesNo
Steven Tisch
16%YesNo
Deepak Chopra
11%YesNo
Steve Bannon
11%YesNo
Kevin Spacey
11%YesNo
Woody Allen
11%YesNo
Noam Chomsky
8%YesNo
Bill Gates
7%YesNo
Bill Clinton
6%YesNo
Harvey Weinstein
5%YesNo
Donald Trump
4%YesNo
Bill Cosby
4%YesNo
Jay-Z
3%YesNo
Peter Attia
3%YesNo
Michael Jackson
3%YesNo
Hillary Clinton
3%YesNo
Elon Musk
2%YesNo
Marco Rubio
2%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
91%YesNo
OpenAI
3%YesNo
Anthropic
3%YesNo
Discord
1%YesNo
Databricks
1%YesNo
Stripe
0%YesNo
Kraken
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
SHEIN
0%YesNo
Perplexity AI
0%YesNo
Revolut
0%YesNo
Waymo
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
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Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Democratic
61%YesNo
Republican
39%YesNo
$2m Vol.elections
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Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
June 30, 2026
17%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
May 31
28%YesNo
June 30
28%YesNo
April 30
19%YesNo
April 15
2%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2026
62%YesNo
1.5T+
9%YesNo
1.25T–1.5T
6%YesNo
750B–1T
6%YesNo
<500B
5%YesNo
1T–1.25T
4%YesNo
500–750B
3%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
View details
Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Elon Musk
91%YesNo
Jensen Huang
2%YesNo
Warren Buffett
2%YesNo
Mark Zuckerberg
1%YesNo
Jeff Bezos
1%YesNo
Larry Ellison
1%YesNo
Bernard Arnault
1%YesNo
Sergey Brin
1%YesNo
Larry Page
1%YesNo
Steve Ballmer
1%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
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NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31
20%YesNo
June 30
8%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
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Kraken IPO by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
73%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.tech
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Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
June 30
10%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
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US strike on Colombia by...?
December 31
18%YesNo
$2m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Israel military action against Iran by...?
April 21
13%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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Ukraine election called by...?
June 30, 2026
4%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
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OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$800B
75%YesNo
$1T
51%YesNo
$1.2T
48%YesNo
$1.4T
31%YesNo
$1.6T
23%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
Successful splash down?
7%YesNo
Super Heavy booster explodes?
3%YesNo
April 30
3%YesNo
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
2%YesNo
April 21
2%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?
June 30
17%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
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Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Anthropic
100%YesNo
OpenAI
26%YesNo
xAI
13%YesNo
DeepSeek
8%YesNo
Alibaba
8%YesNo
Z.ai
6%YesNo
Meta
6%YesNo
Nvidia
5%YesNo
Baidu
4%YesNo
Mistral
4%YesNo
Meituan
3%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
How long will the DHS shutdown last?
5+ days
100%YesNo
3+ days
100%YesNo
7+ days
100%YesNo
10+ days
100%YesNo
14+ days
100%YesNo
60+ days
100%YesNo
44+ days
100%YesNo
48+ days
100%YesNo
52+ days
100%YesNo
70+ days
78%YesNo
80+ days
34%YesNo
90+ days
34%YesNo
$1m Vol.politics
View details
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
Morgan Stanley
45%YesNo
Goldman Sachs
26%YesNo
Bank of America
19%YesNo
JPMorgan
2%YesNo
Citigroup
1%YesNo
Deutsche Bank
0%YesNo
UBS
0%YesNo
Barclays
0%YesNo
Wells Fargo
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting
61%YesNo
October Meeting
57%YesNo
September Meeting
40%YesNo
July Meeting
21%YesNo
June Meeting
12%YesNo
April Meeting
1%YesNo
January Meeting
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.politics
View details
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Yes
22%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
December 31
93%YesNo
September 30
90%YesNo
August 31
70%YesNo
June 30
45%YesNo
June 15
11%YesNo
May 31
2%YesNo
April 30
1%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
>$1T
94%YesNo
>$1.2T
91%YesNo
>$1.4T
89%YesNo
>$1.6T
78%YesNo
>$1.8T
69%YesNo
>$2T
48%YesNo
>$2.2T
36%YesNo
>$2.4T
31%YesNo
>$3T
14%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026
12%YesNo
September 30, 2026
8%YesNo
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$200M
68%YesNo
$400M
32%YesNo
$800M
11%YesNo
$1B
9%YesNo
$2B
5%YesNo
$3B
5%YesNo
$5B
2%YesNo
$7B
1%YesNo
$10B
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↓ 3.5%
100%YesNo
↓ 3.25%
66%YesNo
↓ 3.0%
26%YesNo
↓ 2.75%
17%YesNo
↓ 2.5%
13%YesNo
↓ 2.25%
8%YesNo
↓ 1.0%
8%YesNo
↑ 4.25%
8%YesNo
↓ 2.0%
8%YesNo
↓ 1.75%
7%YesNo
↓ 1.5%
7%YesNo
↑ 5.5%
6%YesNo
↑ 4.75%
6%YesNo
↑ 4.5%
6%YesNo
↓ 0.25%
5%YesNo
↑ 5.25%
5%YesNo
↓ 0.5%
4%YesNo
↓ 0%
4%YesNo
↑ 5.0%
4%YesNo
$1m Vol.politics
View details
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Yes
37%YesNo
No
63%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
US recession by end of 2026?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
72%YesNo
$1m Vol.politics
View details
US forces enter Venezuela again by...?
June 30
10%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Byron Donalds
84%YesNo
James Fishback
10%YesNo
Jay Collins
5%YesNo
Casey DeSantis
0%YesNo
Wilton Simpson
0%YesNo
Matt Gaetz
0%YesNo
Jimmy Patronis
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
View details
DeepSeek V4 released by...?
May 15
86%YesNo
April 30
77%YesNo
April 15
1%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
June 30
5%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
64%YesNo
Google
15%YesNo
OpenAI
7%YesNo
xAI
6%YesNo
Meituan
3%YesNo
Z.ai
3%YesNo
DeepSeek
3%YesNo
Alibaba
2%YesNo
Microsoft
2%YesNo
Mistral
1%YesNo
Amazon
1%YesNo
Moonshot
1%YesNo
Baidu
1%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
Meta
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
May 31
29%YesNo
April 30
10%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?
April 30
9%YesNo
April 15
2%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Yes
31%YesNo
No
69%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
December 31
6%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Gensyn FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$200M
78%YesNo
$400M
32%YesNo
$600M
12%YesNo
$800M
7%YesNo
$1B
4%YesNo
$1.5B
1%YesNo
$2B
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes
61%YesNo
No
40%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
OpenAI IPO by...?
December 31, 2026
38%YesNo
June 30, 2026
3%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
91%YesNo
OpenAI
3%YesNo
Google
1%YesNo
xAI
1%YesNo
Meta
1%YesNo
DeepSeek
1%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 31
57%YesNo
June 30
28%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
French election called by...?
June 30, 2026
3%YesNo
September 15
0%YesNo
October 10
0%YesNo
October 17
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.elections
View details
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
Paramount
74%YesNo
None by June 30, 2027
18%YesNo
Comcast
1%YesNo
Netflix
1%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?
June 30
11%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Who will acquire TikTok?
Larry Ellison/Oracle
100%YesNo
Microsoft
10%YesNo
Walmart
9%YesNo
Amazon
7%YesNo
AppLovin
5%YesNo
Meta
5%YesNo
Elon Musk / X (Twitter)
4%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?
April 21
84%YesNo
$1m Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin price on April 15?
72,000-74,000
100%YesNo
78,000-80,000
0%YesNo
<62,000
0%YesNo
62,000-64,000
0%YesNo
64,000-66,000
0%YesNo
66,000-68,000
0%YesNo
68,000-70,000
0%YesNo
70,000-72,000
0%YesNo
74,000-76,000
0%YesNo
76,000-78,000
0%YesNo
>80,000
0%YesNo
$1m Vol.tech
View details
Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner
Vivek Ramaswamy
97%YesNo
Casey Putsch
3%YesNo
Philip Funderburg
0%YesNo
$994K Vol.elections
View details
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
97%YesNo
400–600B
1%YesNo
600B+
1%YesNo
300–400B
1%YesNo
100–200B
0%YesNo
<100B
0%YesNo
200–300B
0%YesNo
$982K Vol.tech
View details
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Yes
35%YesNo
No
65%YesNo
$980K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
91%YesNo
$200M
58%YesNo
$300M
39%YesNo
$500M
32%YesNo
$800M
9%YesNo
$1B
6%YesNo
$2B
4%YesNo
$3B
2%YesNo
$4B
2%YesNo
$5B
1%YesNo
$968K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum above ___ on April 15?
1,700
100%YesNo
1,800
100%YesNo
1,900
100%YesNo
2,000
100%YesNo
2,100
100%YesNo
2,200
100%YesNo
2,300
100%YesNo
2,400
0%YesNo
2,500
0%YesNo
2,600
0%YesNo
2,700
0%YesNo
$966K Vol.tech
View details
Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?
Dopropillia
27%YesNo
Druzkhivka
11%YesNo
Sloviansk
10%YesNo
Kramatorsk
10%YesNo
Zaporizhia
6%YesNo
Sumy
6%YesNo
Kharkiv
4%YesNo
Kherson
3%YesNo
$960K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Hezbollah disarm by...?
December 31
14%YesNo
April 30
2%YesNo
$945K Vol.geopolitics
View details
India strike on Pakistan by...?
December 31, 2026
27%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
November 14
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$939K Vol.geopolitics
View details
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
December 31
30%YesNo
July 31
14%YesNo
$936K Vol.tech
View details
Israeli parliament dissolved by...?
June 30
22%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$927K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
United Russia (ER)
97%YesNo
Civic Platform (GP)
1%YesNo
New People (NL)
1%YesNo
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
1%YesNo
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
1%YesNo
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%YesNo
Rodina
0%YesNo
$925K Vol.elections
View details
When will the DHS shutdown end?
After April 30
75%YesNo
April 17-20
7%YesNo
Arpil 21-24
6%YesNo
April 25-28
3%YesNo
April 29-30
3%YesNo
April 13-16
2%YesNo
Before April 1
0%YesNo
April 1-4
0%YesNo
April 5-8
0%YesNo
April 9-12
0%YesNo
$919K Vol.politics
View details
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
April 30
1%YesNo
$913K Vol.geopolitics
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Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Nithya Raman
43%YesNo
Karen Bass
30%YesNo
Spencer Pratt
14%YesNo
Rae Huang
5%YesNo
Adam Miller
2%YesNo
Asaad Alnajjar
1%YesNo
Gina Viola
1%YesNo
Rick Caruso
0%YesNo
Austin Beutner
0%YesNo
Lindsey Horvath
0%YesNo
Monica Rodriguez
0%YesNo
$891K Vol.elections
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Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$885K Vol.politics
View details
Will USD.AI launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
99%YesNo
April 30, 2026
91%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$883K Vol.tech
View details
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
June 30
22%YesNo
May 31
7%YesNo
April 30
2%YesNo
$874K Vol.tech
View details
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
7
32%YesNo
8
23%YesNo
9
14%YesNo
6
10%YesNo
10
9%YesNo
11
3%YesNo
13
3%YesNo
12
3%YesNo
15+
2%YesNo
14
1%YesNo
0
0%YesNo
2
0%YesNo
1
0%YesNo
3
0%YesNo
$859K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on April 16?
62,000
100%YesNo
64,000
100%YesNo
66,000
100%YesNo
68,000
100%YesNo
70,000
98%YesNo
72,000
91%YesNo
74,000
55%YesNo
76,000
12%YesNo
78,000
2%YesNo
80,000
0%YesNo
82,000
0%YesNo
$859K Vol.tech
View details
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire broken by...?
April 21
11%YesNo
$850K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
84%YesNo
<15B
8%YesNo
15–20B
2%YesNo
30B+
1%YesNo
20–25B
1%YesNo
25–30B
1%YesNo
$846K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?
April 30
4%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$844K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?
April 30
3%YesNo
$826K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will any country leave NATO by...?
December 31, 2026
11%YesNo
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
$826K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Yes
64%YesNo
No
37%YesNo
$826K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Alaska Governor Election Winner
Bernadette Wilson
31%YesNo
Tom Begich
26%YesNo
Treg Taylor
14%YesNo
Nancy Dahlstrom
11%YesNo
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
4%YesNo
David Bronson
3%YesNo
Click Bishop
2%YesNo
Matt Claman
1%YesNo
Adam Crum
0%YesNo
Lisa Murkowski
0%YesNo
Mary Peltola
0%YesNo
Matt Heilala
0%YesNo
Edna DeVries
0%YesNo
Shelley Hughes
0%YesNo
Hank Kroll
0%YesNo
James Parkin
0%YesNo
Bruce Walden
0%YesNo
$822K Vol.elections
View details
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
60%YesNo
June 30
48%YesNo
April 30
26%YesNo
$810K Vol.geopolitics
View details
New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner
Duke Rodriguez
52%YesNo
Greg Hull
44%YesNo
Steve Lanier
1%YesNo
Susana Martinez
1%YesNo
Brian Cillessen
0%YesNo
John Sanchez
0%YesNo
Judith Nakamura
0%YesNo
Belinda Robertson
0%YesNo
Mark Murphy
0%YesNo
$802K Vol.elections
View details
Gulf State military action against Iran by...?
April 30
8%YesNo
April 15
1%YesNo
$798K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
Pause–Pause–Pause
92%YesNo
Pause–Pause–Cut
7%YesNo
Pause–Cut–Cut
1%YesNo
Pause–Cut–Pause
0%YesNo
$797K Vol.politics
View details
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$786K Vol.tech
View details
Israel x Syria security agreement by...?
June 30
9%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
$767K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$767K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$764K Vol.tech
View details
Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
19%YesNo
September 30, 2026
5%YesNo
June 30, 2026
3%YesNo
$750K Vol.tech
View details
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
2.0T+
49%YesNo
1.8T–2.0T
18%YesNo
1.6T–1.8T
14%YesNo
1.4T–1.6T
8%YesNo
1.2T–1.4T
4%YesNo
<1.0T
3%YesNo
1.0T–1.2T
3%YesNo
No IPO before 2028
3%YesNo
$746K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
Gold
59%YesNo
Bitcoin
28%YesNo
S&P 500
14%YesNo
$741K Vol.tech
View details
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
May 31
14%YesNo
April 30
5%YesNo
$730K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$727K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?
↑ 38
100%YesNo
↓ 32
100%YesNo
↓ 24
100%YesNo
↑ 34
100%YesNo
↓ 28
100%YesNo
↑ 46
95%YesNo
↑ 50
85%YesNo
↑ 54
78%YesNo
↑ 58
74%YesNo
↑ 62
50%YesNo
↓ 20
40%YesNo
↑ 66
40%YesNo
↑ 70
32%YesNo
↓ 16
26%YesNo
↑ 80
25%YesNo
↑ 100
15%YesNo
↓ 12
13%YesNo
↓ 8
9%YesNo
$723K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?
April 30
2%YesNo
$722K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$692K Vol.politics
View details
Bank of Japan Decision in April?
No change
89%YesNo
25 bps increase
11%YesNo
50+ bps increase
0%YesNo
Decrease rates
0%YesNo
$691K Vol.politics
View details
Will Russia capture Sumy by...?
March 31, 2027
16%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$680K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Next CEO of Apple?
John Ternus
31%YesNo
Greg Joswiak
5%YesNo
Sabih Khan
5%YesNo
Craig Federighi
5%YesNo
$675K Vol.tech
View details
GPT-5.5 released by...?
June 30
95%YesNo
April 30
80%YesNo
April 23
67%YesNo
April 22
21%YesNo
April 17
14%YesNo
April 21
12%YesNo
April 19
10%YesNo
April 15
1%YesNo
$660K Vol.tech
View details
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
June 30, 2026
27%YesNo
April 30, 2026
7%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$656K Vol.geopolitics
View details
U.S. nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026
14%YesNo
September 30, 2026
8%YesNo
June 30, 2026
1%YesNo
November 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$638K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will fomo.family launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
31%YesNo
September 30, 2026
18%YesNo
June 30, 2026
8%YesNo
$637K Vol.tech
View details
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Yes
70%YesNo
No
30%YesNo
$628K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin best month in 2026?
December
17%YesNo
November
16%YesNo
October
16%YesNo
September
11%YesNo
July
10%YesNo
August
10%YesNo
June
10%YesNo
May
8%YesNo
April
6%YesNo
March
1%YesNo
January
0%YesNo
February
0%YesNo
$628K Vol.tech
View details
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)
Pause–Pause–Pause
99%YesNo
Pause–Pause–Cut
1%YesNo
Cut–Pause–Pause
0%YesNo
Cut–Cut–Pause
0%YesNo
Cut–Pause–Cut
0%YesNo
Cut–Cut–Cut
0%YesNo
$625K Vol.politics
View details
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
December 31, 2026
14%YesNo
June 30, 2026
6%YesNo
$620K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Solana hit in 2026?
↓ 120
100%YesNo
↓ 80
100%YesNo
↑ 140
100%YesNo
↓ 100
100%YesNo
↓ 60
69%YesNo
↓ 40
49%YesNo
↑ 160
23%YesNo
↑ 180
17%YesNo
↓ 20
14%YesNo
↑ 200
13%YesNo
↑ 220
11%YesNo
↑ 280
9%YesNo
↑ 240
9%YesNo
↑ 260
9%YesNo
↑ 300
6%YesNo
↑ 400
6%YesNo
↑ 320
5%YesNo
↑ 600
5%YesNo
$618K Vol.tech
View details
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
April 30
4%YesNo
$606K Vol.geopolitics
View details
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 3%
100%YesNo
Above 3.5%
90%YesNo
Above 4%
52%YesNo
Above 5%
21%YesNo
Above 6%
14%YesNo
Above 8%
9%YesNo
Above 10%
5%YesNo
$601K Vol.politics
View details
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?
December 31
14%YesNo
$599K Vol.geopolitics
View details
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$594K Vol.geopolitics
View details
US x Russia military clash by...?
December 31, 2026
12%YesNo
June 30, 2026
4%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$593K Vol.geopolitics
View details
ECB Interest Rates: April 2026
No change
95%YesNo
Increase
4%YesNo
25 bps decrease
0%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
0%YesNo
$590K Vol.politics
View details
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Tim Cook - Apple
25%YesNo
Sam Altman - OpenAI
23%YesNo
Andy Jassy - Amazon
14%YesNo
Sundar Pichai - Google
12%YesNo
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
11%YesNo
Dan Clancy - Twitch
5%YesNo
$590K Vol.tech
View details
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
June 30
8%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$585K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?
December 31
31%YesNo
June 30
14%YesNo
April 30
2%YesNo
$561K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
December 31, 2026
33%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$559K Vol.politics
View details
Ethereum above ___ on April 16?
1,800
100%YesNo
1,700
100%YesNo
1,900
100%YesNo
2,000
100%YesNo
2,100
100%YesNo
2,200
97%YesNo
2,300
75%YesNo
2,400
21%YesNo
2,500
4%YesNo
2,600
0%YesNo
2,700
0%YesNo
$557K Vol.tech
View details
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Yes
30%YesNo
No
70%YesNo
$557K Vol.tech
View details
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$548K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Belgium
23%YesNo
Italy
20%YesNo
New Zealand
19%YesNo
The Netherlands
16%YesNo
Japan
16%YesNo
Austria
10%YesNo
Greece
10%YesNo
United States
10%YesNo
Finland
6%YesNo
Germany
5%YesNo
$542K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner
Dan Cox
58%YesNo
Ed Hale
32%YesNo
Christopher Bouchat
4%YesNo
Steve Hershey
3%YesNo
Larry Hogan
2%YesNo
Kurt Wedekind
1%YesNo
Carl Brunner
1%YesNo
John Myrick
1%YesNo
$542K Vol.elections
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Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Yes
93%YesNo
No
8%YesNo
$540K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$539K Vol.politics
View details
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$527K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$526K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Georgia Republican Senate Primary Winner
Mike Collins
85%YesNo
Derek Dooley
7%YesNo
Earl Carter
4%YesNo
Christina Loren Clement
0%YesNo
Reagan Box
0%YesNo
Christoph La'Flare Chapman
0%YesNo
Rick Temple
0%YesNo
Jonathan McColumn
0%YesNo
Vinson Watkins
0%YesNo
$521K Vol.elections
View details
Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?
December 31
42%YesNo
$513K Vol.elections
View details
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?
June 30
28%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
$513K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$250M
83%YesNo
$500M
59%YesNo
$1B
26%YesNo
$2B
9%YesNo
$3B
7%YesNo
$507K Vol.tech
View details
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland
39%YesNo
Lebanon
20%YesNo
Saudi Arabia
18%YesNo
Kuwait
18%YesNo
Azerbaijan
18%YesNo
Syria
17%YesNo
Oman
14%YesNo
$503K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Solstice FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
82%YesNo
$100M
45%YesNo
$200M
16%YesNo
$300M
4%YesNo
$400M
2%YesNo
$494K Vol.tech
View details
Maduro Prison Time?
No prison time
35%YesNo
60+
34%YesNo
40–60
16%YesNo
<20
7%YesNo
20–40
5%YesNo
$489K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Bitcoin hit April 13-19?
↑ 76,000
100%YesNo
↑ 74,000
100%YesNo
↑ 72,000
100%YesNo
↑ 78,000
20%YesNo
↓ 68,000
10%YesNo
↑ 80,000
6%YesNo
↓ 66,000
4%YesNo
↑ 82,000
2%YesNo
↓ 64,000
2%YesNo
↓ 62,000
1%YesNo
↑ 84,000
1%YesNo
↓ 60,000
1%YesNo
↓ 58,000
0%YesNo
↓ 56,000
0%YesNo
$487K Vol.tech
View details
Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
Steve Hilton
77%YesNo
Tom Steyer
74%YesNo
Chad Bianco
20%YesNo
Matt Mahan
14%YesNo
Katie Porter
13%YesNo
Xavier Becerra
9%YesNo
Derek Grasty
5%YesNo
Ethan Agarwal
4%YesNo
Antonio Villaraigosa
3%YesNo
Dylan Colbert
3%YesNo
Ché Ahn
3%YesNo
Daniel Mercuri
3%YesNo
Nicki Minaj
3%YesNo
Sophia Brink
3%YesNo
Betty Yee
3%YesNo
Ian Calderon
2%YesNo
Brandon Jones
2%YesNo
Nicholas Thompson
2%YesNo
Raji Rab
2%YesNo
Ramsey Robinson
2%YesNo
Kyle Langford
2%YesNo
David Serpa
2%YesNo
Carolina Buhler
2%YesNo
Zoltan Istvan
2%YesNo
Ryan Tillman
2%YesNo
Leonard Jackson
2%YesNo
Butch Ware
2%YesNo
Tony Thurmond
2%YesNo
Thunder Parley
1%YesNo
Eric Swalwell
1%YesNo
$485K Vol.elections
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Will Abstract launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2026
34%YesNo
$483K Vol.tech
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Solana all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
10%YesNo
September 30, 2026
6%YesNo
June 30, 2026
2%YesNo
$480K Vol.tech
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Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
Taqaddom Party
19%YesNo
Amal Movement (Amal)
16%YesNo
Islamic Charitable Projects Association (ICPA)
9%YesNo
Lebanese Forces (LF)
8%YesNo
Independence Movement (IM)
5%YesNo
ReLebanon
3%YesNo
National Dialogue Party (NDP)
2%YesNo
National Liberal Party (NLP)
2%YesNo
Marada Movement (MM)
2%YesNo
Watani Alliance (Watani)
2%YesNo
Hezbollah (Hezb)
2%YesNo
Popular Nasserist Organization (PNO)
2%YesNo
Free Patriotic Movement (FPM)
2%YesNo
Mada Party (Mada)
1%YesNo
Dignity Movement (DM)
1%YesNo
Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon (Ba'ath)
1%YesNo
Islamic Group (IG)
1%YesNo
Armenian Revolutionary Federation (ARF)
1%YesNo
Kataeb Party (Kataeb)
1%YesNo
Union Party (UP)
1%YesNo
Progressive Socialist Party (PSP)
1%YesNo
Lana – Social Democratic Party (Lana)
0%YesNo
Khatt Ahmar
0%YesNo
$480K Vol.elections
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What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?
Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery
100%YesNo
East–West Pipeline
100%YesNo
Ras Laffan Industrial City
28%YesNo
Ruwais Refinery
24%YesNo
Habshan Field/Processing Complex
22%YesNo
Khurais Field
22%YesNo
Ras Tanura
19%YesNo
Ghawar Field
17%YesNo
Abqaiq oil processing facility
14%YesNo
Al Zour Refinery
14%YesNo
Safaniya Field
10%YesNo
Leviathan Field
8%YesNo
Burj Khalifa
5%YesNo
Dimona (Shimon Peres Negev Nuclear Research Center)
2%YesNo
$463K Vol.geopolitics
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Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?
December 31, 2026
34%YesNo
June 30
0%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$446K Vol.tech
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Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Yes
43%YesNo
No
57%YesNo
$444K Vol.tech
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Bank of England decision in April?
No change
96%YesNo
Increase
4%YesNo
25 bps decrease
0%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
0%YesNo
$443K Vol.politics
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Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
June 30
21%YesNo
April 30
4%YesNo
$441K Vol.geopolitics
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How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<5
58%YesNo
5-6
20%YesNo
9-10
17%YesNo
>16
5%YesNo
13-14
5%YesNo
11-12
4%YesNo
7-8
4%YesNo
15-16
2%YesNo
$440K Vol.tech
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Israel military action against Beirut on...?
Yes
1%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$440K Vol.geopolitics
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Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Yes
74%YesNo
No
26%YesNo
$437K Vol.tech
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Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Yes
62%YesNo
No
38%YesNo
$434K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$432K Vol.politics
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Consensys IPO by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
19%YesNo
September 30, 2026
14%YesNo
June 30, 2026
4%YesNo
$421K Vol.tech
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U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
June 30, 2026
10%YesNo
$421K Vol.geopolitics
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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$418K Vol.geopolitics
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Which banks will fail by June 30?
HSBC
2%YesNo
UBS
2%YesNo
BNP Paribas
2%YesNo
JPMorgan Chase
2%YesNo
Citigroup
2%YesNo
Goldman Sachs
2%YesNo
Deutsche Bank
2%YesNo
Scotiabank
1%YesNo
$418K Vol.politics
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GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?
↑ $2.40
100%YesNo
↑ $2.50
100%YesNo
↑ $2.75
41%YesNo
↑ $3.00
6%YesNo
↓ $2.20
4%YesNo
↓ $2.10
3%YesNo
↑ $3.50
3%YesNo
↓ $2.00
2%YesNo
↑ $4.00
1%YesNo
↓ $1.75
1%YesNo
↓ $1.50
1%YesNo
$417K Vol.tech
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U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by...?
April 30
4%YesNo
$416K Vol.geopolitics
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Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Mallory McMorrow
53%YesNo
Abdul El-Sayed
33%YesNo
Haley Stevens
14%YesNo
Dana Nessel
0%YesNo
Rashida Tlaib
0%YesNo
Sarah Anthony
0%YesNo
Andy Levin
0%YesNo
Matt Sahr
0%YesNo
Kristen McDonald Rivet
0%YesNo
$408K Vol.elections
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Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$406K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Israel annex any territory by...?
December 31, 2026
16%YesNo
June 30, 2026
14%YesNo
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
0%YesNo
$405K Vol.geopolitics
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China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
4.5-5.0%
73%YesNo
5.0-5.5%
26%YesNo
4.0-4.5%
1%YesNo
5.5-6.0%
0%YesNo
6.0%+
0%YesNo
3.5-4.0%
0%YesNo
<3.5%
0%YesNo
$399K Vol.politics
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Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by...?
June 30
24%YesNo
$393K Vol.geopolitics
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Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$392K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
June 30
4%YesNo
$389K Vol.geopolitics
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Georgia Governor Republican Primary Winner
Rick Jackson
66%YesNo
Burt Jones
22%YesNo
Brad Raffensperger
12%YesNo
Chris Carr
1%YesNo
Gregg Kirkpatrick
0%YesNo
Ken Yasger
0%YesNo
Leland Olinger II
0%YesNo
Clark Dean
0%YesNo
$389K Vol.elections
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Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Yes
32%YesNo
No
68%YesNo
$385K Vol.tech
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2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner
Chun Jae-soo
79%YesNo
Park Heong-joon
20%YesNo
Cho Kuk
1%YesNo
Kim Do-eup
0%YesNo
Park Seong-hoon
0%YesNo
Kim Young-choon
0%YesNo
Cho Kyoung-tae
0%YesNo
Choi In-ho
0%YesNo
Lee Jae-sung
0%YesNo
Hong Soon-heon
0%YesNo
Park Jae-ho
0%YesNo
Suh Byung-soo
0%YesNo
$384K Vol.elections
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Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?
December 31, 2026
11%YesNo
$378K Vol.politics
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Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
87%YesNo
175–200B
2%YesNo
125–150B
2%YesNo
150–175B
1%YesNo
200–250B
1%YesNo
<100B
1%YesNo
100–125B
1%YesNo
250B+
1%YesNo
$369K Vol.tech
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Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Rob Sand
97%YesNo
$368K Vol.elections
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Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$70M
58%YesNo
$150M
11%YesNo
$200M
7%YesNo
$300M
6%YesNo
$400M
3%YesNo
$1B
0%YesNo
$364K Vol.tech
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How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
5.0%
45%YesNo
5.5%
28%YesNo
6.0%
16%YesNo
7.0%
13%YesNo
10.0%
5%YesNo
$358K Vol.politics
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Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
77%YesNo
$358K Vol.tech
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Bitcoin above ___ on April 17?
62,000
100%YesNo
64,000
100%YesNo
66,000
99%YesNo
68,000
99%YesNo
70,000
96%YesNo
72,000
83%YesNo
74,000
52%YesNo
76,000
19%YesNo
78,000
5%YesNo
80,000
1%YesNo
82,000
0%YesNo
$353K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?
April 30
22%YesNo
$353K Vol.geopolitics
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Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Yes
65%YesNo
No
36%YesNo
$352K Vol.geopolitics
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Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$349K Vol.geopolitics
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AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner
Jay Feely
72%YesNo
Joseph Chaplik
7%YesNo
John Trobough
7%YesNo
Todd Graham
5%YesNo
Gina Swoboda
3%YesNo
Mark Brnovich
2%YesNo
Kari Lake
1%YesNo
Matt Gress
1%YesNo
Kaitlin Purrington
1%YesNo
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
0%YesNo
Derrick Gallego
0%YesNo
Paul Reevs
0%YesNo
Brandon Sowers
0%YesNo
$348K Vol.elections
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Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Yes
27%YesNo
No
73%YesNo
$348K Vol.geopolitics
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Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
46%YesNo
Google
27%YesNo
DeepSeek
8%YesNo
OpenAI
8%YesNo
xAI
5%YesNo
Alibaba
1%YesNo
Z.ai
1%YesNo
Moonshot
1%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
$345K Vol.tech
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Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Yes
67%YesNo
No
33%YesNo
$341K Vol.geopolitics
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Which company has the third best AI model end of April?
Anthropic
69%YesNo
Google
25%YesNo
OpenAI
3%YesNo
Meta
2%YesNo
DeepSeek
1%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
$336K Vol.tech
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Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?
Scott Wiener
46%YesNo
Saikat Chakrabarti
36%YesNo
Connie Chan
11%YesNo
Jingchao Xiong
0%YesNo
Darren Helton
0%YesNo
David Ganezer
0%YesNo
Cole Bettles
0%YesNo
$336K Vol.elections
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Who will enter Iran by June 30?
Any U.S. House member
9%YesNo
Marco Rubio
7%YesNo
JD Vance
7%YesNo
Any U.S. Senator
7%YesNo
Pete Hegseth
4%YesNo
Jared Kushner
3%YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu
2%YesNo
Donald Trump
2%YesNo
$321K Vol.geopolitics
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Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Maria Corina Machado
100%YesNo
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
100%YesNo
Javier Milei
100%YesNo
Abdel Fattah El-Sisi
100%YesNo
Friedrich Merz
100%YesNo
Xi Jinping
93%YesNo
Lula da Silva
78%YesNo
Mohammed bin Salman
73%YesNo
Keir Starmer
70%YesNo
Ahmed al-Sharaa
66%YesNo
Vladimir Putin
63%YesNo
Changpeng Zhao
35%YesNo
Aleksandr Lukashenko
35%YesNo
Kim Jong Un
25%YesNo
Pope Leo XIV
21%YesNo
Nick Fuentes
14%YesNo
iShowSpeed
12%YesNo
Nicolás Maduro
12%YesNo
MrBeast
11%YesNo
Jair Bolsonaro
8%YesNo
Lai Ching-te
4%YesNo
Yoon Suk Yeol
3%YesNo
Ali Khamenei
0%YesNo
$320K Vol.geopolitics
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Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$2B
26%YesNo
$1B
23%YesNo
$3B
13%YesNo
$319K Vol.tech
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Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
Shutdown & Democratic Party
84%YesNo
Shutdown & Republican Party
14%YesNo
No Shutdown & Democratic Party
0%YesNo
No Shutdown & Republican Party
0%YesNo
$315K Vol.elections
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US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
1.0–1.5%
21%YesNo
2.0–2.5%
20%YesNo
1.5–2.0%
18%YesNo
<1.0%
16%YesNo
2.5–3.0%
13%YesNo
≥3.5%
6%YesNo
3.0–3.5%
6%YesNo
$307K Vol.politics
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Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
45%+
100%YesNo
40%+
100%YesNo
50%+
40%YesNo
55%+
20%YesNo
60%+
10%YesNo
$306K Vol.tech
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Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola
67%YesNo
Dan Sullivan
33%YesNo
Richard Grayson
0%YesNo
Dustin Darden
0%YesNo
Ann Diener
0%YesNo
$301K Vol.elections
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What price will Plasma hit in 2026?
↓ 0.16
100%YesNo
↓ 0.08
100%YesNo
↓ 1.00
100%YesNo
↓ 0.60
100%YesNo
↓ 0.20
100%YesNo
↓ 0.80
100%YesNo
↓ 0.40
100%YesNo
↑ 0.50
31%YesNo
↑ 1.40
12%YesNo
↑ 1.20
12%YesNo
↑ 1.80
9%YesNo
↑ 2.00
9%YesNo
↑ 2.20
7%YesNo
$300K Vol.tech
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Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Fernando Dias da Costa
35%YesNo
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
11%YesNo
Siga Batista
6%YesNo
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
4%YesNo
Gabriel Fernando Indi
4%YesNo
Honório Augusto Lopes
3%YesNo
João de Deus Mendes
3%YesNo
Baciro Djá
3%YesNo
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
3%YesNo
João Bernardo Vieira
3%YesNo
José Mário Vaz
3%YesNo
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%YesNo
$295K Vol.elections
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5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
41%YesNo
No
59%YesNo
$292K Vol.tech
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Ethereum price on April 15?
2,300-2,400
100%YesNo
2,500-2,600
0%YesNo
2,000-2,100
0%YesNo
1,800-1,900
0%YesNo
1,900-2,000
0%YesNo
2,100-2,200
0%YesNo
2,600-2,700
0%YesNo
>2,700
0%YesNo
<1,800
0%YesNo
2,200-2,300
0%YesNo
2,400-2,500
0%YesNo
$285K Vol.tech
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Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$283K Vol.geopolitics
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How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
140-159
35%YesNo
160-179
35%YesNo
120-139
12%YesNo
180-199
12%YesNo
200 or more
12%YesNo
<100
3%YesNo
100-119
0%YesNo
$281K Vol.tech
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Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$278K Vol.geopolitics
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NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
June 30, 2026
4%YesNo
$277K Vol.geopolitics
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Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Flavio Bolsonaro
88%YesNo
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
79%YesNo
Fernando Haddad
12%YesNo
Tarcisio de Frietas
5%YesNo
Michelle Bolsonaro
4%YesNo
Jair Bolsonaro
3%YesNo
$270K Vol.elections
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Will Solstice launch a token by ___ ?
September 30, 2026
99%YesNo
December 31, 2026
98%YesNo
June 30, 2026
98%YesNo
$270K Vol.tech
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Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Yes
38%YesNo
No
63%YesNo
$269K Vol.tech
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Will Ostium launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
73%YesNo
$265K Vol.tech
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Felix FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$25M
74%YesNo
$50M
35%YesNo
$100M
14%YesNo
$300M
9%YesNo
$500M
3%YesNo
$1B
2%YesNo
$800M
1%YesNo
$2B
1%YesNo
$265K Vol.tech
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OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
72%YesNo
$263K Vol.tech
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Bank of Brazil Decision in April?
Decrease
95%YesNo
No Change
5%YesNo
Increase
1%YesNo
$263K Vol.politics
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Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
June 30
8%YesNo
$263K Vol.geopolitics
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Hyperbeat FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
22%YesNo
$100M
10%YesNo
$200M
3%YesNo
$400M
3%YesNo
$300M
3%YesNo
$262K Vol.tech
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Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
June 30
54%YesNo
May 31
42%YesNo
April 30
16%YesNo
$260K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia enter Orikhiv by...?
June 30
21%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$257K Vol.geopolitics
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Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
India
26%YesNo
Canada
23%YesNo
Mexico
23%YesNo
Japan
21%YesNo
South Korea
19%YesNo
Brazil
18%YesNo
Taiwan
18%YesNo
Pakistan
17%YesNo
Argentina
16%YesNo
Indonesia
15%YesNo
Vietnam
14%YesNo
Australia
14%YesNo
Russia
14%YesNo
European Union
11%YesNo
$253K Vol.geopolitics
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Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026
36%YesNo
$252K Vol.tech
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Ethereum above ___ on April 17?
1,700
100%YesNo
1,800
100%YesNo
2,000
99%YesNo
1,900
99%YesNo
2,100
99%YesNo
2,200
92%YesNo
2,300
67%YesNo
2,400
30%YesNo
2,500
7%YesNo
2,600
2%YesNo
2,700
0%YesNo
$251K Vol.tech
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KY-04 Republican Primary Winner
Thomas Massie
70%YesNo
Ed Gallrein
29%YesNo
$251K Vol.elections
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Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner
Genter Drummond
38%YesNo
Mike Mazzei
37%YesNo
Chip Keating
14%YesNo
Charles McCall
9%YesNo
Matt Pinnell
1%YesNo
Jake Merrick
0%YesNo
Ryan Walters
0%YesNo
Leisa Mitchell Haynes
0%YesNo
$250K Vol.elections
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EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
December 31
11%YesNo
June 30
4%YesNo
$248K Vol.geopolitics
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XRP all time high by ___?
September 30, 2026
12%YesNo
December 31, 2026
12%YesNo
June 30, 2026
3%YesNo
$248K Vol.tech
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China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%
72%YesNo
5.0–6.0%
24%YesNo
<1.0%
1%YesNo
6.0-7.0%
1%YesNo
3.0–4.0%
1%YesNo
2.0–3.0%
1%YesNo
1.0–2.0%
1%YesNo
7.0–8.0%
1%YesNo
8.0–9.0%
1%YesNo
9.0%+
0%YesNo
$245K Vol.geopolitics
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Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Switzerland
100%YesNo
China
92%YesNo
United Kingdom
81%YesNo
France
73%YesNo
Turkey
68%YesNo
South Korea
52%YesNo
Israel
49%YesNo
Germany
46%YesNo
Japan
45%YesNo
Canada
40%YesNo
India
32%YesNo
North Korea
23%YesNo
Italy
21%YesNo
Mexico
20%YesNo
Oman
20%YesNo
Ukraine
17%YesNo
Russia
14%YesNo
Belarus
14%YesNo
Taiwan
6%YesNo
$244K Vol.geopolitics
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Claude Mythos released by…?
June 30
28%YesNo
April 30
1%YesNo
$242K Vol.tech
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China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$242K Vol.geopolitics
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Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?
April 30
4%YesNo
April 15
0%YesNo
$241K Vol.geopolitics
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GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 2026
85%YesNo
September 30, 2026
83%YesNo
June 30, 2026
44%YesNo
$238K Vol.tech
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GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Yes
33%YesNo
No
68%YesNo
$232K Vol.tech
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In which month will SpaceX IPO?
June
52%YesNo
July
22%YesNo
No IPO before 2027
7%YesNo
August
6%YesNo
September
5%YesNo
May
3%YesNo
November
1%YesNo
December
1%YesNo
October
1%YesNo
April
1%YesNo
February
0%YesNo
March
0%YesNo
$227K Vol.tech
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China x India military clash by...?
December 31, 2026
16%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
June 30
0%YesNo
$227K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$223K Vol.tech
View details
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$222K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by...?
June 30
88%YesNo
May 31
88%YesNo
April 30
83%YesNo
April 17
60%YesNo
$214K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?
Miami
93%YesNo
Nashville
83%YesNo
Dallas
56%YesNo
Las Vegas
18%YesNo
Denver
14%YesNo
Detroit
14%YesNo
London
11%YesNo
Washington DC
6%YesNo
New York City
4%YesNo
$212K Vol.tech
View details
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
4.0%
100%YesNo
3.9%
73%YesNo
3.8%
59%YesNo
3.7%
50%YesNo
3.6%
42%YesNo
3.5%
32%YesNo
1.0%
4%YesNo
$212K Vol.politics
View details
Will Theo launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
74%YesNo
September 30, 2026
65%YesNo
June 30, 2026
14%YesNo
$211K Vol.tech
View details
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$209K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$208K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
30%+
100%YesNo
35%+
98%YesNo
45%+
63%YesNo
$208K Vol.tech
View details
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?
↓ 400
100%YesNo
↓ 200
100%YesNo
↓ 500
100%YesNo
↓ 300
100%YesNo
↓ 100
40%YesNo
↑ 600
38%YesNo
↑ 800
31%YesNo
↑ 700
29%YesNo
↓ 50
20%YesNo
↑ 1100
17%YesNo
↑ 1000
14%YesNo
↑ 900
13%YesNo
$208K Vol.tech
View details
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$206K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will the Ethereum implied volatility Index hit by April 30?
↓ 70
100%YesNo
↓ 75
100%YesNo
↑ 85
28%YesNo
↓ 60
27%YesNo
↓ 50
6%YesNo
↑ 110
3%YesNo
↑ 100
3%YesNo
$206K Vol.tech
View details
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
72%YesNo
$200K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$200K Vol.elections
View details
What price will Ethena hit in 2026?
↓ 0.20
100%YesNo
↓ 0.24
100%YesNo
↑ 0.28
100%YesNo
↓ 0.08
100%YesNo
↑ 0.32
35%YesNo
↑ 0.52
31%YesNo
↑ 0.80
25%YesNo
↓ 0.04
24%YesNo
↑ 1.20
7%YesNo
$194K Vol.tech
View details
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?
December 31
95%YesNo
June 30
2%YesNo
$193K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on April 18?
62,000
100%YesNo
64,000
100%YesNo
66,000
99%YesNo
68,000
98%YesNo
70,000
94%YesNo
72,000
79%YesNo
74,000
52%YesNo
76,000
23%YesNo
78,000
8%YesNo
80,000
1%YesNo
82,000
1%YesNo
$189K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$189K Vol.geopolitics
View details
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.3%
100%YesNo
4.4%
100%YesNo
4.5%
74%YesNo
4.6%
61%YesNo
4.8%
31%YesNo
5.0%
14%YesNo
5.5%
10%YesNo
5.2%
10%YesNo
6.0%
6%YesNo
5.7%
6%YesNo
$186K Vol.politics
View details
Will USDT market cap hit $200B by ___?
December 31, 2026
93%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$185K Vol.tech
View details
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Yes
22%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$184K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?
December 31, 2026
56%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$182K Vol.tech
View details
Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
65%YesNo
September 30, 2026
56%YesNo
June 30, 2026
12%YesNo
$182K Vol.tech
View details
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
600B+
81%YesNo
No IPO by December 31, 2027
12%YesNo
400–600B
4%YesNo
300–400B
1%YesNo
<100B
1%YesNo
100–200B
0%YesNo
200–300B
0%YesNo
$181K Vol.tech
View details
Israel military action against Damascus by...?
April 30
9%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
October 31
0%YesNo
$177K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
April 30
8%YesNo
$177K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Axiom launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
18%YesNo
$176K Vol.tech
View details
Texas Senate Election Winner
Republican
56%YesNo
Democrat
43%YesNo
$175K Vol.elections
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Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$174K Vol.tech
View details
Michigan Governor Election Winner
Democrat
66%YesNo
Republican
22%YesNo
$174K Vol.elections
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Claude 4.7 released by...?
June 30
98%YesNo
May 31
96%YesNo
April 30
95%YesNo
April 24
91%YesNo
April 17
77%YesNo
$173K Vol.tech
View details
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
April 30
17%YesNo
April 15
4%YesNo
$169K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$169K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Ventuals launch a token by ___ ?
December 31 2026
63%YesNo
$166K Vol.tech
View details
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$166K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$165K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?
December 31
24%YesNo
June 30
9%YesNo
$160K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
December 31
45%YesNo
June 30
10%YesNo
$160K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ?
December 31 2026
23%YesNo
September 30 2026
19%YesNo
June 30 2026
4%YesNo
$159K Vol.tech
View details
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Yes
68%YesNo
No
32%YesNo
$158K Vol.tech
View details
Will Daylight launch a token by ___?
September 30, 2026
37%YesNo
December 31, 2026
31%YesNo
June 30, 2026
13%YesNo
$156K Vol.tech
View details
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Earbuds/Headphones
42%YesNo
Clip-on device for clothing
19%YesNo
Glasses
18%YesNo
Watch
16%YesNo
Phone
16%YesNo
Necklace
14%YesNo
Computer (Laptop/Desktop)
12%YesNo
$156K Vol.tech
View details
Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
Venezuela
13%YesNo
Syria
12%YesNo
Saudi Arabia
10%YesNo
Lebanon
10%YesNo
Kuwait
7%YesNo
Bangladesh
7%YesNo
Indonesia
6%YesNo
Qatar
5%YesNo
North Korea
4%YesNo
$155K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$155K Vol.tech
View details
Who will Bernie endorse?
James Talarico - TX-Sen
65%YesNo
Dan Osborn - NE-Sen
41%YesNo
Zach Wahls - IA-Sen
26%YesNo
Kshama Sawant - WA-09
18%YesNo
Antonio Delgado - NY-Gov
5%YesNo
Alan Grayson - FL-Sen
5%YesNo
Omar Fateh - Minneapolis Mayor
0%YesNo
$155K Vol.politics
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Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?
April 30
6%YesNo
April 15
0%YesNo
$154K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Ethereum hit April 13-19?
↑ 2,400
100%YesNo
↑ 2,300
100%YesNo
↑ 2,500
28%YesNo
↓ 2,100
12%YesNo
↑ 2,600
11%YesNo
↑ 2,700
4%YesNo
↓ 2,000
3%YesNo
↓ 1,900
2%YesNo
↑ 2,800
2%YesNo
↑ 2,900
1%YesNo
↓ 1,600
0%YesNo
↓ 1,500
0%YesNo
$154K Vol.tech
View details
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$151K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$148K Vol.tech
View details
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$144K Vol.tech
View details
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?
December 31, 2026
32%YesNo
$144K Vol.tech
View details
What price will XRP hit in 2026?
↓ 2.00
100%YesNo
↓ 1.20
100%YesNo
↓ 1.80
100%YesNo
↓ 1.60
100%YesNo
↑ 2.40
100%YesNo
↓ 1.40
100%YesNo
↓ 1.00
64%YesNo
↓ 0.80
39%YesNo
↓ 0.60
32%YesNo
↑ 2.60
23%YesNo
↓ 0.40
20%YesNo
↑ 3.00
19%YesNo
↑ 2.80
17%YesNo
↓ 0.20
14%YesNo
↑ 3.40
12%YesNo
↑ 3.20
11%YesNo
↑ 3.80
10%YesNo
↑ 4.20
10%YesNo
↑ 5.00
8%YesNo
$143K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10AM ET
Yes
100%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$142K Vol.tech
View details
Bank of Russia decision in April?
Decrease
96%YesNo
No Change
4%YesNo
Increase
0%YesNo
$141K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$140K Vol.tech
View details
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$139K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Spain snap election called by...?
June 30, 2026
8%YesNo
$138K Vol.elections
View details
How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?
6
33%YesNo
12+
30%YesNo
11
16%YesNo
10
10%YesNo
≤5
7%YesNo
8
6%YesNo
9
3%YesNo
7
2%YesNo
$138K Vol.tech
View details
Georgia Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Keisha Lance Bottoms
63%YesNo
Jason Esteves
34%YesNo
Geoff Duncan
3%YesNo
Mike Thurmond
0%YesNo
Derrick Jackson
0%YesNo
Ruwa Romman
0%YesNo
Olujimi Brown
0%YesNo
$137K Vol.elections
View details
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
0
41%YesNo
1-100
19%YesNo
2.5k-5k
6%YesNo
1k-2.5k
6%YesNo
>100k
6%YesNo
25k-100k
4%YesNo
5k-10k
4%YesNo
101-1k
3%YesNo
10k-25k
3%YesNo
$137K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Grok 5 released by...?
June 30, 2026
13%YesNo
$136K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia enter Borova by...?
April 30
4%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$136K Vol.geopolitics
View details
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$135K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
April 30
3%YesNo
$134K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
38%YesNo
PT
16%YesNo
MUNDO-GB
10%YesNo
FLING
9%YesNo
FREPASNA
4%YesNo
PS
4%YesNo
$134K Vol.elections
View details
How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?
70-80B
36%YesNo
80-90B
14%YesNo
50-60B
12%YesNo
60-70B
11%YesNo
<40B
4%YesNo
90-100B
2%YesNo
120B+
1%YesNo
110-120B
1%YesNo
100-110B
1%YesNo
40-50B
0%YesNo
$134K Vol.tech
View details
Who will Trump endorse?
Lindsey Graham - SC-Sen
100%YesNo
Steve Hilton - CA-Gov
96%YesNo
Ken Paxton - TX-Sen
72%YesNo
Andy Barr - KY-Sen
56%YesNo
John Cornyn - TX-Sen
16%YesNo
Winsome Earle-Sears - VA-Gov
0%YesNo
$133K Vol.politics
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Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Yes
91%YesNo
No
9%YesNo
$133K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by...?
April 30
14%YesNo
$132K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$132K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Alexander Vindman
89%YesNo
Jared Moskowitz
6%YesNo
Josh Weil
1%YesNo
Joey Atkins
1%YesNo
Jennifer Jenkins
1%YesNo
Angie Nixon
0%YesNo
Charlie Crist
0%YesNo
$131K Vol.elections
View details
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO before 2028
42%YesNo
50B–75B
16%YesNo
75B–100B
10%YesNo
100B+
7%YesNo
<20B
4%YesNo
20B–30B
3%YesNo
$130K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on April 19?
60,000
100%YesNo
62,000
100%YesNo
64,000
99%YesNo
66,000
98%YesNo
68,000
96%YesNo
70,000
91%YesNo
72,000
77%YesNo
74,000
52%YesNo
76,000
25%YesNo
78,000
10%YesNo
80,000
3%YesNo
$130K Vol.tech
View details
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
40%+
92%YesNo
50%+
36%YesNo
45%+
35%YesNo
60%+
12%YesNo
$128K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by...?
April 30
14%YesNo
$127K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?
1.75-2.00T
59%YesNo
2.00-2.25T
12%YesNo
1.25-1.50T
9%YesNo
1.50-1.75T
6%YesNo
<1.25T
5%YesNo
2.25-2.50T
4%YesNo
2.50T+
3%YesNo
$127K Vol.tech
View details
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Yes
81%YesNo
No
20%YesNo
$126K Vol.tech
View details
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
Dong Jun
17%YesNo
Li Xi
10%YesNo
Wang Yi
7%YesNo
Zhang Shengmin
6%YesNo
Zhao Leji
6%YesNo
Cai Qi
5%YesNo
Wang Huning
3%YesNo
Ding Xuexiang
3%YesNo
Li Qiang
1%YesNo
$125K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$122K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
iRobot
100%YesNo
Beyond Meat
45%YesNo
SoundHound AI
9%YesNo
Carvana
8%YesNo
MicroStrategy
8%YesNo
OpenAI
6%YesNo
Lovable
5%YesNo
Anthropic
2%YesNo
$121K Vol.tech
View details
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
June 30
27%YesNo
April 30
11%YesNo
$118K Vol.geopolitics
View details
China coup attempt before 2027?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$117K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$16B
44%YesNo
$22B
23%YesNo
$18B
21%YesNo
$20B
21%YesNo
$24B
19%YesNo
$26B
16%YesNo
$28B
12%YesNo
$116K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31
39%YesNo
June 30
9%YesNo
$114K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
December 31
51%YesNo
June 30
17%YesNo
$113K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?
April 30
1%YesNo
$113K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
Janeese Lewis George
72%YesNo
Kenyan McDuffie
22%YesNo
Gary Goodweather
5%YesNo
Brooke Pinto
1%YesNo
Brianne K. Nadeau
0%YesNo
Christina Henderson
0%YesNo
Karl Racine
0%YesNo
Robert White Jr.
0%YesNo
Phil Mendelson
0%YesNo
$112K Vol.elections
View details
Bitcoin above ___ on April 20?
62,000
99%YesNo
64,000
99%YesNo
66,000
98%YesNo
68,000
96%YesNo
70,000
89%YesNo
72,000
74%YesNo
74,000
52%YesNo
76,000
28%YesNo
78,000
12%YesNo
80,000
5%YesNo
$110K Vol.tech
View details
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Yes
35%YesNo
No
66%YesNo
$109K Vol.tech
View details
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$109K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin price on April 16?
74,000-76,000
43%YesNo
72,000-74,000
39%YesNo
76,000-78,000
10%YesNo
70,000-72,000
8%YesNo
68,000-70,000
2%YesNo
78,000-80,000
1%YesNo
66,000-68,000
0%YesNo
80,000-82,000
0%YesNo
64,000-66,000
0%YesNo
>82,000
0%YesNo
<64,000
0%YesNo
$108K Vol.tech
View details
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Yes
71%YesNo
No
29%YesNo
$108K Vol.tech
View details
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$107K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$106K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$106K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Republican
61%YesNo
Democrat
39%YesNo
$105K Vol.elections
View details
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?
December 31, 2026
4%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$105K Vol.tech
View details
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$104K Vol.tech
View details
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$103K Vol.tech
View details
Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?
↑ 1.6M
100%YesNo
↓ 1.5M
30%YesNo
↑ 1.7M
18%YesNo
↓ 1.4M
16%YesNo
↑ 1.8M
13%YesNo
↓ 1.3M
5%YesNo
$103K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Democrat
83%YesNo
Republican
18%YesNo
$103K Vol.elections
View details
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by...?
April 30
16%YesNo
$102K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Kentucky Republican Senate Primary Winner
Andy Barr
67%YesNo
Daniel Cameron
19%YesNo
Nate Morris
12%YesNo
Wende Kennedy
0%YesNo
Andrew Shelley
0%YesNo
Mike Faris
0%YesNo
$102K Vol.elections
View details
Maduro guilty of all counts?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$101K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Republican
73%YesNo
Democrat
5%YesNo
$101K Vol.elections
View details
What price will BNB hit in 2026?
↓ 700
100%YesNo
↓ 600
100%YesNo
↓ 800
100%YesNo
↓ 500
72%YesNo
↓ 400
56%YesNo
↑ 1000
28%YesNo
↓ 300
27%YesNo
↓ 200
18%YesNo
↑ 1200
13%YesNo
↑ 1500
11%YesNo
↑ 1600
8%YesNo
$101K Vol.tech
View details
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$101K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$100K Vol.politics
View details
Bank of Canada decision in April?
No change
98%YesNo
Increase
1%YesNo
25 bps decrease
1%YesNo
50+ bps decrease
0%YesNo
$100K Vol.politics
View details
Will GMGN launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
21%YesNo
$100K Vol.tech
View details
How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?
2
48%YesNo
3
41%YesNo
≥4
13%YesNo
≤1
0%YesNo
$100K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
↓ 0.0026
100%YesNo
↑ 0.0030
100%YesNo
↓ 0.0022
100%YesNo
↓ 0.0018
100%YesNo
↓ 0.0014
77%YesNo
↑ 0.0038
39%YesNo
↑ 0.0046
28%YesNo
↑ 0.0050
21%YesNo
↑ 0.0090
10%YesNo
↑ 0.0080
9%YesNo
$100K Vol.tech
View details
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
December 31, 2026
28%YesNo
June 30, 2026
11%YesNo
$99K Vol.politics
View details
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes
43%YesNo
No
57%YesNo
$99K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Octra FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
7%YesNo
$300M
4%YesNo
$200M
3%YesNo
$400M
2%YesNo
$98K Vol.tech
View details
South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner
Lindsey Graham
81%YesNo
Mark Lynch
17%YesNo
Paul Dans
3%YesNo
Thomas Murphy
0%YesNo
$98K Vol.elections
View details
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Yes
37%YesNo
No
64%YesNo
$96K Vol.tech
View details
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$95K Vol.tech
View details
Will prjx launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
65%YesNo
$94K Vol.tech
View details
Nebraska Governor Republican Primary Winner
Jim Pillen
98%YesNo
Charles Herbster
1%YesNo
Jacy Todd
0%YesNo
Gary L. Rogge
0%YesNo
John Walz
0%YesNo
Sheila Korth-Focken
0%YesNo
Sal Holguin
0%YesNo
$94K Vol.elections
View details
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
77%YesNo
$94K Vol.tech
View details
ECB rate hike in 2026?
Yes
78%YesNo
No
22%YesNo
$94K Vol.politics
View details
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$94K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
1m
93%YesNo
1.1m
69%YesNo
1.2m
34%YesNo
1.3m
26%YesNo
1.7m
15%YesNo
1.4m
13%YesNo
1.5m
11%YesNo
2m
5%YesNo
$92K Vol.politics
View details
Which exchange will SpaceX list on?
NASDAQ
95%YesNo
NYSE
0%YesNo
$91K Vol.tech
View details
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Yes
77%YesNo
No
23%YesNo
$90K Vol.elections
View details
Ethereum Up or Down on April 15?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$90K Vol.tech
View details
NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Claire Valdez
76%YesNo
Antonio Reynoso
21%YesNo
Julie Won
3%YesNo
Lincoln Restler
0%YesNo
Kristen Gonzalez
0%YesNo
Julia Salazar
0%YesNo
Jennifer Gútierrez
0%YesNo
Sandy Nurse
0%YesNo
Tiffany Cabán
0%YesNo
$89K Vol.elections
View details
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?
April 30
4%YesNo
$89K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$88K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$88K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$88K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$88K Vol.tech
View details
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
73%YesNo
$87K Vol.tech
View details
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$87K Vol.tech
View details
Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner
Victor Marx
63%YesNo
Barbara Kirkmeyer
22%YesNo
Scott Bottoms
14%YesNo
Mark Baisley
2%YesNo
Jason Mikesell
1%YesNo
Jon Gray-Ginsberg
0%YesNo
Greg Lopez
0%YesNo
Will McBride
0%YesNo
Brycen Garrison
0%YesNo
Bob Brinkerhoff
0%YesNo
Robert Moore
0%YesNo
Joshua Griffin
0%YesNo
Stevan Gess
0%YesNo
Daniel Thomas
0%YesNo
Jason Clark
0%YesNo
$87K Vol.elections
View details
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$86K Vol.politics
View details
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$86K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$86K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Yes
92%YesNo
No
9%YesNo
$85K Vol.tech
View details
Strava IPO Closing Market Cap
2B–3B
43%YesNo
3B–4B
19%YesNo
10B–15B
5%YesNo
15B+
1%YesNo
$85K Vol.tech
View details
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$84K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Sharice Davids
28%YesNo
Christy Davis
21%YesNo
Sandy Spidel Neumann
11%YesNo
Anne Parelkar
4%YesNo
Michael Soetaert
3%YesNo
$84K Vol.elections
View details
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$82K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
↑ 1500
100%YesNo
↑ 1550
54%YesNo
↑ 1600
28%YesNo
↑ 1650
16%YesNo
↑ 1700
10%YesNo
$82K Vol.tech
View details
Colorado Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Michael Bennet
76%YesNo
Phil Weiser
22%YesNo
William Moses
0%YesNo
David Hughes
0%YesNo
$82K Vol.elections
View details
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?
December 31, 2026
35%YesNo
September 30
0%YesNo
December 31
0%YesNo
$81K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by...?
April 30
2%YesNo
$81K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Yes
64%YesNo
No
37%YesNo
$81K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
50%YesNo
September 30, 2026
34%YesNo
June 30, 2026
9%YesNo
$81K Vol.tech
View details
New York Governor Republican Primary Winner
Bruce Blakeman
93%YesNo
Pat Hahn
5%YesNo
Elise Stefanik
1%YesNo
David Tulley
1%YesNo
Betsy McCaughey
1%YesNo
$81K Vol.elections
View details
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$80K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?
April 30
26%YesNo
$79K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Idaho Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Terri Pickens
62%YesNo
Stephen Heidt
2%YesNo
$79K Vol.elections
View details
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
Anduril
20%YesNo
Samsung Electronics
16%YesNo
Nvidia
15%YesNo
Rigetti
6%YesNo
$78K Vol.tech
View details
Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner
Michele Tafoya
78%YesNo
Adam Schwarze
11%YesNo
Royce White
9%YesNo
Christopher Brooks
2%YesNo
David Hann
2%YesNo
Alycia Gruenhagen
2%YesNo
Jim Nash
1%YesNo
Raymond Petersen
1%YesNo
Tom Weiler
1%YesNo
Julia Coleman
0%YesNo
Kristin Robbins
0%YesNo
$78K Vol.elections
View details
Which company has the best Coding AI model end of April?
Anthropic
90%YesNo
OpenAI
7%YesNo
DeepSeek
3%YesNo
Moonshot
1%YesNo
Z.ai
1%YesNo
Google
1%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
$77K Vol.tech
View details
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
99%YesNo
$77K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Democrat
56%YesNo
Republican
45%YesNo
$76K Vol.elections
View details
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?
April 30
2%YesNo
$75K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$75K Vol.tech
View details
What price will Dogecoin hit in 2026?
↓ 0.14
100%YesNo
↓ 0.10
100%YesNo
↓ 0.06
65%YesNo
↑ 0.16
33%YesNo
↓ 0.02
17%YesNo
↑ 0.32
14%YesNo
↑ 0.44
12%YesNo
↑ 0.48
9%YesNo
↑ 0.52
9%YesNo
$75K Vol.tech
View details
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?
April 15
9%YesNo
April 30
6%YesNo
$73K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Unit launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
44%YesNo
December 31, 2026
22%YesNo
$73K Vol.tech
View details
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
December 31
18%YesNo
June 30
6%YesNo
$72K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?
April 30
5%YesNo
$72K Vol.geopolitics
View details
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Yes
10%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$71K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?
Yes
73%YesNo
No
27%YesNo
$71K Vol.geopolitics
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Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by...?
April 30
18%YesNo
$70K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
Yes
93%YesNo
No
8%YesNo
$69K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
April 30
2%YesNo
$69K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$68K Vol.tech
View details
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Democrat
59%YesNo
Republican
41%YesNo
$68K Vol.elections
View details
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
15s+
38%YesNo
10–15s
28%YesNo
6–10s
14%YesNo
2–6s
9%YesNo
No Handshake
5%YesNo
<2s
3%YesNo
Photographed only
2%YesNo
$68K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
25%YesNo
$500M
11%YesNo
$1B
7%YesNo
$700M
6%YesNo
$3B
6%YesNo
$4B
6%YesNo
$2B
4%YesNo
$68K Vol.tech
View details
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
Democrat
77%YesNo
Republican
14%YesNo
$67K Vol.elections
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Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?
April 30
3%YesNo
$67K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner
Christine Drazan
47%YesNo
Ed Diehl
34%YesNo
Chris Dudley
15%YesNo
Danielle Bethell
1%YesNo
Kyle Duyck
1%YesNo
Robert Neuman
0%YesNo
Chael Sonnen
0%YesNo
Caleb Kintz
0%YesNo
$67K Vol.elections
View details
What price will Aster hit in 2026?
↑ 1.20
100%YesNo
↓ 0.80
100%YesNo
↓ 1.00
100%YesNo
↓ 0.60
100%YesNo
↓ 0.40
54%YesNo
↑ 1.60
25%YesNo
↑ 1.80
20%YesNo
↑ 2.00
16%YesNo
↑ 2.20
10%YesNo
$66K Vol.tech
View details
GPT-5.5 released on...?
April 23
62%YesNo
No release by April 30
13%YesNo
April 16
11%YesNo
April 30
8%YesNo
April 21
7%YesNo
April 22
4%YesNo
April 15
1%YesNo
April 29
1%YesNo
April 19
0%YesNo
April 18
0%YesNo
Prio to or on April 8
0%YesNo
$65K Vol.tech
View details
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$65K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What price will Uniswap hit in 2026?
↓ 3.00
100%YesNo
↓ 4.50
100%YesNo
↓ 6.00
100%YesNo
↑ 6.50
100%YesNo
↑ 14.00
17%YesNo
↑ 15.50
17%YesNo
$65K Vol.tech
View details
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
300-400k
36%YesNo
400-500k
25%YesNo
200-300k
16%YesNo
<200k
10%YesNo
500-600k
5%YesNo
>1m
3%YesNo
600-700k
2%YesNo
700-800k
2%YesNo
800-900k
1%YesNo
900k-1m
1%YesNo
$64K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
April 30
1%YesNo
$64K Vol.geopolitics
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Pacifica FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
17%YesNo
$500M
9%YesNo
$800M
8%YesNo
$2B
4%YesNo
$1B
3%YesNo
$3B
1%YesNo
$64K Vol.tech
View details
Canada recession before 2027?
Yes
40%YesNo
No
60%YesNo
$64K Vol.politics
View details
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$64K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner
Andy Biggs
92%YesNo
David Schweikert
4%YesNo
Karrin Taylor Robson
2%YesNo
$64K Vol.elections
View details
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
Yes
64%YesNo
No
37%YesNo
$63K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Montana Senate Election Winner
Republican
81%YesNo
Democrat
11%YesNo
$63K Vol.elections
View details
Which company has the second best AI model end of April?
Anthropic
90%YesNo
OpenAI
4%YesNo
Google
3%YesNo
DeepSeek
1%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Microsoft
0%YesNo
Meta
0%YesNo
$63K Vol.tech
View details
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
60+
25%YesNo
≤49
23%YesNo
$63K Vol.elections
View details
Ethereum price on April 16?
2,300-2,400
54%YesNo
2,200-2,300
24%YesNo
2,500-2,600
2%YesNo
2,000-2,100
1%YesNo
2,600-2,700
0%YesNo
>2,700
0%YesNo
1,900-2,000
0%YesNo
<1,800
0%YesNo
1,800-1,900
0%YesNo
$62K Vol.tech
View details
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$62K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by April 30?
↓ 50
100%YesNo
↑ 70
11%YesNo
↓ 40
9%YesNo
↑ 80
5%YesNo
↓ 30
1%YesNo
$62K Vol.tech
View details
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$61K Vol.geopolitics
View details
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$61K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
12+
78%YesNo
9-11
18%YesNo
6-8
2%YesNo
3-5
0%YesNo
0-2
0%YesNo
$61K Vol.tech
View details
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$61K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by...?
April 30
11%YesNo
$61K Vol.geopolitics
View details
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
2–3
54%YesNo
4–5
23%YesNo
6–7
8%YesNo
8–9
8%YesNo
10+
3%YesNo
<2
0%YesNo
$61K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will Meta (META) hit in April 2026?
↑ $660
100%YesNo
↓ $570
100%YesNo
↓ $620
100%YesNo
↓ $640
100%YesNo
↑ $680
82%YesNo
↑ $700
62%YesNo
↑ $730
36%YesNo
↓ $540
12%YesNo
↓ $500
5%YesNo
↑ $810
5%YesNo
↑ $860
2%YesNo
$59K Vol.tech
View details
Theo FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
43%YesNo
$300M
26%YesNo
$700M
8%YesNo
$1B
1%YesNo
$59K Vol.tech
View details
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?
April 30
4%YesNo
$59K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$58K Vol.tech
View details
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Yes
15%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$58K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Yes
63%YesNo
No
38%YesNo
$58K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$58K Vol.elections
View details
India Annual Inflation 2026
3.75% to 4.49%
37%YesNo
2.25% to 2.99%
21%YesNo
4.50%+
20%YesNo
$57K Vol.politics
View details
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
25%+
100%YesNo
30%+
100%YesNo
40%+
100%YesNo
50%+
74%YesNo
$57K Vol.tech
View details
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$57K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Yes
15%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$56K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Maine Senate Election Winner
Democrat
74%YesNo
Republican
25%YesNo
$55K Vol.elections
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Bitcoin above ___ on April 21?
66,000
97%YesNo
68,000
94%YesNo
70,000
86%YesNo
72,000
73%YesNo
74,000
52%YesNo
76,000
31%YesNo
82,000
3%YesNo
86,000
1%YesNo
$55K Vol.tech
View details
Best Chinese AI Company end of April?
Alibaba
73%YesNo
DeepSeek
14%YesNo
Z.ai
9%YesNo
Moonshot
3%YesNo
ByteDance
1%YesNo
Baidu
1%YesNo
Xiaomi
1%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
$55K Vol.tech
View details
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$53K Vol.tech
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Kansas Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Ethan Corson
72%YesNo
Cindy Holscher
26%YesNo
Marty Tuley
1%YesNo
$53K Vol.elections
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Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner
Barry Moore
83%YesNo
Jared Hudson
13%YesNo
Steve Marshall
4%YesNo
Morgan Murphy
1%YesNo
Rodney Walker
0%YesNo
$53K Vol.elections
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Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Yes
64%YesNo
No
36%YesNo
$52K Vol.tech
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New York Governor Election Winner
Democrat
92%YesNo
Republican
9%YesNo
$52K Vol.elections
View details
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
64%YesNo
Meta
24%YesNo
Google
6%YesNo
OpenAI
4%YesNo
xAI
1%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
$52K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture Toretske by...?
April 30
9%YesNo
$52K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Elon Musk Net Worth on April 30?
670b+
24%YesNo
630-640b
16%YesNo
650-660b
14%YesNo
640-650b
13%YesNo
<600b
13%YesNo
620-630b
12%YesNo
610-620b
11%YesNo
600-610b
8%YesNo
$51K Vol.tech
View details
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?
April 30
11%YesNo
April 15
0%YesNo
$51K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$51K Vol.geopolitics
View details
New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner
Kathy Hochul
96%YesNo
Antonio Delgado
2%YesNo
$51K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by...?
April 30
17%YesNo
$50K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Nirav Shah
40%YesNo
Troy Jackson
25%YesNo
Hannah Pingree
21%YesNo
Angus King III
6%YesNo
Shenna Bellows
3%YesNo
Jason Cherry
0%YesNo
Kenneth Pinet
0%YesNo
$50K Vol.elections
View details
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$49K Vol.politics
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Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
Yes
33%YesNo
No
68%YesNo
$49K Vol.tech
View details
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
5.00-5.49%
43%YesNo
4.50-4.99%
30%YesNo
4.00-4.49%
8%YesNo
6.00-6.49%
7%YesNo
5.50-5.99%
5%YesNo
3.50-3.99%
5%YesNo
6.50-6.99%
4%YesNo
<3.00%
4%YesNo
7.00%+
3%YesNo
3.00-3.49%
1%YesNo
$49K Vol.politics
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Bank of Mexico Decision in May
No change
82%YesNo
Decrease
17%YesNo
Increase
0%YesNo
$49K Vol.politics
View details
Another Elon baby by June 30?
Yes
13%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$48K Vol.tech
View details
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$48K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
81%YesNo
$47K Vol.tech
View details
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$47K Vol.geopolitics
View details
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Yes
22%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$47K Vol.tech
View details
North Carolina Senate Election Winner
Democrat
84%YesNo
Republican
14%YesNo
$47K Vol.elections
View details
Rhode Island Governor Election Winner
Democrat
95%YesNo
Republican
5%YesNo
$46K Vol.elections
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Minnesota Governor Election Winner
Democrat
92%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$45K Vol.elections
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Tennessee Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Jerri Green
80%YesNo
Carnita Atwater
10%YesNo
Adam Kurtz
6%YesNo
Tim Cyr
4%YesNo
$45K Vol.elections
View details
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Yes
81%YesNo
No
19%YesNo
$45K Vol.geopolitics
View details
AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner
Mark Lamb
90%YesNo
Travis Grantham
4%YesNo
Jay Feely
3%YesNo
$44K Vol.elections
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Bank of Korea decision in May?
No Change
89%YesNo
Increase
11%YesNo
Decrease
1%YesNo
$44K Vol.politics
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100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$44K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Meta headcount above __ in Q1?
75000
99%YesNo
76000
90%YesNo
77000
57%YesNo
78000
7%YesNo
79000
2%YesNo
$44K Vol.tech
View details
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$44K Vol.politics
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Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$44K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
↑ 6.30%
100%YesNo
↑ 6.50%
51%YesNo
↓ 5.70%
38%YesNo
$44K Vol.politics
View details
How many SpaceX launches in April?
13
39%YesNo
14
4%YesNo
16
2%YesNo
17 or more
1%YesNo
$43K Vol.tech
View details
VEO 4 released by...?
April 30
25%YesNo
$43K Vol.tech
View details
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$42K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by...?
April 30
7%YesNo
$42K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Sam Altman in jail by...?
June 30, 2026
3%YesNo
$42K Vol.tech
View details
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$42K Vol.geopolitics
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Oklahoma Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Cyndi Munson
83%YesNo
Arya Azma
2%YesNo
$42K Vol.elections
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2nd richest person on December 31?
Larry Page
46%YesNo
Jeff Bezos
31%YesNo
Sergey Brin
23%YesNo
Warren Buffett
3%YesNo
$41K Vol.tech
View details
Arizona Governor Election Winner
Democrat
77%YesNo
Republican
24%YesNo
$40K Vol.elections
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Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$40K Vol.politics
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Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
Yes
34%YesNo
No
67%YesNo
$38K Vol.tech
View details
Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Peggy Flanagan
79%YesNo
Angie Craig
18%YesNo
Keith Ellison
1%YesNo
Steve Simon
1%YesNo
Betty McCollum
1%YesNo
Ilhan Omar
1%YesNo
Melisa Hortman
1%YesNo
David Wellstone
0%YesNo
Melisa López Franzen
0%YesNo
Jacob Frey
0%YesNo
$38K Vol.elections
View details
Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?
December 31
0%YesNo
$38K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Serhiivka by...?
April 30
5%YesNo
$38K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
80%YesNo
OpenAI
5%YesNo
Google
4%YesNo
DeepSeek
1%YesNo
ByteDance
1%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
xAI
0%YesNo
Meituan
0%YesNo
Amazon
0%YesNo
Baidu
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
$37K Vol.tech
View details
What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
↓ 12
100%YesNo
↓ 8
100%YesNo
↑ 14
100%YesNo
↑ 16
41%YesNo
↑ 20
36%YesNo
↓ 4
32%YesNo
↑ 26
14%YesNo
$36K Vol.tech
View details
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?
June 30, 2026
5%YesNo
$36K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$36K Vol.elections
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US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$36K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
3.00% to 3.49%
28%YesNo
4.50% to 4.99%
22%YesNo
5.50%+
14%YesNo
$35K Vol.politics
View details
Tabi FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M
17%YesNo
$3B
9%YesNo
$1B
8%YesNo
$2B
5%YesNo
$35K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 11AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$35K Vol.tech
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Will Russia enter Stinky by...?
April 30
2%YesNo
$34K Vol.geopolitics
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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12PM ET
Yes
94%YesNo
No
7%YesNo
$34K Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 10AM ET
Yes
100%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$34K Vol.tech
View details
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than ___ ETH before 2027?
5M ETH
72%YesNo
7M ETH
9%YesNo
9M ETH
8%YesNo
$34K Vol.tech
View details
Florida Senate Election Winner
Republican
80%YesNo
Democrat
14%YesNo
$34K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Vasylivka by...?
April 30
14%YesNo
$34K Vol.geopolitics
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Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$33K Vol.tech
View details
MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Dan Koh
83%YesNo
Tram Nguyen
5%YesNo
Dominick Pangallo
4%YesNo
John Beccia
3%YesNo
Mariah Lancaster
3%YesNo
Rick Jakious
2%YesNo
Diann Slavit Baylis
2%YesNo
Seth Moulton
1%YesNo
Kevin Larivee
1%YesNo
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
1%YesNo
Rachel Creemers
1%YesNo
Beth Andres-Beck
0%YesNo
$33K Vol.elections
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Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
Yes
27%YesNo
No
74%YesNo
$32K Vol.tech
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Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner
Jeff Colyer
42%YesNo
Ty Masterson
18%YesNo
Philip Sarnecki
13%YesNo
$32K Vol.elections
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China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0%
39%YesNo
1.1 – 1.5%
23%YesNo
0.1 – 0.5%
17%YesNo
2.5%+
12%YesNo
1.6 – 2.0%
7%YesNo
-0.9 – -0.5%
6%YesNo
2.0-2.4%
6%YesNo
<-1.0%
3%YesNo
-0.4 – 0.0%
1%YesNo
$32K Vol.geopolitics
View details
𝕏 Money launched by...?
April 30
28%YesNo
$32K Vol.tech
View details
Houthi military action against Israel by...?
April 30
20%YesNo
April 15
1%YesNo
$32K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Yes
15%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$32K Vol.tech
View details
Georgia Governor Election Winner
Democrat
57%YesNo
Republican
40%YesNo
$31K Vol.elections
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Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
None in 2026
40%YesNo
Anthropic
38%YesNo
OpenAI
12%YesNo
Google
10%YesNo
DeepSeek
2%YesNo
xAI
1%YesNo
Alibaba
1%YesNo
Z.ai
1%YesNo
Mistral
0%YesNo
$31K Vol.tech
View details
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
Yes
26%YesNo
No
74%YesNo
$31K Vol.tech
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Colorado Senate Election Winner
Democrat
90%YesNo
Republican
11%YesNo
$31K Vol.elections
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Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$31K Vol.geopolitics
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Pakistan military action against Kabul by...?
April 15
1%YesNo
$31K Vol.geopolitics
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NE-02 Republican Primary Winner
Brinker Harding
97%YesNo
Brett Lindstrom
1%YesNo
Dan Frei
0%YesNo
$30K Vol.elections
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Ethereum above ___ on April 18?
1,700
100%YesNo
2,000
99%YesNo
1,900
99%YesNo
2,100
98%YesNo
2,200
89%YesNo
2,300
64%YesNo
2,400
32%YesNo
2,500
10%YesNo
2,600
3%YesNo
2,700
1%YesNo
$30K Vol.tech
View details
Alabama Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Doug Jones
89%YesNo
Yolanda Flowers
3%YesNo
Ja’Mel Brown
3%YesNo
Chad Chig Martin
1%YesNo
$30K Vol.elections
View details
Ethereum above ___ on April 20?
1,700
99%YesNo
1,900
99%YesNo
1,800
99%YesNo
2,000
98%YesNo
2,100
94%YesNo
2,300
62%YesNo
2,700
4%YesNo
$30K Vol.tech
View details
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?
December 31, 2026
70%YesNo
$29K Vol.tech
View details
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in April?
Increase
79%YesNo
No change
22%YesNo
Decrease
0%YesNo
$29K Vol.politics
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MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Matt Little
50%YesNo
Matt Klein
37%YesNo
Kaela Berg
10%YesNo
$29K Vol.elections
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Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?
Increase
61%YesNo
No Change
40%YesNo
Decrease
1%YesNo
$29K Vol.politics
View details
Precipitation in Hong Kong in April?
<130mm
37%YesNo
140-150mm
18%YesNo
130-140mm
16%YesNo
150-160mm
12%YesNo
$28K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by...?
April 30
3%YesNo
$28K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Top AI model on April 17? (Style Control On)
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
88%YesNo
claude-opus-4-6
1%YesNo
gpt-5.4-high
0%YesNo
grok-4.20-beta1
0%YesNo
$28K Vol.tech
View details
Iowa Governor Election Winner
Democrat
67%YesNo
Republican
33%YesNo
$28K Vol.elections
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Ventuals FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
22%YesNo
$300M
9%YesNo
$1.5B
7%YesNo
$500M
5%YesNo
$800M
5%YesNo
$1B
4%YesNo
$2B
2%YesNo
$28K Vol.tech
View details
Alabama Governor Republican Primary Winner
Tommy Tuberville
98%YesNo
Ken McFeeters
0%YesNo
$27K Vol.elections
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US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
77%YesNo
$27K Vol.tech
View details
GDP growth in 2026
>2.5%
54%YesNo
1.5–2.0%
12%YesNo
2.0–2.5%
11%YesNo
<0.5%
9%YesNo
1.0–1.5%
8%YesNo
0.5–1.0%
5%YesNo
$27K Vol.politics
View details
Ethereum above ___ on April 19?
1,700
100%YesNo
1,800
99%YesNo
1,900
99%YesNo
2,000
99%YesNo
2,100
96%YesNo
2,300
63%YesNo
2,400
33%YesNo
2,700
1%YesNo
$26K Vol.tech
View details
What will Bitcoin outperform in April?
NVIDIA (NVDA)
59%YesNo
S&P 500
50%YesNo
Silver
49%YesNo
Gold
49%YesNo
$25K Vol.tech
View details
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$25K Vol.tech
View details
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$25K Vol.geopolitics
View details
ECB rate cut in 2026?
Yes
23%YesNo
No
78%YesNo
$25K Vol.politics
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Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?
Yes
80%YesNo
No
21%YesNo
$25K Vol.geopolitics
View details
UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Ben McAdams
77%YesNo
Nate Blouin
19%YesNo
Kathleen Riebe
1%YesNo
Luz Escamilla
0%YesNo
Erin Mendenhall
0%YesNo
$25K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Shevchenko by...?
April 30
18%YesNo
$24K Vol.geopolitics
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Virginia Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Mark Warner
99%YesNo
Jason Reynolds
1%YesNo
$24K Vol.elections
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Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$24K Vol.tech
View details
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?
Yes
21%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$24K Vol.tech
View details
What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?
$1M
13%YesNo
$5M
10%YesNo
$2M
10%YesNo
$4M
6%YesNo
$24K Vol.tech
View details
Meta "Mango" model released by...?
June 30
73%YesNo
$24K Vol.tech
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Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$24K Vol.elections
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Connecticut Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Ned Lamont
87%YesNo
Josh Elliott
9%YesNo
$24K Vol.elections
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Colorado Democratic Senate Primary Winner
John Hickenlooper
84%YesNo
Julie Gonzales
15%YesNo
Anthony Zimpfer
0%YesNo
Michael Scanlon
0%YesNo
Brashad Hasley
0%YesNo
Karen Breslin
0%YesNo
Nichole Miner
0%YesNo
$24K Vol.elections
View details
NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner
Ritchie Torres
87%YesNo
Michael Blake
11%YesNo
Dalourny Nemorin
2%YesNo
Amanda Septimo
1%YesNo
$23K Vol.elections
View details
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$23K Vol.elections
View details
What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?
↑ 80
100%YesNo
↑ 90
100%YesNo
↑ 70
100%YesNo
↓ 50
61%YesNo
$23K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by...?
April 30
6%YesNo
$23K Vol.geopolitics
View details
South Dakota Governor Republican Primary Winner
Toby Doeden
38%YesNo
Dusty Johnson
38%YesNo
Larry Rhoden
23%YesNo
Jon Hansen
1%YesNo
$23K Vol.elections
View details
3rd richest person on December 31?
Larry Page
19%YesNo
Steve Ballmer
5%YesNo
$23K Vol.tech
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Will Spark launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
62%YesNo
$23K Vol.tech
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Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
Yes
92%YesNo
No
9%YesNo
$23K Vol.tech
View details
Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Charles Booker
81%YesNo
Amy McGrath
16%YesNo
Pamela Stevenson
2%YesNo
Joel Willett
1%YesNo
Jared Randall
0%YesNo
Dale Romans
0%YesNo
Logan Forsythe
0%YesNo
Vincent Thompson
0%YesNo
$23K Vol.elections
View details
UK GDP growth in Q1 2026?
0.3-0.6%
38%YesNo
0.6-0.9%
28%YesNo
0.0-0.3%
23%YesNo
Negative
6%YesNo
$23K Vol.politics
View details
Will Russia enter Svitle by...?
April 30
5%YesNo
$22K Vol.geopolitics
View details
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
72%YesNo
$22K Vol.tech
View details
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$22K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?
↑ 80
100%YesNo
↑ 60
100%YesNo
↑ 70
100%YesNo
↑ 50
100%YesNo
$22K Vol.tech
View details
South Carolina Governor Republican Primary Winner
Nancy Mace
36%YesNo
Pamela Evette
32%YesNo
Alan Wilson
31%YesNo
Ralph Norman
2%YesNo
Josh Kimbrell
0%YesNo
$21K Vol.elections
View details
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?
Yes
22%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$21K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Democrat
82%YesNo
Republican
18%YesNo
$21K Vol.elections
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South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
>5.0%
24%YesNo
4.4-4.7%
16%YesNo
$21K Vol.politics
View details
New Hampshire Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Cinde Warmington
79%YesNo
John Kiper
7%YesNo
Tom Sherman
5%YesNo
Deaglan McEachern
4%YesNo
$21K Vol.elections
View details
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Republican
77%YesNo
Democrat
22%YesNo
$21K Vol.elections
View details
FL-19 Republican Primary Winner
Catalina Lauf
47%YesNo
Madison Cawthorn
16%YesNo
Jim Oberweis
9%YesNo
$21K Vol.elections
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Illinois Senate Election Winner
Democrat
91%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$21K Vol.elections
View details
PA-03 Democratic Primary Winner
Sharif Street
49%YesNo
Ala Stanford
33%YesNo
Chris Rabb
18%YesNo
Morgan Cephas
1%YesNo
Robin Toldens
1%YesNo
David Oxman
1%YesNo
Gabriel Caceres
0%YesNo
$21K Vol.elections
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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Yes
53%YesNo
No
47%YesNo
$20K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Nevada Governor Election Winner
Democrat
57%YesNo
Republican
44%YesNo
$20K Vol.elections
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Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
8%YesNo
$20K Vol.elections
View details
New Mexico Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Deb Haaland
82%YesNo
Sam Bregman
18%YesNo
Ken Miyagishima
0%YesNo
$20K Vol.elections
View details
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
60%+
63%YesNo
70%+
24%YesNo
$20K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?
April 30
4%YesNo
$20K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$20K Vol.geopolitics
View details
New Mexico Governor Election Winner
Democrat
88%YesNo
Republican
10%YesNo
$20K Vol.elections
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Will US annex any territory in 2026?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$20K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ohio Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Amy Acton
98%YesNo
Jacob Chiara
1%YesNo
$20K Vol.elections
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New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Democrat
86%YesNo
Republican
13%YesNo
$20K Vol.elections
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Makina FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$80M
10%YesNo
$100M
9%YesNo
$200M
5%YesNo
$300M
4%YesNo
$20K Vol.tech
View details
People's Bank of China rate change in April?
No Change
97%YesNo
Decrease
3%YesNo
Increase
1%YesNo
$20K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner
Democrat
95%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$20K Vol.elections
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Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Yes
43%YesNo
No
57%YesNo
$19K Vol.geopolitics
View details
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
25%+
57%YesNo
40%+
54%YesNo
30%+
53%YesNo
$19K Vol.tech
View details
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$19K Vol.politics
View details
Number of US Flights Delayed April 6?
6,000-6,500
71%YesNo
6,500-7,000
42%YesNo
5,000-5,500
0%YesNo
$19K Vol.politics
View details
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by...?
April 30
3%YesNo
$19K Vol.geopolitics
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U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$19K Vol.geopolitics
View details
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
<500B
9%YesNo
$19K Vol.politics
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Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Yes
54%YesNo
No
46%YesNo
$19K Vol.tech
View details
Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026?
0.1-0.3%
54%YesNo
0.4-0.6%
30%YesNo
≤0.0%
9%YesNo
$19K Vol.politics
View details
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$18K Vol.politics
View details
Vermont Governor Election Winner
Republican
77%YesNo
Democrat
18%YesNo
$18K Vol.elections
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Who will the "Finding Satoshi" documentary identify as Satoshi?
Adam Back
30%YesNo
Craig Wright
1%YesNo
Elon Musk
0%YesNo
$18K Vol.tech
View details
Ohio Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Sherrod Brown
98%YesNo
Tim Ryan
1%YesNo
Greg Landsman
1%YesNo
Allison Russo
0%YesNo
$18K Vol.elections
View details
Best AI model on April 17? (Style Control Off)
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
86%YesNo
claude-opus-4-6
1%YesNo
$17K Vol.tech
View details
Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?
<0.7%
4%YesNo
≥2.7%
2%YesNo
$17K Vol.politics
View details
Bitcoin price on April 17?
74,000-76,000
32%YesNo
72,000-74,000
31%YesNo
78,000-80,000
5%YesNo
68,000-70,000
5%YesNo
64,000-66,000
1%YesNo
>82,000
1%YesNo
66,000-68,000
0%YesNo
<64,000
0%YesNo
$17K Vol.tech
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OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Yes
57%YesNo
No
43%YesNo
$17K Vol.tech
View details
Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$2B
53%YesNo
$1B
42%YesNo
$5B
26%YesNo
$17K Vol.tech
View details
Which company has the best Math AI model end of April?
Anthropic
62%YesNo
OpenAI
37%YesNo
DeepSeek
7%YesNo
Z.ai
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
$17K Vol.tech
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Oregon Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Jeff Merkley
97%YesNo
Jacob Ryan
2%YesNo
$17K Vol.elections
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West Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner
Shelley Moore Capito
96%YesNo
Tom Willis
1%YesNo
Alexander Gaasserud
0%YesNo
$17K Vol.elections
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Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$17K Vol.geopolitics
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Kansas Senate Election Winner
Republican
85%YesNo
Democrat
14%YesNo
$16K Vol.elections
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Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by...?
April 30
7%YesNo
$16K Vol.geopolitics
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Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
Democrat
91%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$16K Vol.elections
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Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)
<1600.00
44%YesNo
1600.00–1699.99
24%YesNo
1900.00–1999.99
10%YesNo
$16K Vol.politics
View details
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
86%YesNo
$16K Vol.tech
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Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner
Ashley Hinson
97%YesNo
Joshua Smith
1%YesNo
$16K Vol.elections
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Canada Annual Inflation 2026
3.0-3.4%
17%YesNo
$16K Vol.politics
View details
Colorado Republican Senate Primary Winner
Mark Baisley
95%YesNo
George Washington Markert
3%YesNo
Dathan Jones
2%YesNo
Janak Joshi
2%YesNo
$16K Vol.elections
View details
2026 World GDP Growth
≤2.9%
39%YesNo
3.4%
5%YesNo
3.5%
4%YesNo
3.2%
4%YesNo
3.3%
1%YesNo
$16K Vol.politics
View details
New Jersey Senate Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$15K Vol.elections
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Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
1520
83%YesNo
1510
81%YesNo
1530
67%YesNo
1540
48%YesNo
1550
38%YesNo
$15K Vol.tech
View details
Maryland Governor Election Winner
Democrat
94%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$15K Vol.elections
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Tennessee Senate Election Winner
Republican
91%YesNo
Democrat
8%YesNo
$15K Vol.elections
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NY-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Laura Gillen
70%YesNo
Nicholas Sciretta
14%YesNo
Taylor Darling
1%YesNo
Gian Jones
0%YesNo
$15K Vol.elections
View details
Bank of Israel Decision in May?
No Change
42%YesNo
Decrease
26%YesNo
Increase
24%YesNo
$15K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Which company has the second best Coding AI model end of April?
Anthropic
95%YesNo
OpenAI
3%YesNo
xAI
2%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
$15K Vol.tech
View details
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
Yes
42%YesNo
No
58%YesNo
$15K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Aaron Ford
90%YesNo
Alexis Hill
5%YesNo
$15K Vol.elections
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Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$15K Vol.politics
View details
US defaults on debt by 2027?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$15K Vol.politics
View details
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
50%+
55%YesNo
$15K Vol.tech
View details
What will the Bitcoin realized volatility index hit by April 30?
↓ 40
16%YesNo
↑ 90
1%YesNo
$15K Vol.tech
View details
Oklahoma Governor Election Winner
Republican
92%YesNo
Democrat
8%YesNo
$15K Vol.elections
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OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2027
33%YesNo
1T–1.25T
17%YesNo
$14K Vol.tech
View details
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$14K Vol.tech
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CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Manny Rutinel
82%YesNo
Shannon Bird
11%YesNo
Dave Young
2%YesNo
$14K Vol.elections
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Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$14K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Iowa Governor Republican Primary Winner
Randy Feenstra
72%YesNo
Zach Lahn
14%YesNo
Adam Steen
12%YesNo
Brad Sherman
2%YesNo
Eddie Andrews
1%YesNo
$14K Vol.elections
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AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
Yes
47%YesNo
No
53%YesNo
$14K Vol.tech
View details
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$14K Vol.tech
View details
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$13K Vol.geopolitics
View details
New Mexico Senate Election Winner
Democrat
96%YesNo
Republican
3%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
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Florida Governor Election Winner
Republican
73%YesNo
Democrat
26%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
View details
Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Zach Wahls
56%YesNo
Josh Turek
44%YesNo
Chris Henry
2%YesNo
Nathan Sage
0%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
View details
MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
Jeremy Moss
80%YesNo
Andy Levin
12%YesNo
Aisha Farooqi
7%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
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Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
Yes
27%YesNo
No
74%YesNo
$13K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
Yes
92%YesNo
No
9%YesNo
$13K Vol.tech
View details
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Republican
91%YesNo
Democrat
10%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
View details
Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner
Robert Charles
55%YesNo
Jonathan Bush
21%YesNo
David Jones
10%YesNo
Owen McCarthy
1%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
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Florida Governor Democratic Primary Winner
David Jolly
77%YesNo
Angie Nixon
0%YesNo
$13K Vol.elections
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US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?
Yes
26%YesNo
No
74%YesNo
$13K Vol.geopolitics
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Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$13K Vol.politics
View details
NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Stefany Shaheen
58%YesNo
Maura Sullivan
30%YesNo
Carleigh Beriont
11%YesNo
$12K Vol.elections
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Idaho Senate Election Winner
Republican
91%YesNo
Democrat
8%YesNo
$12K Vol.elections
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Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner
Erin Stewart
53%YesNo
Ryan Fazio
33%YesNo
Timothy Wilcox
2%YesNo
$12K Vol.elections
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Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
Democrat
95%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$12K Vol.elections
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Massachusetts Governor Republican Primary Winner
Michael Minogue
52%YesNo
Mike Kennealy
10%YesNo
$12K Vol.elections
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Florida Republican Senate Primary Winner
Ashley B. Moody
94%YesNo
Michaelangelo Hamilton
4%YesNo
Jake Lang
2%YesNo
$12K Vol.elections
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New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Chris Pappas
89%YesNo
Karishma Manzur
4%YesNo
$12K Vol.elections
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Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$12K Vol.politics
View details
South Dakota Governor Election Winner
Republican
94%YesNo
Democrat
4%YesNo
$12K Vol.elections
View details
South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026?
2.5%+
46%YesNo
1.5–1.9%
3%YesNo
<0%
1%YesNo
$12K Vol.politics
View details
Oregon Governor Election Winner
Democrat
87%YesNo
Republican
13%YesNo
$12K Vol.elections
View details
Oklahoma Senate Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
5%YesNo
$12K Vol.elections
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Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$12K Vol.tech
View details
Rhode Island Republican Senate Primary Winner
Raymond McKay
89%YesNo
Allen Waters
2%YesNo
$11K Vol.elections
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US recognize Somaliland by...?
December 31
0%YesNo
$11K Vol.geopolitics
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Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$11K Vol.geopolitics
View details
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
400k–425k
27%YesNo
350k–375k
24%YesNo
$11K Vol.tech
View details
Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner
DISY
65%YesNo
AKEL
31%YesNo
VOLT
2%YesNo
DIKO
1%YesNo
$11K Vol.elections
View details
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
Yes
20%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$11K Vol.tech
View details
South Carolina Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Jermaine Johnson
72%YesNo
Mullins McLeod
13%YesNo
$11K Vol.elections
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South Korea Annual Inflation 2026
3.0%+
36%YesNo
$10K Vol.politics
View details
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$10K Vol.geopolitics
View details
What will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit before 2027?
20 Gwei
17%YesNo
15 Gwei
12%YesNo
25 Gwei
10%YesNo
40 Gwei
7%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
View details
Colorado Governor Election Winner
Democrat
92%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
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Will RWAs hit $50B by ___?
December 31
0%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
View details
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$10K Vol.geopolitics
View details
ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Joe Baldacci
45%YesNo
Matthew Dunlap
28%YesNo
Jordan Wood
22%YesNo
Jared Golden
1%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
View details
How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
355+
32%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
View details
Alabama Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Kyle Sweetser
58%YesNo
Dakarai Larriett
30%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
View details
Bitcoin price on April 19?
70,000-72,000
15%YesNo
>80,000
2%YesNo
<62,000
0%YesNo
$10K Vol.tech
View details
Texas Governor Election Winner
Republican
80%YesNo
Democrat
17%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
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Alabama Senate Election Winner
Republican
94%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
View details
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?
June 30, 2026
15%YesNo
$10K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Peak US National Debt before 2027?
$40 trillion
95%YesNo
$42 trillion
8%YesNo
$10K Vol.politics
View details
Delaware Senate Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$10K Vol.elections
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Nebraska Republican Senate Primary Winner
Pete Ricketts
97%YesNo
Edward Dunn
1%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Elon Bull Run Parlay
Yes
16%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
View details
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by June 30?
1510
80%YesNo
1520
65%YesNo
1530
56%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
View details
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$9K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bank of Russia decision in June?
Decrease
85%YesNo
Increase
6%YesNo
$9K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Idaho Republican Senate Primary Winner
Jim Risch
97%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Number of TSA passengers April 13 - April 19?
<16.5m
5%YesNo
$9K Vol.politics
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Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
View details
South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Annie Andrews
89%YesNo
Kyle Freeman
5%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Will Russia capture Kindrativka by...?
April 30
5%YesNo
$9K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Yes
29%YesNo
No
71%YesNo
$9K Vol.politics
View details
South Carolina Governor Election Winner
Republican
87%YesNo
Democrat
12%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
View details
Ethereum price on April 17?
2,200-2,300
28%YesNo
2,100-2,200
10%YesNo
2,500-2,600
7%YesNo
1,900-2,000
1%YesNo
<1,800
0%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
View details
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$9K Vol.geopolitics
View details
New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Cory Booker
86%YesNo
Saxon Callahan
0%YesNo
$9K Vol.elections
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Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$9K Vol.politics
View details
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+
65%YesNo
1.9–2.1%
2%YesNo
$9K Vol.politics
View details
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
Yes
96%YesNo
No
4%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
View details
Bill Gates charged by June 30?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
View details
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
93%YesNo
$9K Vol.tech
View details
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$8K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Pennsylvania Governor Republican Primary Winner
Stacy Garrity
94%YesNo
Doug Mastriano
2%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
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Virginia Senate Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16?
Yes
60%YesNo
No
41%YesNo
$8K Vol.tech
View details
Arkansas Senate Election Winner
Republican
94%YesNo
Democrat
6%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
View details
West Virginia Senate Election Winner
Republican
94%YesNo
Democrat
6%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
View details
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
20-24.9%
13%YesNo
<20%
7%YesNo
$8K Vol.politics
View details
Wyoming Senate Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
View details
Montana Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Reilly Neill
85%YesNo
Michael Hummert
5%YesNo
Alani Bankhead
2%YesNo
$8K Vol.elections
View details
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$8K Vol.tech
View details
Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026
<0.5%
9%YesNo
1.7-2.0%
8%YesNo
2.5%+
3%YesNo
$8K Vol.politics
View details
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$8K Vol.geopolitics
View details
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
Yes
98%YesNo
No
2%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
View details
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?
Yes
2%YesNo
No
98%YesNo
$7K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Ed Markey
86%YesNo
Seth Moulton
13%YesNo
Ayanna Pressley
2%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Yes
54%YesNo
No
47%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
View details
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
Yes
42%YesNo
No
58%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
View details
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
84%YesNo
$7K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of April?
$420
100%YesNo
$460
99%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
View details
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
June 30
24%YesNo
$7K Vol.politics
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Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
Yes
16%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
View details
Idaho Governor Election Winner
Republican
94%YesNo
Democrat
5%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
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100kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
95%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
View details
Rhode Island Senate Election Winner
Democrat
92%YesNo
Republican
8%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
View details
Will Russia enter Myrne by...?
April 30
6%YesNo
$7K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
Yes
21%YesNo
No
80%YesNo
$7K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ethereum above ___ on April 21?
2,100
91%YesNo
2,700
5%YesNo
$7K Vol.tech
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Maine Governor Election Winner
Democrat
90%YesNo
Republican
10%YesNo
$7K Vol.elections
View details
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?
No Change
85%YesNo
Increase
14%YesNo
Decrease
0%YesNo
$7K Vol.politics
View details
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$6K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Rhode Island Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Jack Reed
95%YesNo
Connor Burbridge
5%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?
Yes
28%YesNo
No
72%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
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Bitcoin price on April 21?
<66,000
2%YesNo
>84,000
1%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
View details
NE-02 Democratic Primary Winner
John Cavanaugh
71%YesNo
Mark Johnston
3%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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Arkansas Governor Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
6%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12PM ET
Yes
96%YesNo
No
5%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
View details
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by May 31, 2026?
Yes
97%YesNo
No
3%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
View details
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
1.0-2.0%
44%YesNo
4.0-5.0%
7%YesNo
$6K Vol.politics
View details
Wyoming Governor Election Winner
Republican
95%YesNo
Democrat
5%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
89%YesNo
$6K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
View details
Tennessee Governor Republican Primary Winner
Marsha Blackburn
90%YesNo
Monty Fritts
6%YesNo
John Rose
5%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
Yes
12%YesNo
No
88%YesNo
$6K Vol.politics
View details
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
Yes
15%YesNo
No
85%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
View details
NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Brad Lander
83%YesNo
Dan Goldman
14%YesNo
$6K Vol.elections
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What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit Week of April 13 2026?
↓ $610
5%YesNo
$6K Vol.tech
View details
Kansas Governor Election Winner
Republican
67%YesNo
Democrat
32%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
View details
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?
1550
94%YesNo
1560
81%YesNo
1570
65%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin price on April 20?
64,000-66,000
1%YesNo
<62,000
1%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
View details
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Yes
27%YesNo
No
74%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
View details
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Wesley Bell
70%YesNo
Cori Bush
31%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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New Hampshire Governor Election Winner
Republican
73%YesNo
Democrat
24%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?
No Change
91%YesNo
Decrease
4%YesNo
Increase
3%YesNo
$5K Vol.politics
View details
NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Hakeem Jeffries
96%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by...?
April 30
6%YesNo
$5K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Louisiana Senate Election Winner
Republican
91%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
View details
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
View details
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?
Shadowrocket
86%YesNo
HotSchedules
8%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
View details
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
Yes
24%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
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Will Russia capture Serhiivka by April 30?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$5K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Yes
36%YesNo
No
64%YesNo
$5K Vol.politics
View details
Ethereum price on April 19?
2,300-2,400
30%YesNo
2,200-2,300
26%YesNo
2,400-2,500
19%YesNo
2,100-2,200
12%YesNo
2,500-2,600
6%YesNo
>2,600
4%YesNo
2,000-2,100
4%YesNo
1,900-2,000
2%YesNo
1,800-1,900
1%YesNo
1,700-1,800
1%YesNo
<1,700
0%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
View details
Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Helena Foulkes
74%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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New Hampshire Republican Senate Primary Winner
John E. Sununu
90%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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X banned in any European country by December 31?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
75%YesNo
$5K Vol.tech
View details
Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?
1600.00+
50%YesNo
$5K Vol.politics
View details
New Hampshire Governor Republican Primary Winner
Kelly Ayotte
85%YesNo
Corey Lewandowski
10%YesNo
$5K Vol.elections
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Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?
Yes
34%YesNo
No
67%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
View details
VA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Elaine Luria
84%YesNo
James Osyf
7%YesNo
Patrick Mosolf
2%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
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AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
Yes
78%YesNo
No
23%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
View details
Meta (META) Up or Down on April 15?
Yes
97%YesNo
No
3%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
View details
Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner
Aaron Guckian
61%YesNo
Elaine Pelino
30%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
View details
Which company has the second best Math AI model end of April?
Anthropic
57%YesNo
OpenAI
30%YesNo
Google
11%YesNo
Z.ai
3%YesNo
Amazon
2%YesNo
Baidu
1%YesNo
xAI
1%YesNo
Mistral
1%YesNo
Meituan
1%YesNo
DeepSeek
0%YesNo
Alibaba
0%YesNo
Xiaomi
0%YesNo
Moonshot
0%YesNo
ByteDance
0%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
View details
Hawaii Governor Election Winner
Democrat
94%YesNo
Republican
6%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
View details
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
April 30
1%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
View details
Alabama Governor Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
View details
Nebraska Governor Election Winner
Republican
92%YesNo
Democrat
9%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
View details
Illinois Governor Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Yes
70%YesNo
No
31%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
View details
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by April 30?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$4K Vol.geopolitics
View details
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
View details
Kentucky Senate Election Winner
Republican
92%YesNo
Democrat
7%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
View details
Fed abolished before 2027?
Yes
4%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$4K Vol.politics
View details
Connecticut Governor Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$4K Vol.elections
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Yes
68%YesNo
No
32%YesNo
$4K Vol.tech
View details
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
4.5%+
47%YesNo
3.5–3.9%
24%YesNo
4.0-4.4%
22%YesNo
2.5–2.9%
14%YesNo
1.5–1.9%
10%YesNo
1.0–1.4%
5%YesNo
2.0–2.4%
5%YesNo
<1.0%
2%YesNo
$3K Vol.politics
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Yes
47%YesNo
No
54%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
↑ 44%
12%YesNo
$3K Vol.politics
View details
South Dakota Senate Election Winner
Republican
93%YesNo
Democrat
6%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
View details
Will Meta (META) finish week of April 13 above___?
$570
99%YesNo
$580
99%YesNo
$600
98%YesNo
$590
98%YesNo
$610
98%YesNo
$620
98%YesNo
$630
97%YesNo
$640
95%YesNo
$650
91%YesNo
$660
80%YesNo
$670
63%YesNo
$680
42%YesNo
$690
22%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?
Yes
30%YesNo
No
70%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
Yes
6%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
Yes
8%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Kimi K3 released by…?
June 30
61%YesNo
April 30
6%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
Yes
3%YesNo
No
97%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?
Yes
17%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$3K Vol.geopolitics
View details
ChatGPT Outage by...?
April 17
28%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?
0.5-1.0%
49%YesNo
1.0-1.5%
37%YesNo
0.0-0.5%
13%YesNo
2.0-2.5%
9%YesNo
<0.0%
7%YesNo
>2.5%
4%YesNo
1.5-2.0%
1%YesNo
$3K Vol.politics
View details
Meta (META) closes above ___ on April 15?
$620
99%YesNo
$630
99%YesNo
$640
99%YesNo
$610
99%YesNo
$650
98%YesNo
$3K Vol.tech
View details
Tennessee Governor Election Winner
Republican
91%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
View details
Oregon Senate Election Winner
Democrat
93%YesNo
Republican
7%YesNo
$3K Vol.elections
View details
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
Yes
25%YesNo
No
76%YesNo
$3K Vol.politics
View details
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?
December 31
31%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum price on April 20?
2,300-2,400
30%YesNo
2,200-2,300
23%YesNo
2,400-2,500
22%YesNo
2,100-2,200
12%YesNo
2,500-2,600
8%YesNo
2,000-2,100
5%YesNo
>2,700
3%YesNo
2,600-2,700
2%YesNo
1,900-2,000
2%YesNo
<1,800
2%YesNo
1,800-1,900
1%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
92%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?
ChatGPT
93%YesNo
Claude by Anthropic
7%YesNo
Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses
5%YesNo
Netflix Game Controller
3%YesNo
TurboTax: File Your Tax Return
2%YesNo
Google Gemini
1%YesNo
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
0%YesNo
Google
0%YesNo
Threads
0%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by June 30?
1520
93%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Yes
14%YesNo
No
87%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
1560
94%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
NVIDIA Data Center Revenue above __ in Q1?
55B
94%YesNo
50B
93%YesNo
60B
80%YesNo
65B
79%YesNo
70B
44%YesNo
75B
44%YesNo
80B
22%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
<0
31%YesNo
4-5%
30%YesNo
0-1%
23%YesNo
1-2%
20%YesNo
3-4%
10%YesNo
2-3%
7%YesNo
5%+
6%YesNo
$2K Vol.politics
View details
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?
Claude by Anthropic
55%YesNo
Netflix Game Controller
36%YesNo
Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses
34%YesNo
Google Gemini
25%YesNo
ChatGPT
22%YesNo
TurboTax: File Your Tax Return
3%YesNo
Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
1%YesNo
Threads
1%YesNo
Google
0%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
1525
91%YesNo
$2K Vol.tech
View details
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
Yes
41%YesNo
No
60%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?
Yes
7%YesNo
No
94%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026?
-0.3– -0.1%
43%YesNo
1.2%+
28%YesNo
0.6–0.8%
24%YesNo
0.0–0.2%
21%YesNo
0.3–0.5%
18%YesNo
0.9–1.1%
17%YesNo
≤-0.4%
2%YesNo
$1K Vol.politics
View details
Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
Yes
22%YesNo
No
79%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
83%YesNo
$1K Vol.politics
View details
Will Claude go down on __ days in May?
12+
56%YesNo
9-11
28%YesNo
6-8
26%YesNo
3-5
14%YesNo
0-2
7%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Meta (META) closes week of Apr 13 at ___?
>$670
63%YesNo
$660-$670
17%YesNo
$650-$660
12%YesNo
$640-$650
6%YesNo
$630-$640
3%YesNo
$620-$630
2%YesNo
$610-$620
2%YesNo
$590-$600
1%YesNo
<$580
1%YesNo
$580-$590
1%YesNo
$600-$610
1%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Yes
95%YesNo
No
6%YesNo
$1K Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$948 Vol.tech
View details
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
Yes
18%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$945 Vol.tech
View details
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
Yes
57%YesNo
No
43%YesNo
$837 Vol.politics
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$706 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum ETF Flows on April 14?
Yes
100%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$662 Vol.tech
View details
Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?
Yes
68%YesNo
No
32%YesNo
$634 Vol.politics
View details
New MAI model released by...?
June 30
64%YesNo
April 30
20%YesNo
$626 Vol.tech
View details
Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026?
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$618 Vol.tech
View details
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
Yes
9%YesNo
No
91%YesNo
$499 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Bitcoin ETF Flows on April 14?
Yes
100%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$493 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$452 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$429 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$426 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$425 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum price on April 21?
2,300-2,400
26%YesNo
2,200-2,300
23%YesNo
2,400-2,500
20%YesNo
2,100-2,200
11%YesNo
2,500-2,600
8%YesNo
2,000-2,100
3%YesNo
2,600-2,700
3%YesNo
>2,800
3%YesNo
<1,900
2%YesNo
1,900-2,000
1%YesNo
2,700-2,800
1%YesNo
$419 Vol.tech
View details
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
Yes
19%YesNo
No
82%YesNo
$407 Vol.politics
View details
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?
Yes
11%YesNo
No
90%YesNo
$289 Vol.tech
View details
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by ___?
December 31, 2027
16%YesNo
December 31, 2026
6%YesNo
$283 Vol.tech
View details
Bank of Israel Decision in July?
No Change
69%YesNo
Decrease
28%YesNo
Increase
15%YesNo
$240 Vol.geopolitics
View details
Ethereum Up or Down on April 16?
Yes
56%YesNo
No
44%YesNo
$186 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$166 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum ETF Flows on April 13?
Yes
100%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$159 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$155 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Yes
49%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$141 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin ETF Flows on April 13?
Yes
0%YesNo
No
100%YesNo
$130 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Yes
71%YesNo
No
30%YesNo
$87 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin ETF Flows on April 15?
Yes
86%YesNo
No
14%YesNo
$62 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$59 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$59 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$49 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$34 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Yes
49%YesNo
No
52%YesNo
$30 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$30 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$22 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$19 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$19 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$18 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$16 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$12 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$10 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$10 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$10 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$10 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum ETF Flows on April 15?
Yes
80%YesNo
No
21%YesNo
$5 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$4 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$4 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$4 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$2 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$2 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$2 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 7PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$2 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$2 Vol.tech
View details
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
Yes
5%YesNo
No
96%YesNo
$0 Vol.politics
View details
Which company has the third best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
44%YesNo
Google
44%YesNo
Z.ai
33%YesNo
Mistral
33%YesNo
DeepSeek
33%YesNo
Alibaba
33%YesNo
Meta
33%YesNo
OpenAI
33%YesNo
xAI
33%YesNo
Amazon
33%YesNo
Meituan
33%YesNo
Microsoft
33%YesNo
ByteDance
33%YesNo
Moonshot
33%YesNo
Baidu
33%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
XRP Up or Down - December 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
XRP Up or Down - December 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Solana Up or Down - December 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
XRP Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Solana Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin ETF Flows on April 16?
Yes
48%YesNo
No
53%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
View details
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Yes
0%YesNo
No
0%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 2PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 3PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 4PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 5PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 6PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 8PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 9PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 10PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 11PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 12AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 1AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 2AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 3AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 4AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 5AM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 6AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 7AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 8AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum ETF Flows on April 16?
Yes
48%YesNo
No
53%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 9AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
51%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 10AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 11AM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 12PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 1PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 2PM ET
Yes
50%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Yes
51%YesNo
No
50%YesNo
$0 Vol.tech
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